{"id":34757,"date":"2022-06-28T11:00:09","date_gmt":"2022-06-28T08:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=34757"},"modified":"2022-06-28T11:00:09","modified_gmt":"2022-06-28T08:00:09","slug":"dunyaca-unlu-3-isim-altin-ve-bu-2si-en-iyi-yatirimlar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/dunyaca-unlu-3-isim-altin-ve-bu-2si-en-iyi-yatirimlar\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00fcnyaca \u00dcnl\u00fc 3 \u0130sim: Alt\u0131n ve Bu 2\u2019si En \u0130yi Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Lin Asset Management Kurucusu Chen Lin, Fed\u2019in sonunda vazge\u00e7mek zorunda kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Exploration Insights\u2019\u0131n Kurucusu Brent Cook, daha fazla \u00fclkenin, rezervlerine alt\u0131n koymaya ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Kaiser Research Online\u2019\u0131n Kurucusu John Kaiser ise dolar\u0131n rezerv para stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc kaybedece\u011fini iddia ediyor. \u00dcnl\u00fc isimlerin piyasalar ve alt\u0131n hakk\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini okuyucular\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7in haz\u0131rlad\u0131k.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015fte o zaman alt\u0131n \u00e7ok sert bir \u015fekilde y\u00fckselecek<\/b><\/p>\n

Lin Asset Management Kurucusu Chen Lin, ABD ekonomisinin zaten bir durgunluk i\u00e7inde olabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Ayr\u0131ca, ikinci \u00e7eyrek Gayri Safi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131la (GSY\u0130H) a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli g\u00f6sterge olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydediyor. Chen Lin, alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131n\u0131n tarihsel olarak ekonomik toparlanmalara ve borsa toparlanmalar\u0131na \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck etti\u011fini belirtiyor. Buna ek olarak bu sefer de farkl\u0131 olmamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Durgunluktan ne zaman \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yoruz? San\u0131r\u0131m, bir g\u00fcn, Fed sonunda g\u00f6zlerini k\u0131rpacak. \u2018Art\u0131k b\u00f6yle s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131ramay\u0131z\u2019 diyecekler. \u0130\u015fte o zaman alt\u0131n \u00e7ok sert bir \u015fekilde y\u00fckselecek. \u0130\u015fte o zaman resesyondan \u00e7\u0131kmaya ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Fed, enflasyon ve piyasalar<\/b><\/p>\n

Coinmuhendisi.com’<\/strong>dan takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczer Fed en son 75 baz puanl\u0131k bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yapt\u0131. Lin, Fed\u2019in faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 enflasyonla yeterince m\u00fccadele edecek bir d\u00fczeye y\u00fckseltme yetene\u011finden yoksun oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Eski Fed ba\u015fkanlar\u0131ndan Paul Volcker\u2019a at\u0131f yap\u0131yor. Volcker, \u00e7ift haneli enflasyonla m\u00fccadele etmek i\u00e7in 1981\u2019de federal fon oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 20\u2019ye y\u00fckseltmi\u015fti. Chen Lin, \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

\u0130nsanlar Paul Volcker\u2019dan bahsediyor. Ama o zamana uygundu. ABD\u2019nin 30 trilyon dolar borcu var. Faizler y\u00fckselirse, %4\u2019e \u00e7\u0131ksa bile, faize her y\u0131l ka\u00e7 trilyon \u00f6deyece\u011fimizi bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn. Bunun \u00fczerine g\u00fcr\u00fclt\u00fc kopacak. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, ABD\u2019nin bunu yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum. Ya da faiz oran\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu ezmek i\u00e7in gereken \u00f6nemli y\u00fcksek seviyelere gidebilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u201c\u00d6nce alt\u0131n y\u00fckselir, sonra ekonomi d\u00fczelir\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n, durgunluk s\u0131ras\u0131nda iyi performans g\u00f6stermese de, durgunlu\u011fun sona erdi\u011finin \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergesi olabilir. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncenin sahibi Chen Lin, \u015fu yorumu yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

Her durgunlukta, borsadaki her d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte, alt\u0131n her zaman ondan ilk \u00e7\u0131kand\u0131r. Alt\u0131nla ilgilenmeyen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in bile, alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131n\u0131 izlemek, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta veya birka\u00e7 ay i\u00e7inde piyasan\u0131n nerede olaca\u011f\u0131na dair bir y\u00f6n verebilir. \u00d6nce alt\u0131n y\u00fckselir, sonra ekonomi d\u00fczelir.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

\u201cDaha fazla \u00fclkenin, rezervlerine alt\u0131n koymaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rece\u011fiz\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Exploration Insights\u2019\u0131n Kurucusu Brent Cook, emtialar i\u00e7in bir \u2018\u00f6zetleme\u2019 a\u015famas\u0131na girerken, bak\u0131r, nikel ve alt\u0131n\u0131n sahip olunacak en iyi varl\u0131klar olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Cook, alt\u0131n\u0131n son jeopolitik olaylardan fayda sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydediyor ve \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

