{"id":37713,"date":"2022-07-11T02:00:05","date_gmt":"2022-07-10T23:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=37713"},"modified":"2022-07-11T02:00:05","modified_gmt":"2022-07-10T23:00:05","slug":"unlu-analistler-haftaya-altin-icin-o-rakamlari-bekleyin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/unlu-analistler-haftaya-altin-icin-o-rakamlari-bekleyin\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00dcnl\u00fc Analistler: Haftaya Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in O Rakamlar\u0131 Bekleyin!"},"content":{"rendered":"
Piyasalar Fed\u2019in Temmuz toplant\u0131s\u0131nda yapaca\u011f\u0131 agresif bir art\u0131\u015fa haz\u0131rlan\u0131rken alt\u0131n, bu hafta 60 dolar kaybetti. Bununla birlikte, sar\u0131 metal daha da b\u00fcy\u00fck bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 savunmas\u0131z kalmaya devam ediyor. Ancak analistler, de\u011ferli metal i\u00e7in bir momentum d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc tetikleyecek potansiyel bir fiyat dip noktas\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
\u201cAlt\u0131n, enflasyon riskleri ile durgunluk endi\u015feleri aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131p kald\u0131\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131, artan durgunluk korkular\u0131 aras\u0131nda g\u00fcvenli liman faizinin \u00e7o\u011funu alan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ABD dolar\u0131 endeksinden zarar g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Standard Chartered de\u011ferli metaller analisti Suki Cooper, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Alt\u0131n en son Eyl\u00fcl 2021\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fclen seviyelere geriledi. Ayr\u0131ca, teknik olarak a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Alt\u0131n, y\u00fckselen enflasyon riskleri ile durgunlu\u011fa ili\u015fkin artan endi\u015feler aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131p kald\u0131. Bu nedenle, ipucunu alt\u0131n yerine g\u00fcvenli liman ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndan yararlanan USD\u2019den almaya d\u00f6nd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cYat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, Fed\u2019in ne kadar y\u00fckse\u011fe \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini ara\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Bunun da \u00f6tesinde, Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc istihdam verileri beklentileri a\u015ft\u0131. ABD ekonomisi Haziran ay\u0131nda 372.000 i\u015f pozisyonu ekledi. \u0130yimser rakam, piyasalara Fed\u2019in iki haftadan biraz fazla bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde Temmuz toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 75 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f daha yapaca\u011f\u0131na dair g\u00fcvence verdi. CME FedWatch Arac\u0131, Temmuz ay\u0131nda 75 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in %95,4 ve 100 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in %4,6 \u015fans g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc rapor, Fed\u2019in ekonomideki talebi so\u011futmak i\u00e7in politika faizleri konusunda daha yapacak \u00e7ok i\u015fi oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bu noktada 75 baz puanl\u0131k bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n neredeyse kesin oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Allianz Investment Management k\u0131demli yat\u0131r\u0131m stratejisti Charlie Ripley, \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Buradan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli olan Fed\u2019in faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 de\u011fil, ekonomiyi yava\u015flatmak i\u00e7in ne kadar y\u00fckse\u011fe \u00e7\u0131kmalar\u0131 gerekti\u011fi.<\/p>\n
Edward Moya: Alt\u0131n i\u00e7in anahtar seviye bu!<\/b><\/p>\n
Analistler, alt\u0131n i\u00e7in daha fazla a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Fiyatlar\u0131n 1.700 dolar\u0131 ve hatta potansiyel olarak 1.650 dolar\u0131 test edebilece\u011fini belirtiyor. Ancak, OANDA k\u0131demli piyasa analisti Edward Moya Kitco News\u2019e verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n bu seviyelerden metale geri d\u00f6nmesiyle bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlar\u0131n muhtemelen dip noktas\u0131 olarak hizmet edece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Analist, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini \u015fu \u015fekilde a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Bu hafta 1.800 dolar k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 muazzamd\u0131. Daha ne kadar g\u00f6rece\u011fiz? Hala alt\u0131n\u0131n 1.700 dolar\u0131 test etmek i\u00e7in savunmas\u0131z olabilece\u011fi bir piyasaya bak\u0131yoruz. \u0130\u015fler \u00e7irkinle\u015firse, alt\u0131n 1.650-1.675 dolar aras\u0131nda savunmas\u0131z kalabilir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc, al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n geri d\u00f6nece\u011fi yer oras\u0131. Alt\u0131n bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 savunmas\u0131z. Anahtar seviye bu. \u00dcst y\u00f6nde, 1.770 dolar alt\u0131n\u0131n kilit diren\u00e7 seviyesi.