{"id":36609,"date":"2022-07-05T09:30:08","date_gmt":"2022-07-05T06:30:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=36609"},"modified":"2022-07-05T09:30:08","modified_gmt":"2022-07-05T06:30:08","slug":"tbb-cakar-kur-uzerindeki-baskiyi-azaltacak-aksiyonlari-almak-zorundayiz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/tbb-cakar-kur-uzerindeki-baskiyi-azaltacak-aksiyonlari-almak-zorundayiz\/","title":{"rendered":"TBB\/\u00c7akar: Kur \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 azaltacak aksiyonlar\u0131 almak zorunday\u0131z"},"content":{"rendered":"

Habert\u00fcrk\u2019e konuk olan T\u00fcrkiye Bankalar Birli\u011fi (TBB) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Alparslan \u00c7akar, BDDK’n\u0131n ticari krediler i\u00e7in D\u00f6viz \u015fart\u0131 karar\u0131n\u0131n piyasalara yans\u0131mas\u0131 hakk\u0131nda K\u00fcbra Par,\u00a0 Genel Yay\u0131n Y\u00f6netmeni Yavuz Barlas ve Bloomberg HT Genel Yay\u0131n Y\u00f6netmeni A\u00e7\u0131l Sezen’in sorular\u0131n\u0131 yan\u0131tl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7akar’\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131ndan \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan ba\u015fl\u0131klar \u015f\u00f6yle:<\/p>\n

Enflasyonu \u00fc\u00e7 temel boyutuyla de\u011ferlendirmek laz\u0131m. Birinci boyut maliyet enflasyonu. Gerek pandemi ve devam\u0131nda petrol fiyat\u0131nda ciddi anlamda s\u0131\u00e7rama olmu\u015ftu. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131na ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda d\u00fcnyada enflasyon, ticaret hacmine y\u00f6nelik beklentiler vard\u0131. B\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 y\u00fczde 3,5’tu. Bu sene y\u00fczde 4 civar\u0131nda bir \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc vard\u0131. K\u00fcresel ekonomi farkl\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7lerden ge\u00e7iyor. \u015eubat ay\u0131nda Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 oyunun dengesini bozdu. Do\u011falgaz, petrol, enerji a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, g\u0131da \u00fcr\u00fcnleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan hakikaten \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck potansiyel. Euro b\u00f6lgesinin Rusya’dan enerji al\u0131m\u0131 y\u00fczde 38’di. 4 \u00fclkenin enerjisinin y\u00fczde 100’\u00fcn\u00fc Rusya kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Zaten enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f, sava\u015f\u0131n getirdi\u011fi tedarik zincirindeki bozulma arz\u0131 negatif etkiledi. Bu b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyaya enflasyon olarak yans\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n

Biz Euro b\u00f6lgesinde olsayd\u0131k enflasyonumuz y\u00fczde 70 mi olacakt\u0131? Hay\u0131r. Her \u00fclkenin kendisine g\u00f6re ger\u00e7ekli\u011fi farkl\u0131. ABD’de son 40 y\u0131l\u0131n enflasyonu var. Geli\u015fmi\u015f olan \u00fclkelerde 1993’den bu tarafa en y\u00fcksek enflasyon var. Geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde 1983 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bug\u00fcne en y\u00fcksek enflasyon var. Biz net enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkeyiz. Ge\u00e7en sene y\u0131l boyunca \u00fclkemizin faturas\u0131 51 milyar dolard\u0131. Biz cari fazla veriyoruz. Enerji girildi\u011finde i\u015fin rengi de\u011fi\u015fiyor maalesef. Enerjiden kaynaklanan ciddi cari a\u00e7\u0131k \u00e7\u0131k\u0131nca net olarak kur \u00fczerine bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. O kadar yabanc\u0131 paray\u0131 bulman\u0131z laz\u0131m. Kur enflasyon anlam\u0131na gelir. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n maliyetler \u00fczerinde etkisi, \u00f6zellikle kur \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131s\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ciddi bir maliyet enflasyonunu yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan ithal etmi\u015f oluyoruz.<\/p>\n

Hem maliyet enflasyonu hem enflasyon birle\u015fti\u011finde fiyat mekanizmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilirin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Enflasyon enflasyonu do\u011furuyor. Ben enflasyonun y\u0131l sonunda y\u00fczde 50’ler seviyesine d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyorum. Turizm gelirleri dolay\u0131s\u0131yla cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n gerektirdi\u011fi likiditenin bulunabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n

