{"id":9749,"date":"2022-01-24T08:24:05","date_gmt":"2022-01-24T05:24:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=9749"},"modified":"2022-01-24T08:24:05","modified_gmt":"2022-01-24T05:24:05","slug":"nasdaq-acikladi-iste-altin-yatirimcilarinin-izlemesi-gereken-10-sey","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/nasdaq-acikladi-iste-altin-yatirimcilarinin-izlemesi-gereken-10-sey\/","title":{"rendered":"Nasdaq A\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131: \u0130\u015fte Alt\u0131n Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u0130zlemesi Gereken 10 \u015eey!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nasdaq\u2019\u0131n haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 en son Sprott Ayl\u0131k Raporu, alt\u0131n ve de\u011ferli metal yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n 2022\u2019de izlemesi gereken ilk 10 geli\u015fmeyi a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Rapordan ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 ve raporu de\u011ferlendiren piyasa stratejisti Paul Wong\u2019un a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131 coinmuhendisi.com<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0okuyucular\u0131 i\u00e7in haz\u0131rlad\u0131k.<\/p>\n

M2 Para Arz\u0131, ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k hazine reel faizleri ve ABD Dolar\u0131 (USD)<\/b><\/p>\n

Piyasa stratejisti Paul Wong, t\u00fcm bu de\u011fi\u015fkenlerin maliye politikas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan y\u00f6nlendirildi\u011fini belirtiyor. ABD borcu, \u0130kinci D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019ndan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine ula\u015ft\u0131 ve reel faizlerin \u015fimdiye kadarki en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine d\u00fc\u015fmesine neden oldu. \u201cABD dolar fiyat seviyeleri daha karma\u015f\u0131kt\u0131r ve daha bir\u00e7ok fakt\u00f6rden etkilenir\u201d diyen Paul Wong, USD seviyesinin d\u00fc\u015fmesi i\u00e7in en \u00f6nemli fakt\u00f6rlerden birinin, y\u00fcksek USD\u2019nin merkez bankalar\u0131 i\u00e7in istenmeyen bir durum olan k\u00fcresel finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. Stratejist, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

USD\u2019nin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc art\u0131ran ana fakt\u00f6r, USD cinsinden \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek seviyedeki d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 nedeniyle USD likiditesine ve fonlamaya olan k\u00fcresel taleptir. Genel olarak, USD i\u00e7in uzun vadeli e\u011filimin daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck, ancak kar\u015f\u0131 trend fiyat hareketleriyle birlikte oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Genel olarak azalan parasal ve mali d\u00fcrt\u00fcler<\/b><\/p>\n

Paul Wong, para arz\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ve yeni kredi geni\u015flemesi yava\u015flarken mali te\u015fviklerin azalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Merkez bankalar\u0131 daraltma s\u00fcrecini ba\u015flatt\u0131 ve faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 hemen k\u00f6\u015fede. Geli\u015fmi\u015f piyasa merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n 2022\u2019nin ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen bilan\u00e7olar g\u00f6rmeye ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Daha y\u00fcksek makro risk seviyeleri<\/b><\/p>\n

Likidite kaynaklar\u0131 azald\u0131k\u00e7a makro riske duyarl\u0131l\u0131k artacakt\u0131r. \u015eu anda Paul Wong, risklerin a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ancak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclmesi ve tan\u0131mlanmas\u0131n\u0131n zor oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Tedarik zinciri sorunlar\u0131 ve enflasyon sorunlar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k bir risk olu\u015fturuyor, ancak stratejist, \u201cdi\u011fer \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemeyen risk fakt\u00f6rleri, ba\u015fka bir sorunlu Covid varyant\u0131, jeopolitik, k\u00fcresel bir enerji krizi ve \u00c7in\u2019deki geli\u015fmeler olmaya devam ediyor\u201d yorumunu yap\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u015eahin Fed<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00d6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fc bir daralma s\u00fcrecine i\u015faret eden ilk mesajlara ra\u011fmen, Fed 2021 boyunca giderek daha \u015fahinle\u015fti. Joe Biden y\u00f6netimi enflasyonu b\u00fcy\u00fck bir siyasi sorumluluk olarak g\u00f6recek ve Fed\u2019in \u015fahin hareketlerine daha fazla ilham verecek. Fed s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fsa bile enflasyon h\u0131zlan\u0131rsa, Paul Wong, bir risk olay\u0131 meydana gelirse Fed\u2019in g\u00fcvercin eylemiyle m\u00fcdahale etme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n daha da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Jerome Powell Pivot 2.0\u2019\u0131 beklerken<\/b><\/p>\n

Paul Wong, varl\u0131k al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n (QE) (niceliksel geni\u015fleme) ve QT\u2019nin (niceliksel s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma) kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131 ve risk \u00fczerinde fiyat ke\u015ffine yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131na inand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor ve \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