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cAlt\u0131n\u0131n \u015fimdilik bir g\u00fcvenli liman primi var\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Suki Cooper, 1.690 dolar\u0131 izliyor. Analist, bu seviyeyi alt\u0131n\u0131n \u2018daha zay\u0131f fiyat taban\u0131\u2019 olarak vurguluyor. Ayr\u0131ca Temmuz d\u00f6nemini talep i\u00e7in mevsimsel olarak yava\u015f bir d\u00f6nem olarak nitelendiriyor. Buradan hareketle analist, \u015fu yorumu yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n\u0131n \u015fimdilik bir g\u00fcvenli liman primi var. Ancak \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde a\u015f\u0131nd\u0131. Alt\u0131n\u0131n makro s\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fclerden ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 almaya devam etmesini bekliyoruz. Bu nedenle fiyatlar y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen zamanlar\u0131nda daha dipleri test edebilir. Ancak enflasyonla ilgili endi\u015felerin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Analistlere g\u00f6re, alt\u0131n anlat\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncelikle piyasan\u0131n Federal Rezerv faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 nas\u0131l fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131. Edward Moya, konuya ili\u015fkin olarak \u015funlar\u0131 kaydediyor:<\/p>\n
Bu haftan\u0131n ilk d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, getirilerin Fed taraf\u0131ndan daha fazla s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131larak daha fazla fiyatland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 nedeniyle Hazine piyasas\u0131nda olanlara bir tepkiydi. Fed\u2019in t\u00fcm s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131nda Wall Street\u2019in tam fiyatland\u0131rmaya yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmeye ba\u015fl\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201c\u0130\u015fte alt\u0131n o zaman istikrara kavu\u015facak\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Ancak piyasalar Temmuz ay\u0131ndaki bu Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6tesine ge\u00e7ti\u011finde, makro ortam alt\u0131n aramaya ba\u015flayacak. Moya, gelecek haftaki ABD enflasyon raporunun buna yard\u0131mc\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Analiste g\u00f6re, beklenti, enflasyon raporunun ay\u0131n ilerleyen aylar\u0131nda 75 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flamla\u015ft\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Bu ba\u011flamda analist, \u015fu tahminlerini payla\u015f\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Ve bu ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011finde, alt\u0131n Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma beklentilerinin b\u00fcy\u00fck zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile bir at\u0131l\u0131m yapacak. Bir h\u0131\u00e7k\u0131r\u0131k teknik sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 olabilir. Bu nedenle alt\u0131n\u0131n 1.726 dolar seviyesinde ne yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 izlemek \u00f6nemli. S\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma \u00fczerinde anla\u015fmaya var\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ve piyasalar bunun tamamen fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131na inand\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, alt\u0131n istikrara kavu\u015facak.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Gelecek haftan\u0131n verileri<\/b><\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta yak\u0131ndan izlenecek bir veri seti, Haziran ay\u0131 ABD\u2019nin y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon raporu olacak. Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong>\u2019dan takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczere piyasa, May\u0131s ay\u0131ndaki %8,6\u2019dan %8,7\u2019ye y\u00fckselmesini bekliyor. Pepperstone\u2019un ara\u015ft\u0131rma ba\u015fkan\u0131 Chris Weston, enflasyon beklentilerini \u015fu \u015fekilde yorumluyor:<\/p>\n
Enflasyonun zirve yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair pek \u00e7ok i\u015faret var. Ne yaz\u0131k ki devrilmeyecek ve \u2018plato\u2019 kelimesi daha uygun. Piyasay\u0131 man\u015fet enflasyona daha duyarl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum. Risk, bunun konsens\u00fcs\u00fcn hemen \u00fczerinde gelmesi. B\u00fcy\u00fck bir T\u00dcFE rakam\u0131, 27 Temmuz FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131nda Fed\u2019den 75 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f beklentilerini sa\u011flamla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r. Piyasa bunu sert bir \u015fekilde fiyatl\u0131yor ve Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda 50 baz puan daha var.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Piyasalar Fed\u2019in Temmuz toplant\u0131s\u0131nda yapaca\u011f\u0131 agresif bir art\u0131\u015fa haz\u0131rlan\u0131rken alt\u0131n, bu hafta 60 dolar kaybetti. Bununla birlikte, sar\u0131 metal …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":37714,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[55],"class_list":["post-37713","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-piyasa"],"yoast_head":"\n
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