{"id":34402,"date":"2022-06-26T21:10:09","date_gmt":"2022-06-26T18:10:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=34402"},"modified":"2022-06-26T21:10:09","modified_gmt":"2022-06-26T18:10:09","slug":"profesyonel-analistler-altin-icin-haftaya-bu-seviyeleri-bekleyin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/profesyonel-analistler-altin-icin-haftaya-bu-seviyeleri-bekleyin\/","title":{"rendered":"Profesyonel Analistler: Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in Haftaya Bu Seviyeleri Bekleyin!"},"content":{"rendered":"
En y\u00fcksek enflasyon belirtileri ve daha yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme, piyasada riske a\u00e7\u0131k hissi canland\u0131r\u0131yor. Ve bu, Fed\u2019in daha \u00f6nce d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kadar s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya ihtiya\u00e7 duymayabilece\u011fi umutlar\u0131yla birlikte geliyor. Ancak alt\u0131n i\u00e7in bu, 1.800 dolarl\u0131k \u00f6nemli bir seviyeye yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in daha yatay bir trade anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n
\u201cAlt\u0131n i\u00e7in bir komplikasyon olmas\u0131 muhtemel\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, g\u00fcnl\u00fck makro verilerde durgunluk i\u015faretleri g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla anlat\u0131y\u0131 enflasyon korkular\u0131ndan daha yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme endi\u015felerine kayd\u0131r\u0131yor. Ve bu, Federal Rezerv\u2019den a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 \u015fahin beklentileri de\u011fi\u015ftiriyor.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Merkez bankalar\u0131, \u00e7ok daha zay\u0131f bir t\u00fcketiciye ve daha fazla resesyon \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131na yol a\u00e7maya ba\u015flayan agresif faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 yap\u0131yor. Kesin bir fikir birli\u011fi yok. Bu durgunluk ne kadar zor olacak? Fed politikas\u0131 i\u00e7in genel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm nedir? \u00c7ok fazla de\u011fi\u015fken var. OANDA k\u0131demli piyasa analisti Edward Moya, \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n
Piyasalar enflasyonist beklentilerdeki herhangi bir kaymaya a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 tepki veriyor. En y\u00fcksek enflasyonun daha fazla i\u015faretini g\u00f6r\u00fcrsek, bu riskli varl\u0131klar i\u00e7in geni\u015f bir rahatlama sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r. Alt\u0131n i\u00e7in bir komplikasyon olmas\u0131 muhtemel. Alt\u0131n daha g\u00fcvenli bir liman olacaksa, riske dayal\u0131 bir geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fczde de de\u011ferlenecek mi?<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Edward Moya: \u0130\u015fte bu alt\u0131n i\u00e7in iyi olur<\/b><\/p>\n
Buna ek olarak Edward Moya, talep y\u0131k\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yak\u0131ndan takip etti\u011fi ABD\u2019deki enflasyonda potansiyel bir zirveye i\u015faret edece\u011fini de s\u00f6zlerine ekliyor. Moya, konuyu \u015fu \u015fekilde de\u011ferlendiriyor:<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
ABD t\u00fcketicisinin ne kadar zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekten g\u00f6rmemiz gerekiyor. Bu, Fed\u2019i s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye neyin zorlayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirleyecek. Dalgal\u0131 bir dolar ticareti g\u00f6rmemiz muhtemel. Alt\u0131nda konsolidasyonu desteklemesi olas\u0131. Hazine tahvillerine olan talebin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmeye ba\u015flarsak, bu, e\u011frinin uzun ucunda Hazine getirilerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. \u0130\u015fte bu alt\u0131n i\u00e7in iyi olur.<\/p>\n
\u201cServeti korumas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan alt\u0131n\u0131n yapmas\u0131 gereken \u015fey bu\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n i\u00e7in potansiyel bir durgunluk en az\u0131ndan istikrarl\u0131 bir trade modeli anlam\u0131na geliyor. Alt\u0131n konsolide olmak ve yatay trade yapmak istiyor. Serveti korumas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan alt\u0131n\u0131n yapmas\u0131 gereken \u015fey bu.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cD\u00fczenli yat\u0131r\u0131mlardan gelen talep artacak ve alt\u0131n y\u00fckselecek!\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Bir sonraki \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k GSY\u0130H raporu, bu ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131k\u00e7a izlenecek makro g\u00f6sterge. Bu \u00f6nemli \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinde %1,5\u2019lik bir daralma olan ilk \u00e7eyrek rakam\u0131n\u0131 takip ediyor. Everett Millman, konuya ili\u015fkin olarak \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n
