{"id":33449,"date":"2022-06-23T11:00:07","date_gmt":"2022-06-23T08:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=33449"},"modified":"2022-06-23T11:00:07","modified_gmt":"2022-06-23T08:00:07","slug":"cuma-bitcoin-icin-buyuk-gun-iste-beklenen-rakamlar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/cuma-bitcoin-icin-buyuk-gun-iste-beklenen-rakamlar\/","title":{"rendered":"Cuma Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in B\u00fcy\u00fck G\u00fcn: \u0130\u015fte Beklenen Rakamlar!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Kripto analisti Marcel Pechman\u2019a g\u00f6re bo\u011falar, Haziran ay\u0131ndaki opsiyonlar\u0131n sona ermesiyle Bitcoin (BTC)\u2019nin 60.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde olaca\u011f\u0131na bahse giriyor. Ancak analist, profesyonel yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yan\u0131ld\u0131klar\u0131 i\u00e7in a\u011f\u0131r bir bedel \u00f6deyece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Marcel Pechman\u2019\u0131n Bitcoin analizlerini ve de\u011ferlendirmelerini okuyucular\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7in haz\u0131rlad\u0131k.<\/p>\n

Madanciler sat\u0131yor, d\u00fczenlemeler geliyor, BTC m\u00fccadele ediyor\u2026<\/b><\/p>\n

Coinmuhendisi.com<\/b><\/span>\u2019dan takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczere Bitcoin (BTC), ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinden \u00e7\u0131kmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. 16 Haziran\u2019daki ilk giri\u015fim 22.600 dolarl\u0131k direnci k\u0131rmay\u0131 ba\u015faramad\u0131. 21 Haziran\u2019da 21.400 dolarl\u0131k ikinci giri\u015fimi %8\u2019lik bir fiyat d\u00fczeltmesi izledi. \u0130ki ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z k\u0131r\u0131lmadan sonra, fiyat \u015fu anda 20.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu da 17.600 dolar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekten dip olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorular\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getiriyor.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
Coinbase\u2019de Bitcoin 4 saatlik grafik \/ Kaynak: TradingView<\/figure>\n

BTC\u2019nin bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f modelinden k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ne kadar uzun s\u00fcrerse, diren\u00e7 \u00e7izgisi o kadar g\u00fc\u00e7lenir. Ayr\u0131ca traderlar trendi yak\u0131ndan takip eder. Tam da bu nedenle, bu haftan\u0131n ayl\u0131k 2,25 milyar dolarl\u0131k opsiyonlar\u0131n sona ermesi s\u0131ras\u0131nda bo\u011falar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7 g\u00f6stermesi \u00f6nemli.<\/p>\n

Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) ba\u015fkan\u0131 Christine Lagarde daha s\u0131k\u0131 bir incelemenin gereklili\u011fi konusundaki kanaatini dile getirdi. Bundan sonra, d\u00fczenleyici belirsizlik kripto piyasalar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturmaya devam ediyor. 20 Haziran\u2019da Lagarde, sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn staking ve kredi verme faaliyetleri hakk\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncelerini ifade etti.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin madencilerinin BTC varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 tasfiye etmeye zorlanmalar\u0131, BTC fiyat\u0131na daha fazla olumsuz bask\u0131 ekliyor. Arcane Research\u2019ten elde edilen veriler, halka a\u00e7\u0131k Bitcoin madencili\u011fi firmalar\u0131n\u0131n May\u0131s ay\u0131nda BTC \u00fcretiminin %100\u2019\u00fcn\u00fc satt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Toplu olarak, madenciler 800.000 BTC\u2019ye sahipler. Bu da olas\u0131 bir sat\u0131\u015fla ilgili endi\u015feler yarat\u0131yor. Bitcoin fiyat d\u00fczeltmesi, \u00fcretim maliyeti zaman zaman marjlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in madencilerin karl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

24 Haziran opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n sona ermesi, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in \u00f6zellikle endi\u015fe verici olacak. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Bitcoin ay\u0131lar\u0131, BTC\u2019yi 20.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na bast\u0131rarak 620 milyon dolar kar elde edecek.<\/p>\n

Bo\u011falar Bitcoin bahislerini 40.000 dolar ve \u00fcst\u00fcne koydu<\/b><\/p>\n

24 Haziran opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n sona ermesi i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131k faiz 2,25 milyar dolar. Ancak bo\u011falar a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 iyimser oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in ger\u00e7ek rakam \u00e7ok daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olacak. Bu traderlar, BTC 12 Haziran\u2019da 28.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fckten sonra hedefi tamamen ka\u00e7\u0131rd\u0131. Ancak ayl\u0131k se\u00e7eneklerin sona ermesi i\u00e7in bo\u011fa bahisleri 60.000 dolar\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin opsiyonlar\u0131 24 Haziran i\u00e7in toplam a\u00e7\u0131k faizi topluyor \/ Kaynak: CoinGlass<\/figure>\n

1,70 call-put oran\u0131, 830 milyon dolarl\u0131k put (sell) se\u00e7eneklerine kar\u015f\u0131 1,41 milyar dolarl\u0131k call (buy) a\u00e7\u0131k pozisyonunun bask\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bununla birlikte, Bitcoin 20.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, \u00e7o\u011fu bo\u011fa bahsi muhtemelen de\u011fersiz hale gelecektir.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin\u2019in fiyat\u0131 24 Haziran\u2019da 21.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rsa, bu call opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n yaln\u0131zca %2\u2019si kullan\u0131labilir olacak. Bu fark, BTC\u2019nin vade sonunda bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rmesi durumunda 21.000 dolardan Bitcoin sat\u0131n alma hakk\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fersiz olmas\u0131 nedeniyle olu\u015fuyor.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Bitcoin ay\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n boynuzlar\u0131nda bo\u011falar var<\/b><\/p>\n

