{"id":33034,"date":"2022-06-22T03:50:54","date_gmt":"2022-06-22T00:50:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=33034"},"modified":"2022-06-22T03:50:54","modified_gmt":"2022-06-22T00:50:54","slug":"vitalik-buterin-tarihi-bitcoin-modelini-elestirdi-tahminleri-yanlis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/vitalik-buterin-tarihi-bitcoin-modelini-elestirdi-tahminleri-yanlis\/","title":{"rendered":"Vitalik Buterin Tarihi Bitcoin Modelini Ele\u015ftirdi: Tahminleri Yanl\u0131\u015f!"},"content":{"rendered":"
Ethereum kurucusu Vitalik Buterin, Bitcoin (BTC) fiyat tahminlerinde kullan\u0131lan tarihi Stock-to-Flow modelini ele\u015ftirdi. Buna g\u00f6re Ethereum mucidi, olduk\u00e7a eski olan S2F modeliyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan tahminlerin son derece yanl\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Detaylar\u0131 sizin i\u00e7in derledik.<\/p>\n
Tarihi Bitcoin modeli yanl\u0131\u015f tahminler veriyor olabilir<\/b><\/p>\n
Ethereum mucidi Vitalik Buterin, Bitcoin fiyat\u0131nda kullan\u0131lan Stock-to-Flow (S2F) modelini ele\u015ftirdi. \u00dcnl\u00fc kripto ki\u015fili\u011fi, modelin Bitcoin (BTC) fiyat\u0131 hakk\u0131nda yanl\u0131\u015f tahminler verdi\u011fini iddia etti.\u00a0Buna g\u00f6re Buterin, yanl\u0131\u015f tahminler veren finansal modellerin insanlar\u0131 fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckselece\u011fine inand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Bu, yanl\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri nedeniyle de yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in olduk\u00e7a zararl\u0131 oldu\u011funu ifade ediyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, S2F modelinin yarat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 PlanB, modeli sonuna kadar destekliyor. Ona g\u00f6re baz\u0131 insanlar, kripto piyasas\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden sonra yanl\u0131\u015f yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131 i\u00e7in ba\u015fkalar\u0131n\u0131 su\u00e7lamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n
Vitalik Buterin, S2F modelini yerden yere vurdu<\/b><\/p>\n
Vitalik Buterin\u00a021 Haziran\u2019daki bir tweet\u2019te S2F modelini Bitcoin fiyat\u0131 hakk\u0131nda yanl\u0131\u015f tahminler verdi\u011fi i\u00e7in ele\u015ftirdi.\u00a0Tweet, kripto piyasas\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan Bitcoin (BTC) fiyat\u0131n\u0131n S2F trend \u00e7izgisinden b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ayr\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra geldi:<\/p>\n
\u201cS2F modeli \u015fu anda ger\u00e7ekten iyi g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.\u00a0Alay etmenin kabal\u0131k oldu\u011funu biliyorum. Ancak, bence insanlara yanl\u0131\u015f bir kesinlik ve say\u0131n\u0131n artaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda \u00f6nceden belirlenmi\u015flik duygusu veriyorlar. Bu nedenle, bu finansal modeller zararl\u0131d\u0131r ve kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131 t\u00fcm alaylar\u0131 hak ederler.\u201d<\/p>\n
\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n
PlanB, yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 Bitcoin modelinin do\u011fru oldu\u011funu iddia etti<\/b><\/p>\n
S2F modeli, BTC fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etmek i\u00e7in en iyi modellerden biri olarak kabul ediliyor.\u00a0Tarihsel olarak, model Bitcoin fiyat\u0131n\u0131 do\u011fru bir \u015fekilde \u00f6nermi\u015fti. Ancak iki\u00a0kripto piyasas\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u00a0ve y\u00fckselen FUD, \u00f6nemli farkl\u0131l\u0131klara neden oldu. PlanB, Vitalik Buterin\u2019in tweetine yan\u0131t olarak, baz\u0131 acemilerin ve liderlerin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z projeleri ve yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131 i\u00e7in ba\u015fkalar\u0131n\u0131 su\u00e7lad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.\u00a0Ayr\u0131ca, bir \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015ften sonra ba\u015fkalar\u0131n\u0131 su\u00e7lamaktan daha iyi bir \u015fey yapman\u0131n \u00f6nemini vurgulad\u0131. Ancak, 20 Haziran\u2019daki bir tweet\u2019te PlanB, modelin gelecekte verimsizle\u015fece\u011fini iddia etmi\u015fti:<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
\u201cS2F modeli kesinlikle Mart 2019\u2019dan (BTC 4.000) Mart2022\u2019ye (BTC 45.000) kadar iyi bir performans sergiledi.\u00a0\u015eimdiyse iki ihtimal var: BTC a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 derecede d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck de\u011ferli ve yak\u0131nda geri d\u00f6necek. Ya da S2F gelecekte daha az kullan\u0131\u015fl\u0131 bir hale gelecek.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Di\u011fer kripto ki\u015filikleri de modeli ele\u015ftirmi\u015fti<\/b><\/p>\n
Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong> olarak bildirdi\u011fimiz \u00fczere Bitcoin (BTC), fiyat\u0131 S2F trend \u00e7izgisinden \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sapt\u0131. Bunun ard\u0131ndan, bir\u00e7ok ki\u015fi S2F modelinin yanl\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131ndan korkmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Ethereum e\u011fitimcisi sassal.eth, Terra\u2019dan FatMan ve di\u011fer Ethereum destek\u00e7ileri S2F modelini s\u0131k s\u0131k ele\u015ftiriyor. Vitalik Buterin, S2F modelinin Ethereum fiyat\u0131na ve ETH ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na uyguland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda de\u011ferin negatif \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Ethereum kurucusu Vitalik Buterin, Bitcoin (BTC) fiyat tahminlerinde kullan\u0131lan tarihi Stock-to-Flow modelini ele\u015ftirdi. Buna g\u00f6re Ethereum …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":33035,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[12,207,2431],"class_list":["post-33034","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-modeli"],"yoast_head":"\n
Vitalik Buterin Tarihi Bitcoin Modelini Ele\u015ftirdi: Tahminleri Yanl\u0131\u015f! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/vitalik-buterin-tarihi-bitcoin-modelini-elestirdi-tahminleri-yanlis\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Vitalik Buterin Tarihi Bitcoin Modelini Ele\u015ftirdi: Tahminleri Yanl\u0131\u015f!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ethereum kurucusu Vitalik Buterin, Bitcoin (BTC) fiyat tahminlerinde kullan\u0131lan tarihi Stock-to-Flow modelini ele\u015ftirdi. 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