Bu, teknik tan\u0131m gere\u011fi bir durgunluk i\u00e7inde olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 onaylayacak veya reddedecek. \u0130ki \u00e7eyrek negatif b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00e7ok dikkat \u00e7ekecek. Alt\u0131n i\u00e7in olumlu olur. Hedge fonlar\u0131 veya b\u00fcy\u00fck kurumlar pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 tasfiye ederken ilk tepki olarak alt\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Ancak d\u00fczenli yat\u0131r\u0131mlardan gelen talep artacak ve alt\u0131n y\u00fckselecek.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cAlt\u0131n bu y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmeyecek!\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Edward Moya, \u00e7o\u011fu ki\u015finin Fed\u2019in Temmuz ay\u0131nda 75 baz puan daha art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Ayr\u0131ca, baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bundan sonra sadece 50 baz puan fiyatlamaya ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini ifade ediyor. Bu ba\u011flamda \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
S\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma i\u00e7in daha yava\u015f bir tempo zaten d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu alt\u0131n i\u00e7in de iyi bir haber. Alt\u0131n, bu yaz daha fazla insan\u0131n bekledi\u011finden daha g\u00fcvenli bir liman gibi performans g\u00f6sterecek. Alt\u0131n bu y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmeyecek.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cBu ortam\u0131n g\u00fcvenli limanlar i\u00e7in muazzam yeni talep yaratmas\u0131 olas\u0131\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Dengesiz b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmleri de izlenecek bir \u015fey. ABD\u2019nin hafif bir durgunluk g\u00f6rmesi muhtemelken, yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme hala b\u00fcy\u00fck bir soru i\u015fareti. Edward Moya, bu ortam\u0131n alt\u0131n gibi g\u00fcvenli limanlar i\u00e7in muazzam yeni talebi te\u015fvik etmesi gerekti\u011fini kaydediyor. Analistler, alt\u0131n\u0131n haftay\u0131 %0,7 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ancak as\u0131l testin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta 1.800 dolara ula\u015f\u0131rsa gelece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Edward Moya, teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Baz\u0131 \u00f6nemli teknik seviyelerin alt\u0131nda seyrediyor. 1.800 dolar\u0131 bekletmek istiyorum. Durumun b\u00f6yle olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmek \u00f6nemli olacak. Alt\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. Bunun \u00e7o\u011fu, alt\u0131n i\u00e7in s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 yaratan ABD dolar\u0131 ko\u015fusu ile ilgiliydi.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Alt\u0131n\u0131n i\u015flem aral\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ne gerekiyor?<\/b><\/p>\n
Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong>\u2019dan takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczere, sar\u0131 metal i\u00e7in \u015fu ana kadar 1.800 dolar hayati bir destek seviyesi oldu. Everett Millman, alt\u0131n\u0131n bunun alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmesi durumunda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilece\u011fini belirtiyor. Bu arada, 1.850 dolar seviyesinin \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131, inat\u00e7\u0131 bir diren\u00e7 seviyesi olarak hareket ediyor. Millman, \u015fu seviyelere dikkat \u00e7ekiyor:<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n\u0131n i\u015flem aral\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nce 1.850 dolar\u0131, ard\u0131ndan 1.870 dolar\u0131 ge\u00e7mesi gerekiyor. Do\u011fru bir resesyonda alt\u0131n\u0131n, k\u0131smen 1.900 dolar\u0131 k\u0131rmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc COMEX s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011funda, talepte ani bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcrsek, alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flem piyasas\u0131nda talebi kar\u015f\u0131layacak kadar alt\u0131n kalmaz. Bu durumda fiyatlar olduk\u00e7a h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde artacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
En y\u00fcksek enflasyon belirtileri ve daha yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme, piyasada riske a\u00e7\u0131k hissi canland\u0131r\u0131yor. Ve bu, Fed\u2019in daha \u00f6nce d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kadar …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":34403,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[334],"class_list":["post-34402","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-seviyesi"],"yoast_head":"\n
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