{"id":38730,"date":"2022-07-14T22:21:14","date_gmt":"2022-07-14T19:21:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=38730"},"modified":"2022-07-14T22:21:14","modified_gmt":"2022-07-14T19:21:14","slug":"dunyaca-unlu-analistler-altin-yakinda-bu-seviyeleri-gorebilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/dunyaca-unlu-analistler-altin-yakinda-bu-seviyeleri-gorebilir\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00fcnyaca \u00dcnl\u00fc Analistler: Alt\u0131n Yak\u0131nda Bu Seviyeleri G\u00f6rebilir!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 dip seviyelerinden toparland\u0131. Ancak ABD enflasyonunun Haziran ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 9.1 artmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan hala sa\u011flam bir y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesi bulmakta zorlan\u0131yor. Bu noktada bir\u00e7ok analist, s\u0131radaki seviyelerin hangisi olaca\u011f\u0131 hakk\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncelerini aktar\u0131yor. \u0130\u015fte detaylar\u2026<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n i\u00e7in s\u0131rada ne var?<\/b><\/p>\n

De\u011ferli metal geleneksel olarak bir enflasyon riskinden korunma arac\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden, baz\u0131 alt\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 alt\u0131n\u0131n son fiyat hareketinden dolay\u0131 h\u00fcsrana u\u011frad\u0131. Piyasalar en son ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi raporunu sindirirken, alt\u0131n baz\u0131 sa\u011flam kazan\u0131mlar g\u00f6rmeye ba\u015fl\u0131yor. A\u011fustos alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flemleri en son, g\u00fcn i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0.72 art\u0131\u015fla ons ba\u015f\u0131na 1.738.30 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Ancak baz\u0131 analistler, alt\u0131n\u0131n nispeten hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaratan fiyat hareketinin daha geni\u015f bir pazar kapsam\u0131nda mant\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtiyor.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
<\/figure>\n

Alt\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fe ra\u011fmen analistler, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (FED) agresif bir \u015fekilde faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltti\u011fi i\u00e7in piyasalar\u0131n enflasyonu uzun vadeli bir tehdit olarak g\u00f6rmedi\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Bu nedenle de\u011ferli metalin genellikle bir enflasyon riskinden korunma varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olarak m\u00fccadele etti\u011fini belirtiyor. Haziran T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi raporunun ard\u0131ndan, piyasalar \u015fimdi ABD merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n tam olarak y\u00fczde 1.00 oran\u0131nda hareket etme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 50\u2019den fazlaym\u0131\u015f gibi fiyatlan\u0131yor. CPM Group, bir notta a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki ifadeleri kulland\u0131:<\/p>\n

Teoride alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n daha y\u00fcksek enflasyon rakamlar\u0131ndan faydalanmas\u0131 gerekirken, ger\u00e7ek \u015fu ki, bu y\u00fcksek enflasyon rakamlar\u0131, Fed\u2019in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc enflasyonu bast\u0131rmak i\u00e7in oranlar\u0131 art\u0131rmada daha da agresif hale gelebilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu, di\u011fer ana para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ABD dolar\u0131 ile sonu\u00e7lan\u0131yor ve gelecekteki enflasyon beklentilerine bir s\u0131n\u0131r koyuyor.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

FED\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 enflasyonu nas\u0131l etkiliyor?<\/b><\/p>\n

Enflasyon art\u0131yor olsa da, FED\u2019in enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, reel getirileri y\u00fckseltiyor. Bu nedenle ba\u015faba\u015f oranlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesine neden oluyor. Nominal ve reel getiriler aras\u0131ndaki fark olan ba\u015faba\u015f oranlar\u0131, iki y\u0131lda en h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde e\u011fri boyunca d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Saxo Bank emtia stratejisi ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ole Hansen, enflasyon ile y\u00fczde 4\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131ndaki bir y\u0131ll\u0131k\/bir y\u0131ll\u0131k ba\u015faba\u015f oran\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki tutars\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa dikkat \u00e7ekti. Ayn\u0131 zamanda, be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k\/be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k ba\u015faba\u015f oran\u0131 %2.6 civar\u0131nda seyrediyor. Hansen, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki ifadeleri kulland\u0131:<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Enflasyonun y\u0131llar i\u00e7inde olmas\u0131 beklenen yer ile \u015fu anki hali aras\u0131nda %5\u2019lik bir fark var. Enflasyonun %5 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6recek miyiz? Bundan ger\u00e7ekten \u015f\u00fcpheliyim. Ancak \u015fu an i\u00e7in piyasa bunun \u00fczerine bahse giriyor. Fed\u2019in faizleri art\u0131rma ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme yetene\u011fi, enflasyonu da beraberinde getiriyor.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

