{"id":74804,"date":"2022-12-04T17:40:07","date_gmt":"2022-12-04T14:40:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=74804"},"modified":"2022-12-05T00:48:39","modified_gmt":"2022-12-04T21:48:39","slug":"bu-hafta-takip-edilecek-5-onemli-gelisme-18","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bu-hafta-takip-edilecek-5-onemli-gelisme-18\/","title":{"rendered":"Bu Hafta Takip Edilecek 5 \u00d6nemli Geli\u015fme"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta, ekonomik veriler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan sakin olacak ve Fed politikac\u0131lar\u0131, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n son politika toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde geleneksel sessizlik d\u00f6nemine girdi. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar; on y\u0131llar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesinde olan enflasyonla m\u00fccadele etmek ad\u0131na faizleri art arda d\u00f6rt kez art\u0131ran merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n, ne kadar \u015fahin olabilece\u011fine dair ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 i\u00e7in ABD\u2019nin Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00fcretici fiyat enflasyonu verilerine bakacak. OPEC+ bakanlar\u0131 \u00fcretim hedeflerine karar verirken Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA) ve Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoC) da faiz kararlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayacak.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015fte yeni haftaya ba\u015flarken bilmeniz gerekenler:<\/p>\n

1. ABD verileri<\/strong><\/p>\n

ABD’de Kas\u0131m ay\u0131 \u00dcFE verileri Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak olup ana oran\u0131n, bir \u00f6nceki ay ya\u015fanan %8’lik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan biraz yava\u015flayarak y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %7,2 artmas\u0131 bekleniyor. G\u0131da ve enerji maliyetlerini hari\u00e7 tutan \u00e7ekirdek \u00dcFE\u2019de de yava\u015flama bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell’\u0131n ge\u00e7en hafta faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatman\u0131n zaman\u0131n\u0131n gelmi\u015f olabilece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemesi, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn sonuna yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair umutlar\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131 ancak Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan istihdam raporunun, i\u015fe al\u0131mlar\u0131n ge\u00e7en ay da g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funu ve ortalama saatlik kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermesi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc buland\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

ABD, Fed’in 13-14 Aral\u0131k’taki toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde T\u00dcFE verilerini a\u00e7\u0131klayacak.<\/p>\n

\u00dcFE rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra bu haftan\u0131n ekonomi takviminde, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131mlanacak olan ISM hizmetler PMI ve Michigan \u00dcniversitesinin t\u00fcketici hissiyat endeksi ile Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc ilk i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

2. OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

OPEC+, G7 \u00fclkelerinin Rus petrol\u00fc i\u00e7in bir tavan fiyat kabul etmesinin ard\u0131ndan \u00fcretim hedeflerini g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmek \u00fczere Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc bir araya geldi.<\/p>\n

Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Vladimir Putin’i gelirden mahrum b\u0131rak\u0131rken Rus petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn k\u00fcresel piyasalardaki ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 da s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek amac\u0131yla Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc G7 \u00fclkeleri ve Avustralya, Rusya’n\u0131n deniz yoluyla ta\u015f\u0131nan ham petrol\u00fcne, varil ba\u015f\u0131na 60 dolarl\u0131k bir tavan fiyat getirilmesinde anla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Moskova, petrol\u00fcn\u00fc bu s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n alt\u0131nda satmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve verece\u011fi kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Ekim ay\u0131nda OPEC+, Kas\u0131m ay\u0131ndan 2023 sonuna kadar \u00fcretimi g\u00fcnde 2 milyon varil azaltmay\u0131 kabul etti\u011finde ABD ve di\u011fer Bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00fclkeleri k\u0131zd\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Washington, grubu ve liderlerinden biri olan Suudi Arabistan’\u0131, Moskova’n\u0131n Ukrayna’daki sava\u015f\u0131na ra\u011fmen Rusya’n\u0131n yan\u0131nda yer almakla su\u00e7lad\u0131.<\/p>\n

OPEC+ ise daha zay\u0131f bir ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm nedeniyle kesintiye gitti\u011fini savundu. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131; \u00c7in’in COVID-19 karantinalar\u0131, daha yava\u015f k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve daha y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131 nedeniyle Ekim ay\u0131ndan beri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f halinde.<\/p>\n

3. Borsa<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta S&P 500, Nasdaq ve Dow Jones Industrial Average \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci haftay\u0131 da kazan\u00e7la kapat\u0131rken Nasdaq %2’lik art\u0131\u015fla ba\u015f\u0131 \u00e7ekti. S&P haftal\u0131k bazda %1 ve Dow %0,2 y\u00fckseldi. Kas\u0131m ay\u0131na ait istihdam raporunun g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelmesi, Fed’in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatma yetisine ili\u015fkin \u015f\u00fcpheleri art\u0131r\u0131nca piyasalar, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc dip seviyelerden geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, enflasyonun daha h\u0131zl\u0131 yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n habercisi olarak i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda, \u00f6zellikle de \u00fccretlerde zay\u0131flama i\u015faretleri ar\u0131yordu. B\u00f6yle bir i\u015faret, Fed’in mevcut faiz art\u0131r\u0131m d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc yava\u015flatmas\u0131n\u0131 ve nihayetinde durdurmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n