Biz ithalat yaparak ihracat yapan bir \u00fclkeyiz. \u0130thal etti\u011fimiz her \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn fiyat\u0131 artmaya ba\u015fl\u0131yor. Enflasyon enflasyonu do\u011fruyor. Fiyatlama mekanizmas\u0131n\u0131 bozuyor. Olmamas\u0131 gereken fiyatlar etiketlere yans\u0131maya ba\u015fl\u0131yor. Bu rasyonel bir fiyatlama de\u011fil asl\u0131nda. Y\u00fczde 78 seviyesindeki beklenti enflasyonunun y\u00fczde 40’dan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kanaatindeyim. Y\u0131l sonunda enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimine ge\u00e7ece\u011fini ve y\u00fczde 50 oran\u0131nda g\u00f6rebilece\u011fimizi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Y\u0131l sonuna do\u011fru a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya do\u011fru evrilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Ge\u00e7en sene Ekim ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2,5 ay\u0131nda, Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda yan\u0131lm\u0131yorsam y\u00fczde 3,5, Ocak’ta da y\u00fczde 11’di. Art\u0131k a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde olaca\u011f\u0131 kanaatindeyim.<\/p>\n

Enflasyon asl\u0131nda cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n sonucu olan bir durumdur. Kur de\u011fi\u015fimi T\u00fcrkiye’de her zaman enflasyonu do\u011furmu\u015ftur. Yeni ekonomik modelde \u00fcretimin, arz\u0131n, ihracat\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Katma de\u011ferli arz\u0131 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda cari fazla verirseniz. Arz talebi kar\u015f\u0131layaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in orada bir enflasyon sonucunu do\u011furmayacakt\u0131r. 2019 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnyada ekonomik kriz vard\u0131, 2020’de pandemi geldi. Pandemi sonras\u0131 hafif toparlanma olurken sava\u015f \u00fcst\u00fcne bindi. Cari a\u00e7\u0131k makas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131. Sava\u015f de\u011fil, enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f olmasayd\u0131 cari fazla verecektik ve enflasyonla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmayacakt\u0131k. Yeni ekonomik model cari fazlay\u0131 yakalamak i\u00e7in olmazsa olmaz. Bu sene y\u00fczde 7.3 civar\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fck. Bu d\u00f6nemde istihdam\u0131 artt\u0131rd\u0131k. 34 milyon civar\u0131nda istihdama ula\u015ft\u0131k. Biz d\u00fcnya gelirinden pay almak zorunday\u0131z, insan\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n refah\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131rmak, istihdam yaratmak zorunday\u0131z. Altyap\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda \u00e7ok ciddi mesafe ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Enflasyon, y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131yla bu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 yapabilme \u015fans\u0131n\u0131z yok. \u00dcretim fazlas\u0131 vererek b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi sa\u011flayabilirsiniz.<\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcn itibar\u0131yla faiz oranlar\u0131yla enflasyon aras\u0131ndaki ba\u011f b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyada koptu. Geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelere bak\u0131n faiz oran\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131na gittiler; ancak bundan sonra da agresif bir \u015fekilde faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na gidemeyecekler. Euro b\u00f6lgesinde resesyon net olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015fland\u0131. Bizde durgunluk veya resesyon anlam\u0131nda herhangi bir \u015fey s\u00f6zkonusu de\u011fil. Biz makul finansmanla \u00fclke ekonomisini b\u00fcy\u00fctmeye devam ediyoruz. Bug\u00fcn faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 70-80’lere getirirseniz ekonominin tamamen tepetaklak olmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelir. Bizim \u00fclkemizde bunun olmas\u0131 s\u00f6zkonusu olamaz. Biz cari fazla verecek \u015fekilde firmalar\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131m, \u00fcretimlerine destek olacak, finansman maliyetinin y\u00f6netilebilir k\u0131lmak ad\u0131na makul faiz oran\u0131yla kredilendirme yap\u0131yor olmal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/p>\n

