{"id":34696,"date":"2022-06-28T05:30:09","date_gmt":"2022-06-28T02:30:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=34696"},"modified":"2022-06-28T05:30:09","modified_gmt":"2022-06-28T02:30:09","slug":"mukemmel-firtina-uzman-altin-icin-bu-rakamlari-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/mukemmel-firtina-uzman-altin-icin-bu-rakamlari-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cM\u00fckemmel F\u0131rt\u0131na\u201d Uzman Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in Bu Rakamlar\u0131 Bekliyor!"},"content":{"rendered":"
Yamana Gold Inc. genel ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve kurucusu Peter Marrone, alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 hakk\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini payla\u015ft\u0131. Marrone, alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi i\u00e7in m\u00fckemmel bir f\u0131rt\u0131nay\u0131 besleyen baz\u0131 \u201cstagflasyon\u201d ile \u201cdurgunlu\u011fun\u201d e\u015fi\u011finde oldu\u011fumuzu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Peter Marrone, Toronto\u2019daki PDAC 2022 kongresinde, alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 hakk\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini payla\u015ft\u0131. Mevcut durumu de\u011ferlendiren Marrone, \u015fu yorumu yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131n\u0131 hassasiyet ve kesinlikle zaman aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan tahmin etmek benim i\u00e7in zor. Ama ilk prensiplere geri d\u00f6n\u00fcyorum. T\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n y\u00fcksek alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcze inanm\u0131yorum.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Tarih sar\u0131 metal i\u00e7in tekerr\u00fcr m\u00fc ediyor?<\/b><\/p>\n
Yamana Gold Ba\u015fkan\u0131, y\u00fcksek stagflasyon y\u0131l\u0131 olan 1980 ile 2022 aras\u0131nda paralellikler oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. Tarihin alt\u0131n\u0131n fiyat\u0131n\u0131n gelece\u011fi konusunda bir rehber olabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Bu ba\u011flamda \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
1980\u2019de, bir enflasyon d\u00f6neminin ortas\u0131nda bir durgunluk d\u00f6nemindeydik. Bir sava\u015f\u0131n ortas\u0131ndayd\u0131k. Afganistan\u2019\u0131n Ruslar taraf\u0131ndan i\u015fgali vard\u0131. Amerikal\u0131lar Ruslara \u201cK\u00f6t\u00fc \u0130mparatorluk\u201d diyorlard\u0131. Bug\u00fcn d\u00fcnyada o zaman olanlara \u00e7ok fazla benzerlik var.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Marrone, y\u00fcksek enflasyon, yakla\u015fan bir durgunluk ve Ukrayna\u2019daki sava\u015fla son olaylar\u0131n 1980\u2019de olanlara benzedi\u011fini \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc ise \u015fu \u015fekilde izah ediyor:<\/p>\n
1980\u2019de neler oluyor ba\u011flam\u0131nda, alt\u0131n\u0131n fiyat\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 840 dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. D\u00fczeltilmi\u015f dolar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, 840 dolar bug\u00fcn ne anlama geliyor? Bu say\u0131 kabaca 2.700 dolar -2.800 dolard\u0131r. Ve kesinlikle alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131n\u0131n tekrar bu seviyelere \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 i\u00e7in m\u00fckemmel bir f\u0131rsat oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Peter Marrone: M\u00fckemmel bir f\u0131rt\u0131nan\u0131n e\u015fi\u011findeyiz!<\/b><\/p>\n
Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong>\u2019dan takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczere Federal Rezerv son zamanlarda faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 75 bps art\u0131rd\u0131. Yine de Marrone, bunun enflasyonu durdurmak i\u00e7in yeterli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve Fed\u2019in daha \u015fahin hareketlere ge\u00e7ebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Marrone, konu hakk\u0131nda \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n bu enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n nedenlerinden biri olan tedarik zinciri kesintilerine ili\u015fkin yapabilece\u011fi \u00e7ok s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u015feyler var. D\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda bor\u00e7lar g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f seviyelerde. Ve d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda ekonomiler k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bana \u00f6yle geliyor ki, Fed de dahil olmak \u00fczere merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 enflasyonu evcille\u015ftirecek bir seviyede art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok zorla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu m\u00fckemmel f\u0131rt\u0131naday\u0131z. Bir noktada muhtemelen geri \u00e7ekilmeleri veya enflasyonist bask\u0131lar\u0131n beklenenden daha uzun s\u00fcre kalmak i\u00e7in burada oldu\u011fu sonucuna varmak zorundalar.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Marrone, \u015firketi Yamana Gold\u2019un artan yak\u0131t maliyetleri ve jeopolitik gerilimler de dahil olmak \u00fczere son ekonomik bask\u0131lardan nispeten yal\u0131t\u0131lm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Bunu da \u015fu \u015fekilde a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Dizel\u2019e \u00e7ok ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 de\u011filiz. Toplam maliyetlerimizin %5-6\u2019s\u0131n\u0131 temsil ediyor. Bu nedenle, baz\u0131 girdiler \u00fczerinde biraz enflasyonist bask\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, daha fazla \u00fcretim yap\u0131yoruz. Bu da ons ba\u015f\u0131na toplam maliyetimizin daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n
Rusya-Ukrayna ihtilaf\u0131na gelince, Marrone, \u201cHerhangi bir zorlukla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya de\u011filiz. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n o b\u00f6lgesinden gelen bir tedari\u011fimiz yok. Bu nedenle, Amerika\u2019daki operasyonlar\u0131m\u0131z a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7ok yal\u0131t\u0131lm\u0131\u015f durumday\u0131z,\u201d diyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Yamana Gold Inc. genel ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve kurucusu Peter Marrone, alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 hakk\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini payla\u015ft\u0131. Marrone, alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi i\u00e7in …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":34697,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[1125],"class_list":["post-34696","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-mu"],"yoast_head":"\n
\u201cM\u00fckemmel F\u0131rt\u0131na\u201d Uzman Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in Bu Rakamlar\u0131 Bekliyor! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/mukemmel-firtina-uzman-altin-icin-bu-rakamlari-bekliyor\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u201cM\u00fckemmel F\u0131rt\u0131na\u201d Uzman Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in Bu Rakamlar\u0131 Bekliyor!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Yamana Gold Inc. genel ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve kurucusu Peter Marrone, alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 hakk\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini payla\u015ft\u0131. 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