{"id":50923,"date":"2022-07-31T18:30:03","date_gmt":"2022-07-31T18:30:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=50923"},"modified":"2022-07-31T20:03:01","modified_gmt":"2022-07-31T20:03:01","slug":"profesyonel-analistler-altin-bu-seviyelere-gitmeye-hazir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/profesyonel-analistler-altin-bu-seviyelere-gitmeye-hazir\/","title":{"rendered":"Profesyonel Analistler: Alt\u0131n Bu Seviyelere Gitmeye Haz\u0131r!\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"
\u00dc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin ard\u0131ndan alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesi g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu hamle, ABD ekonomisinin art arda ikinci \u00e7eyrekte daralmas\u0131yla geliyor. Profesyonel analistler, piyasalar\u0131 yorumluyor ve tahminlerini payla\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Suki Cooper: Alt\u0131n, son yedi resesyonda art\u0131\u015f kaydetti<\/b><\/p>\n
Ekonomistler ve politikac\u0131lar, ABD\u2019nin resesyonda olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda e\u015fit bir \u015fekilde b\u00f6l\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015f durumda. Ulusal Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rma B\u00fcrosu (NBER), aylarca s\u00fcren ara\u015ft\u0131rma ve tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen bir durgunlu\u011fu resmen ilan edecek olan kurum. Ancak geleneksel tan\u0131m, bir ekonominin birbirini izleyen iki \u00e7eyrek i\u00e7in daralmas\u0131 olarak tarif ediyor.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Politikac\u0131lar\u0131n ve ekonomistlerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn aksine, t\u00fcketiciler artan faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n ve s\u00fcrekli y\u00fcksek enflasyonun etkilerini hissetmeye ba\u015flad\u0131lar. Bu haftaki veriler, Temmuz ay\u0131 t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveninin \u015eubat 2021\u2019den beri en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Ayr\u0131ca, artan karamsarl\u0131\u011f\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerinde daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k yaratmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Ayn\u0131 zamanda, bu hafta yap\u0131lan bir Twitter anketi, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n %80\u2019inin ABD\u2019nin resesyonda oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Resesyon tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 politikac\u0131lara ve ekonomistlere b\u0131rakacak olsak da ABD ekonomisinin yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u015f\u00fcphe yok. Federal Rezerv\u2019in para politikas\u0131 \u0131s\u0131rmaya ba\u015fl\u0131yor. Piyasa analistlerine g\u00f6re bu alt\u0131n i\u00e7in iyi. Standard Chartered de\u011ferli metaller analisti Suki Cooper, fiyatlar\u0131n son yedi resesyonda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ortalama %15 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
John Hathaway: Fed pivotu, Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131na kadar gelebilir<\/b><\/p>\n
Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong>\u2019dan takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczere, yava\u015flayan ekonomi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Fed, faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 75 baz puan art\u0131rd\u0131. Ayn\u0131 zamanda Fed, verilerin desteklemesi halinde daha fazla agresif s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n garanti alt\u0131na al\u0131naca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Bununla birlikte, \u00e7o\u011fu yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n odakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015fey, para politikas\u0131nda hafif bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik. Powell, ekonominin faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n etkilerini hissetmeye ba\u015flamas\u0131yla birlikte s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n yava\u015flamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini de kaydetti.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n
Piyasa \u015fimdi Fed\u2019in para politikas\u0131 d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn sonuna yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Sprott Hathaway \u00d6zel Durumlar Stratejisi\u2019nin k\u0131demli portf\u00f6y y\u00f6neticisi John Hathaway, yak\u0131n tarihli bir r\u00f6portajda, ekonomi yava\u015flamaya devam ettik\u00e7e Fed pivotunun Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131na kadar gelmesinin m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Phillip Streible: Bu durum alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u0131n\u0131rlayacak<\/b><\/p>\n
Ancak, t\u00fcm analistler alt\u0131n\u0131n 2.000 dolara geri d\u00f6nmeye haz\u0131r oldu\u011fu konusunda iyimser de\u011fil. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc, ABD Ticaret Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n temel Ki\u015fisel T\u00dcFE!s, enflasyonun %4,8 ile 40 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine yak\u0131n oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi. Blue Line Futures ba\u015f piyasa stratejisti Phillip Streible, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Enflasyon s\u0131cak kal\u0131rsa, Fed agresif bir \u015fekilde faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltmeye devam edecek. Bu durum da alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u0131n\u0131rlayacak.<\/p>\n
Phillip Streible ayr\u0131ca, alt\u0131ndaki bu yeni ralli ile 1.800 dolara kadar bir miktar kar elde etmek isteyece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
TDS: Sar\u0131 metalde devam eden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131n \u015fiddeti artacak<\/b><\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 hafta sonuna do\u011fru yeni bir kritik destek seviyesi tutuyor. Bu y\u00fczden k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli bir rallinin zirvesinde olabilir. Ancak bir Kanada bankas\u0131 son fiyat hareketini sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. TD Securities emtia analistleri alt\u0131nda taktiksel bir short pozisyon ba\u015flatt\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylediler. Yeni d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bahsi, Fed\u2019in faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 75 baz puan daha art\u0131rma karar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n bu hafta sa\u011flam bir s\u0131\u00e7rama g\u00f6rmesiyle geliyor. Analistler, \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Fed beklentilerindeki yeniden fiyatland\u0131rman\u0131n sar\u0131 metalde devam eden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 \u015fiddetlendirece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bunun da fiyatlar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesine yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyoruz. Bu y\u00fczden alt\u0131nda taktiksel bir short pozisyona giriyoruz. Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 domino ta\u015flar\u0131 gibi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Ancak b\u00fcy\u00fcmedeki yava\u015flama e\u011filimi g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Ba\u015fkan Powell b\u00fcy\u00fck bir Eyl\u00fcl art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 verilere ba\u011flayarak t\u00fcm varl\u0131klarda k\u0131sa vadeli bir ralliyi h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cAlt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 uzun vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filiminde\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
TD Securities, k\u0131sa vadeli bir ralliyi tetiklemek i\u00e7in bu engelin ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini kaydediyor. Bu do\u011frultuda izlenmesi gereken fiyat seviyesinin 1.780 dolar olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckselmeye haz\u0131r olsa da TD Securities, alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n uzun vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filiminde oldu\u011funu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu ba\u011flamda analistler, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n ETF\u2019lerine yap\u0131lan b\u00fcy\u00fck giri\u015fler, tersine d\u00f6nmeye devam ediyor. Ayr\u0131ca, di\u011fer spek\u00fclatif gruplar, sar\u0131 metaldeki \u015fi\u015fkinliklerini \u00e7\u00f6zmeleri i\u00e7in bask\u0131 yap\u0131yor. Bu durumlar g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, alt\u0131n piyasalar\u0131 ek fiyat zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in kuruluyor. Son ralli ile ili\u015fkili bir CTA sat\u0131n alma program\u0131 riski, hem ticari yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara hem de ETF \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 bir teklif duvar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan azalt\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u00dc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin ard\u0131ndan alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesi g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu hamle, ABD ekonomisinin art arda ikinci \u00e7eyrekte …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":50924,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[413,55],"class_list":["post-50923","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-fed","tag-piyasa"],"yoast_head":"\n
Profesyonel Analistler: Alt\u0131n Bu Seviyelere Gitmeye Haz\u0131r!\u00a0 - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/profesyonel-analistler-altin-bu-seviyelere-gitmeye-hazir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Profesyonel Analistler: Alt\u0131n Bu Seviyelere Gitmeye Haz\u0131r!\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u00dc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin ard\u0131ndan alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesi g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. 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