{"id":39429,"date":"2022-07-17T16:20:05","date_gmt":"2022-07-17T13:20:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=39429"},"modified":"2022-07-17T16:20:05","modified_gmt":"2022-07-17T13:20:05","slug":"profesyonel-analistler-altin-icin-haftaya-bu-seviyeleri-bekleyin-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/profesyonel-analistler-altin-icin-haftaya-bu-seviyeleri-bekleyin-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Profesyonel Analistler: Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in Haftaya Bu Seviyeleri Bekleyin!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Piyasalar\u0131n faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini yeniden fiyatlamas\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman \u00e7ekicili\u011finin \u00e7o\u011funu alt\u0131ndan \u00e7almas\u0131yla alt\u0131n zor bir hafta ge\u00e7irdi. Gelecek hafta analistler, ons ba\u015f\u0131na 1.700 dolar seviyesinin alt\u0131n i\u00e7in tehlikeli bir alan olmas\u0131 nedeniyle temkinli olmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n i\u00e7in bu hafta nas\u0131l ge\u00e7ti?<\/b><\/p>\n

ANZ\u2019nin k\u0131demli emtia stratejisti Daniel Hynes, \u201cYat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n piyasalardaki riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f tonuyla USD lehine de\u011ferli metalden ka\u00e7\u0131nmas\u0131yla alt\u0131n 11 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi\u201d dedi. K\u0131ymetli metal, haftay\u0131 y\u00fczde 2\u2019den fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapat\u0131yor. Birka\u00e7 y\u0131ld\u0131r ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyen ard\u0131\u015f\u0131k be\u015finci kay\u0131p haftas\u0131n\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131. Y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bug\u00fcne kadar alt\u0131n y\u00fczde 7 civar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Yazma s\u0131ras\u0131nda, A\u011fustos Comex vadeli i\u015flemleri ons ba\u015f\u0131na 1.702.50 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
<\/figure>\n

Bu haftaki 40 dolarl\u0131k sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n arkas\u0131ndaki ana tetikleyici, Haziran ay\u0131nda y\u0131ll\u0131k fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 9,1 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Temmuz ay\u0131 i\u00e7in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerinin yeniden fiyatland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7an \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 ABD enflasyon raporuydu. Veriler yay\u0131nlanmadan \u00f6nce piyasalar 75 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f bekliyordu. Ancak, enflasyon rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan piyasalar art\u0131k 100 baz puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131 d\u0131\u015flamad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu da Bank of Canada\u2019n\u0131n piyasay\u0131 100 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fla \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi. Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Tiff Macklem \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc gazetecilere verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, \u201cBu b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckteki art\u0131\u015f \u00e7ok ola\u011fand\u0131\u015f\u0131. Enflasyon \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek ve daha fazla insan y\u00fcksek enflasyonun burada kalaca\u011f\u0131ndan endi\u015fe ediyor.\u201d Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, ABD dolar\u0131 endeksi 20 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc, getiriler y\u00fckseldi. Alt\u0131n d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc ve k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcreli\u011fine ons ba\u015f\u0131na 1.700 dolar seviyesinin alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

TD Securities, alt\u0131nda negatif fakt\u00f6rlere i\u015faret ediyor<\/b><\/p>\n

Hynes, \u201cK\u00fcresel bir ekonomik yava\u015flama olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan endi\u015fe duyan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, USD\u2019ye s\u0131\u011f\u0131nmak yerine varl\u0131ktan ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, de\u011ferli metale olan maruziyeti azalt\u0131yor\u201d dedi. T\u00dcFE\u2019deki bir art\u0131\u015f, Fed\u2019in bu ay\u0131n sonlar\u0131nda faiz oranlar\u0131nda bir ba\u015fka b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015fa devam etme kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir. Comex\u2019teki net uzun pozisyonlar \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine ula\u015f\u0131rken, k\u00fcl\u00e7e destekli ETF\u2019ler ge\u00e7en hafta varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 29 ton azaltt\u0131.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
<\/figure>\n

