{"id":76984,"date":"2022-12-15T14:10:03","date_gmt":"2022-12-15T11:10:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=76984"},"modified":"2022-12-15T23:31:10","modified_gmt":"2022-12-15T20:31:10","slug":"euro-dolar-paritesi-6-ayin-zirvesini-gordu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/euro-dolar-paritesi-6-ayin-zirvesini-gordu\/","title":{"rendered":"Euro\/dolar paritesi 6 ay\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"

Euro\/dolar paritesinin Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131na verdi\u011fi tepki s\u00fcrpriz olmu\u015f olabilir. Zira euro, a\u00e7\u0131klamadan k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre sonra 1,0696 ile son 6 ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Fed beklendi\u011fi gibi faiz art\u0131r\u0131m h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatm\u0131\u015f olsa da noktasal grafik ve Jerome Powell’in konu\u015fmas\u0131, bu pivotun \u00f6nemini azaltan \u015fahin unsurlar i\u00e7eriyordu.<\/p>\n

Euro\/dolar Fed\u2019in \u015fahin s\u00fcrprizlerine direniyor<\/strong><\/p>\n

FOMC \u00fcyelerinin faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren noktasal grafik tahminleri, %4,6’l\u0131k Eyl\u00fcl projeksiyonlar\u0131na k\u0131yasla 2023 sonuna kadar faiz oranlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin medyan beklentinin art\u0131k %5,1 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc beklenenden daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00e7\u0131kan ABD enflasyonunun ard\u0131ndan piyasa beklentilerinin genel olarak %5’in alt\u0131nda olmas\u0131 nedeniyle sembolik %5 s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6nem arz ediyor.<\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131ca Powell bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi:<\/p>\n

Fed ba\u015fkan\u0131 ayr\u0131ca \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 yapt\u0131:<\/p>\n

Powell ayr\u0131ca olas\u0131 bir faiz indiriminin zamanlamas\u0131 konusuna da de\u011finerek “Enflasyonun %2’ye indi\u011fine dair bir g\u00fcven olu\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece faiz indirimine gitmeyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum.” dedi ve merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n mevcut enflasyon tahminine g\u00f6re 2025’ten \u00f6nce herhangi bir faiz indirimini ihtimal d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ancak bu \u015fahin unsurlar hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131 ve kripto para birimleri gibi di\u011fer riskli varl\u0131klar \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131rken dolar \u00fczerindeki etkisi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131 ve a\u00e7\u0131klamaya kar\u015f\u0131 euro\/dolar paritesinin, 1,07 yak\u0131n\u0131nda 6 ay\u0131n yeni bir zirvesine i\u015faret etmesine olanak tan\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n

Euro\/dolar \u00e7ifti ECB testiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya<\/strong><\/p>\n

Euro\/dolar paritesi, Avrupa seans\u0131 ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) toplant\u0131s\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 temkinlilik nedeniyle hafif bir d\u00fczeltme ya\u015fayarak 1,0650 seviyesine geriledi. ECB’nin de faiz art\u0131r\u0131m h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Ancak, ING\u2019nin ge\u00e7en hafta yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir notta belirtti\u011fi gibi faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatma karar\u0131n\u0131n, Fed’in durumunda oldu\u011fu kadar kesin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Banka, \u00f6zellikle ECB Y\u00f6netim Kurulu \u00dcyesi Isabel Schnabel’in “\u015eu ana kadar gelen veriler, \u2018n\u00f6tr\u2019 faiz oran\u0131 tahminlerine yakla\u015f\u0131yor olsak bile, faiz oran\u0131 ayarlamalar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatmak i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 alan oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.” \u015feklindeki son yorumlar\u0131na i\u015faret etti. ING bu nedenle “75 baz puanl\u0131k bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n h\u00e2l\u00e2 ihtimal dahilinde oldu\u011fu” sonucuna var\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu senaryoda d\u00f6viz \u00e7iftinin 1,0750’ye y\u00fckselmesini bekleyen bankaya g\u00f6re b\u00f6yle bir hareket \u015f\u00fcphesiz euro\/dolar \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f etkisi yaratacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131ca, beklendi\u011fi gibi %0,5’lik bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 durumunda bile ECB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Christine Lagarde’nin konu\u015fmas\u0131 \u015fahin detaylar i\u00e7erebilir \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc ING’ye g\u00f6re “ECB, a\u00e7\u0131klanan mali te\u015fvik ve destek \u00f6nlemlerinin enflasyonist bask\u0131y\u0131 uzatabilece\u011finden giderek daha fazla endi\u015fe duyuyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.\u201d<\/p>\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc euro\/dolar kurunun canl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde hareket etmeye devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6rebiliriz ve g\u00fcn\u00fcn genel \u00e7ehresi temkinlilik olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Euro\/dolar paritesi 6 ay\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":76985,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[413],"class_list":["post-76984","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-genel","tag-fed"],"yoast_head":"\nEuro\/dolar paritesi 6 ay\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/euro-dolar-paritesi-6-ayin-zirvesini-gordu\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Euro\/dolar paritesi 6 ay\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Euro\/dolar paritesi 6 ay\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/euro-dolar-paritesi-6-ayin-zirvesini-gordu\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin M\u00fchendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/coinmuhendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-12-15T11:10:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-12-15T20:31:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/eurodolar-paritesi-6-ayin-zirvesini-gordu-LSDDRdYT.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"533\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/euro-dolar-paritesi-6-ayin-zirvesini-gordu\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/euro-dolar-paritesi-6-ayin-zirvesini-gordu\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/92661db359d245dcf90385075aee07ed\"},\"headline\":\"Euro\\\/dolar paritesi 6 ay\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-12-15T11:10:03+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-12-15T20:31:10+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/euro-dolar-paritesi-6-ayin-zirvesini-gordu\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":532,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/euro-dolar-paritesi-6-ayin-zirvesini-gordu\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/12\\\/eurodolar-paritesi-6-ayin-zirvesini-gordu-LSDDRdYT.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Fed\"],\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/euro-dolar-paritesi-6-ayin-zirvesini-gordu\\\/#respond\"]}],\"copyrightYear\":\"2022\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/euro-dolar-paritesi-6-ayin-zirvesini-gordu\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/euro-dolar-paritesi-6-ayin-zirvesini-gordu\\\/\",\"name\":\"Euro\\\/dolar paritesi 6 ay\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc - 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