{"id":34183,"date":"2022-06-26T00:40:09","date_gmt":"2022-06-25T21:40:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=34183"},"modified":"2022-06-26T00:40:09","modified_gmt":"2022-06-25T21:40:09","slug":"6-analist-konustu-altin-yilin-2-yarisinda-bu-seviyelerde","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/6-analist-konustu-altin-yilin-2-yarisinda-bu-seviyelerde\/","title":{"rendered":"6 Analist Konu\u015ftu: Alt\u0131n, Y\u0131l\u0131n 2. Yar\u0131s\u0131nda Bu Seviyelerde!"},"content":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131n Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc, dolar\u0131n geri \u00e7ekilmesi ve durgunluk korkular\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman \u00e7ekicili\u011fini art\u0131rmas\u0131yla y\u00fckseldi. Ancak yakla\u015fan faiz oranlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015flar, getirisi olmayan alt\u0131n\u0131 haftal\u0131k bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe y\u00f6nlendirdi. Bu ortamda analistler, alt\u0131n\u0131n gelece\u011fini yorumluyor ve tahminlerini payla\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u201cAlt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 bir aral\u0131kta kalmaya zorlayan g\u00fc\u00e7lerin birle\u015fmesi var\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Bununla birlikte alt\u0131n\u0131n cazibesini art\u0131ran dolar endeksi %0,2 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. TD Securities\u2019in emtia stratejisti Daniel Ghali, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 her iki y\u00f6nde de y\u00f6nlendiren ve onu k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir aral\u0131kta kalmaya zorlayan g\u00fc\u00e7lerin birle\u015fmesi var. Resesyon riskimiz ve g\u00fcvenli liman olarak alt\u0131na giri\u015fleri y\u00f6nlendiren k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmede yak\u0131n bir yava\u015flaman\u0131n i\u015faretleri var. \u00d6te yandan, Fed\u2019in reel faizlerde \u00f6nemli bir art\u0131\u015fa katk\u0131da bulunan enflasyonla m\u00fccadele taahh\u00fcd\u00fcne sahibiz.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Carsten Fritsch: Alt\u0131n\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131da k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015f potansiyeli var<\/b><\/p>\n
Bilindi\u011fi \u00fczere k\u00fcl\u00e7e, enflasyondan korunma olarak kabul g\u00f6r\u00fcr. Ancak daha y\u00fcksek ABD faiz oranlar\u0131, onu elde tutman\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyetini art\u0131r\u0131r. Commerzbank analisti Carsten Fritsch, \u015fu yorumu yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015f potansiyeli oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Tahminimiz 1.900 dolar seviyesinde.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Ancak Fritsch, k\u0131sa vadede Fed\u2019in oranlar\u0131 agresif bir \u015fekilde art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor. Bu nedenle alt\u0131n i\u00e7in bir miktar r\u00fczgar yarataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da s\u00f6zlerine ekliyor.<\/p>\n
\u201cAlt\u0131n, 2022\u2019nin geri kalan\u0131 i\u00e7in reel getirileri izleyecek\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Fiziksel pazarda, bayiler d\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn sezonu sona ererken al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 cezbetmek i\u00e7in bu hafta Hindistan\u2019da daha b\u00fcy\u00fck indirimler teklif etti. Ayr\u0131ca, \u00c7in\u2019deki baz\u0131 t\u00fcketiciler ekonomik endi\u015felere kar\u015f\u0131 kendilerini korumak i\u00e7in k\u00fcl\u00e7e ald\u0131. Standard Chartered analisti Suki Cooper bir notta \u015fu hususlar\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor:<\/p>\n
Y\u00fckselen durgunluk riski \u015fimdilik short pozisyonlar\u0131 engelliyor. Ancak alt\u0131n\u0131n 2022\u2019nin geri kalan\u0131 i\u00e7in reel getirileri izlemeye geri d\u00f6nmesini bekliyoruz. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesine bask\u0131 yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyoruz. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlara fiziksel piyasa tepkisi g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda daha y\u00fcksek bir taban ile olsa da bu ge\u00e7erli.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Adam Koos: Finansal piyasalarda bir d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131 var<\/b><\/p>\n
