{"id":60256,"date":"2022-09-25T18:00:04","date_gmt":"2022-09-25T15:00:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=60256"},"modified":"2022-09-25T19:22:49","modified_gmt":"2022-09-25T16:22:49","slug":"kiymetli-madenler-enerji-haftalik-degerlendirme-ve-gelecek-takvimi-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/kiymetli-madenler-enerji-haftalik-degerlendirme-ve-gelecek-takvimi-3\/","title":{"rendered":"K\u0131ymetli Madenler & Enerji \u2013 Haftal\u0131k De\u011ferlendirme ve Gelecek Takvimi"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Petrol ay\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n Abd\u00fclaziz bin Selman (AbS) ile aras\u0131nda \u201ca\u015fk-nefret ili\u015fkisi\u201d var. Onlar Suudi Enerji Bakan\u0131’na sata\u015fmay\u0131, o da onlardan nefret etmeyi seviyor.<\/p>\n

Ham petroldeki a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa sat\u0131\u015f\u00e7\u0131lar, elbette yapt\u0131klar\u0131 i\u015fi ki\u015fiselle\u015ftirmiyor; onlar i\u00e7in bu sadece i\u015f \u2013 Corleone’ler gibi. Ancak AbS i\u00e7in durum farkl\u0131. MbS’nin (Muhammed bin Salman) \u00fcvey karde\u015fi, ticarette k\u0131sa tarafla olan sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7selle\u015ftirdi ve kendisine ve sevgili OPEC+ ittifak\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 gelenleri ezmeye yemin etti. Yeni sona eren hafta, d\u00fcnyaya iki taraf aras\u0131nda yeni bir meydan muharebesinin sinyallerini vermi\u015f olabilir.<\/p>\n

ABD ham petrol\u00fc Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Ocak ay\u0131ndan bu yana ilk kez 80 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na inerek son yedi haftan\u0131n en k\u00f6t\u00fc haftal\u0131k kayb\u0131n\u0131 ya\u015farken \u201csiyah alt\u0131n\u201dda d\u00f6rt ayd\u0131r devam eden sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n yak\u0131nda sona erece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesinin sadece bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce oldu\u011fu ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Haziran ay\u0131nda bozgun ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda New York’ta i\u015flem g\u00f6ren WTI 100 dolar\u0131n olduk\u00e7a \u00fczerindeydi.<\/p>\n

Suudiler ve OPEC, petrollerine y\u00f6nelik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc talep \u00f6ng\u00f6rerek ve iki y\u0131l \u00f6nce COVID-19 pandemisinin zirvesinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck ihracatta neredeyse 10 milyon varil kesintiye gittiklerinde yapt\u0131klar\u0131 gibi piyasadan petrol \u00e7ekme ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 neredeyse hi\u00e7 g\u00f6rmeyerek meydan okumaya devam etti. OPEC+ i\u00e7inde son alt\u0131 y\u0131ld\u0131r a\u011fabeyleri olan Rusya’n\u0131n da onay\u0131yla Suudiler, g\u00fcnl\u00fck 100.000 varillik bir kesinti a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Sonu\u00e7, A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda WTI i\u00e7in %9’luk daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir kay\u0131p oldu.<\/p>\n

Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda ya\u015fanan %11 \u00fczerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, Suudi Enerji Bakan\u0131 ve onun Orta Do\u011fu’daki petrol \u00fcreticisi karde\u015fleri i\u00e7in barda\u011f\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131ran son damla olabilir. Zira piyasan\u0131n uzun taraf\u0131 OPEC+’y\u0131 5 Ekim’deki toplant\u0131s\u0131nda “bir \u015feyler” yapmaya te\u015fvik ediyor.<\/p>\n

Bu “bir \u015fey”, son altm\u0131\u015f y\u0131ld\u0131r orijinal OPEC\u2019in i\u015fleyi\u015fini takip edenler i\u00e7in elbette bir s\u0131r de\u011fil: WTI’n\u0131n 16 kez y\u00fckseldi\u011fi, piyasa geri d\u00f6nmeden \u00f6nceki 19 ayda g\u00f6r\u00fclen t\u00fcrden fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 geri getirmeyi umarak \u00fcretimi pandemi tarz\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde kesmek.<\/p>\n

Daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fmeden, WTI\u2019n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 130 ve Brent\u2019in neredeyse 140 dolara ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015eubat ay\u0131nda Rusya’n\u0131n Ukrayna’y\u0131 i\u015fgal etmesinden bu yana petrol zaten neredeyse %40 de\u011fer kaybetti.<\/p>\n

Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Nijerya Petrol Bakan\u0131 Timipre Marlin Sylva, ittifak ad\u0131na konu\u015farak “OPEC+ hala arz ve talep temellerinin y\u00fckselen fiyatlar\u0131 desteklemeye devam etti\u011fine inan\u0131yor ancak ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fmeye devam ediyor.” dedi.<\/p>\n

“Bunu d\u00fczeltmek i\u00e7in tam olarak ne yapabilece\u011fimizi bilmiyoruz ancak elimizdeki tek ara\u00e7, fiyatlar \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015ferse \u00fcretimi azaltmak.\u201d<\/p>\n

Petrol ay\u0131lar\u0131 elbette bunu duydu. Nijerya petrol bakan\u0131n\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131ndan dakikalar sonra WTI ve Brent anl\u0131k olarak y\u00fckseldi ve ard\u0131ndan bu ivmeyi bile kaybetti.<\/p>\n

Daha \u00f6nce de belirtildi\u011fi gibi petrol\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa satmak art\u0131k ay\u0131lar i\u00e7in tam anlam\u0131yla bir i\u015f; bunun yap\u0131lacak en do\u011fru \u015fey oldu\u011funa ikna olmu\u015f durumdalar.<\/p>\n

Avrupa sat\u0131n alma m\u00fcd\u00fcrleri endekslerinin zay\u0131f olmas\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Fed’den \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131na kadar faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndan kaynaklanan b\u00fcy\u00fcme endi\u015felerinin ard\u0131ndan bu inanc\u0131, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 20 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesindeki dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda iki y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6ren k\u00fcresel hisse senetleri k\u00f6r\u00fckledi.<\/p>\n

Kuzey Carolina, Durham’daki ICAP enerji vadeli i\u015flem brokeri Scott Shelton, resesyon korkular\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcm piyasalarda hakim oldu\u011funu belirterek “Piyasa a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ekonomik yava\u015flamay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.” dedi. “Fiziksel [petrol] kalitelerinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ya da zay\u0131f olmas\u0131 \u015fu an \u00f6nemli de\u011fil.”<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte uzun vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen analistler, Rusya’n\u0131n Ukrayna’da sava\u015f\u0131 t\u0131rmand\u0131rma riskinin ve \u00c7in’in COVID-19 karantinalar\u0131ndan kurtulmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda petrol i\u00e7in bol miktarda y\u00fckseli\u015f anlam\u0131na gelebilece\u011fi konusunda uyard\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131ca onlara g\u00f6re ay\u0131lar\u0131n tamamen k\u00f6r oldu\u011fu bir \u015feye daha i\u015faret ediyorlar: Biden y\u00f6netimi taraf\u0131ndan ABD Stratejik Petrol Rezervi’nden (SPR) her g\u00fcn 1 milyon varil ham petrol\u00fcn kullan\u0131lmas\u0131. Ekim ay\u0131nda sona erecek olan toplam 180 milyon varillik kullan\u0131m, ABD ham petrol piyasas\u0131n\u0131 pratikte doldurdu ve k\u00fcresel petrol piyasas\u0131nda, yapt\u0131r\u0131m uygulanan Rusya’n\u0131n arz\u0131ndaki eksikliklerden kaynaklanan a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 da hafifletti. SPR \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 alt\u0131 hafta i\u00e7inde sona erdi\u011finde bir\u00e7ok bo\u011fa, petrol\u00fcn y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ece\u011fine inan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Eski petrol yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Jim Ritterbusch taraf\u0131ndan kurulan Chicago merkezli petrol dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k \u015firketi \u201cRitterbusch and Associates\u201d analistleri, ABD faiz oranlar\u0131nda ve dolarda devam eden y\u00fckseli\u015fin petrol\u00fcn kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayaca\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Burada bo\u011falar ve ay\u0131lar dala\u015f\u0131yor ve AbS\u2019ye, belirleyici olmak i\u00e7in tepede u\u00e7an \u015fahin olmak cazip gelebilir.<\/p>\n

Daha \u00f6nce de belirtti\u011fimiz gibi Suudi enerji bakan\u0131n\u0131n petrolde a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa sat\u0131\u015f yapanlara kar\u015f\u0131 nefreti \u00e7ok iyi biliniyor.<\/p>\n