Rusya Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgal etti\u011finde, ABD dolar\u0131 rezervlerine el konuldu. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n geri kalan\u0131 bunu g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Ve bence daha fazla Bat\u0131l\u0131 olmayan \u00fclkenin ABD dolar\u0131 yerine rezervlerine alt\u0131n koymaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. Bu y\u0131l i\u00e7inde olacak. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bunun alt\u0131n i\u00e7in de olumlu oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

\u201cAlt\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ek fiyat\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015fece\u011fi yer tam buras\u0131\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Kaiser Research Online\u2019\u0131n Kurucusu John Kaiser, Toronto\u2019daki PDAC 2022 Konvansiyonu\u2019nda, piyasa hakk\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini payla\u015ft\u0131. Kaiser, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnyan\u0131n rezerv para birimi stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc kaybetmesiyle alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Ayr\u0131ca, \u00c7in ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bir Do\u011fu ekonomik g\u00fc\u00e7 ekseni olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor. Bu ba\u011flamda, \u015fu yorumu yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

\u00c7in-Rusya ekseninde ABD dolar\u0131 kullan\u0131lmayacak. ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n hegemonyas\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131racaklar. Bir gecede olan bir \u015fey de\u011fil, siyah beyaz de\u011fil. Ge\u00e7i\u015fli bir \u015fey olacak. Ve bence alt\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ek fiyat\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015fece\u011fi yer buras\u0131.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

John Kaiser: Alt\u0131n, kaos patlak verdi\u011finde bir \u2018sigorta poli\u00e7esi\u2019dir<\/b><\/p>\n

Kaiser, ABD\u2019nin otoriterli\u011fe do\u011fru ilerledi\u011fini ve siyasi belirsizlik artt\u0131k\u00e7a alt\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli bir liman oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. Kaiser, alt\u0131n\u0131n \u201cdepolanan enerji\u201d oldu\u011funu, kriptonun ise bir \u201cenerji y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc\u201d oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u201cbirinin t\u00fcm bu Blockchain i\u015flemlerini devam ettirmek i\u00e7in elektrik t\u00fcketmesi gerekti\u011fini\u201d ekliyor. Alt\u0131n\u0131n \u201ckaos patlak verdi\u011finde\u201d bir \u201csigorta poli\u00e7esi\u201d oldu\u011funu ifade ediyor. Ancak bunu bir para bi\u00e7imi olarak g\u00f6rmedi\u011fini kaydediyor. Kaiser, konuya ili\u015fkin olarak \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

Nakit de\u011feri aniden d\u00fc\u015fen varl\u0131klar\u0131 sat\u0131n almak i\u00e7in kolayca kullanabilece\u011finiz \u015feydir. Oysa nakit elde etmek i\u00e7in \u00f6nce alt\u0131n satman\u0131z gerekir. Bu y\u00fczden alt\u0131n bir varl\u0131k s\u0131n\u0131f\u0131d\u0131r. Asl\u0131nda para de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

\u201cABD dolar\u0131 rezerv para stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc kaybedecek\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

John Kaiser de Brent Cook gibi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bask\u0131n uluslararas\u0131 para olan ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n rezerv para stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc kaybedece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Ekonomik ve siyasi g\u00fcc\u00fcn merkezinin Do\u011fu\u2019ya kayd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve ABD\u2019yi geride b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor. Kaiser, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini \u015fu \u015fekilde izah ediyor:<\/p>\n

Son otuz y\u0131ld\u0131r her \u015feyi y\u00f6neten, merkezde ABD dolar\u0131 olan k\u00fcreselle\u015fme kavram\u0131 art\u0131k da\u011f\u0131l\u0131yor. 2027\u2019ye kadar \u00c7in\u2019in ekonomisi neredeyse Amerika\u2019n\u0131nki kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck olacak. Yak\u0131nsama tahmin edilenden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor. Bu y\u00fczden \u00fclkeler renminbi ve ruble gibi di\u011fer para birimlerinde \u00f6deme ar\u0131yorlar. Bu, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n hegemonyas\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131racak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Lin Asset Management Kurucusu Chen Lin, Fed\u2019in sonunda vazge\u00e7mek zorunda kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Exploration Insights\u2019\u0131n Kurucusu Brent Cook, daha …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":34758,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[2222,317,754],"class_list":["post-34757","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-abd-dolari","tag-para","tag-rezerv"],"yoast_head":"\nD\u00fcnyaca \u00dcnl\u00fc 3 \u0130sim: Alt\u0131n ve Bu 2\u2019si En \u0130yi Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/dunyaca-unlu-3-isim-altin-ve-bu-2si-en-iyi-yatirimlar\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"D\u00fcnyaca \u00dcnl\u00fc 3 \u0130sim: Alt\u0131n ve Bu 2\u2019si En \u0130yi Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Lin Asset Management Kurucusu Chen Lin, Fed\u2019in sonunda vazge\u00e7mek zorunda kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. 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