{"id":40169,"date":"2022-07-20T13:30:06","date_gmt":"2022-07-20T10:30:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=40169"},"modified":"2022-07-20T13:30:06","modified_gmt":"2022-07-20T10:30:06","slug":"metrikler-uyariyor-bitcoin-bu-gorulmemis-diplere-kayabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/metrikler-uyariyor-bitcoin-bu-gorulmemis-diplere-kayabilir\/","title":{"rendered":"Metrikler Uyar\u0131yor: Bitcoin Bu G\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f Diplere Kayabilir!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 hen\u00fcz sona ermedi. Ancak Glassnode\u2019a g\u00f6re, \u00e7e\u015fitli metrikler Bitcoin teslimiyetinin zaten ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen Fiyat metri\u011fi Bitcoin i\u00e7in neye i\u015farete ediyor?<\/b><\/p>\n

Kripto ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 ne zaman bitecek? Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, mevcut kripto k\u0131\u015f\u0131na katlanmaya devam ediyor. Ayr\u0131ca, son birka\u00e7 ayda birden fazla protokol ve yat\u0131r\u0131m fonunun \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcne tan\u0131k oldular. \u015eimdi bu yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n akl\u0131ndaki soru bu. Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong>\u2019dan takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczere, bu hafta, Bitcoin (BTC) bir kez daha 200 haftal\u0131k hareketli ortalamas\u0131nda direnci test ediyor. As\u0131l zorluk, birden fazla ters r\u00fczgar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda daha y\u00fckse\u011fe \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p \u00e7\u0131kamayaca\u011f\u0131. Veya fiyat\u0131n Haziran ay\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri tuza\u011fa d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc aral\u0131\u011fa geri d\u00f6n\u00fcp d\u00f6nmeyece\u011fi.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

On-chain piyasa istihbarat firmas\u0131 Glassnode\u2019un en son haber b\u00fcltenini yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Buna g\u00f6re, \u201cs\u00fcre\u201d mevcut ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 ile \u00f6nceki d\u00f6ng\u00fcler aras\u0131ndaki temel fark. Ayr\u0131ca, bir\u00e7ok on-chain \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm\u00fcn art\u0131k bu tarihi dezavantajlarla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 diplerinin g\u00fcvenilir bir g\u00f6stergesi oldu\u011fu kan\u0131tlanm\u0131\u015f bir metrik, ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f fiyatt\u0131r (realized price). Bu metrik, t\u00fcm Bitcoin\u2019in sat\u0131n al\u0131nd\u0131klar\u0131 fiyattaki de\u011ferini, dola\u015f\u0131mdaki BTC say\u0131s\u0131na oranlar.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin fiyat\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen fiyat\u0131n alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131 \/ Kaynak: Glassnode<\/figure>\n

Yukar\u0131daki grafikte g\u00f6sterildi\u011fi gibi, Mart 2020\u2019deki ani \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, Bitcoin ay\u0131 piyasalar\u0131nda uzun bir s\u00fcre boyunca ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen fiyat\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Glassnode, \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

Ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen Fiyat\u0131n alt\u0131nda harcanan ortalama s\u00fcre 197 g\u00fcn. K\u0131yaslama i\u00e7in mevcut piyasada bu s\u00fcre sadece 35 g\u00fcn.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Bu, mevcut kripto k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n sona ermesi i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan tahminlerin erken oldu\u011funa bir i\u015faret. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc tarihsel veriler, piyasan\u0131n bir sonraki b\u00fcy\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinden \u00f6nce birka\u00e7 ayl\u0131k yatay fiyat hareketi oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin i\u00e7in dip 14.000 dolara daha yak\u0131n m\u0131 olacak?<\/b><\/p>\n

Traderlar, k\u0131\u015f\u0131n sonunu anlamak i\u00e7in nelere dikkat etmesi gerekiyor. Bu konuda Glassnode, Delta fiyat\u0131n\u0131 ve Denge fiyat\u0131n\u0131 \u201cge\u00e7 a\u015famadaki ay\u0131lar s\u0131ras\u0131nda spot fiyatlar\u0131 \u00e7ekme e\u011filiminde olan zincirleme fiyatland\u0131rma modelleri\u201d olarak vurguluyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen, denge ve delta fiyatlar\u0131 \/ Kaynak: Glassnode<\/figure>\n

Yukar\u0131daki grafikte g\u00f6sterildi\u011fi gibi, \u00f6nceki ana ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131n\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeleri, ye\u015fil renkle vurgulanan \u201cDelta fiyat\u0131na k\u0131sa vadeli bir fitil\u201d sonras\u0131nda belirlendi. Son piyasadaki benzer bir hareket, BTC\u2019nin 14.215 dolar civar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir de\u011fere sahip oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f d\u00f6nemleri ayn\u0131 zamanda BTC fiyat\u0131n\u0131 \u201cDengeli Fiyat (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck aral\u0131k) ile Ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen Fiyat (y\u00fcksek aral\u0131k) aras\u0131nda\u201d bir birikim aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bu da fiyat\u0131n \u015fu anda kendisini buldu\u011fu yer.<\/p>\n

Ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131n\u0131n sona erdi\u011finin klasik i\u015faretlerinden biri, kalan son sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 t\u00fcketen b\u00fcy\u00fck bir kapit\u00fclasyon olay\u0131yd\u0131. Baz\u0131lar\u0131 hala bunun ger\u00e7ekle\u015fip ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmedi\u011fini tart\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Haziran ay\u0131nda zincirleme aktivitenin 17.600 dolara d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Glassnode, bunun teslimiyetin ger\u00e7ekten ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011finin olas\u0131 bir i\u015fareti oldu\u011funu vurguluyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin kay\u0131pta olan toplam arz \/ Kaynak: Glassnode<\/figure>\n

