{"id":49362,"date":"2022-07-27T00:10:04","date_gmt":"2022-07-27T00:10:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=49362"},"modified":"2022-07-27T05:46:15","modified_gmt":"2022-07-27T05:46:15","slug":"5-analist-acikladi-fed-sonrasi-altin-fiyatlari-ne-olur","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/5-analist-acikladi-fed-sonrasi-altin-fiyatlari-ne-olur\/","title":{"rendered":"5 Analist A\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131: FED Sonras\u0131 Alt\u0131n Fiyatlar\u0131 Ne Olur?"},"content":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131, zay\u0131f dolar\u0131n etkisiyle Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc hafif d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ancak yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n olas\u0131 agresif bir ABD faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde b\u00fcy\u00fck bahisler yapmaktan ka\u00e7\u0131nmas\u0131yla dar bir aral\u0131kta kald\u0131. Analistler, piyasay\u0131 yorumluyor ve tahminlerini payla\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Ilya Spivak: Piyasa, faiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc konusunda rahat!<\/b><\/p>\n
Spot alt\u0131n, bas\u0131n zaman\u0131nda %0,10 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler 1.717,70 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu. ABD alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flemleri ise %0,17 kay\u0131pla 1.717,2 dolara geriledi. Dolar, rakipleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015fse de sonras\u0131nda eski seviyesine y\u00fckselmeyi ba\u015fard\u0131. Bu da di\u011fer para birimlerine sahip al\u0131c\u0131lar i\u00e7in alt\u0131n\u0131 daha pahal\u0131 hale getirdi. DailyFX\u2019te d\u00f6viz stratejisti Ilya Spivak, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Burada ger\u00e7ekten \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir y\u00f6nsel inan\u00e7 g\u00f6rm\u00fcyoruz. Piyasa en \u00f6nemlisi Fed\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ancak, son iki haftad\u0131r piyasalar alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi ve dolar\u0131n geri \u00e7ekilmesiyle tutarl\u0131yd\u0131. Bu da onlar\u0131n faiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn nereye gitti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fckleri konusunda rahat olduklar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cAvrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan tekrar b\u00fcy\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015f gelmez\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong>\u2019dan takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczere, Fed\u2019in \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc politika toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n sonunda faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 75 baz puan art\u0131rmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bu b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckte bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131n, pandemi d\u00f6neminde ekonomiye verilen deste\u011fi etkili bir \u015fekilde kapatmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131rk y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcredir en keskin art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 Haziran ay\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bunun ard\u0131ndan 100 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentiler y\u00fckseldi. Ancak traderlar, son zamanlardaki zay\u0131f ekonomik verilerine ard\u0131ndan bu bahisleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fcler.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Letonya merkez bankas\u0131 ba\u015fkan\u0131 Martins Kazaks, verdi\u011fi bir deme\u00e7te, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ge\u00e7en hafta yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilk yar\u0131m puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 yapmayabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Bu arada duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n g\u00f6stergesi olarak, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck alt\u0131n destekli borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonu olan SPDR Gold Trust\u2019\u0131n hisseleri Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,06 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 1.005,29 tona geriledi.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Daniel Pavilonis: Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in ana etken Fed karar\u0131<\/b><\/p>\n
RJO Vadeli \u0130\u015flemleri k\u0131demli piyasa stratejisti Daniel Pavilonis, alt\u0131n\u0131 etkileyen en b\u00fcy\u00fck fakt\u00f6r\u00fcn Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 beklentisi oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Ayr\u0131ca, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD ikinci \u00e7eyrek GSY\u0130H rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n da \u00f6nemli bir itici g\u00fc\u00e7 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydediyor. Bunun piyasaya etkisini \u015fu \u015fekilde yorumluyor:<\/p>\n
Genellikle, Fed\u2019in karar\u0131nda \u00f6nce de\u011ferli metallerde bir sat\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcrs\u00fcn\u00fcz. Bu durum normaldir.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
City Index piyasa analisti Fawad Razaqzada, Fed\u2019in hareketinin boyutunun \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu de\u011ferlendiriyor. Analist, Fed faizleri 100 baz puan art\u0131rmad\u0131k\u00e7a, dolarda daha fazla zay\u0131fl\u0131k bekliyor. Bu do\u011frultuda, alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in kazan\u0131mlar g\u00f6rme ihtimalimiz oldu\u011funu kaydediyor.<\/p>\n
Fiziksel piyasalarda, en b\u00fcy\u00fck t\u00fcketici \u00c7in\u2019in Hong Kong \u00fczerinden net alt\u0131n ithalat\u0131, bankalar\u0131n al\u0131mlar\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rmas\u0131 ve Covid k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n\u0131n gev\u015fetilmesiyle Haziran ay\u0131nda neredeyse be\u015f kat artt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Pablo Piovano: Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in, kartlarda olas\u0131 geri tepme var<\/b><\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flem piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7in CME Group\u2019un ileri d\u00fczey verilerine g\u00f6re a\u00e7\u0131k faiz, bu sefer yakla\u015f\u0131k 5,7 bin kontratla \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc seans i\u00e7in geriledi. Hacim de bunu izledi ve yakla\u015f\u0131k 40 bin kontratla darald\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131ndaki geri \u00e7ekilme, a\u00e7\u0131k faiz ve hacimdeki daralman\u0131n ortas\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Pablo Piovano\u2019ya g\u00f6re bu durum, \u00e7ok yak\u0131n vadede daha fazla kazan\u00e7 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti. Analist, k\u00fcl\u00e7edeki fiyat hareketinin konsolidatif g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Bununla birlikte, k\u0131sa vadeli ufukta 1.740 dolar b\u00f6lgesine y\u00fckselmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 muhtemel g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131, zay\u0131f dolar\u0131n etkisiyle Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc hafif d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ancak yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n olas\u0131 agresif bir ABD faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde b\u00fcy\u00fck bahisler …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":49363,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[413,55],"class_list":["post-49362","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-fed","tag-piyasa"],"yoast_head":"\n
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