A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da, mevcut fiyat hareketine dayal\u0131 en olas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 senaryo bulunuyor. Call (bo\u011fa) ve put (ay\u0131) enstr\u00fcmanlar\u0131 i\u00e7in 24 Haziran\u2019da mevcut olan Bitcoin opsiyon s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerinin say\u0131s\u0131, vade fiyat\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak de\u011fi\u015fiyor. Her iki taraf\u0131n lehine olan dengesizlik teorik kar\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor:<\/p>\n

    \n
  • 18.000 ile 20.000 dolar aras\u0131nda: 500 call ve 33.100 put. Net sonu\u00e7, put (ay\u0131) enstr\u00fcmanlar\u0131n\u0131 620 milyon dolar destekliyor.<\/li>\n
  • 20.000 dolar ile 22.000 dolar aras\u0131nda: 2.800 call ve 27.00 put. Net sonu\u00e7, ay\u0131lar\u0131 520 milyon dolar destekliyor.<\/li>\n
  • 22.000 ile 24.000 dolar aras\u0131nda: 5.900 call ve 26.600 put. Net sonu\u00e7, put (ay\u0131) enstr\u00fcmanlar\u0131n\u0131 480 milyon dolar destekliyor.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Bu kaba tahmin, ay\u0131 bahislerinde kullan\u0131lan put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 ve yaln\u0131zca n\u00f6tr-y\u00fckselti\u015fli i\u015flemlerde call opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 dikkate al\u0131yor. \u00d6yle olsa bile, bu a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 basitle\u015ftirme, daha karma\u015f\u0131k yat\u0131r\u0131m stratejilerini g\u00f6z ard\u0131 ediyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin, bir trader, belirli bir fiyat\u0131n \u00fczerinde Bitcoin\u2019i etkin bir \u015fekilde alarak bir put opsiyonu satabilirdi. Ancak ne yaz\u0131k ki, bu etkiyi tahmin etmenin kolay bir yolu yok.<\/p>\n

    <\/figure>\n

    BTC i\u00e7in 20.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na birka\u00e7 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f daha \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olmaz<\/b><\/p>\n

    Bitcoin ay\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, 620 milyon dolarl\u0131k bir k\u00e2r elde etmek i\u00e7in 24 Haziran\u2019da fiyat\u0131 20.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na itmesi gerekiyor. \u00d6te yandan, bo\u011falar\u0131n en iyi senaryosu, etkiyi 140 milyon dolar azaltmak i\u00e7in 22.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde bir pompa gerektiriyor.<\/p>\n

    Bitcoin bo\u011falar\u0131, 12 ve 13 Haziran\u2019da tasfiye edilen 500 milyon dolarl\u0131k kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131 long pozisyonlara sahipti. Bu nedenle fiyat\u0131 y\u00fckseltmek i\u00e7in gerekenden daha az marja sahip olmal\u0131lar. Bu veriler g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ay\u0131lar\u0131n 24 Haziran opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n sona ermesinden \u00f6nce BTC\u2019yi 22.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na sabitleme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Kripto analisti Marcel Pechman\u2019a g\u00f6re bo\u011falar, Haziran ay\u0131ndaki opsiyonlar\u0131n sona ermesiyle Bitcoin (BTC)\u2019nin 60.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde olaca\u011f\u0131na …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[12,207,532,3340],"class_list":["post-33449","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-milyon-dolar","tag-put"],"yoast_head":"\nCuma Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in B\u00fcy\u00fck G\u00fcn: \u0130\u015fte Beklenen Rakamlar! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/cuma-bitcoin-icin-buyuk-gun-iste-beklenen-rakamlar\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Cuma Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in B\u00fcy\u00fck G\u00fcn: \u0130\u015fte Beklenen Rakamlar!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Kripto analisti Marcel Pechman\u2019a g\u00f6re bo\u011falar, Haziran ay\u0131ndaki opsiyonlar\u0131n sona ermesiyle Bitcoin (BTC)\u2019nin 60.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde olaca\u011f\u0131na ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/cuma-bitcoin-icin-buyuk-gun-iste-beklenen-rakamlar\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin M\u00fchendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/coinmuhendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-06-23T08:00:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/coinmuhendisi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/Grafik-1-17.webp?resize=1024%2C519&ssl=1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/cuma-bitcoin-icin-buyuk-gun-iste-beklenen-rakamlar\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/cuma-bitcoin-icin-buyuk-gun-iste-beklenen-rakamlar\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/92661db359d245dcf90385075aee07ed\"},\"headline\":\"Cuma Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in B\u00fcy\u00fck G\u00fcn: \u0130\u015fte Beklenen Rakamlar!\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-06-23T08:00:07+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/cuma-bitcoin-icin-buyuk-gun-iste-beklenen-rakamlar\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":869,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/cuma-bitcoin-icin-buyuk-gun-iste-beklenen-rakamlar\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/i0.wp.com\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/06\\\/Grafik-1-17.webp?resize=1024%2C519&ssl=1\",\"keywords\":[\"bitcoin\",\"btc\",\"Mi\u0307lyon Dolar\",\"Put\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Bitcoin Haberleri\"],\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/cuma-bitcoin-icin-buyuk-gun-iste-beklenen-rakamlar\\\/#respond\"]}],\"copyrightYear\":\"2022\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/cuma-bitcoin-icin-buyuk-gun-iste-beklenen-rakamlar\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/cuma-bitcoin-icin-buyuk-gun-iste-beklenen-rakamlar\\\/\",\"name\":\"Cuma Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in B\u00fcy\u00fck G\u00fcn: \u0130\u015fte Beklenen Rakamlar! 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