{"id":75160,"date":"2022-12-06T15:20:02","date_gmt":"2022-12-06T12:20:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=75160"},"modified":"2022-12-06T16:40:29","modified_gmt":"2022-12-06T13:40:29","slug":"euro-dolar-kurunu-aralik-ayinda-duzeltme-bekliyor-olabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/euro-dolar-kurunu-aralik-ayinda-duzeltme-bekliyor-olabilir\/","title":{"rendered":"Euro\/dolar kurunu Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda d\u00fczeltme bekliyor olabilir"},"content":{"rendered":"

Euro\/dolar d\u00fcn yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenerek g\u00fcn ortas\u0131nda 1,0595 seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131 ancak Sal\u0131 sabah\u0131 1,0477 seviyesine kadar bir d\u00fczeltme ya\u015fad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u00c7in ekonomisinin yeniden a\u00e7\u0131laca\u011f\u0131na dair umutlar\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 olumlu hava ve Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 temposunun yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisinden dolay\u0131 dolar\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131, d\u00fcn euro\/dolar paritesini destekledi. Akabinde d\u00f6viz \u00e7ifti 1,06 seviyesine yakla\u015f\u0131rken k\u00e2r realizasyonu y\u00fckseli\u015fi durdurdu.<\/p>\n

ABD verileri, euro\/dolar pahas\u0131na dolar\u0131 destekliyor<\/strong><\/p>\n

G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verilerinin a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 dolar\u0131 destekledi ve hizmet PMI, end\u00fcstriyel sipari\u015fler ve ISM hizmet PMI endekslerinin beklentilerin \u00fczerinde gelmesiyle, euro\/dolar paritesinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu a\u00e7\u0131klamalardan k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre sonra Wall Street Journal’da Fed uzman\u0131 olarak \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ve \u015fu anda merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n niyetleri konusunda en isabetli analist olarak kabul edilen Nick Timiraos’un bir makalesi de dolar bo\u011falar\u0131na arg\u00fcman yaratt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Timiraos, ge\u00e7en haftaki NFP raporunda (tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam) yer alan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na at\u0131fta bulunarak \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n, Fed’in faizleri beklenmedik seviyelere \u00e7\u0131karmaya devam etmesine yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fini yazd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Timiraos ayr\u0131ca 13 Aral\u0131k’taki ABD T\u00dcFE verisinin \u00f6nemli bir unsur oldu\u011funu ve rakamlar\u0131n beklenenden iyi \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 halinde \u015eubat ay\u0131nda 50 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015fa daha yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fini, zira piyasan\u0131n \u015eubat FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in baz senaryosunun, \u015fimdilik 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n

Bankalar, euro\/dolar \u00e7iftinin y\u00fckselmeye devam edece\u011finden \u015f\u00fcpheli<\/strong><\/p>\n

D\u00fcnden bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen d\u00fczeltme kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda euro\/dolar i\u00e7in \u015fimdi sorulmas\u0131 gereken soru, bunun basit bir soluklanma m\u0131 oldu\u011fu yoksa Aral\u0131k ay\u0131n\u0131n kalan\u0131 i\u00e7in daha yayg\u0131n bir d\u00fczeltmeden mi korkulmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi.<\/p>\n

Euro\/dolar, tek para biriminin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131ndan bu yana 23 Aral\u0131k ay\u0131n\u0131n 15’inde pozitif bir ayl\u0131k denge (ortalama +%1,5) yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, mevsimsellik yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte \u00e7ift, Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda %5’ten fazla y\u00fckselerek 2010’dan bu yana en iyi ay\u0131na imza atarken ani y\u00fckseli\u015f potansiyelinin \u00e7oktan t\u00fckenmi\u015f olmas\u0131 ve bir d\u00fczeltmenin yakla\u015fmas\u0131 risk olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n

Bloomberg’in aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re MUFG analisti Derek Halpenny, “Mevsimsel euro e\u011filimi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ancak Ekim ve \u00f6zellikle Kas\u0131m ay\u0131ndaki ralli, hareketin normalden daha erken ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelebilir.” dedi.<\/p>\n

Halpenny, euro\/dolar paritesinin 2023’\u00fcn ba\u015flar\u0131nda tekrar e\u015fitlenmesini bekliyor ve “ABD dolar\u0131nda istikrarl\u0131 bir sat\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in gerekli temeller hen\u00fcz tam olarak olu\u015fmu\u015f de\u011fil.” diyor.<\/p>\n

ING Bank ise artan enerji fiyatlar\u0131yla ilgili sorunlar\u0131n yeniden \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fi ve bunun da euro \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarataca\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n

ING, “Euro\/dolar ikilisinin, Euro B\u00f6lgesi’nin d\u0131\u015f ticaret hadlerine olan y\u00fcksek hissiyat\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda (ki bunun ba\u015fl\u0131ca nedeni enerji fiyatlar\u0131d\u0131r), enerji emtialar\u0131 i\u00e7in art\u0131\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskler, euro i\u00e7in d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklere e\u015fit.” diye yazd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Son olarak t\u00fcm bankalar\u0131n ayn\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fte olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmek gerek; Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale d\u00fcn, “Y\u0131l sonu k\u0131sa pozisyon kapatma ve 2023’e ili\u015fkin iyimser piyasa e\u011filimi euro’ya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.” diye yazd\u0131 ve y\u0131l sonuna kadar 1,10 hedefiyle euro\/dolar paritesinde al\u0131m yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye etti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Euro\/dolar kurunu Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda d\u00fczeltme bekliyor olabilir<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":75161,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-75160","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-genel"],"yoast_head":"\nEuro\/dolar kurunu Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda d\u00fczeltme bekliyor olabilir - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/euro-dolar-kurunu-aralik-ayinda-duzeltme-bekliyor-olabilir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Euro\/dolar kurunu Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda d\u00fczeltme bekliyor olabilir\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Euro\/dolar kurunu Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda d\u00fczeltme bekliyor olabilir\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/euro-dolar-kurunu-aralik-ayinda-duzeltme-bekliyor-olabilir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin M\u00fchendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/coinmuhendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-12-06T12:20:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-12-06T13:40:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/eurodolar-kurunu-aralik-ayinda-duzeltme-bekliyor-olabilir-Q2mG6LAU.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"600\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"400\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/euro-dolar-kurunu-aralik-ayinda-duzeltme-bekliyor-olabilir\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/euro-dolar-kurunu-aralik-ayinda-duzeltme-bekliyor-olabilir\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/92661db359d245dcf90385075aee07ed\"},\"headline\":\"Euro\\\/dolar kurunu Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda d\u00fczeltme bekliyor olabilir\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-12-06T12:20:02+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-12-06T13:40:29+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/euro-dolar-kurunu-aralik-ayinda-duzeltme-bekliyor-olabilir\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":594,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/euro-dolar-kurunu-aralik-ayinda-duzeltme-bekliyor-olabilir\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/12\\\/eurodolar-kurunu-aralik-ayinda-duzeltme-bekliyor-olabilir-Q2mG6LAU.jpg\",\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/euro-dolar-kurunu-aralik-ayinda-duzeltme-bekliyor-olabilir\\\/#respond\"]}],\"copyrightYear\":\"2022\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/euro-dolar-kurunu-aralik-ayinda-duzeltme-bekliyor-olabilir\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/euro-dolar-kurunu-aralik-ayinda-duzeltme-bekliyor-olabilir\\\/\",\"name\":\"Euro\\\/dolar kurunu Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda d\u00fczeltme bekliyor olabilir - 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