Fiyata duyars\u0131z devasa bir al\u0131c\u0131 olan Fed, sadece uzakla\u015fmakla kalmay\u0131p sat\u0131\u015f yapmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u2018risk kanallar\u0131n\u0131n\u2019 daha aktif ve verimli hale gelece\u011fini ve riskin daha keskin bir \u015fekilde fiyatlanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hayal etmek zor de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Portf\u00f6y riski<\/b><\/p>\n

2022 hen\u00fcz bir ayl\u0131k olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen Paul Wong, bir faiz \u015fokunun erken a\u015famalar\u0131nda oldu\u011fumuza inan\u0131yor. G\u00fcvenli liman tahsislerinin artmas\u0131 muhtemel g\u00f6ren stratejiste g\u00f6re, k\u00fcl\u00e7e, 2016\u2019ya geri d\u00f6nersek ABD Hazine endeksinden %46,7 daha iyi performans g\u00f6sterdi ve daha iyi bir Sharpe oran\u0131na sahip.<\/p>\n

Reflasyon ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131 g\u00fcvenli liman ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131na geri d\u00f6n\u00fcyor<\/b><\/p>\n

2020\u2019nin sonunda, reflasyon ticareti, koronavir\u00fcs a\u015f\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n yayg\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131yla ate\u015flendi. Bu, Demokratik bir se\u00e7im taramas\u0131yla birle\u015fti\u011finde, y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyde mali te\u015fvik ve kredi geni\u015flemesi sa\u011flad\u0131. Alt\u0131ndan end\u00fcstriyel metallere do\u011fru bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Paul Wong, 2022\u2019de, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman varl\u0131klar\u0131na geri d\u00f6nmesi i\u00e7in ko\u015fullar olarak bu e\u011filimin tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 alt\u0131n al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 geri d\u00f6n\u00fcyor<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00c7in ve Hindistan alt\u0131n ithalat\u0131, alt\u0131n i\u00e7in yat\u0131r\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 talebin b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in merkez bankas\u0131 al\u0131mlar\u0131yla birle\u015fiyor. Covid, t\u00fcketici alt\u0131n talebinin d\u00fc\u015fmesine ve ekonomilerin s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131na neden oldu. Alt\u0131na y\u00f6nelik yat\u0131r\u0131m talebinin artmas\u0131, fiyatlar\u0131 t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Paul Wong, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

Ancak fiyatlar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden ve ekonomiler yeniden a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, t\u00fcketici talebinin toparlanmas\u0131 muhtemel. \u00dclkeler USD\u2019den uzakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a merkez bankas\u0131 al\u0131mlar\u0131 da artacak.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131n ve alt\u0131n hisse senedi pozisyonlar\u0131 ve duyarl\u0131l\u0131k<\/b><\/p>\n

Paul Wong, eski traderlar\u0131n, sat\u0131c\u0131lar t\u00fckendi\u011finde fiyatlar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dair \u00f6zdeyi\u015fine dikkat \u00e7ekiyor:<\/p>\n

Hindistan, \u00c7in, merkez bankalar\u0131 ve GLD olmayan k\u00fcl\u00e7e ETF\u2019ler gibi daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc eller taraf\u0131ndan emilen y\u0131llar i\u00e7inde daha fazla alt\u0131n ticareti kayna\u011f\u0131 ile, mevcut likiditenin muhtemelen arz-talep verilerinin g\u00f6sterece\u011finden daha az oldu\u011funa inan\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131ca stratejist, genellikle uzun bir konsolidasyon d\u00f6neminden sonra ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131nda keskin bir art\u0131\u015f bekliyor.<\/p>\n

A\u015f\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck de\u011ferlenmi\u015f alt\u0131n hisse senetleri<\/b><\/p>\n

K\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131n ve alt\u0131n hisse senetlerinden elde edilen gelir, tarihsel olarak enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flar. \u015eu anda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck de\u011ferlemelerle i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyorlar. Madenciler, inan\u0131lmaz derecede g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bilan\u00e7olar\u0131yla \u00f6zellikle k\u00e2rl\u0131 oldular.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nasdaq\u2019\u0131n haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 en son Sprott Ayl\u0131k Raporu, alt\u0131n ve de\u011ferli metal yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n 2022\u2019de izlemesi gereken ilk 10 geli\u015fmeyi a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131 …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":9750,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,8,7],"tags":[461,546,1003],"class_list":["post-9749","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blockchain","category-defi","category-nft","tag-merkez","tag-risk","tag-usd"],"yoast_head":"\nNasdaq A\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131: \u0130\u015fte Alt\u0131n Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u0130zlemesi Gereken 10 \u015eey! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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