{"id":33145,"date":"2022-06-22T10:30:09","date_gmt":"2022-06-22T07:30:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=33145"},"modified":"2022-06-22T10:30:09","modified_gmt":"2022-06-22T07:30:09","slug":"4-analistten-kritik-tahminler-altin-bu-diplere-gidiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/4-analistten-kritik-tahminler-altin-bu-diplere-gidiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"4 Analistten Kritik Tahminler: Alt\u0131n Bu Diplere Gidiyor!"},"content":{"rendered":"
Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, k\u00fcl\u00e7e i\u00e7in daha net bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm elde etmek i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 konusundaki duru\u015funu dikkatle izliyor. Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 da bu ortamda Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yatay seyretti. Bununla birlikte baz\u0131 analistler alt b\u00f6lgelerde hala yer oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Stephen Innes: Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 \u015fimdilik s\u0131k\u0131 duruyor<\/b><\/p>\n
K\u00fcresel merkez bankalar\u0131 i\u00e7in tarihi bir haftayd\u0131. Bunun ard\u0131ndan, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar bu hafta kararlar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndaki mant\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayacaklar\u0131 i\u00e7in alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 oturuyor.<\/p>\n
D\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankalar\u0131ndan baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ka\u00e7ak enflasyon konusunda endi\u015feli bir dizi s\u00fcrpriz eylemi, tahvil yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131rpalad\u0131. \u015eimdi, artan bir yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 korosu, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 belirsizli\u011fi sona erdirmek i\u00e7in h\u0131zl\u0131 hareket etmeye \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cAlt\u0131n ve faiz oran\u0131na duyarl\u0131 her risk varl\u0131\u011f\u0131, man\u015fet riske tabi olacak\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong>\u2019dan takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczere Fed, bu ay\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda \u00e7eyrek as\u0131rdan fazla bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde en b\u00fcy\u00fck faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 onaylad\u0131. Bunun ard\u0131ndan Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, bu hafta Washington DC\u2019de ifade verecek.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
K\u00fcl\u00e7e genellikle bir enflasyon riskinden korunma arac\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr. Bununla birlikte, daha y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131 ve tahvil getirileri, getirisi olmayan alt\u0131n tutman\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyetini art\u0131r\u0131r. Stephen Innes, \u015fu yorumu yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Sokak Powell\u2019\u0131n politika \u00e7ark\u0131n\u0131 yeniden icat etmesini beklemiyor. \u00d6te yandan, ondan Fed\u2019in verilere ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 modda oldu\u011fu fikrini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesini beklememiz normal. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, alt\u0131n ve faiz oran\u0131na duyarl\u0131 her risk varl\u0131\u011f\u0131, man\u015fet riske tabi olacak.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cBunlar\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman cazibesini art\u0131rmas\u0131 muhtemel\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n, ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k faizinin %3,5\u2019e ula\u015fmas\u0131 ve ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131yla yeniden bask\u0131 alt\u0131na girdi. ANZ Bank\u2019taki ekonomistler, kasvetli ekonomik zeminin alt\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ekicili\u011fini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesi gerekti\u011fine inan\u0131yor. Ekonomistler bir notta, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n ve hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131 birlikte hareket ederken, riskten ka\u00e7\u0131nma hissi destekleyici de\u011fil. Bununla birlikte, daha fazla zay\u0131fl\u0131k, yava\u015flayan ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyle birle\u015fti\u011finde alt\u0131n\u0131n cenneti cazibesini art\u0131rmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cFiziksel alt\u0131n i\u00e7in prim, \u00c7in ve Hindistan\u2019da pozitife d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Ekonomistler, yat\u0131r\u0131m talebinin zay\u0131f kalmaya devam etti\u011fini belirtiyor. Bu ba\u011flamda, \u015fu hususlar\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyorlar:<\/p>\n