Eyl\u00fcl 2020’deki \u00fcnl\u00fc bir konu\u015fmas\u0131nda AbS: “Bu piyasada kumar oynayanlar\u0131n cehennem azab\u0131 \u00e7ekti\u011finden emin olaca\u011f\u0131m.” dedi. Ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131, a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa sat\u0131\u015f yapanlar i\u00e7in m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funca “\u00fcrk\u00fct\u00fcc\u00fc” hale getirme s\u00f6z\u00fc verdi. \u0130yi bir \u00f6nlem olarak; ba\u015f\u0131na buyruk bir polis olan Dirty Harry’nin (Kirli Harry) 70’ler ve 80’lerde ayn\u0131 adl\u0131 filmlerindeki k\u00f6t\u00fc adamlara kar\u015f\u0131 kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 alayc\u0131 bir s\u00f6z ile petrolde a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa sat\u0131\u015f yapanlara “g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc \u015fenlendirin” \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n

Belli ki ba\u015fka hi\u00e7bir Suudi enerji bakan\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131larla bu kadar hareketli ve yo\u011fun bir d\u00fczeyde etkile\u015fime girmemi\u015fti ve muhtemelen petrol ay\u0131lar\u0131, s\u0131f\u0131rdan (Nisan 2020’de WTI\u2019n\u0131n seviyesi) alt\u0131 ay \u00f6nce neredeyse 130 dolara \u00e7\u0131kan fiyatlardan ger\u00e7ekten “azap \u00e7ekti\u011fi”nde oyun AbS i\u00e7in daha da keyifli hale geldi.<\/p>\n

Bir zamanlar \u00fcretimi k\u0131smak i\u00e7in her \u015fey Suudilerin lehineyken bu kez i\u015fler daha karma\u015f\u0131k olabilir. Ve bu karma\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde Suudilerin son alt\u0131 y\u0131ld\u0131r g\u00fcvendi\u011fi OPEC+ i\u00e7indeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7le ilgili: Rusya.<\/p>\n

T\u0131pk\u0131 OPEC+’n\u0131n fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne verdi\u011fi bilinen tek tepkinin \u00fcretimi k\u0131smak olmas\u0131 gibi Rusya’n\u0131n da kendi yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapt\u0131r\u0131m krizinin ac\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 hafifletmek i\u00e7in bildi\u011fi tek yol, kendisinden al\u0131m yapmak isteyen m\u00fc\u015fterilere petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck indirimler yapmakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Rusya’daki bu krize bir de, Kremlin’in Ukrayna’ya kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc sava\u015f\u0131 finanse etme yetisini s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rmak amac\u0131yla G7\u2019nin, Rusya’n\u0131n satt\u0131\u011f\u0131 petrol\u00fcn fiyat\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131racak bir mekanizmay\u0131 Aral\u0131k ba\u015f\u0131na kadar devreye sokmak i\u00e7in kaydetti\u011fi istikrarl\u0131 ilerleme de eklendi.<\/p>\n

Moskova, karar\u0131 uygulayan \u00fclkelere kar\u015f\u0131 misilleme yemini ederken kaybetti\u011fi geliri telafi etmek i\u00e7in m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olan her yerde petrol\u00fcn\u00fc satarken di\u011fer OPEC+ \u00fcreticilerinin fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131rmas\u0131 da muhtemel. Rusya’n\u0131n fiziki piyasada petrol\u00fc agresif bir \u015fekilde iskonto etmesi, Suudi ham petrol\u00fc de dahil olmak \u00fczere rakip OPEC+ petrollerinin fiyatland\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 etkilemenin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra nihayetinde vadeli i\u015flemler piyasas\u0131 i\u00e7in de \u00f6nemli olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

OPEC+ i\u00e7indeki bir di\u011fer a\u00e7\u0131k s\u0131r ise kesintilerin nas\u0131l payla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve piyasay\u0131 desteklemede aslan pay\u0131n\u0131 \u2013 genellikle \u2013 kimin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Tarih, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz alt\u0131 y\u0131l boyunca en fazla kesintiyi neredeyse her zaman Suudilerin yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve onlar\u0131 Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri’nin takip etti\u011fini defalarca g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n