BTC\u2019nin 17.600 dolara d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc s\u0131rada, ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmemi\u015f bir kay\u0131p tutan toplam 9.216 milyon BTC hacmi vard\u0131. 18 Haziran\u2019daki kapit\u00fclasyon olay\u0131n\u0131n ve bir ayl\u0131k konsolidasyon ile 21.200 dolara y\u00fckselen fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, bu hacim \u015fimdi 7.68 milyon BTC\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Glassnode, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

Bu, 1.539 milyon BTC\u2019nin en son 17,6 bin dolar ile 21,2 bin dolar (maliyet baz\u0131nda) aras\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. Ayn\u0131 zamanda, bu fiyat aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda dola\u015f\u0131mdaki arz\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %8\u2019inin el de\u011fi\u015ftirdi\u011fini ifade ediyor.<\/p>\n

Kapit\u00fclasyonun halihaz\u0131rda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fine dair ba\u015fka bir kan\u0131t daha var. Bu da May\u0131s ve Temmuz aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen bir kay\u0131pta kilitlenen \u201c\u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 BTC hacmi\u201d idi.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin 30 g\u00fcnl\u00fck toplam ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen kay\u0131p \/ Kaynak: Glassnode<\/figure>\n

Terra\u2019n\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc toplam 27.77 milyar dolarl\u0131k zarar\u0131 tetikledi. 18 Haziran\u2019da, 2017 d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn ATH seviyesinin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmesi, toplam 35,5 milyar dolarl\u0131k kay\u0131pla sonu\u00e7land\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131n\u0131n sonu geldi mi?<\/b><\/p>\n

Kapit\u00fclasyonun zaten ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6steren son bir metrik daha var. \u00c7\u0131kt\u0131lar\u0131n harcand\u0131klar\u0131 andaki de\u011ferini olu\u015fturulduklar\u0131 andaki de\u011ferini kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131ran D\u00fczeltilmi\u015f Harcanan \u00c7\u0131kt\u0131 K\u00e2r Oran\u0131 (aSPOR).<\/p>\n

Bitcoin ayarl\u0131 SPOR \/ Kaynak: Glassnode<\/figure>\n

Glassnode\u2019a g\u00f6re, k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde (mavi oklarla temsil edildi\u011fi gibi), yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 ile vurgulanan \u201cson bir kapit\u00fclasyon \u015felalesi an\u0131na\u201d yol a\u00e7an b\u00fcy\u00fck kay\u0131plar g\u00f6recekler. Glassnode, bu konuda \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n

Piyasa sonunda sat\u0131c\u0131 t\u00fckenmesine ula\u015f\u0131r. Sonra, fiyatlar toparlanmaya ba\u015flar. Son olarak, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ac\u0131s\u0131 azalmaya ba\u015flar.<\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131ca, kapit\u00fclasyonun ger\u00e7ekten ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini ve birikimin devam etti\u011fini do\u011frulamak i\u00e7in bir hususa daha de\u011finiyor. Glassnode, bunun i\u00e7in aSOPR de\u011ferinin ideal olarak 1.0\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini belirtiyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 hen\u00fcz sona ermedi. Ancak Glassnode\u2019a g\u00f6re, \u00e7e\u015fitli metrikler Bitcoin teslimiyetinin zaten ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":40170,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[1821,207],"class_list":["post-40169","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-ayi-piyasasi","tag-btc"],"yoast_head":"\nMetrikler Uyar\u0131yor: Bitcoin Bu G\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f Diplere Kayabilir! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/metrikler-uyariyor-bitcoin-bu-gorulmemis-diplere-kayabilir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Metrikler Uyar\u0131yor: Bitcoin Bu G\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f Diplere Kayabilir!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 hen\u00fcz sona ermedi. Ancak Glassnode\u2019a g\u00f6re, \u00e7e\u015fitli metrikler Bitcoin teslimiyetinin zaten ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/metrikler-uyariyor-bitcoin-bu-gorulmemis-diplere-kayabilir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin M\u00fchendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/coinmuhendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-07-20T10:30:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/metrikler-uyariyor-bitcoin-bu-gorulmemis-diplere-kayabilir-r1Sqz2Kk-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"720\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/metrikler-uyariyor-bitcoin-bu-gorulmemis-diplere-kayabilir\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/metrikler-uyariyor-bitcoin-bu-gorulmemis-diplere-kayabilir\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/92661db359d245dcf90385075aee07ed\"},\"headline\":\"Metrikler Uyar\u0131yor: Bitcoin Bu G\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f Diplere Kayabilir!\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-07-20T10:30:06+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/metrikler-uyariyor-bitcoin-bu-gorulmemis-diplere-kayabilir\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":948,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/metrikler-uyariyor-bitcoin-bu-gorulmemis-diplere-kayabilir\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/07\\\/metrikler-uyariyor-bitcoin-bu-gorulmemis-diplere-kayabilir-r1Sqz2Kk-1.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Ay\u0131 Piyasas\u0131\",\"btc\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Bitcoin Haberleri\"],\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/metrikler-uyariyor-bitcoin-bu-gorulmemis-diplere-kayabilir\\\/#respond\"]}],\"copyrightYear\":\"2022\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/metrikler-uyariyor-bitcoin-bu-gorulmemis-diplere-kayabilir\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/metrikler-uyariyor-bitcoin-bu-gorulmemis-diplere-kayabilir\\\/\",\"name\":\"Metrikler Uyar\u0131yor: Bitcoin Bu G\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f Diplere Kayabilir! 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