ABD ekonomisi y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bazda y\u00fczde 0,9 darald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bloomberg anketine g\u00f6re y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f gayrisafi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131lan\u0131n bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,4 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc tahmin ediliyordu.<\/p>\n
ABD ekonomisi ilk \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 1,6 daralm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 \u00e7eyreklik bazda 1 artt\u0131. Ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 1,8\u2019den y\u00fczde 1,2\u2019ye geriledi\u011fi tahmin ediliyordu.<\/p>\n
ABD’de ekonomik aktivite son d\u00f6nemdeki sert s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn etkisiyle yava\u015flama ya\u015fam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Fed Mart ay\u0131nda 3 y\u0131l\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ilk kez faiz art\u0131rm\u0131\u015f, devam\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma hamlelerine devam ederek 1980’lerin ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen en agresif faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcrecine imza atm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc karar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada \u00fclkede resesyon olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etmi\u015fti. Ekonominin resesyonda oldu\u011funa inanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyen Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131, \u201cTalep hala g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve ekonomi bu y\u0131l b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye devam etme yolunda\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
Resesyon analizleri<\/strong><\/b><\/p>\n \u00dclke ekonomisi i\u00e7in son d\u00f6nemde gelen resesyon analizleri y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir durgunlu\u011fa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n Verilerin yay\u0131nlanmas\u0131ndan \u00f6nce yap\u0131lan Bloomberg\u2019in anketine kat\u0131lan ekonomistlerin gelecek 12 ayda bir resesyon beklentisi de haziran ay\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 30 seviyesinden y\u00fczde 47,5\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. 18-22 Temmuz aras\u0131nda yap\u0131lan MLIV Pulse anketine kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n y\u00fczde 51,8\u2019i de Fed\u2019in ekonomiyi resesyona sokmadan enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme ihtimalini \u201cd\u00fc\u015f\u00fck\u201d olarak de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n Bank of America ABD Ba\u015fekonomisti Michael Gapen 2022\u2019nin ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren ba\u015flayacak \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir resesyon \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n Eski ABD Hazine Bakan\u0131 Lawrence Summers \u201cyumu\u015fak ini\u015fin \u00e7ok m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnmedi\u011fini\u201d s\u00f6ylerken, mevcut Hazine Bakan\u0131 Janet Yellen ise istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir yava\u015flama oldu\u011funu ancak resesyon emareleri g\u00f6rmedi\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n \u00d6te yandan Fed yetkilileri \u015fu ana kadar bir resesyondan ka\u00e7\u0131nman\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funu ve yumu\u015fak ini\u015fin sa\u011flanabilece\u011fini savundular. Powell da daha \u00f6nceki a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131nda fiyat istikrar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamada ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olman\u0131n, ABD ekonomisini resesyona sokmaktan \u201cdaha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hata\u201d olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n IMF b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc<\/strong><\/b><\/p>\n IMF ABD ekonomisi i\u00e7in 2022 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 3,7’den 2,3’e \u00e7ekmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n IMF Ba\u015fekonomisti Gourinchas, Bloomberg’e verdi\u011fi s\u00f6yle\u015fide \u201cBaz senaryomuzda ABD\u2019de ne 2022’de ne de 2023’te bir resesyon g\u00f6rm\u00fcyoruz; ama \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir yava\u015flama olacakt\u0131r. 2022\u2019deki y\u00fczde 2,3\u2019l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme 2023\u2019de y\u00fczde 1\u2019e yava\u015flayacakt\u0131r” ifadelerini kullanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" ABD ekonomisi y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bazda y\u00fczde 0,9 darald\u0131. Bloomberg anketine g\u00f6re y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f gayrisafi yurti\u00e7i …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":49996,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[545,413,2451],"class_list":["post-49995","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-abd","tag-fed","tag-resesyon"],"yoast_head":"\n