Daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir dolar ve b\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankalar\u0131ndan gelen faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131yla g\u00fcvenli liman metalin cazibesi azald\u0131. G\u00fcvenli liman metali alt\u0131n, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc %1 gerileyerek haftay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatt\u0131. Analistler, alt\u0131n\u0131n bundan sonraki y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc belirlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bob Haberkorn: Alt\u0131n enflasyon ve faiz oranlar\u0131 aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131<\/b><\/p>\n
RJO Vadeli \u0130\u015flemler k\u0131demli piyasa stratejisti Bob Haberkorn, piyasay\u0131 yorumlad\u0131. Stratejist, alt\u0131n\u0131n Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck s\u0131\u00e7raman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, dolar\u0131n %1,1 artmas\u0131yla baz\u0131 kazan\u0131mlar\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7ti\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir dolar, off-shore al\u0131c\u0131lar i\u00e7in metali pahal\u0131 hale getirdi\u011fi i\u00e7in alt\u0131na zarar veriyor.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Ancak Haberkorn, \u201cenflasyon ve faiz oranlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki bir \u00e7eki\u015fmenin ortas\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131p kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d da s\u00f6zlerine ekliyor.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Federal Rezerv 1994\u2019ten bu yana en b\u00fcy\u00fck faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 bu hafta a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca, \u0130svi\u00e7re Ulusal Bankas\u0131 15 y\u0131l aradan sonra ilk kez politika faizini y\u00fckseltti. \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 da onlar\u0131 izledi. J.P. Morgan bir notta, \u015fu hususlar\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor:<\/p>\n
Ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc enflasyon, k\u0131ymetli metal fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterdi. \u015eimdi Fed ve di\u011fer merkez bankalar\u0131ndan bir politika faizi tepkisi geldi. Bunun i\u00e7in daha agresif fiyatland\u0131rma ile h\u0131zla etkisiz hale geliyor. Bu da muhtemelen fiyatlar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tutuyor.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Ole Hansen: Bunlar alt\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman cazibesini destekliyor<\/b><\/p>\n
Daha y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131, tahvil faizlerini y\u00fckseltti. Ayr\u0131ca faiz getirmeyen k\u00fcl\u00e7eyi elde tutman\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyetini art\u0131rd\u0131. Bunun i\u00e7in, geleneksel olarak enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flayan alt\u0131n\u0131n cazibesi azal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Ancak Saxo Bank analisti Ole Hansen bir notta, farkl\u0131 bir a\u00e7\u0131dan bak\u0131yor. Analist, alt\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman cazibesinin artan stagflasyon riskleri, on y\u0131llard\u0131r s\u00fcren y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve riskli varl\u0131klardaki \u00e7alkant\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan desteklendi\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Bu nedenle analist, \u201calt\u0131n, artan reel faizlerin dikte etti\u011fi h\u0131zda d\u00fc\u015fmedi\u2019 diye ekliyor.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Lukman Otunuga: Sar\u0131 metal i\u00e7in bir rollercoaster haftas\u0131 oldu<\/b><\/p>\n
FXTM piyasa analizi y\u00f6neticisi Lukman Otunuga verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, alt\u0131n ve dolar\u0131 yorumlad\u0131. Analist, ikisi aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkiyi \u015fu \u015fekilde de\u011ferlendiriyor:<\/p>\n
De\u011fi\u015fen dolar ve sallanan Hazine faizleri sayesinde alt\u0131n i\u00e7in bir rollercoaster haftas\u0131 oldu. Alt\u0131n, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar y\u00fckselen faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerindeki etkilerini de\u011ferlendirirken haftal\u0131k bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cAlt\u0131n, mevcut aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kmak i\u00e7in yeni bir kataliz\u00f6r ar\u0131yor\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong>\u2019dan takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczere Fed\u2019in bu hafta faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 75 baz puan art\u0131rd\u0131. Analist, bunun, alt\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131n vadedeki yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131n\u0131 muhtemel g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bununla birlikte, daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131n ortas\u0131nda ABD\u2019de resesyona ili\u015fkin artan korkulardan bahsediyor. Ve bu korkular\u0131n, g\u00fcvenli liman alt\u0131na y\u00f6nelik i\u015ftah\u0131 canland\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n ve esasen a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc kay\u0131plar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Otunuga, \u015fimdilik, teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan \u015fu seviyelere dikkat \u00e7ekiyor:<\/p>\n
1.800 dolar civar\u0131nda destek ve 1.880 dolarda diren\u00e7le kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir aral\u0131\u011fa geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Sar\u0131 metal, mevcut aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kmak i\u00e7in yeni bir y\u00f6nl\u00fc kataliz\u00f6r ar\u0131yor olabilir.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 teknik analizi<\/b><\/p>\n
De\u011ferli metal bu haftan\u0131n ortas\u0131nda bir miktar canland\u0131. Piyasa analisti Rajan Dhall, alt\u0131n\u0131n 1.800 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131ndaki herhangi bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi bir kez daha reddetti\u011fini belirtiyor. Analist, Fed\u2019in alt\u0131n \u00fczerindeki etkisine daha yak\u0131ndan bak\u0131yor. Ve piyasalar\u0131n, g\u00fcvenli liman varl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a hissetti\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Analist, teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan ise \u015fu seviyelere i\u015faret ediyor:<\/p>\n
Al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n bu y\u00fckseli\u015fe ivme kazand\u0131rmak i\u00e7in k\u0131rmalar\u0131 gereken 1.879,45 dolarl\u0131k bir y\u00fcksek konsolidasyon var. Bunun \u00f6tesinde, bir sonraki diren\u00e7, 1.920 dolar civar\u0131nda ye\u015fil g\u00f6lgeli alanda. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde, \u00f6nceki dalgan\u0131n 1.805 dolar seviyesinde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n sorun yaratmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Analist, bu son y\u00fckseli\u015fin sadece bir geri \u00e7ekilme oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Ayr\u0131ca Mart 2022\u2019den bu yana altta yatan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filiminin hala ge\u00e7erli oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na geldi\u011fini kaydediyor. Analiste g\u00f6re, e\u011filim \u00e7izgisi deste\u011fi ve ay\u0131lar\u0131n k\u0131rmas\u0131 gereken ba\u015fka bir kilit seviye var. Rajan Dhall, analizine \u015fu y\u00f6nde devam ediyor:<\/p>\n
K\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 g\u00f6lgeli b\u00f6lge, \u00e7ok s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir fiyat alan\u0131n\u0131 temsil ediyor. Bu, 1.780 dolardan bir\u00e7ok kez test edildi. \u015eimdilik, fiyat bir kaya ile sert bir yer aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu nedenle yukar\u0131da belirtilen seviyelerden herhangi birinin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, bize sar\u0131 metalin gelecekteki yolu hakk\u0131nda ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 verecek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir dolar ve b\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankalar\u0131ndan gelen faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131yla g\u00fcvenli liman metalin cazibesi azald\u0131. G\u00fcvenli liman metali alt\u0131n …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":32309,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[1402],"class_list":["post-32308","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-metal"],"yoast_head":"\n
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