Arz\u0131 art\u0131rmak durumunday\u0131z. Bunun i\u00e7in de \u00fclkede sanayi \u00e7ok ciddi geli\u015fim i\u00e7erisinde. Turizme bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 2019 y\u0131l\u0131nda 35 milyar dolar gelire sahipti. Ge\u00e7en sene 24 milyard\u0131. Bu sene 6.6 milyar dolar. 2019 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki turizm gelirini ge\u00e7iyor olaca\u011f\u0131z. Turizm gelirimizle enerji faturam\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6deyebiliyorduk. Bug\u00fcn itibar\u0131yla o korelasyon koptu. \u0130malat, turizm, tar\u0131m ve di\u011fer sekt\u00f6rlerin tamam\u0131nda ciddi canlanma s\u00f6zkonusu. Gerek BDDK, gerek Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n krediyle ilgili kararlara bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, kur \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 azaltmas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en son BDDK’n\u0131n firmalar\u0131n kredi kullan\u0131m\u0131na ili\u015fkin d\u00fczenleme oldu. Bunlar\u0131n tamam\u0131 bir taraftan da talebin y\u00f6netilmesine ili\u015fkin kararlar. Biz beklentileri de bu paralelde y\u00f6netmek durumunday\u0131z. B\u00fct\u00fcn etkileri ve parametreleri bir arada d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek laz\u0131m; faiz, kur, enflasyon, b\u00fcy\u00fcme, \u00f6deme dengesi, istihdam. Bug\u00fcn itibariyle \u00fclke ekonomisi canl\u0131, 800 milyar dolarl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fck i\u00e7erisinde, ihracat rekorlar\u0131 k\u0131ran d\u00f6nemden ge\u00e7iyoruz. Bunun mutlaka bir neticesi olacak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Habert\u00fcrk\u2019e konuk olan T\u00fcrkiye Bankalar Birli\u011fi (TBB) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Alparslan \u00c7akar, BDDK’n\u0131n ticari krediler i\u00e7in D\u00f6viz \u015fart\u0131 karar\u0131n\u0131n piyasalara …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":36610,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[481,503],"class_list":["post-36609","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-altcoin","tag-enerji","tag-ulke"],"yoast_head":"\nTBB\/\u00c7akar: Kur \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 azaltacak aksiyonlar\u0131 almak zorunday\u0131z - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/tbb-cakar-kur-uzerindeki-baskiyi-azaltacak-aksiyonlari-almak-zorundayiz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"TBB\/\u00c7akar: Kur \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 azaltacak aksiyonlar\u0131 almak zorunday\u0131z\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Habert\u00fcrk\u2019e konuk olan T\u00fcrkiye Bankalar Birli\u011fi (TBB) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Alparslan \u00c7akar, BDDK'n\u0131n ticari krediler i\u00e7in D\u00f6viz \u015fart\u0131 karar\u0131n\u0131n piyasalara ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/tbb-cakar-kur-uzerindeki-baskiyi-azaltacak-aksiyonlari-almak-zorundayiz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin M\u00fchendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/coinmuhendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-07-05T06:30:08+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/tbbcakar-kur-uzerindeki-baskiyi-azaltacak-aksiyonlari-almak-zorundayiz-kgpVMWsv-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"627\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/tbb-cakar-kur-uzerindeki-baskiyi-azaltacak-aksiyonlari-almak-zorundayiz\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/tbb-cakar-kur-uzerindeki-baskiyi-azaltacak-aksiyonlari-almak-zorundayiz\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/92661db359d245dcf90385075aee07ed\"},\"headline\":\"TBB\\\/\u00c7akar: Kur \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 azaltacak aksiyonlar\u0131 almak zorunday\u0131z\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-07-05T06:30:08+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/tbb-cakar-kur-uzerindeki-baskiyi-azaltacak-aksiyonlari-almak-zorundayiz\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1045,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/tbb-cakar-kur-uzerindeki-baskiyi-azaltacak-aksiyonlari-almak-zorundayiz\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/07\\\/tbbcakar-kur-uzerindeki-baskiyi-azaltacak-aksiyonlari-almak-zorundayiz-kgpVMWsv-1.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Enerji\u0307\",\"\u00dclke\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Altcoin\"],\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/tbb-cakar-kur-uzerindeki-baskiyi-azaltacak-aksiyonlari-almak-zorundayiz\\\/#respond\"]}],\"copyrightYear\":\"2022\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/tbb-cakar-kur-uzerindeki-baskiyi-azaltacak-aksiyonlari-almak-zorundayiz\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/tbb-cakar-kur-uzerindeki-baskiyi-azaltacak-aksiyonlari-almak-zorundayiz\\\/\",\"name\":\"TBB\\\/\u00c7akar: Kur \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 azaltacak aksiyonlar\u0131 almak zorunday\u0131z - 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