{"id":49172,"date":"2022-07-26T15:20:04","date_gmt":"2022-07-26T15:20:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=49172"},"modified":"2022-07-26T15:20:04","modified_gmt":"2022-07-26T15:20:04","slug":"profesyonel-analistler-altin-fed-sonrasi-bu-seviyelerde-olabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/profesyonel-analistler-altin-fed-sonrasi-bu-seviyelerde-olabilir\/","title":{"rendered":"Profesyonel Analistler: Alt\u0131n FED Sonras\u0131 Bu Seviyelerde Olabilir!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131, ABD dolar\u0131 ve tahvil getirilerinin y\u00fckselmesiyle son \u00fc\u00e7 ayda keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bu s\u0131rada analistlere g\u00f6re, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (FED) bu hafta, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak para politikas\u0131 karar\u0131 bir\u00e7ok yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 ve trader\u0131 kenara itti. CME FedWatch Tool\u2019a g\u00f6re, piyasalar 75 baz puanl\u0131k bir hareket i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 77\u2019den fazla \u015fans g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Analistler, FED\u2019in sonbaharda daha agresif oran art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u015fahin pozisyonunu yinelemeyi bekledi\u011fi i\u00e7in alt\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fccadele etmeye devam etti\u011fini s\u00f6ylediler.\u00a0 \u0130\u015fte mevcut beklentiler\u2026<\/p>\n

John Hathaway: Alt\u0131n FED ile ili\u015fkili fiyatlan\u0131yor<\/b><\/p>\n

Sprott Hathaway \u00f6zel durumlar stratejisi k\u0131demli portf\u00f6y y\u00f6neticisi John Hathaway, alt\u0131n\u0131n hala zorlu r\u00fczgarlarla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn de\u011fi\u015fmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Hathaway\u2019in alt\u0131na y\u00f6nelik y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, piyasalar\u0131n Fed\u2019in \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 75 baz puan art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemesiyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Hathaway, alt\u0131n konusunda y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7mesinin nedenlerinden birinin, ABD merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131ndan \u00e7ok sonuna daha yak\u0131n olmas\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. S\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131n muhtemelen ABD ekonomisini durgunlu\u011fa itti\u011fini de s\u00f6zlerine ekledi. Portf\u00f6y y\u00f6neticisi, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki ifadeleri kulland\u0131:<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Fed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015fu ekonomiyi \u00e7\u00f6kertiyor. Ekonomiye ger\u00e7ek zamanl\u0131 olarak bakarsan\u0131z, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7ti\u011fine dair herhangi bir i\u015faret alt\u0131n i\u00e7in iyi olacak.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Hathaway, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n yaz sonuna kadar faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye ve yava\u015flatmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n Kas\u0131m se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde ekonomiyi resesyona sokmak istemeyece\u011fini de s\u00f6zlerine ekledi.\u00a0 Enflasyon beklentileri ise a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki \u015fekilde:<\/p>\n

Yaz sonuna kadar enflasyon y\u00fczde 9\u2019dan \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 olabilir. Fed zafer ilan edebilir. Ancak \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k bir zafer de\u011fil, enflasyon hala y\u00fcksek ve t\u00fcketiciler i\u00e7in bir sorun olmaya devam edecek.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Resesyon tehdidi devam ediyor<\/b><\/p>\n

\u015eu anda, alt\u0131n i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck r\u00fczgar ABD dolar\u0131. Ge\u00e7en hafta dolar 20 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve euro ile pariteye ula\u015ft\u0131. ABD dolar\u0131 y\u00fcksek seviyelerinin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, hala diren\u00e7lili\u011fini koruyor. Ancak ileriye bakan Hathaway, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde daha az etkisi olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. ABD\u2019de artan resesyon tehdidinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Hathaway, Avrupa\u2019da da potansiyel bir bor\u00e7 krizi belirtileri g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yledi. Ge\u00e7en hafta Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 50 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015fla piyasalar\u0131 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtt\u0131. ECB ayr\u0131ca Avrupa tahvil piyasas\u0131n\u0131n par\u00e7alanmamas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in sorunlu \u00fclkelerden tahvil almaya devam edece\u011fini duyurdu. Analist, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki ifadeleri kulland\u0131:<\/p>\n