Fiziksel alt\u0131n i\u00e7in prim \u00c7in ve Hindistan\u2019da pozitife d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Ancak \u00c7in\u2019deki talep, cans\u0131z bireysel m\u00fccevher sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 nedeniyle bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Hindistan\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131n ithalat\u0131, geleneksel d\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn sezonunun etkisiyle May\u0131s ay\u0131nda toparland\u0131. Bununla birlikte, sezon d\u0131\u015f\u0131 aylarda fiziksel talebin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 olas\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/b><\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n Pazartesi ve Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fcz i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Sar\u0131 metalin fiyat\u0131 \u00f6nceki bir destek b\u00f6lgesinde m\u00fccadele ediyor. Piyasa analisti Rajan Dhall, alt\u0131n\u0131n teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc \u015fu \u015fekilde analiz ediyor.<\/p>\n
A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki 1 saatlik vadeli i\u015flemler grafi\u011finde, pazar birbirini takip eden birka\u00e7 y\u00fcksek ve daha y\u00fcksek d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck dalgalar yapt\u0131. Ancak 1.851,6 dolarda Hacim Kontrol Noktas\u0131 (VPOC) hatt\u0131na do\u011fru ilerliyor. Bu, \u00e7o\u011fu s\u00f6zle\u015fmenin grafikte verilen s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde el de\u011fi\u015ftirdi\u011fi yerdir. Art\u0131k 1.806 dolarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir konsolidasyon var. Bir sonraki destek alan\u0131 1.831,3 dolar yak\u0131n\u0131nda ye\u015fil hatta duruyor.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u00dcstte, fiyat\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in baz\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek b\u00f6lgeleri var. Bir sonraki nokta, siyah gibi VPOC seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerinde (1.858,1 dolar). Bu alan sadece kendi ba\u015f\u0131na bir diren\u00e7 noktas\u0131 olmakla kalmad\u0131, ayn\u0131 zamanda olduk\u00e7a sa\u011flam bir t\u0131kan\u0131kl\u0131k alan\u0131 oldu. Fiyatta yakla\u015f\u0131k dokuz \u00f6nemli fiyat reaksiyonu oldu. Bunun \u00fcst\u00fcnde 1.882,5 dolar, grafikteki y\u00fcksek, bo\u011falar\u0131n yenmesi i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek dalga. Bu, ana konsolidasyon ve daha y\u00fcksek zaman dilimlerinde ba\u015fka bir bo\u011fa piyasas\u0131 olu\u015fumuna yol a\u00e7acak bir mola.<\/p>\n
D\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck alt\u0131n madencisi Newmont\u2019un CEO\u2019su Tom Palmer, son birka\u00e7 y\u0131ldaki olaylar\u0131n alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n taban\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseldi\u011fi anlam\u0131na geldi\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Enflasyonun, sar\u0131 metali yerden \u00e7\u0131karman\u0131n daha maliyetli olabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geldi\u011fi bir ger\u00e7ek. Bir zamanlar 1.200 dolara d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ancak Tom Palmer 1.500-1.600 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Palmer, \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki veya iki y\u0131l i\u00e7inde, mevcut seviyelerde g\u00f6rmemeniz i\u00e7in hi\u00e7bir neden g\u00f6remiyorum. Ancak daha da \u00f6nemlisi, son birka\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131n olaylar\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda temelde hareket eden bir kat\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcnde oturuyorsunuz. K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck alt\u0131n madencileri, artan tedarik zinciri ve i\u015f\u00e7ilik maliyetleri ile m\u00fccadele ediyor. Bu y\u00fczden sekt\u00f6rdeki konsolidasyon mant\u0131kl\u0131.<\/p>\n
Anaslit Rajan Dhall, alt\u0131n\u0131n 2020\u2019nin sonundan beri konsolide oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Analiste g\u00f6re, 1.678,1 dolar ile en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck konsolidasyon ve 2.075,14 dolar ile y\u00fcksek bir konsolidasyon var gibi. Analist, 1.500 dolardan y\u00fcksek herhangi bir \u015feyin Newmont CEO\u2019sunu memnun etti\u011fin, belirtiyor. Eski 2011-12 konsolidasyonu art\u0131k yap\u0131\u015fkan bir b\u00f6lge gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Analiste g\u00f6re, ger\u00e7ek bir destek sa\u011flamas\u0131 muhtemel.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, k\u00fcl\u00e7e i\u00e7in daha net bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm elde etmek i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 konusundaki duru\u015funu dikkatle izliyor …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":33146,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[55,672],"class_list":["post-33145","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-piyasa","tag-yuksek"],"yoast_head":"\n
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