Libertas Wealth Management Group ba\u015fkan\u0131 Adam Koos, faiz oranlar\u0131, enflasyon, ABD dolar\u0131 ve Federal Rezerv\u2019in birbiriyle ayn\u0131 anda kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011fu gruplar aras\u0131nda bir t\u00fcr \u2018finansal piyasalarda\u2019 bir d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Koos, konuya ili\u015fkin olarak \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Normalde, enflasyon alt\u0131n\u0131 daha y\u00fckse\u011fe iter. Ancak bunun \u201cgeleneksel anlamda\u201d enflasyon mu, yoksa pandeminin art\u00e7\u0131 \u015fokundan ve bir\u00e7ok Asya \u00fclkesinde uygulanan s\u0131f\u0131r-Covid politikas\u0131ndan kaynaklanan \u201cb\u00fcy\u00fck bir arz ve talep dengesizli\u011fi\u201d mi oldu\u011fu konusunda bir soru var.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Bu arada Coinmuhendsi.com<\/strong>\u2019dan izledi\u011finiz \u00fczere ABD dolar\u0131 ge\u00e7en y\u0131ldan bu yana b\u00fcy\u00fck bir y\u00fckseli\u015f kaydetti. Bu ba\u011flamdan devam eden Adam Koos, \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n
Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu da dolar cinsinden alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor. Fed\u2019e gelince, Ba\u015fkan Jerome Powell \u2018Covid\u2019den kaynaklanan bu insan yap\u0131m\u0131 enflasyonla m\u00fccadele etmek i\u00e7in elinden gelenin en iyisini yap\u0131yor. Ancak, faizler y\u00fckseldi\u011finde alt\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015fmesini bekleyemeyiz.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cFaiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 alt\u0131n\u0131n rekabet edemeyece\u011fi bir durum yarat\u0131yor\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Bu arada alt\u0131n, haftay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kapatt\u0131. Alt\u0131n, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n Federal Rezerv\u2019den gelen agresif para politikas\u0131n\u0131n ekonomiyi yava\u015flataca\u011f\u0131ndan endi\u015fe duymas\u0131yla d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ayr\u0131ca bu da, dolar\u0131 ay i\u00e7in daha da y\u00fckseltti. Wolfpack Capital\u2019in ba\u015f yat\u0131r\u0131m g\u00f6revlisi Jeff Wright, \u015fu de\u011fer\u015fendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
ABD FOMC\u2019nin faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bir \u015fekilde art\u0131rma kombinasyonu ortada duruyor. Bu da alt\u0131n\u0131n getirisiz bir ara\u00e7 olarak rekabet edemeyece\u011fi ABD Hazine ka\u011f\u0131tlar\u0131 arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla daha y\u00fcksek risksiz getiri sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cAlt\u0131n ve g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fteki kay\u0131plar, Powell\u2019\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Kinesis Money piyasa analisti Rupert Rowling, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn alt\u0131ndan daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir haftal\u0131k kay\u0131p g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirtiyor. Bu ba\u011flamda analist, kay\u0131plar\u0131n nedenini \u015fu \u015fekilde a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, bu hafta Capitol Hill\u2019de merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu kontrol alt\u0131na alaca\u011f\u0131 belirtti. Ayr\u0131ca, bu hedefe ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in oranlar\u0131 y\u00fckseltmeye devam edece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki iddias\u0131n\u0131 yineledi. Kay\u0131plar, \u00e7o\u011funlukla bu konu\u015fmadan kaynakland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu arda Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc, Michigan \u00dcniversitesi taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan ABD t\u00fcketici duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n nihai anketi yay\u0131mland\u0131. Ankete g\u00f6re duyarl\u0131l\u0131k, Haziran ay\u0131nda t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan 50\u2019ye geriledi. Ayr\u0131ca, Amerika\u2019n\u0131n gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in genel enflasyon beklentileri %5,3\u2019te sabit kald\u0131. Be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon beklentileri ise %3,1\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Michigan \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nin t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksinden gelen enflasyon beklentileri verileri, Fed\u2019in Haziran toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 50 yerine 75 baz puan art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n bir nedeniydi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131n Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc, dolar\u0131n geri \u00e7ekilmesi ve durgunluk korkular\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman \u00e7ekicili\u011fini art\u0131rmas\u0131yla y\u00fckseldi. Ancak yakla\u015fan faiz …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":34184,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[1716],"class_list":["post-34183","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-oranlari"],"yoast_head":"\n
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