Bir \u00fclke borcu krizi, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n nerede oldu\u011funa bak\u0131lmaks\u0131z\u0131n alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 kolayca rekor seviyelere geri getirebilir. Bir sonraki siyah ku\u011fu, asi d\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131na ba\u011flanacak. Orada finansal piyasalardaki sistemik riskler, 20 k\u00fcsur y\u0131lda hi\u00e7 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar y\u00fcksek, alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131nda bulundum.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Portf\u00f6ylerin y\u00fczde 2-10\u2019unda alt\u0131n bulunmas\u0131 gerekiyor<\/b><\/p>\n

Sadece alt\u0131n i\u00e7in temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm de\u011fi\u015fmeye ba\u015flamakla kalm\u0131yor, ayn\u0131 zamanda Hathaway, piyasan\u0131n spek\u00fclatif konumunun kar\u015f\u0131t bir ticaret i\u00e7in olgunla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Alt\u0131n ve madencilik sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n birka\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da s\u00f6zlerine ekledi. \u201cBu rakamlara duygu ve insanlar\u0131n umutsuz, cesareti k\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funa dair bir i\u015faret olarak bak\u0131yorum. Bu dramatik mitingleri psikoloji a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck noktalardan elde ediyorsunuz\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

Hathaway, mevcut ortamda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ne kadar alt\u0131n tutmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fine ili\u015fkin olarak yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken bir tart\u0131\u015fma oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. D\u00fcnya Alt\u0131n Konseyi\u2019nden yap\u0131lan ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n portf\u00f6ylerinin y\u00fczde 2 ila y\u00fczde 10\u2019u aras\u0131nda alt\u0131n tutmalar\u0131 gerekti\u011fini \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Hathaway, \u201cFiziksel alt\u0131n\u0131n son 20 y\u0131lda \u00f6nemli bir \u00e7e\u015fitlendirici oldu\u011fu kan\u0131tland\u0131\u201d dedi. Ger\u00e7ek koruma isteyen muhafazakar bir yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 i\u00e7in portf\u00f6y\u00fcn\u00fcz\u00fcn y\u00fczde 5\u2019i \u00e7\u0131lg\u0131n de\u011fil,\u201d diye ekledi.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

ABD dolar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f de\u011ferli metal i\u00e7in neye i\u015faret ediyor?<\/b><\/p>\n

Bu s\u0131rada baz\u0131 analistler alt\u0131n\u0131n bu hafta daha y\u00fcksek hareket etmesini beklese de, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n para politikas\u0131 karar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yeni bir ivme g\u00f6rebilecek olan ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n insaf\u0131na kalacak. Brown Brothers Harriman\u2019daki para birimi analistleri, \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcn ard\u0131\u015f\u0131k kay\u0131plar g\u00f6rmesine ra\u011fmen ABD dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseli\u015fe devam ettiklerini s\u00f6yledi. Analistler, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki ifadeleri kulland\u0131:<\/p>\n

G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye hen\u00fcz haz\u0131r de\u011filiz. Evet, ABD ekonomik verileri zay\u0131fl\u0131yor, ancak bir resesyonun yak\u0131n oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyoruz. Her \u015fey s\u00f6ylendi\u011finde ve yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ABD ekonomisinin en diren\u00e7li olmaya devam etti\u011fine inan\u0131yoruz. Ancak, ABD ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc netle\u015fene kadar dolar i\u00e7in bir konsolidasyon d\u00f6nemi bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n


<\/figure>\n

TD Securities\u2019deki emtia analistleri, piyasadaki baz\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fen duygulara ra\u011fmen alt\u0131n\u0131n zorlu bir sava\u015fla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Analistler, mevcut d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendini tehdit etmek i\u00e7in alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ons ba\u015f\u0131na 1.775 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131, ABD dolar\u0131 ve tahvil getirilerinin y\u00fckselmesiyle son \u00fc\u00e7 ayda keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bu s\u0131rada analistlere g\u00f6re, ABD Merkez …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":49173,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[545,413,269],"class_list":["post-49172","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-abd","tag-fed","tag-merkez-bankasi"],"yoast_head":"\nProfesyonel Analistler: Alt\u0131n FED Sonras\u0131 Bu Seviyelerde Olabilir! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/profesyonel-analistler-altin-fed-sonrasi-bu-seviyelerde-olabilir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Profesyonel Analistler: Alt\u0131n FED Sonras\u0131 Bu Seviyelerde Olabilir!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131, ABD dolar\u0131 ve tahvil getirilerinin y\u00fckselmesiyle son \u00fc\u00e7 ayda keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler g\u00f6rd\u00fc. 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