{"id":38787,"date":"2022-07-15T02:51:14","date_gmt":"2022-07-14T23:51:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=38787"},"modified":"2022-07-15T02:51:14","modified_gmt":"2022-07-14T23:51:14","slug":"4-analist-altin-fiyatlari-icin-carpici-tahminler-yapti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/4-analist-altin-fiyatlari-icin-carpici-tahminler-yapti\/","title":{"rendered":"4 Analist, Alt\u0131n Fiyatlar\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in \u00c7arp\u0131c\u0131 Tahminler Yapt\u0131!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc sert d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. K\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bu ay h\u0131zla y\u00fckselen enflasyonla m\u00fccadele etmek i\u00e7in daha agresif bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na gidebilece\u011fi korkular\u0131ndan ciddi zarar g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Ilya Spivak: Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131, hala a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme sahip<\/b><\/p>\n

Spot alt\u0131n, bas\u0131n zaman\u0131nda %1,3 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 1.712,69 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu. ABD alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flemleri ise %1,52 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 1.709 dolara geriledi. Bu arada dolar, 20 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine yak\u0131n istikrar\u0131n\u0131 koruyor. Bu da di\u011fer para birimlerini elinde bulunduran al\u0131c\u0131lar aras\u0131nda dolar fiyatland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f alt\u0131na olan talebi olumsuz etkiledi.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

G\u00f6sterge ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k Hazine faizler, s\u0131f\u0131r getirili alt\u0131n i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131layarak y\u00fckseldi. Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong>\u2019dan takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczere, ABD\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 Haziran ay\u0131nda %9,1\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Enflasyon, k\u0131rk y\u0131ldan fazla bir s\u00fcrenin en keskin y\u00fckseli\u015fini kaydetti. DailyFX d\u00f6viz stratejisti Ilya Spivak, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

T\u00dcFE verisi oynakl\u0131k yaratt\u0131 ancak y\u00f6n olu\u015fturmad\u0131. Piyasalar \u015fimdi muhtemelen Fed\u2019in \u00f6n y\u00fckleme oranlar\u0131n\u0131 daha fazla bekleyecek. Bununla birlikte, genel olarak daha fazla s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 gerekmiyor. Ancak alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131, hala a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme sahip.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

\u201c75 baz puan\u0131n g\u00fcvercin oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek aptalca olur\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Enflasyon raporunun ard\u0131ndan y\u00fckselen dolar, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k bir y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine g\u00f6nderdi. Ancak dolardaki bir geri \u00e7ekilme, k\u00fcl\u00e7enin keskin bir toparlanma yapmas\u0131na ve seans\u0131 marjinal bir \u015fekilde daha y\u00fcksek bitirmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu. \u00d6te yandan, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u015eimdi Fed\u2019in 26-27 Temmuz\u2019da yapaca\u011f\u0131 politika toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 100 baz puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fck bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 g\u00fcndemde. Alt\u0131n bir enflasyon riskinden korunma arac\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ancak, y\u00fcksek oranlar faiz getirmeyen k\u00fcl\u00e7enin cazibesine zarar veriyor. Ilya Spivak, \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n

75 baz puan\u0131n g\u00fcvercin oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek aptalca olur. Ancak burada Fed\u2019in 75 gibi nesnel olarak b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u015fey yapmas\u0131 riski var. Ayr\u0131ca, alt\u0131n 100 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in ralli yapt\u0131. Alt\u0131n, art\u0131k 1.715-1.717 dolarda destek g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Bart Melek: Bunlar\u0131n alt\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmas\u0131 muhtemel<\/b><\/p>\n

TD Securities emtia stratejileri ba\u015fkan\u0131 Bart Melek, T\u00dcFE verisinin, Fed\u2019in oranlar\u0131 agresif bir \u015fekilde art\u0131rmamaktan ve muhtemelen daha uzun s\u00fcre orada tutmaktan daha muhtemel oldu\u011fu fikrini y\u00f6nlendirdi\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Ayr\u0131ca, bu durumun alt\u0131n\u0131n ilk tepki olarak geri \u00e7ekilmesini sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydediyor. Melek, buna ilave olarak \u015fu yorumu yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

Getirilerdeki gerilemenin ve ard\u0131ndan gelen dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmas\u0131 muhtemel. Alt\u0131nda short pozisyon alan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar \u015fu anda bunlar\u0131 kapsayan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck 1.700 dolarlar\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine hareket etti.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Fed \u015fahin duru\u015funu tersine mi \u00e7evirecek?<\/b><\/p>\n

Analistler, ekonomik endi\u015feler devam etse bile, h\u0131zl\u0131 faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerinin alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde s\u0131k\u0131 bir tasma tutma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Ancak City Index piyasa analisti Fawad Razaqzada, bir notta, \u015fu hususlar\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor:<\/p>\n

T\u00dcFE sonras\u0131 tepki, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck enflasyon verilerinin ekonomiye o kadar k\u00f6t\u00fc zarar verece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcklerini ve Fed\u2019in faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131nda durduraca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda ilk \u00e7eyrekte tersine d\u00f6nece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Pablo Piovano: \u00c7ok yak\u0131n vadede alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc devam ediyor<\/b><\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flem piyasalar\u0131na a\u00e7\u0131k faiz, trader\u2019lar\u0131n art arda \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcnl\u00fck art\u0131\u015f\u0131 tersine \u00e7evirdi. Ayr\u0131ca, CME Group\u2019un ileri d\u00fczey verilerine g\u00f6re \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k 5 bin kontratla darald\u0131. Bunun yerine hacim, art arda ikinci seansta 19 binden fazla s\u00f6zle\u015fmeyle artt\u0131.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc 1.700 dolara d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fckten sonra iyi kazan\u00e7lar kaydetti. Bununla birlikte piyasa analisti Pablo Piovano\u2019ya g\u00f6re art\u0131\u015f, azalan a\u00e7\u0131k faizin arkas\u0131ndayd\u0131. Ancak, \u015fu an i\u00e7in daha fazla kazan\u00e7 beklentisini biraz azaltt\u0131. Bu arada, 1.700 dolarl\u0131k b\u00f6lge \u00e7ok yak\u0131n vadede d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeye devam ediyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc sert d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. K\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bu ay h\u0131zla y\u00fckselen enflasyonla m\u00fccadele etmek i\u00e7in daha …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":38788,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38787","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft"],"yoast_head":"\n4 Analist, Alt\u0131n Fiyatlar\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in \u00c7arp\u0131c\u0131 Tahminler Yapt\u0131! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/4-analist-altin-fiyatlari-icin-carpici-tahminler-yapti\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"4 Analist, Alt\u0131n Fiyatlar\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in \u00c7arp\u0131c\u0131 Tahminler Yapt\u0131!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc sert d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. 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