{"id":34825,"date":"2022-06-28T18:00:10","date_gmt":"2022-06-28T15:00:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=34825"},"modified":"2022-06-28T18:00:10","modified_gmt":"2022-06-28T15:00:10","slug":"2024-fed-tahminleri-netlesiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/2024-fed-tahminleri-netlesiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"2024 Fed tahminleri netle\u015fiyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma patikas\u0131nda ilerlemesiyle birlikte resesyon tahminlerine art\u0131k Fed\u2019in ilk faiz indirimini ne zaman yapaca\u011f\u0131na dair \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcler e\u015flik ediyor. S&P Global, ABD\u2019de, 2023\u2019te d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranl\u0131 bir yava\u015flama \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcrken, Fed\u2019in bu y\u0131l \u00f6nden y\u00fcklemeli faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na devam edece\u011fini tahmin etti.<\/p>\n

Kurum ilk faiz indiriminin 2024 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte gelece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Piyasada 2024\u2019te resesyon riskinin hafife al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulayan Goldman Sachs stratejistleri ise Fed\u2019in bu d\u00f6nem daha g\u00fcvercin politikalara y\u00f6nelebilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

2008 krizinde a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u0131sa pozisyonlarla bilinen Scion Asset Management Kurucusu Michael Burry ise perakende sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde olu\u015fan arz fazlas\u0131n\u0131n Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 geri almas\u0131yla sonu\u00e7lanabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Piyasada faiz swaplar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi Fed\u2019in politika faizi beklentisi Mart 2023\u2019 i\u00e7in %3,60 seviyesinde bulunuyor. Birka\u00e7 hafta \u00f6nce ayn\u0131 vade i\u00e7in %4 fiyatlamas\u0131 yap\u0131l\u0131yordu. Fiyatlamalar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesinde Fed\u2019in faiz indirimine gidece\u011fi beklentileri rol oynuyor.<\/p>\n

Agresif s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc <\/strong><\/b><\/p>\n

Fed son toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 75 baz puan ile 1994\u2019ten bu yana en b\u00fcy\u00fck faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirirken, Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell bir sonraki toplant\u0131da da 75 veya 50 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015fa gidilebilece\u011fi mesaj\u0131n\u0131 vermi\u015fti. <\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan Fed yetkilileri faizlerin aral\u0131k ay\u0131na kadar y\u00fczde 3,4, 2023 sonuna kadar da y\u00fczde 3,8\u2019e y\u00fckselece\u011fini tahmin etti. Mart ay\u0131ndaki tahminler s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 1,9 ve y\u00fczde 2,8 seviyesindeydi. Powell\u2019\u0131n \u201c75 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131k \u015fekilde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ad\u0131m ve bu b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckteki ad\u0131mlar\u0131n yayg\u0131n hale gelmesini beklemiyorum\u201d demesi \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ihtimalini masadan kald\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma patikas\u0131nda ilerlemesiyle birlikte resesyon tahminlerine art\u0131k Fed\u2019in ilk faiz indirimini ne zaman yapaca\u011f\u0131na dair \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcler …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":34826,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-34825","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-altcoin"],"yoast_head":"\n2024 Fed tahminleri netle\u015fiyor - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/2024-fed-tahminleri-netlesiyor\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2024 Fed tahminleri netle\u015fiyor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma patikas\u0131nda ilerlemesiyle birlikte resesyon tahminlerine art\u0131k Fed\u2019in ilk faiz indirimini ne zaman yapaca\u011f\u0131na dair \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcler ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/2024-fed-tahminleri-netlesiyor\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin M\u00fchendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/coinmuhendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-06-28T15:00:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Coin-Muhendisi.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"720\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/2024-fed-tahminleri-netlesiyor\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/2024-fed-tahminleri-netlesiyor\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/92661db359d245dcf90385075aee07ed\"},\"headline\":\"2024 Fed tahminleri netle\u015fiyor\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-06-28T15:00:10+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/2024-fed-tahminleri-netlesiyor\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":324,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/2024-fed-tahminleri-netlesiyor\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"\",\"articleSection\":[\"Altcoin\"],\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/2024-fed-tahminleri-netlesiyor\\\/#respond\"]}],\"copyrightYear\":\"2022\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/2024-fed-tahminleri-netlesiyor\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/2024-fed-tahminleri-netlesiyor\\\/\",\"name\":\"2024 Fed tahminleri netle\u015fiyor - 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