{"id":50741,"date":"2022-07-30T17:00:03","date_gmt":"2022-07-30T17:00:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=50741"},"modified":"2022-07-30T17:00:03","modified_gmt":"2022-07-30T17:00:03","slug":"dunyaca-unlu-isim-bitcoin-mi-cokuste-sizi-bunlar-korur","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/dunyaca-unlu-isim-bitcoin-mi-cokuste-sizi-bunlar-korur\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00fcnyaca \u00dcnl\u00fc \u0130sim: Bitcoin Mi? \u00c7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015fte Sizi Bunlar Korur"},"content":{"rendered":"
BCA Research\u2019den Peter Berezin, k\u00fcresel durgunlu\u011fun tan\u0131m\u0131 ve bir durgunluk i\u00e7inde olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z hakk\u0131nda konu\u015fuyor. Ayr\u0131ca, ekonomik buhranda hangi varl\u0131klar\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmak i\u00e7in en iyi oldu\u011funu tart\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. \u00dcnl\u00fc analist Bitcoin kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in liste tar\u0131m arazileri gibi alternatif yat\u0131r\u0131m ara\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00fczerine\u2026<\/p>\n
BCA Research\u2019\u00fcn Ba\u015f K\u00fcresel Stratejisti Peter Berezin, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 ekonomideki durgunlu\u011fa kar\u015f\u0131 koruyacak varl\u0131klar\u0131 belirledi. \u00d6nde gelen kripto para kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 Berezin, Bitcoin\u2019e tam bir aldatmaca olarak bak\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca Bitcoin\u2019in pratik uygulamalar\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunuyor.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n
Berezin, ekonomideki bir gerileme s\u0131ras\u0131nda kendini koruman\u0131n bir yolu olarak temel t\u00fcketim \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine ve sa\u011fl\u0131k hizmetlerine yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyor. Berezin, t\u00fcketicilerin iste\u011fe ba\u011fl\u0131 olan \u015feylere k\u0131yasla nispeten daha iyi yapacaklar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n
Peter Berezin\u2019in durgunluk analizi<\/b><\/p>\n
Berezin\u2019e g\u00f6re ABD b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla bir durgunluk ya\u015fam\u0131yor. Kendisine g\u00f6re ancak ABD\u2019nin Ulusal Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rma B\u00fcrosu bunu ilan etti\u011finde bir resesyondan s\u00f6z edebiliriz. ABD\u2019nin ikinci mali \u00e7eyrek GSY\u0130H\u2019sinin ard\u0131\u015f\u0131k \u00e7eyreklerde negatif b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6stermesinden bu yana, ABD\u2019nin bir resesyonda olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda \u00f6nemli tart\u0131\u015fmalar oldu. Beyaz Saray ve Fed ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell\u2019a g\u00f6re, ekonominin geri kalan\u0131 resesyona giremeyecek kadar iyi performans g\u00f6steriyor. \u00d6te yandan, pek \u00e7o\u011fu, terimi kendi hikayelerine uyacak \u015fekilde de\u011fi\u015ftirdiklerini iddia etti.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Berezin\u2019in bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 Beyaz Saray\u2019\u0131nkiyle \u00e7ok daha uyumlu ve i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn ve i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n ekonominin resesyonda olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Bu nedenle, bir durgunlu\u011fa dayanacak varl\u0131klara sahip olmak gerekli olmayabilir. Berezin, Fed\u2019in yumu\u015fak bir ini\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiremeyece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde. ABD\u2019de yumu\u015fak bir ini\u015fin hi\u00e7bir zaman etkili bir \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmedi\u011fini iddia ediyor. Berezin, enflasyonun %4\u2019e ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyor.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Berezin, Powell\u2019\u0131n Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndaki FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz oranlar\u0131nda istisnai olarak \u00f6nemli bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6rece\u011fine dair iddias\u0131na kat\u0131lm\u0131yor. Fed\u2019in sonunda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 25 baz puan veya muhtemelen 50\u2019ye indirece\u011fini tahmin ediyor.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019nin ikinci mali \u00e7eyre\u011fi i\u00e7in GSY\u0130H -0.9% olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131<\/b><\/p>\n
Veriler, art arda ikinci \u00e7eyrekte negatif b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi g\u00f6steriyor. Bir\u00e7ok uzmana g\u00f6re bu, durgunlu\u011fun genel tan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. \u0130lk \u00e7eyrek i\u00e7in GSY\u0130H\u2019nin geli\u015fmi\u015f tahmini -%1.4 olarak geldi. Ancak, bu tahmin %1.6\u2019l\u0131k bir negatif b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye revize oldu.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Bu arada, Scion Capital\u2019in kurucusu Michael Burry, Beyaz Saray\u2019\u0131 hasar kontrol\u00fc yapmakla su\u00e7luyor. Ayr\u0131ca, Stanford \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nden John Cochrane, NBER\u2019in genellikle bittikten sonra bir durgunluk ortaya koydu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Ancak, durgunluk kripto yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in f\u0131rsatlar sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Kripto analisti Gareth Soloway\u2019e g\u00f6re, piyasa ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta durgunluk korkular\u0131 nedeniyle d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. D\u00fc\u015fen dolar ve Fed\u2019in yeni bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131 nedeniyle fiyatlar h\u0131zla y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
BCA Research\u2019den Peter Berezin, k\u00fcresel durgunlu\u011fun tan\u0131m\u0131 ve bir durgunluk i\u00e7inde olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z hakk\u0131nda konu\u015fuyor. Ayr\u0131ca, ekonomik buhranda …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":50742,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[545,224],"class_list":["post-50741","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-abd","tag-yatirim"],"yoast_head":"\n
D\u00fcnyaca \u00dcnl\u00fc \u0130sim: Bitcoin Mi? \u00c7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015fte Sizi Bunlar Korur - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/dunyaca-unlu-isim-bitcoin-mi-cokuste-sizi-bunlar-korur\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"D\u00fcnyaca \u00dcnl\u00fc \u0130sim: Bitcoin Mi? \u00c7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015fte Sizi Bunlar Korur\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"BCA Research\u2019den Peter Berezin, k\u00fcresel durgunlu\u011fun tan\u0131m\u0131 ve bir durgunluk i\u00e7inde olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z hakk\u0131nda konu\u015fuyor. 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