{"id":55726,"date":"2022-09-04T14:30:03","date_gmt":"2022-09-04T14:30:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=55726"},"modified":"2022-09-04T23:53:43","modified_gmt":"2022-09-04T23:53:43","slug":"bu-hafta-takip-edilecek-5-onemli-gelisme-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bu-hafta-takip-edilecek-5-onemli-gelisme-6\/","title":{"rendered":"Bu Hafta Takip Edilecek 5 \u00d6nemli Geli\u015fme"},"content":{"rendered":"

Moskova ile Bat\u0131 aras\u0131nda t\u0131rmanan enerji kavgas\u0131, Moskova’n\u0131n Almanya’ya giden ana gaz boru hatt\u0131n\u0131 kapal\u0131 tutaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemesinin ard\u0131ndan \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n dikkatini \u00e7ekecek gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB), artan enflasyonla m\u00fccadele etmek i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yapmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, bir sonraki Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nce sessizlik d\u00f6nemine girmeden \u00f6nce boy g\u00f6sterecek. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Bayram\u0131 tatilinden sonra geri d\u00f6nmesi ile borsalar muhtemelen volatil olmaya devam edecek ve OPEC+, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 desteklemek i\u00e7in \u00fcretimi azaltmay\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmek \u00fczere toplanacak.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015fte yeni haftaya ba\u015flarken bilmeniz gerekenler:<\/p>\n

1. Enerji s\u0131ras\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Moskova’n\u0131n Almanya’ya ana gaz tedarik boru hatt\u0131n\u0131 kapal\u0131 tutaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemesi ve G7 \u00fclkelerinin, Ukrayna’daki sava\u015fta Rus kaynaklar\u0131na darbe vurma amac\u0131yla Rus petrol ihracat\u0131na y\u00f6nelik planl\u0131 bir fiyat s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Rus gaz ve petrol ihracat\u0131 konusundaki anla\u015fmazl\u0131k t\u0131rmand\u0131.<\/p>\n

Rusya’n\u0131n Nord Stream boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n onar\u0131m i\u00e7in gereken s\u00fcre boyunca kapal\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemesi, b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomileri durgunlu\u011fa s\u00fcr\u00fckleyebilecek ve k\u0131\u015f\u0131n enerji karnesine yol a\u00e7abilecek bir gaz k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 korkusunu artt\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Avrupa, Rusya’n\u0131n Ukrayna’y\u0131 i\u015fgalinin ard\u0131ndan Moskova’n\u0131n Bat\u0131 ile “ekonomik sava\u015f” olarak adland\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7te Rusya’y\u0131 enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 silah olarak kullanmakla, Moskova da arzdaki kesintiler i\u00e7in Bat\u0131’n\u0131n yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 ve teknik sorunlar\u0131 su\u00e7luyor.<\/p>\n

Avrupa Komisyonu, Rusya’n\u0131n Avrupa’ya gaz sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131 tamamen kesmesi ile so\u011fuk bir k\u0131\u015f mevsiminin birle\u015fmesi halinde \u00fclkeler \u00f6nceden haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmazsa Avrupa Birli\u011fi genelinde GSY\u0130H’nin%1,5’e kadar d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n

2. ECB faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

ECB, Euro B\u00f6lgesi’nde halihaz\u0131rda rekor seviyelere ula\u015fan enflasyonun h\u0131zla \u00e7ift haneli rakamlara yakla\u015fmas\u0131 nedeniyle Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lacak toplant\u0131da ikinci b\u00fcy\u00fck faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirecek gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde enflasyon, A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda %9,1’e ula\u015farak ECB’nin %2’lik hedefinin \u00e7ok \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve artan enerji faturalar\u0131 hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 krizini \u015fiddetlendirdi.<\/p>\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in tek soru, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n Temmuz ay\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi 50 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f daha m\u0131 yapaca\u011f\u0131 yoksa bu k\u0131\u015f durgunluk ihtimaline ra\u011fmen 75 baz puanl\u0131k daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131 m\u0131 tercih edece\u011fi.<\/p>\n

ECB y\u00f6netim kurulu \u00fcyesi Isabel Schnabel, k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir konu\u015fmada merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131, ekonomilerini resesyona s\u00fcr\u00fcklese bile enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde hareket etmeye \u00e7a\u011f\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

3. Fed konu\u015fmalar\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Cato Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc konferans\u0131nda konu\u015facak ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Fed’in, 20-21 Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 75 baz puanl\u0131k fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131na m\u0131 yoksa 50 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015fa m\u0131 y\u00f6neldi\u011fine dair ipucu arayacak.<\/p>\n

Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan A\u011fustos ay\u0131 istihdam raporu kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir tablo \u00e7izdi \u2013 ekonomi beklenenden daha fazla istihdam yarat\u0131rken \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 seyretti ve i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7erek Fed\u2019in bir sonraki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n miktar\u0131 konusundaki tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 canl\u0131 tuttu.<\/p>\n

Powell’\u0131n ge\u00e7en ay Jackson Hole konferans\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015fahin konu\u015fmas\u0131ndan bu yana Fed’in agresif ad\u0131mlar ataca\u011f\u0131na dair beklentiler g\u00fc\u00e7lendi.<\/p>\n

Ekonomik takvim sakin ancak Tedarik Y\u00f6netimi Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc A\u011fustos ay\u0131na ait hizmet PMI verisini a\u00e7\u0131klayacak ve ekonomistler 55,5\u2019lik bir sonu\u00e7 bekliyor.<\/p>\n

4. Borsada volatilite<\/strong><\/p>\n

Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD hisse senetleri, tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam raporunun etkisiyle elde ettikleri ilk kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n, Avrupa enerji krizine ili\u015fkin endi\u015felerin g\u00f6lgesinde kalmas\u0131yla haftay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

ABD’de i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f, Fed’in faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin endi\u015feleri azaltsa da piyasalar Nord Stream boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n kapat\u0131lmas\u0131 haberiyle kazand\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 geri verdi.<\/p>\n

\u00dc\u00e7 ana endeks de \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc haftal\u0131k kayb\u0131n\u0131 ya\u015fad\u0131 \u2013 Dow %2,99, S&P 500 %3,29 ve Nasdaq %4,21 de\u011fer kaybetti.<\/p>\n

Powell’\u0131n Jackson Hole’da yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Fed’in enflasyonla m\u00fccadelesinin ekonomik ac\u0131ya yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu \u015fahince bir konu\u015fmadan bu yana borsalardaki yaz rallisi darbe ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015f\u00e7i Bayram\u0131\u2019ndan dolay\u0131 Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc geri d\u00f6necek olan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar dikkatlerini, Fed’in Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nceki \u00f6nemli son ekonomi verisi olan ve ay ortas\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD enflasyon verilerine \u00e7evirirken volatilite y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam edecek gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

5. OPEC+ toplant\u0131s\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

Petrol \u0130hra\u00e7 Eden \u00dclkeler \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc ve aralar\u0131nda Rusya’n\u0131n da bulundu\u011fu m\u00fcttefikleri (OPEC+) Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc bir araya gelecek ve Suudi Arabistan’\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce \u00fcretim kesintisi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirmesinin ard\u0131ndan enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n dikkatleri bu toplant\u0131ya \u00e7evrilecek.<\/p>\n

Rusya’n\u0131n Ukrayna’y\u0131 i\u015fgali arz endi\u015felerini artt\u0131r\u0131rken bu y\u0131l artan enerji maliyetleri k\u00fcresel ekonomileri zora soktu.<\/p>\n

\u00c7in’in COVID-19 k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131ndan kaynaklanan talep g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne ili\u015fkin belirsizlik ve d\u00fcnyan\u0131n d\u00f6rt bir yan\u0131ndaki merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n artan enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak k\u00fcresel ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc bask\u0131lamas\u0131 nedeniyle petrol fiyatlar\u0131 yaz boyunca d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en hafta OPEC+, bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in piyasa dengelerini revize etti ve daha \u00f6nce g\u00fcnl\u00fck 900.000 varil olarak tahmin edilen talebin, arz\u0131 g\u00fcnl\u00fck 400.000 varil geride b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc. \u00dcretici grubu, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in temel senaryosunda 300.000 varillik bir piyasa a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yazar \u2013 Noreen Burke Investing.com \u2013 Moskova ile Bat\u0131 aras\u0131nda t\u0131rmanan enerji kavgas\u0131, Moskova’n\u0131n Almanya’ya giden ana gaz boru hatt\u0131n\u0131 kapal\u0131 …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":55727,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[481,413,309],"class_list":["post-55726","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-genel","tag-enerji","tag-fed","tag-rus"],"yoast_head":"\nBu Hafta Takip Edilecek 5 \u00d6nemli Geli\u015fme - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bu-hafta-takip-edilecek-5-onemli-gelisme-6\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" 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