Hisse senetleri, Powell’\u0131n, faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n Aral\u0131k ay\u0131 gibi erken bir tarihte azalt\u0131labilece\u011fine dair yorumlar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda ralli yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte Chicago Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Charles Evans, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada Fed’in, fon oranlar\u0131nda muhtemelen daha y\u00fcksek bir zirveye ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde yorumlar yaparken yine de son 75 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015flara g\u00f6re daha yava\u015f bir tempodan bahsetti.<\/p>\n

4. Merkez bankas\u0131 kararlar\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

Piyasalar, enflasyonun Ekim ay\u0131nda ciddi \u015fekilde yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lacak toplant\u0131da RBA\u2019n\u0131n, nakit faizini %2,85’te tutmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor ancak ekonomistler; politikac\u0131lar mevcut faiz art\u0131r\u0131m d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne ara vermeden \u00f6nce \u00e7eyrek baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f daha \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bu durum, son zamanlarda RBA’dan \u00e7ok \u00c7in’in yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lma umutlar\u0131 ve gerileyen dolar\u0131n etkisiyle hareket eden Avustralya dolar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fe engel olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Bu arada piyasalar ve ekonomistler \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc BoC toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizlerin, 25 mi yoksa 50 baz puan m\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 konusunda ikiye b\u00f6l\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

BoC, Mart ay\u0131ndan itibaren faizleri 350 baz puan art\u0131rarak \u015fimdiye kadarki en sert s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma d\u00f6ng\u00fclerinden birini ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi.<\/p>\n

5. Euro B\u00f6lgesi<\/strong><\/p>\n

Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Christine Lagarde, ECB\u2019nin 15 Aral\u0131k’ta yapaca\u011f\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n son politika toplant\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in sessizlik d\u00f6nemi ba\u015flamadan bu hafta iki kez boy g\u00f6sterecek.<\/p>\n

Piyasalar; ge\u00e7en hafta Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ndeki enflasyonun Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda beklenenden \u00e7ok daha fazla geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6steren verilerin ard\u0131ndan ECB’nin 50 baz puanl\u0131k bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmeye ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Enflasyonun %2’lik hedefin olduk\u00e7a \u00fczerinde seyretmesi nedeniyle ECB, bu y\u0131l faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 rekor bir h\u0131zla art\u0131rd\u0131 ve \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda bir dizi faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yap\u0131lmas\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 ihtimal dahilinde.<\/p>\n

Ancak son zamanlarda baz\u0131 politikac\u0131lar, enflasyonun nihayet zirve yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunarak arka arkaya 75 baz puanl\u0131k hamlelerin ard\u0131ndan art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme y\u00f6n\u00fcnde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f bildirdi.<\/p>\n

–Bu haberde Reuters\u2019in katk\u0131s\u0131 bulunmaktad\u0131r.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bu Hafta Takip Edilecek 5 \u00d6nemli Geli\u015fme<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":74805,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[413],"class_list":["post-74804","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-genel","tag-fed"],"yoast_head":"\nBu Hafta Takip Edilecek 5 \u00d6nemli Geli\u015fme - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bu-hafta-takip-edilecek-5-onemli-gelisme-18\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bu Hafta Takip Edilecek 5 \u00d6nemli Geli\u015fme\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bu Hafta Takip Edilecek 5 \u00d6nemli Geli\u015fme\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bu-hafta-takip-edilecek-5-onemli-gelisme-18\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin M\u00fchendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/coinmuhendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-12-04T14:40:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-12-04T21:48:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/bu-hafta-takip-edilecek-5-onemli-gelisme-8LWsEpzj.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"534\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/bu-hafta-takip-edilecek-5-onemli-gelisme-18\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/bu-hafta-takip-edilecek-5-onemli-gelisme-18\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/92661db359d245dcf90385075aee07ed\"},\"headline\":\"Bu Hafta Takip Edilecek 5 \u00d6nemli Geli\u015fme\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-12-04T14:40:07+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-12-04T21:48:39+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/bu-hafta-takip-edilecek-5-onemli-gelisme-18\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1014,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/bu-hafta-takip-edilecek-5-onemli-gelisme-18\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/12\\\/bu-hafta-takip-edilecek-5-onemli-gelisme-8LWsEpzj.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Fed\"],\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/bu-hafta-takip-edilecek-5-onemli-gelisme-18\\\/#respond\"]}],\"copyrightYear\":\"2022\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/bu-hafta-takip-edilecek-5-onemli-gelisme-18\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/bu-hafta-takip-edilecek-5-onemli-gelisme-18\\\/\",\"name\":\"Bu Hafta Takip Edilecek 5 \u00d6nemli Geli\u015fme - 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