{"id":51715,"date":"2022-08-02T20:50:05","date_gmt":"2022-08-02T20:50:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=51715"},"modified":"2022-08-02T21:03:18","modified_gmt":"2022-08-02T21:03:18","slug":"4-usta-analist-altin-icin-bu-seviyelere-hazir-olun","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/4-usta-analist-altin-icin-bu-seviyelere-hazir-olun\/","title":{"rendered":"4 Usta Analist: Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in Bu Seviyelere Haz\u0131r Olun!"},"content":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00f6rt haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD dolar\u0131 ve Hazine faizleri d\u00fc\u015ferken, k\u00fcresel ekonomik yava\u015flama endi\u015feleri artt\u0131. Bu ortamda g\u00fcvenli liman metaline olan talebi art\u0131rmas\u0131yla alt\u0131n, kazanma serisini be\u015finci seansa ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n
Edward Meir: Alt\u0131n, 1.800 dolar\u0131n ortalar\u0131na do\u011fru y\u00fckselebilir<\/b><\/p>\n
Spot alt\u0131n, g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 5 Temmuz\u2019dan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesi olan 1.787,91 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Daha sonra gerileyen sar\u0131 metal, bas\u0131n zaman\u0131nda 1.775 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu. ABD alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flemleri ise % 0,17 art\u0131\u015fla 1.790,6 dolara y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong>\u2019dan takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczere dolar ise, rakipleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda bir ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi. Bu da dolar cinsinden alt\u0131n\u0131 di\u011fer d\u00f6viz sahipleri i\u00e7in daha ucuz hale getirdi. Benchmark ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k Hazine faizleri d\u00f6rt ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu geli\u015fme de faizsiz alt\u0131n tutman\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyetini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. ED&F Man Capital Markets analisti Edward Meir, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n\u0131n 1.800 dolar\u0131n ortalar\u0131na do\u011fru biraz daha y\u00fckselmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD\u2019deki makro rakamlar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu daha k\u00f6t\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcnmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu y\u00fczden dolar A\u011fustos boyunca zay\u0131flamaya devam edecek. \u0130\u015fler k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fmeye devam ederse, Fed\u2019in belki bir noktada ekonominin iyile\u015fmesine izin vermek i\u00e7in faizleri y\u00fckseltmeyi durdurmas\u0131 olas\u0131. Daha da \u00f6nemlisi Avrupa ve \u00c7in\u2019de bir t\u00fcr te\u015fvik harcamas\u0131 g\u00f6rmeye ba\u015flayabiliriz.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Daniel Pavilonis: Bu bir sat\u0131n alma sinyalidir!<\/b><\/p>\n
Son zamanlardaki zay\u0131f ABD ekonomik verileri, bir yava\u015flamaya i\u015faret etti. Bu nedenle Fed\u2019in para politikas\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma planlar\u0131nda daha az agresif olmas\u0131 muhtemel. Sar\u0131 metal ise, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz beklentileriyle de\u011fer kazanma e\u011filiminde. Sar\u0131 metal, 21 Temmuz\u2019da bir y\u0131ldan fazla bir s\u00fcrenin en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi. Ancak, o zamandan bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k 100 dolar kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Bu arada, ABD Temsilciler Meclisi Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Nancy Pelosi, \u00c7in\u2019den gelen itirazlara ra\u011fmen Tayvan ziyaretine gidiyor. Bunun da \u00c7in-ABD geriliminde olas\u0131 bir t\u0131rman\u0131\u015f\u0131 tetiklemesi olas\u0131. Bu y\u00fczden, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ayr\u0131ca bu geli\u015fmeleri de izliyor. RJO Vadeli \u0130\u015flemleri k\u0131demli piyasa stratejisti Daniel Pavilonis, \u015fu yorumu yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Rusya, Ukrayna ve \u00c7in ile ya\u015fanan \u00f6nemli sorunlar ve dolar\u0131n bir miktar diren\u00e7le kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131 nedeniyle alt\u0131n, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket i\u00e7in daha fazla alana sahip. Ancak, faiz oranlar\u0131 hala alt\u0131n i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck etken. Bu arada Fed faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 bitirmese bile ara veriyor. Bu bir sat\u0131n alma sinyalidir.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Han Tan: Alt\u0131n bo\u011falar yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f i\u00e7in bekliyor<\/b><\/p>\n
Fed, ge\u00e7en hafta \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 beklentiler do\u011frultusunda 75 baz puan art\u0131rd\u0131. Ancak Ba\u015fkan Jerome Powell\u2019\u0131n yorumlar\u0131 daha yava\u015f bir y\u00fcr\u00fcy\u00fc\u015f yolu umutlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. Bu da dolar\u0131 vurdu. Exinity\u2019nin ba\u015f piyasa analisti Han Tan, konuya ili\u015fkin olarak \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n bo\u011falar, daha az agresif bir Fed beklentilerinin ger\u00e7ekte k\u00f6k sald\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan emin olmak ve k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131n yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131k olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmek amac\u0131yla bekliyor.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Rupert Rowling: Bu olursa alt\u0131nda yeni bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f m\u00fcmk\u00fcn<\/b><\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan stratejistler, son rallinin Federal Rezerv\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatmay\u0131 planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 alg\u0131s\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda uyar\u0131yor. Kinesis Money\u2019nin de\u011ferli metaller stratejisti Rupert Rowling, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yava\u015flayan ABD ekonomisine tepki olarak Fed\u2019in zaten faiz art\u0131r\u0131m h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden vazge\u00e7meleri durumunda tersine d\u00f6nebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Bu ba\u011flamda analist, \u015fu hususlar\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor:<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n\u0131n da yararland\u0131\u011f\u0131 piyasalar\u0131n son zamanlardaki y\u00fckseli\u015finin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131, gelecekteki Fed faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck olaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131na dayan\u0131yor. Bunun yanl\u0131\u015f bir \u015fafak oldu\u011funu kan\u0131tlarsa, alt\u0131nda yeni bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00f6rt haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD dolar\u0131 ve Hazine faizleri d\u00fc\u015ferken, k\u00fcresel ekonomik yava\u015flama endi\u015feleri …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":51716,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[545,413],"class_list":["post-51715","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-abd","tag-fed"],"yoast_head":"\n
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