{"id":39714,"date":"2022-07-19T02:20:05","date_gmt":"2022-07-18T23:20:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=39714"},"modified":"2022-07-19T02:20:05","modified_gmt":"2022-07-18T23:20:05","slug":"bu-hafta-altin-ne-yapacak-iste-tahminler-ve-yorumlar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bu-hafta-altin-ne-yapacak-iste-tahminler-ve-yorumlar\/","title":{"rendered":"Bu Hafta Alt\u0131n Ne Yapacak? \u0130\u015fte Tahminler ve Yorumlar!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131, y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi civar\u0131ndaki son kay\u0131plar\u0131 konsolide ediyor. Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131na do\u011fru iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendini yakalad\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i en y\u00fcksek 1.717 dolarl\u0131k bir fiyat seviyesi civar\u0131nda duruyor. Metalin son zamanlardaki kazan\u0131mlar\u0131, dolar\u0131n devam eden zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra opsiyon piyasas\u0131ndaki iyimserlikle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131. \u00d6nemli haftaya yava\u015f bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 \u200b\u200byapman\u0131n da alt\u0131n\u0131n toparlanmas\u0131na katk\u0131da bulundu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek yersiz de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong> olarak bildirdi\u011fimiz \u00fczere, Dolar Endeksi (DXY), Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yirmi y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131. Ard\u0131ndan geri \u00e7ekilmeye ba\u015flad\u0131 ve \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci g\u00fcnd\u00fcr d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte. Bunu yaparken, dolar\u0131n alt\u0131 ana para birimi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00f6stergesi, \u00f6zellikle \u00f6nceki g\u00fcn\u00fcn kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k ABD verileri ve temkinli FED konu\u015fmas\u0131yla de\u011fi\u015fti. Buna g\u00f6re FED\u2019in bir sonraki hamleleri \u00fczerindeki faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini son zamanlarda hafifletiyor. Ek olarak DXY \u00fczerinde a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k, Fed politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n Temmuz ay\u0131 sonundaki Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi (FOMC) \u00f6ncesindeki sessizlik d\u00f6nemiyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
<\/figure>\n

FED a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltiyor<\/b><\/p>\n

ABD T\u00dcFE verilerinin a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan piyasalar FED\u2019in 0,75 puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentilerini de\u011fi\u015ftirdi. Buna g\u00f6re art\u0131k 1,00 puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f bekliyorlar. Bunun \u00fczerine FED, beklentileri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek amac\u0131yla Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc m\u00fcdahalede bulundu. bu da alt\u0131n Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc i\u015faretlenen y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini korumas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu. Ard\u0131ndan kilit destek hatt\u0131ndan kapan\u0131\u015f baz\u0131nda bir toparlanmaya neden oldu. Atlanta Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Raphael Bostic Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, Haziran ay\u0131ndaki 75 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n \u201cb\u00fcy\u00fck bir hareket\u201d oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. \u00d6te yandan San Francisco FED Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Mary Daly Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u201cFed, ekonomiyi durdurmadan enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor\u201d dedi. Bununla birlikte, St. Louis FED Ba\u015fkan\u0131 100 veya 75 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n fark yaratmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc. T\u00fcm bunlar \u0131\u015f\u0131nda Wall Street Journal, piyasan\u0131n beklentilerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7eken bir haberle \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

ABD ekonomisine ili\u015fkin karamsar bask\u0131lar, piyasa beklentilerinin pek uygun olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair endi\u015feleri artt\u0131rd\u0131. T\u00fcketici Beklentileri Endeksi 47.3 ile May\u0131s 1980\u2019den bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi. Karamsar rakamlar, alt\u0131n al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor. Bununla birlikte, ABD\u2019de Haziran Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re %0,8 ve \u00f6nceki %-0.1\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 %1,0 artt\u0131. Bununla birlikte Michigan \u00dcniversitesi T\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi Temmuz ay\u0131 tahmini 49.9\u2019dan 51.5\u2019e y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Atlanta FED resesyon sinyali veriyor<\/b><\/p>\n

Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc Atlanta Fed GDPNow, ikinci yar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini de\u011fi\u015ftirdi. Tahminin bir \u00f6nceki %-1,2\u2019ye k\u0131yasla %-1,5 olarak gelmesiyle resesyon korkular\u0131n\u0131 destekledi. En son tahminlerin, ABD resesyonunu i\u015faret eden ikinci negatif rakamlar\u0131 ima etmesiyle endi\u015feler h\u0131z kazand\u0131. Bununla birlikte, ikinci \u00e7eyrek reel GSY\u0130H b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi GDPNow modeli tahmini de de\u011fi\u015fti. GDPNow tahmini, 8 Temmuz\u2019daki -%1,2\u2019den 15 Temmuz\u2019da %-1,5\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Alt\u0131n risk d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc (RR) bo\u011falar\u0131n lehine<\/b><\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n risk d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc (RR), al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 ve sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131 ortaya koyuyor. G\u00f6sterge 5 haftan\u0131n ilk haftal\u0131k kazanc\u0131n\u0131 i\u015faret ediyor. Ayr\u0131ca, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 0,210 haftal\u0131k bir rakam yazd\u0131rarak bo\u011falar lehine en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc veriyi verdi. Bununla birlikte, g\u00fcnl\u00fck RR rakamlar\u0131 da arka arkaya son \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcn i\u00e7in 0.015\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131n\u0131n azalan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi, son zamanlarda \u015fahin opsiyon piyasas\u0131 ipu\u00e7lar\u0131yla geldi. Bu nedenle son toparlanman\u0131n ge\u00e7erli olmas\u0131 muhtemel.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

