{"id":33049,"date":"2022-06-22T04:50:54","date_gmt":"2022-06-22T01:50:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=33049"},"modified":"2022-06-22T04:50:54","modified_gmt":"2022-06-22T01:50:54","slug":"3-analist-altin-fiyatlari-aralikta-bu-diplerde-olabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/3-analist-altin-fiyatlari-aralikta-bu-diplerde-olabilir\/","title":{"rendered":"3 Analist: Alt\u0131n Fiyatlar\u0131, Aral\u0131k\u2019ta Bu Diplerde Olabilir!"},"content":{"rendered":"
Artan enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131 ve jeopolitik karga\u015fa, k\u00fcresel finansal piyasalarda belirsizlik yarat\u0131yor. \u00d6te yandan bu ortam, alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131n\u0131n ABD faiz oranlar\u0131ndaki agresif art\u0131\u015fa dayanmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu. Ancak, \u00fc\u00e7 de\u011ferli metal analistine g\u00f6re, y\u00fckselen reel faizler nihayetinde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n hissiyat\u0131na hakim oldu. Bu nedenle alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kapatacak gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
\u201cAlt\u0131na olan uzun vadeli ilginin da\u011f\u0131lmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rece\u011fiz\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en hafta Londra K\u00fcl\u00e7e Piyasas\u0131 Birli\u011fi, HSBC Securities\u2019de bir web semineri d\u00fczenlendi. Seminere K\u0131ymetli Madenler Ba\u015f Analisti James Steel, StoneX Financial Ltd\u2019den Rhona O\u2019Connell ve HSBC Securities\u2019den Suki Cooper kat\u0131ld\u0131. Chartered, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n geri kalan\u0131 i\u00e7in alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131na ili\u015fkin makroekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmlerini sundu.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Fiyatlar\u0131n yak\u0131n vadede y\u00fckselme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 var. Bununla birlikte, \u00fc\u00e7 piyasa analisti, y\u0131l sonuna kadar daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlar \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu nedenle de alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 konusunda nispeten karamsard\u0131lar. Suki Cooper, d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 1.750 dolara d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini tahmin ediyor. Analist, tahminine ili\u015fkin \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Artan reel faizlerin talep \u00fczerindeki etkisini g\u00f6rmeye ba\u015flamal\u0131y\u0131z. Nihayetinde, enflasyonunun d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6rmeye ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131z. Sonra alt\u0131na olan bu uzun vadeli ilginin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n da\u011f\u0131lmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cFed s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 ve sa\u011flam bir dolar, alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k olacak\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
James Steel, \u015firketinin alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda 1.800 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi tahminin yineliyor. Ayr\u0131ca, y\u0131l ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n 1.820 dolar olaca\u011f\u0131 tahminini payla\u015f\u0131yor. Reel faiz oranlar\u0131 y\u00fckselirken alt\u0131n\u0131n sadece m\u00fccadele etmeyece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Ayn\u0131 zamanda ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131n\u0131 ve de\u011ferli metal i\u00e7in ikinci bir ters r\u00fczgar yaratmas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini kaydediyor. Buna ek olarak analist, \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Devam eden Fed s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 ve nispeten sa\u011flam bir dolar, alt\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcstesinden gelmekte \u00e7ok zorlanaca\u011f\u0131 iki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k olacak.<\/p>\n
Ancak James Steel, alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131nda tam bir \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6rmedi\u011fini de s\u00f6zlerine ekliyor. Artan jeopolitik risk nedeniyle g\u00fcvenli liman talebinin ve \u00f6nemli bir \u00e7e\u015fitlendirme arac\u0131 olarak rol\u00fcn\u00fcn alt\u0131na bir miktar destek sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Rhona O\u2019Connell, alt\u0131nda daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlar \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bununla birlikte 1.800 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131ndaki herhangi bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc al\u0131m sinyalleri \u00fcretebilece\u011fini belirtiyor. Ayr\u0131ca, fiyatlar\u0131n mevcut seviyelerde desteklenmesini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
O\u2019Connell, alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131ndaki herhangi bir \u00f6nemli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn, geleneksel olarak fiyata duyarl\u0131 olan fiziksel k\u00fcl\u00e7eye olan talebin yenilenmesine yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fini de s\u00f6zlerine ekliyor. Ayr\u0131ca \u00c7inli t\u00fcketicilerin bir kez daha aktif alt\u0131n al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 haline gelebilece\u011fini ifade ediyor. Analist, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc \u015fu \u015fekilde de\u011ferlendiriyor:<\/p>\n
\u00c7in\u2019deki Covid-19 k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131, alt\u0131n al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azaltt\u0131. Bu, serbest b\u0131rak\u0131lmay\u0131 bekleyen \u00e7ok say\u0131da bast\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f talep oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na geliyor. Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 2.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmek zor. Ama ben Suki ve Jim kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filiminde de\u011filim<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Merkez bankalar\u0131 alt\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131 satmaya ba\u015flarsa!<\/b><\/p>\n
Rhona O\u2019Connell\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi bir senaryo, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n yabanc\u0131 rezerv varl\u0131klar\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Artan faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselen piyasa ekonomilerini durgunlu\u011fa yakla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydediyor. Ayr\u0131ca, \u00fclkelerin para birimlerini desteklemek i\u00e7in alt\u0131n rezervlerini art\u0131rmaya ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini belirtiyor.<\/p>\n
Ancak, uluslar alt\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131 satmak zorunda kal\u0131rlarsa, bunun de\u011ferli metal i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir olumsuzluk olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da s\u00f6zlerine ekliyor.<\/p>\n
Merkez bankalar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015f\u0131rken durgunluk riski art\u0131yor<\/b><\/p>\n
Bu arada d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131ndaki merkez bankalar\u0131 para politikalar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya devam ediyor. Bu nedenle bir\u00e7ok analist i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcyen bir k\u00fcresel durgunluk tehdidi var. Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong>\u2019dan takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczere Federal Rezerv agresif eyleme \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck ediyor.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Ge\u00e7en hafta Fed, enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 azaltmak i\u00e7in faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 75 baz puan art\u0131rd\u0131. Bu, Federal Rezerv\u2019in 28 y\u0131lda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 en b\u00fcy\u00fck hamle ve son olmayabilir. Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n Temmuz ay\u0131nda yeniden 75 baz puan faiz art\u0131rabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca Fed, faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l sonuna kadar yakla\u015f\u0131k %3,5\u2019e y\u00fckselece\u011finin sinyallerini verdi. Powell d\u00fczenledi\u011fi bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda, enflasyonun ABD ekonomisi i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck tehdit olmaya devam etti\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Artan enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131 ve jeopolitik karga\u015fa, k\u00fcresel finansal piyasalarda belirsizlik yarat\u0131yor. \u00d6te yandan bu ortam, alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131n\u0131n ABD …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":33050,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[413],"class_list":["post-33049","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-fed"],"yoast_head":"\n
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