TD Securities k\u00fcresel emtia stratejisi ba\u015fkan\u0131 Bart Melek, ister 100 baz puanl\u0131k ister 75 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f olsun, Fed\u2019in Temmuz toplant\u0131s\u0131nda enflasyonla m\u00fccadele konusundaki kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Melek, \u201cEnflasyon sorun olmaya devam edecek ve Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 gerektirecek, bu da alt\u0131n i\u00e7in negatif\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

Haziran bireysel sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n Haziran ay\u0131nda beklentileri a\u015fmas\u0131yla birlikte Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma alan\u0131 var. Melek, \u201cFed ger\u00e7ekten y\u00fczde 2 enflasyona ba\u011fl\u0131 kal\u0131rsa, faiz oranlar\u0131 insanlar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden daha y\u00fcksek olabilir\u201d dedi. Ancak, Fed sonunda \u00e7ok fazla s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmadan uzakla\u015fmak zorunda kalacak. Melek, \u201cVe di\u011fer y\u00f6ne d\u00f6nd\u00fcklerinde Alt\u0131n parlayacak\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

1.700 dolarl\u0131k alan alt\u0131n i\u00e7in neden tehlikeli?<\/b><\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n\u0131n ons ba\u015f\u0131na 1.700 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rmesinin \u00fczerinden \u00e7ok uzun zaman ge\u00e7ti\u011fi i\u00e7in, bunun hemen alt\u0131nda \u00e7ok fazla destek seviyesi yok ve bu nedenle analistlere g\u00f6re daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir sat\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilir. Gainesville Coins de\u011ferli metaller uzman\u0131 Everett Millman, \u201cAlt\u0131n bekledi\u011fimden daha fazla d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Haftalard\u0131r \u00e7o\u011fumuz 1.700 dolar\u0131n olas\u0131 bir destek seviyesi oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyoruz, \u015fu anda bulundu\u011fumuz nokta bu\u201d dedi. \u201cA\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek. Piyasalar\u0131n yeni Fed beklentilerini ve y\u00fcksek dolar\u0131 tamamen sindirmesi biraz daha uzun s\u00fcrecek.\u201d<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

K\u0131sa vadede alt\u0131n\u0131n 1.600-1.550 dolara ula\u015fma \u015fans\u0131 var, ancak bu Millman\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l sonuna do\u011fru y\u00fckselece\u011fine dair uzun vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirmiyor. Alt\u0131n\u0131n ons ba\u015f\u0131na 1.700 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda en son i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc zaman, pandemi vurmadan hemen \u00f6nceydi. Ve \u015fimdi, fiyatlar\u0131 bir kez daha oraya g\u00f6t\u00fcren olumsuz geri besleme d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc tehlikesiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya, diye uyard\u0131 Millman ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki ifadeleri kulland\u0131:<\/p>\n

\u201cPiyasa beklentisi ve anlat\u0131m\u0131 bu yaz daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar i\u00e7in yeniden fiyatland\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, bu teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc etkileyecek. Fiyatlar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde olumsuz geri bildirim d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc, daha fazla teknik t\u00fcccar aral\u0131klar\u0131 g\u00fcncelleyecek ve alt\u0131na daha az y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6sterecek.\u201d<\/p>\n

RJO Futures k\u0131demli emtia komisyoncusu Bob Haberkorn, 1.700 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131n i\u00e7in kritik bir nokta oldu\u011funu ve pazarl\u0131k avc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u015fu anda dipten sat\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Haberkorn, \u201cAlt\u0131n bu ortamda m\u00fccadele edecek\u201d dedi. \u201cFed\u2019den 100 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f, al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zdan \u00f6nemli ve alt\u0131n\u0131 etkileyecek.\u201d Melek, ilk b\u00fcy\u00fck destek seviyesi olarak 1.679 dolar ve diren\u00e7 seviyeleri olarak 1.818-1.812 dolar izledi\u011fini s\u00f6zlerine ekledi.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Getiri e\u011frisinin tersine \u00e7evrilmesi alt\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir<\/b><\/p>\n