New York merkezli enerji hedge fonu Again Capital’in kurucu orta\u011f\u0131 John Kilduff, “\u0130\u015fte burada i\u015fler ger\u00e7ekten karma\u015f\u0131kla\u015facak.” diyor. “Rusya’y\u0131 OPEC+ i\u00e7inde tutmak Suudiler i\u00e7in \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Ruslar olmadan ittifak\u0131n kendisi \u00e7\u00f6kecek. Ancak bir m\u00fcttefik, giderek bir y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fck haline gelirken zor zamanlarda onu nas\u0131l destekleyebilirsiniz?”<\/p>\n

“Vladimir Putin’in eylemlerini desteklemek MbS i\u00e7in daha zor hale gelebilir, \u00f6zellikle de Rus Ural petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn varili Arap hafif petrol\u00fcnden 20 dolar daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckken. Suudi Arabistan ve BAE olsan\u0131z; Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 finanse etmek i\u00e7in satabilecekleri her varilin her kuru\u015funa ihtiya\u00e7 duyan Ruslar\u0131n ayn\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yapmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bile bile \u00fcretimi keser miydiniz? Suudiler ve BAE ne kadar kesinti yaparsa yaps\u0131n bunun sonucu Rusya, ABD ve arzda bo\u015fluk olan her yere sat\u0131\u015f yapmak i\u00e7in yar\u0131\u015facak olan di\u011fer \u00fcreticilere kaybedilen pazar pay\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.”<\/p>\n

ABS’nin ne yapmay\u0131 planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 5 Ekim’e kadar \u00f6\u011frenece\u011fiz \u2013 petrol\u00fcn “Kirli Harry”si teti\u011fi daha h\u0131zl\u0131 \u00e7ekmeye karar verirse belki de daha erken.<\/p>\n

Petrol: Piyasa Faaliyetleri\u00a0ve Fiyat \u00d6zeti<\/strong><\/p>\n

New York’ta i\u015flem g\u00f6ren WTI, resmi seans\u0131 78,74 dolar ile tamamlad\u0131ktan sonra Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 4,75 dolar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 79,43 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. WTI daha \u00f6nce 78,14 dolar ile seans\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

ABD ham petrol\u00fc haftal\u0131k bazda %7,5 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle Temmuz sonundan bu yana en k\u00f6t\u00fc haftas\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7irdi.<\/p>\n

Brent, g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 85,51 dolara kadar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fckten sonra 4,31 dolar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 86,65 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve 86,15 dolardan kapand\u0131.<\/p>\n

Brent haftal\u0131k bazda %5,7 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle A\u011fustos sonundan bu yana ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 en b\u00fcy\u00fck haftal\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc kaydetti.<\/p>\n

Petrol: WTI Teknik\u00a0Analiz<\/strong><\/p>\n

SkCharting.com’un ba\u015f teknik stratejisti Sunil Kumar Dixit, ay\u0131lar\u0131n 72,35 dolarl\u0131k ayl\u0131k Basit Hareketli Ortalama (SMA) \u00fczerinde 200 dolarl\u0131k bir sonraki ay\u0131 hedefiyle 78 dolarl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeyi k\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 nedeniyle WTI’da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta yeniden sat\u0131\u015f ya\u015fanmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok muhtemel oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

“D\u00f6rt ayl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi, 82,20 dolarl\u0131k ayl\u0131k orta Bollinger Band\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve WTI’n\u0131n 78,14 dolara d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle daha da derinle\u015fti, bu da 100 haftal\u0131k SMA olan 77,50 dolarla yak\u0131n olmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.\u201d<\/p>\n

Dixit g\u00fcnl\u00fck, haftal\u0131k ve ayl\u0131k grafiklerde WTI’n\u0131n G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 G\u00f6stergesi (RSI) ve stokastik de\u011ferlerinin t\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn negatif formasyonda oldu\u011funu da s\u00f6zlerine ekledi.<\/p>\n

MACD\u2019\u0131n (Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama Sapmas\u0131) da ayl\u0131k grafikte negatif olu\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve WTI’da daha fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe i\u015faret etti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Di\u011fer taraftan Dixit, 100 haftal\u0131k SMA seviyesi olan 77,50 dolar\u0131n destek olarak hareket edebilece\u011fini ve 82,20 ve 86,20 dolarl\u0131k deste\u011fe d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f diren\u00e7 seviyelerine do\u011fru k\u0131sa vadeli bir toparlanmaya neden olabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

“Fiyatlar bu b\u00f6lgenin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lma yaparsa, 90,50 \u2013 91,50 dolara do\u011fru toparlanma bekliyoruz.”<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n: Piyasa Faaliyetleri\u00a0ve Fiyat \u00d6zeti<\/strong><\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6\u011frendi\u011fi gibi dolar\u0131n gazab\u0131ndan ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f yok.<\/p>\n