\u00c7in toparlanmay\u0131 destekliyor<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00c7in\u2019den daha fazla te\u015fvik \u00f6neren man\u015fetler de Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131n\u0131n iyile\u015fmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 oluyor. \u00c7in Halk Bankas\u0131 (PBOC) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Yi Gang, \u201c\u00c7in ekonomisi COVID-19 ve d\u0131\u015f \u015foklar nedeniyle a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya ve merkez bankas\u0131 \u201cihtiyatl\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131racak\u201d dedi. Ayr\u0131ca, \u201c\u00c7in\u2019in para politikas\u0131n\u0131n, zay\u0131f bir ekonomik toparlanman\u0131n ortas\u0131nda yeni zorluklarla ba\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kmak i\u00e7in bankalar\u0131n rezerv gereksinimlerinin daha da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi de dahil olmak \u00fczere geni\u015f bir alana ve yeterli ara\u00e7lara sahip oldu\u011fundan\u201d bahseden bir yorum yapt\u0131. Xinhua\u2019n\u0131n, \u00c7in Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Liu He\u2019nin istihdam\u0131 art\u0131rmak i\u00e7in daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ad\u0131mlar at\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu\u011funu aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmekte fayda var.<\/p>\n

ECB ve PMI\u2019lar odakta<\/b><\/p>\n

Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 Para Politikas\u0131 Toplant\u0131s\u0131 ve ABD\u2019nin fla\u015f PMI\u2019lar\u0131 alt\u0131n i\u00e7in kritik olacak. ECB \u015fahinleri, uzun y\u0131llard\u0131r ilk kez %0,25\u2019lik bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 duyurmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca, Almanya\u2019daki resesyonla ilgili endi\u015feler politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 zorluyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u00d6te yandan, Temmuz ay\u0131 \u00f6n PMI\u2019lar\u0131n\u0131n gev\u015femeyi g\u00f6stermesi muhtemel. Bununla birlikte, karamsar bir sonuca i\u015faret etme riski, blok i\u00e7in ABD\u2019den daha fazla. Bu nedenle alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 \u00fczerinde a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k yaratabilir.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131n\u0131n teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/b><\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 Mart 2021\u2019den itibaren yukar\u0131 e\u011fimli bir destek \u00e7izgisinden s\u0131\u00e7ramay\u0131 geni\u015fletiyor. Bununla birlikte, y\u0131ll\u0131k en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine d\u00fczeltici bir geri \u00e7ekilme ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Geri \u00e7ekilme, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131lan RSI\u2019dan (14) alt\u0131n al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 2021\u2019in ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri i\u015faretlenen birden \u00e7ok seviyeden olu\u015fan yatay bir alana y\u00f6nlendirmek i\u00e7in sinyal verdi. Bahsi ge\u00e7en seviye 1.721-22 dolar civar\u0131nda. Bununla birlikte, Mart 2021-22\u2019de 1.760 dolara yak\u0131n %78.6 Fibonacci geri \u00e7ekilmesi seviyesi var. Bu seviye, alt\u0131n\u0131n 1.722 dolar\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc test edebilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. B\u00f6yle bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, de\u011ferli metalin fiyat\u0131n\u0131 May\u0131s ay\u0131n\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi 1.787 dolara y\u00fckseltebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131, y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi civar\u0131ndaki son kay\u0131plar\u0131 konsolide ediyor. Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131na do\u011fru iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendini …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":39715,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[545,413],"class_list":["post-39714","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-abd","tag-fed"],"yoast_head":"\nBu Hafta Alt\u0131n Ne Yapacak? \u0130\u015fte Tahminler ve Yorumlar! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bu-hafta-altin-ne-yapacak-iste-tahminler-ve-yorumlar\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bu Hafta Alt\u0131n Ne Yapacak? \u0130\u015fte Tahminler ve Yorumlar!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131, y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi civar\u0131ndaki son kay\u0131plar\u0131 konsolide ediyor. Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131na do\u011fru iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendini ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bu-hafta-altin-ne-yapacak-iste-tahminler-ve-yorumlar\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin M\u00fchendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/coinmuhendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-07-18T23:20:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Coin-Muhendisi.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"720\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/bu-hafta-altin-ne-yapacak-iste-tahminler-ve-yorumlar\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/bu-hafta-altin-ne-yapacak-iste-tahminler-ve-yorumlar\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/92661db359d245dcf90385075aee07ed\"},\"headline\":\"Bu Hafta Alt\u0131n Ne Yapacak? 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