FED\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131, enflasyon ve alt\u0131n: Nas\u0131l etkiliyor?<\/b><\/p>\n

CIBC\u2019de k\u0131demli ekonomist olan Katherine Judge, FED\u2019in faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 agresif bir \u015fekilde s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131rken enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n gev\u015femeye devam etmesini bekledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. SIA Wealth Management ba\u015f piyasa stratejisti Colin Cieszynski, bak\u0131r\u0131n birka\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle birlikte emtialardaki geni\u015f tabanl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn, durgunluk korkular\u0131n\u0131n enflasyon korkular\u0131n\u0131n yerini ald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda yatan enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 hafiflemeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u201d dedi. \u201cK\u00fcresel resesyon vururken insanlar bir talebin d\u00fc\u015fmesini bekliyor. Bu y\u00fczden emtialar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor\u201d dedi. Bununla birlikte, bir durgunlu\u011fun \u00f6nemli k\u00fcresel arz sorunlar\u0131n\u0131 etkilemek i\u00e7in yeterli talep y\u0131k\u0131m\u0131na neden olup olmayaca\u011f\u0131 sorusu devam ediyor. Bunun, enflasyonun 2023 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar ne kadar kal\u0131c\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirleyece\u011fini de s\u00f6zlerine ekledi.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Ekonomi, arz sorunuyla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya<\/b><\/p>\n

Analistler, k\u00fcresel ekonominin temel arz sorunlar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011funu kaydetti. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc OPEC, petrol talebinin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen g\u00fcnl\u00fck 100,29 milyon varilden 102,99 milyon varile y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yledi. Tahminler, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n kay\u0131plar\u0131ndan etkilenen OPEC d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00fcretimdeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n gerisinde kalmas\u0131 nedeniyle petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n gelecek y\u0131l k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131 kalabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Artan talep ve zay\u0131f arz ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalan tek pazar petrol de\u011fil. Bak\u0131r fiyatlar\u0131 son haftalarda keskin bir \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ancak depo seviyeleri tarihi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerde. Envanter verilerine g\u00f6re, LME depolar\u0131nda Haziran ay\u0131 sonunda sadece 696.109 ton kay\u0131tl\u0131 bak\u0131r bulunuyordu. Analistler, bunun bu y\u00fczy\u0131lda g\u00f6r\u00fclen en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylediler. Alt\u0131n\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, Cieszynski yak\u0131n vadede ons ba\u015f\u0131na 1.680 dolarl\u0131k test deste\u011fini g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edemeyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Bununla birlikte, \u00f6zellikle ABD dolar\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fck ivme kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda, alt\u0131n\u0131n di\u011fer varl\u0131klara k\u0131yasla bir miktar g\u00f6receli g\u00fc\u00e7 g\u00f6stermeye devam etti\u011fini de s\u00f6zlerine ekledi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 dip seviyelerinden toparland\u0131. Ancak ABD enflasyonunun Haziran ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 9.1 artmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan hala sa\u011flam bir y\u00fckseli\u015f …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":38731,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[545],"class_list":["post-38730","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-abd"],"yoast_head":"\nD\u00fcnyaca \u00dcnl\u00fc Analistler: Alt\u0131n Yak\u0131nda Bu Seviyeleri G\u00f6rebilir! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/dunyaca-unlu-analistler-altin-yakinda-bu-seviyeleri-gorebilir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"D\u00fcnyaca \u00dcnl\u00fc Analistler: Alt\u0131n Yak\u0131nda Bu Seviyeleri G\u00f6rebilir!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 dip seviyelerinden toparland\u0131. 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