{"id":50557,"date":"2022-07-29T22:00:02","date_gmt":"2022-07-29T22:00:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=50557"},"modified":"2022-07-31T20:24:49","modified_gmt":"2022-07-31T20:24:49","slug":"buyuk-dalga-olacak-3-analist-altin-icin-bu-seviyeleri-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/buyuk-dalga-olacak-3-analist-altin-icin-bu-seviyeleri-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cB\u00fcy\u00fck Dalga Olacak\u201d 3 Analist, Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in Bu Seviyeleri Bekliyor!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n, Federal Rezerv\u2019in agresif faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 nedeniyle y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck performans g\u00f6sterdi. Bu y\u00fczden MKS PAMP, 2022\u2019nin ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131na girerken alt\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck de\u011ferde oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Piyasa analisti Christopher Lewis, alt\u0131n piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n ABD GSY\u0130H rakamlar\u0131 peri\u015fan oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in do\u011frudan havaya y\u00fckseldi\u011fini kaydediyor. Piyasa analisti Pablo Piovano ise, yak\u0131n vadede daha fazla kazan\u00e7 i\u00e7in yer oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131ndaki ciddi mevsimsel performans d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn nedenleri<\/b><\/p>\n

Sar\u0131 metal, bu y\u0131l \u015fimdiye kadar mevsimsel kal\u0131plara meydan okudu. Alt\u0131n trade\u2019i bug\u00fcne kadar %4,3 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. MKS PAMP metal stratejisi ba\u015fkan\u0131 Nicky Shiels, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Alt\u0131ndaki ciddi mevsimsel performans d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, durgunlu\u011fun talebi k\u0131smas\u0131 korkular\u0131 ve \u00c7in\u2019in karantinaya al\u0131nmas\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca, Fed\u2019in daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ABD dolar\u0131 ve daha y\u00fcksek reel ABD faiz oranlar\u0131na yol a\u00e7mas\u0131 korkular\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu\/sava\u015f riskini geride b\u0131rakmas\u0131 rol oynad\u0131.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Tarihsel e\u011filimler, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Bayram\u0131\u2019na kadar geleneksel kazananlar olarak de\u011ferli metallere i\u015faret ediyor. Ve o d\u00f6neme girerken, alt\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bununla birlikte, birka\u00e7 tetikleyicinin, de\u011ferli metallerin i\u015fleri tersine \u00e7evirmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Bu, Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndaki yava\u015flamay\u0131 da i\u00e7eriyor.<\/p>\n

\u201cFaiz konusunda art\u0131k ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z olan yere yakla\u015f\u0131yoruz\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Stratejiste g\u00f6re alt\u0131n\u0131n, bir Fed pivotunda fiyatland\u0131rmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. \u00d6zellikle Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell\u2019\u0131n ABD merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatmaya haz\u0131r olabilece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemesinden sonra. Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong>\u2019dan takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczere, Powell \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc, art arda ikinci 75 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ABD para politikas\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131k tarafs\u0131z oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Ayr\u0131ca, bunun da Fed\u2019in yak\u0131nda faiz art\u0131r\u0131m h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatmaya ba\u015flayabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geldi\u011fini kaydetti. Nicky Shiels, konuya ili\u015fkin olarak \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Art\u0131k tarafs\u0131z oldu\u011fumuza g\u00f6re s\u00fcre\u00e7 devam ederken bir noktada yava\u015flamak uygun olacak. Ve bu noktan\u0131n ne zaman oldu\u011funa dair bir karar vermedik. Ancak, sezgisel olarak bu mant\u0131kl\u0131. Bu \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6n u\u00e7tan y\u00fckledik. Art\u0131k ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z olan yere yakla\u015f\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131nda daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir taktik s\u0131\u00e7rama i\u00e7in ne gerekiyor?<\/b><\/p>\n

Nicky Shiels\u2019e g\u00f6re zirve \u015fahinli\u011fi zaten piyasan\u0131n gerisinde. Ancak alt\u0131n\u0131n hen\u00fcz bunu fiyatlamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. \u015eimdi, artan durgunluk riskleri ve d\u00fc\u015fen emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n deflasyonist g\u00fc\u00e7lere i\u015faret etmesiyle g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm de\u011fi\u015fiyor olabilir. Bu kapsamda Nicky Shiels, \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n

Daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir taktik s\u0131\u00e7rama i\u00e7in sadece birka\u00e7 \u015feyin bir araya gelmesi gerekiyor. Finansal kald\u0131ra\u00e7lar\u0131n azal\u0131rsa. ABD dolar\u0131 ikna edici bir \u015fekilde d\u00f6nerse. Fed nispeten daha fazla g\u00fcvercin ve\/veya risk i\u015ftah\u0131 iyile\u015firse Yap\u0131sal olarak, 2.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinin tekrar g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irilip ge\u00e7irilmeyece\u011fine dair karar hen\u00fcz belli de\u011fil. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc durgunluk \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131ysa ve enflasyon canl\u0131ysa, sava\u015f benzeri ba\u015fka bir QE\/te\u015fvik program\u0131 ba\u015flatmak i\u00e7in \u00e7ok daha az mali ve parasal alan var.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 teknik analizi<\/b><\/p>\n

Piyasa analisti Christopher Lewis, alt\u0131n\u0131n teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc \u015fu \u015fekilde resmediyor. Alt\u0131n piyasalar\u0131, ABD\u2019deki GSY\u0130H rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131yla Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc i\u015flem seans\u0131n\u0131 ba\u015flatmak i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde y\u00fckseldi. Sefil durumdayd\u0131lar. Bu y\u00fczden kesinlikle traderlar\u0131n zihninde oynamaya devam edecekler. Piyasan\u0131n Fed fikrine ve ne yapaca\u011f\u0131na yak\u0131ndan dikkat etmeye devam edece\u011fini unutmay\u0131n.<\/p>\n

Traderlar, Federal Rezerv\u2019in yava\u015flayan bir ekonomide faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltemeyece\u011fi fikrinin \u00fczerine atlad\u0131lar. Ancak a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7as\u0131 size bir s\u00fcredir yapacaklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledikleri \u015fey tam olarak buydu. Bu nedenle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczde g\u00fczel bir ralli oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Ancak k\u0131sa s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

ABD dolar\u0131na \u00e7ok dikkat edin! \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bundan sonra nereye gidece\u011fimiz \u00fczerinde bir etkisi olacak. ABD dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeye devam ederse, bu sonunda alt\u0131na ne olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tartacakt\u0131r. Piyasalar muhtemelen \u00e7ok oynak olmayacak. Alt\u0131n\u0131n tutumunda tam bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik g\u00f6rsek bile, ger\u00e7ekten patlamadan \u00f6nce gidecek \u00e7ok yolumuz var.<\/p>\n

Evet, orijinal bariyer olan 1.750 dolar seviyesinin \u00fczerine s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131k ve ters \u00e7evrilmi\u015f bir \u00e7ekicin tepesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131k. Bu y\u00fczden \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczde g\u00fczel bir s\u0131\u00e7rama oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Ancak ger\u00e7ek sava\u015f muhtemelen 1.800 dolara yak\u0131n olacak. \u00c7ok fazla dalgal\u0131 oynakl\u0131k bekliyoruz. Bu nedenle bu piyasaya kat\u0131lmak i\u00e7in bol zaman\u0131n\u0131z oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n

Pablo Piovano: Yak\u0131n vadede daha fazla kazan\u00e7 i\u00e7in yer<\/b><\/p>\n

CME Group\u2019un \u00f6n verilerine g\u00f6re, alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flem piyasalar\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131k faiz, art arda be\u015f g\u00fcnl\u00fck geri \u00e7ekilmenin ard\u0131ndan Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k 4 bin kontrat artt\u0131. Bunun yerine hacim, arka arkaya iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck yap\u0131y\u0131 tersine \u00e7evirdi ve yakla\u015f\u0131k 29,2 bin s\u00f6zle\u015fme azald\u0131.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Piyasa analisti Pablo Piovano\u2019ya g\u00f6re alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckselen a\u00e7\u0131k faizin etkisiyle toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Analist, bunun da y\u00fckseli\u015fin \u00e7ok yak\u0131n vadede devam etmesine kap\u0131 aralad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Bununla birlikte analiste g\u00f6re, bir sonraki hedefi, 1.800 dolarl\u0131k kilit i\u015fareti olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n, Federal Rezerv\u2019in agresif faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 nedeniyle y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck performans g\u00f6sterdi. Bu y\u00fczden MKS PAMP, 2022 …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":50558,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[545,413,55],"class_list":["post-50557","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-abd","tag-fed","tag-piyasa"],"yoast_head":"\n\u201cB\u00fcy\u00fck Dalga Olacak\u201d 3 Analist, Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in Bu Seviyeleri Bekliyor! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/buyuk-dalga-olacak-3-analist-altin-icin-bu-seviyeleri-bekliyor\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u201cB\u00fcy\u00fck Dalga Olacak\u201d 3 Analist, Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in Bu Seviyeleri Bekliyor!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Alt\u0131n, Federal Rezerv\u2019in agresif faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 nedeniyle y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck performans g\u00f6sterdi. 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