Analistler, ileriye d\u00f6n\u00fck alt\u0131n i\u00e7in potansiyel bir pozitif itici g\u00fc\u00e7, getiri e\u011frisinin tersine \u00e7evrilmesi oldu\u011funu ekledi. ABD, 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ve 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k Hazine getirilerinin tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6rd\u00fc, bu da iki y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvillerinin getirilerinin art\u0131k on y\u0131ll\u0131k getirilerden daha y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na geliyor. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte bu, piyasalar\u0131n bug\u00fcnlerde giderek daha fazla fiyatlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yakla\u015fan bir durgunlu\u011fa i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n

Commerzbank analistleri, \u201cVerimlerdeki fark \u015fu anda son 22 y\u0131lda herhangi bir zamandan daha b\u00fcy\u00fck\u201d dedi. \u201cAlt\u0131n bundan ger\u00e7ekten g\u00fcvenli liman olarak faydalanmal\u0131. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda ve \u00e7eyreklerde daha y\u00fcksek alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rmemizin bir nedeni de bu.\u201d<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

\u0130zlenecek veriler<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerine odaklan\u0131lacak. Ancak Fed, Cumartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc karartma d\u00f6nemine girerken konuyla ilgili sessiz kalacak. Bu, 27 Temmuz toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde Fed yetkililerinden ek bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f olmayaca\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

    \n
  • Sal\u0131: ABD in\u015faat izinleri ve konut ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7lar\u0131<\/li>\n
  • \u00c7ar\u015famba: ABD mevcut ev sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131<\/li>\n
  • Per\u015fembe: ECB faiz karar\u0131, ABD i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131, Philadelphia Fed imalat endeksi<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Piyasalar\u0131n faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini yeniden fiyatlamas\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman \u00e7ekicili\u011finin \u00e7o\u011funu alt\u0131ndan \u00e7almas\u0131yla alt\u0131n …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":39430,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[545,672],"class_list":["post-39429","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-abd","tag-yuksek"],"yoast_head":"\nProfesyonel Analistler: Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in Haftaya Bu Seviyeleri Bekleyin! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/profesyonel-analistler-altin-icin-haftaya-bu-seviyeleri-bekleyin-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Profesyonel Analistler: Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in Haftaya Bu Seviyeleri Bekleyin!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Piyasalar\u0131n faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini yeniden fiyatlamas\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman \u00e7ekicili\u011finin \u00e7o\u011funu alt\u0131ndan \u00e7almas\u0131yla alt\u0131n ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/profesyonel-analistler-altin-icin-haftaya-bu-seviyeleri-bekleyin-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin M\u00fchendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/coinmuhendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-07-17T13:20:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Coin-Muhendisi.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"720\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/profesyonel-analistler-altin-icin-haftaya-bu-seviyeleri-bekleyin-2\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/profesyonel-analistler-altin-icin-haftaya-bu-seviyeleri-bekleyin-2\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/92661db359d245dcf90385075aee07ed\"},\"headline\":\"Profesyonel Analistler: Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in Haftaya Bu Seviyeleri Bekleyin!\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-07-17T13:20:05+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/profesyonel-analistler-altin-icin-haftaya-bu-seviyeleri-bekleyin-2\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1153,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/profesyonel-analistler-altin-icin-haftaya-bu-seviyeleri-bekleyin-2\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"\",\"keywords\":[\"Abd\",\"Y\u00fcksek\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Coin\",\"NFT\"],\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/profesyonel-analistler-altin-icin-haftaya-bu-seviyeleri-bekleyin-2\\\/#respond\"]}],\"copyrightYear\":\"2022\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/profesyonel-analistler-altin-icin-haftaya-bu-seviyeleri-bekleyin-2\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/profesyonel-analistler-altin-icin-haftaya-bu-seviyeleri-bekleyin-2\\\/\",\"name\":\"Profesyonel Analistler: Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in Haftaya Bu Seviyeleri Bekleyin! 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