{"id":74213,"date":"2022-12-01T15:50:02","date_gmt":"2022-12-01T12:50:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=74213"},"modified":"2022-12-02T00:48:15","modified_gmt":"2022-12-01T21:48:15","slug":"euro-dolar-powellin-soylemleri-uzerine-yukselse-de-gozler-temel-gostergelerde","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/euro-dolar-powellin-soylemleri-uzerine-yukselse-de-gozler-temel-gostergelerde\/","title":{"rendered":"Euro\/dolar, Powell\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6ylemleri \u00fczerine y\u00fckselse de g\u00f6zler temel g\u00f6stergelerde"},"content":{"rendered":"

D\u00fcn euro\/dolar i\u00e7in yo\u011fun bir g\u00fcn oldu. \u0130kili, sabah saatlerinde Avrupa’dan gelen zay\u0131f enflasyon rakamlar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi, ard\u0131ndan \u00f6\u011fleden sonra bir d\u00fczeltme ya\u015fad\u0131 ve nihayet Powell’\u0131n, Fed’in de\u011fi\u015fim ihtimalini teyit eden konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n da yard\u0131m\u0131yla gece boyunca g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir art\u0131\u015f hareketi kaydetti.<\/p>\n

Ger\u00e7ekten de euro\/dolar, 1,0292’ye inmek \u00fczere 1,03 psikolojik e\u015fi\u011fini test ederken bug\u00fcn de devam eden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir toparlanma kaydederek 1,0455 seviyesine yerle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Powell’\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131 euro\/dolar paritesini destekledi<\/strong><\/b><\/p>\n

Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada faiz art\u0131r\u0131m h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n bundan sonra yava\u015flamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Powell, “Faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 azaltman\u0131n vakti, Aral\u0131k toplant\u0131s\u0131 kadar \u00e7abuk gelebilir.” dedi. Fed para politikas\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in yeterli olacak k\u0131s\u0131tlama seviyesine yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da s\u00f6zlerine ekledi.<\/p>\n

Fed ba\u015fkan\u0131 ayr\u0131ca piyasan\u0131n faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na ara verilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki beklentilerini de suya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek maksimum faiz seviyesinin ya da nihai faiz oran\u0131n\u0131n, “Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131ndaki ekonomik projeksiyonlar\u0131n \u00f6zetinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclenden biraz daha y\u00fcksek” olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi ancak bu, dolar\u0131 kurtarmad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Nitekim 14 Aral\u0131k’taki FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131nda Fed’in 50 baz puanl\u0131k daha ufak bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na gidece\u011fine dair beklentiler, Powell’\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan daha da g\u00fc\u00e7lendi ve Fed Faiz Monit\u00f6r\u00fc \u015fu anda bu senaryoya %80’in \u00fczerinde bir ihtimal veriyor.<\/p>\n

Makro perspektiften bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda<\/strong> Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc de d\u00f6viz \u00e7ifti i\u00e7in yo\u011fun bir g\u00fcn olacak<\/strong><\/b><\/p>\n

Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc; euro\/dolar yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n Kas\u0131m ay\u0131na ait yeni PMI verileriyle ba\u015flayarak izleyecekleri baz\u0131 \u00f6nemli ekonomik g\u00f6stergeler olacak.<\/p>\n

ABD’de program, hanehalk\u0131 gelir ve harcamalar\u0131 ve \u00f6zellikle de Fed’in enflasyon \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm\u00fc olarak tercih etti\u011fi hanehalk\u0131 harcamalar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 PCE fiyat endeksi (ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131) ile daha yo\u011fun olacak. Ard\u0131ndan ABD\u2019nin Kas\u0131m ay\u0131 ISM imalat PMI verileri gelecek.<\/p>\n

Ekim ay\u0131na k\u0131yasla %3,7’de stabil kalan i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 sonras\u0131nda NFP raporu ilgi \u00e7ekecek. ABD\u2019nin Kas\u0131m ay\u0131 tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam\u0131nda (NFP) bir \u00f6nceki ay g\u00f6r\u00fclen 261.000\u2019e g\u00f6re Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 200.000 yeni i\u015f olana\u011f\u0131 olu\u015fmu\u015f olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Euro\/dolar 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama seviyesini bir kez daha test etti<\/strong><\/b><\/p>\n

Son olarak grafik a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bakarsak euro\/dolar paritesinde d\u00fcn ak\u015famdan bu yana ya\u015fanan y\u00fckseli\u015fin, euro’nun 15 Kas\u0131m’daki ilk testten bu yana \u00fczerinde tutunmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir g\u00f6sterge olan 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 bir kez daha test etmesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Y\u00fckseli\u015fin devam etmesi halinde Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fcn zirvesi olan 1,0497 ve psikolojik e\u015fik olan 1,05 seviyeleri, dikkate al\u0131nmas\u0131 gereken ilk engeller olacakt\u0131r. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde ise 1,04 psikolojik e\u015fi\u011fi ve \u015fu anda 1,0369 seviyesinde bulunan 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama, bir d\u00fczeltme durumunda ilk potansiyel destekler olacak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Euro\/dolar, Powell\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6ylemleri \u00fczerine y\u00fckselse de g\u00f6zler temel g\u00f6stergelerde<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":74214,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[413,1429],"class_list":["post-74213","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-genel","tag-fed","tag-olacak"],"yoast_head":"\nEuro\/dolar, Powell\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6ylemleri \u00fczerine y\u00fckselse de g\u00f6zler temel g\u00f6stergelerde - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/euro-dolar-powellin-soylemleri-uzerine-yukselse-de-gozler-temel-gostergelerde\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" 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