Sar\u0131 metalin son iki y\u0131l\u0131n en k\u00f6t\u00fc sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rt\u0131nalar\u0131 boyunca tutundu\u011fu en kutsal destek hatlar\u0131ndan biri olan 1.650 dolar, Dolar Endeksi 20 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesini birbiri ard\u0131na g\u00f6rmeye devam ederken Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

10 Y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvili getirileri, son seansta g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc %3,8’in \u00fczerindeki zirvenin ard\u0131ndan 12 bu\u00e7uk y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine ula\u015ft\u0131. Getiriler, reel faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 ya da piyasan\u0131n Fed taraf\u0131ndan belirlenen temel kredi faizlerinin nereye gidece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc yans\u0131t\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Fed \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ayda da 75 baz puan art\u0131rarak temel kredi faizlerini %3,0 olan zirveye \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131, yani tahvil getirisi seviyesinin %0,8 alt\u0131na. Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, y\u0131ll\u0131k %8’in \u00fczerinde seyreden enflasyonu uzun s\u00fcredir hedefledi\u011fi y\u0131ll\u0131k %2 seviyesine \u00e7ekmek i\u00e7in m\u00fccadele eden merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n, faiz art\u0131r\u0131m d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcnde \u015fimdilik bir duraklama olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n

Online ticaret platformu OANDA’n\u0131n analisti Craig Erlam, alt\u0131n\u0131n 1.680 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na inmesinin “b\u00fcy\u00fck bir olay oldu\u011funu ancak o zamandan beri hi\u00e7bir kataliz\u00f6r olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131” s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Bu da 1.650 dolarl\u0131k deste\u011fin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 “ilk k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n ikincil bir teyidi ve \u00e7ok a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir sinyal haline getiriyor.\u201d diye ekledi.<\/p>\n

Aral\u0131k vadeli alt\u0131n, resmi seans\u0131 25,50 dolar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 1.655,60 dolarda tamamlad\u0131ktan sonra son i\u015flemini 1.651,70 dolardan yapt\u0131. Seans\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi 1.648,60 dolar oldu.<\/p>\n

Baz\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar taraf\u0131ndan vadeli i\u015flemlerden daha yak\u0131ndan takip edilen k\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131n\u0131n spot fiyat\u0131, 27,76 dolar de\u011fer kaybederek 1.643,57 dolarda kapand\u0131. Spot alt\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcn i\u00e7indeki en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyat\u0131 1.639,96 dolard\u0131.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n: Fiyat G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftaya girerken SKCharting’den Dixit, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 1.640 dolara verece\u011fi tepkinin spot alt\u0131n i\u00e7in kritik olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

“Spot alt\u0131n, 1.640 dolar\u0131 k\u0131rmas\u0131yla birlikte bir sonraki a\u015famada 1.620 dolara, hatta 1.600 dolara do\u011fru gidebilir.\u201d<\/p>\n

“Bununla birlikte Dolar Endeksi 113’ten d\u00fc\u015fmeye ba\u015flay\u0131p 104’e do\u011fru y\u00f6nelirse alt\u0131nda 1.620-1.600 dolar b\u00f6lgesi de\u011ferli al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir. Ancak alt\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nceki rallisinin %50 Fibonacci geri \u00e7ekilmesinde yer alan 1.560 dolar, bo\u011falar\u0131 son zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine geri getirebilecek daha ikna edici bir ralli noktas\u0131.”<\/p>\n

Dixit, alt\u0131n 1.640 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece 1.655-1.665 dolara do\u011fru k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir toparlanma ve 1.678-1.688 dolara do\u011fru bir gidi\u015fat\u0131n olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

XAU\/USD -1,66% Portf\u00f6y’e Ekle\/Kald\u0131r Takip listesine ekle Pozisyon Ekle Pozisyon ba\u015far\u0131yla eklendi: L\u00fctfen …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":60257,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[1773,55],"class_list":["post-60256","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-genel","tag-petrol","tag-piyasa"],"yoast_head":"\nK\u0131ymetli Madenler & Enerji \u2013 Haftal\u0131k De\u011ferlendirme ve Gelecek Takvimi - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/kiymetli-madenler-enerji-haftalik-degerlendirme-ve-gelecek-takvimi-3\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" 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