{"id":31501,"date":"2022-06-16T05:30:08","date_gmt":"2022-06-16T02:30:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=31501"},"modified":"2022-06-16T05:30:08","modified_gmt":"2022-06-16T02:30:08","slug":"gozler-fedde-altin-fiyatlari-bu-seviyelere-gerileyebilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/gozler-fedde-altin-fiyatlari-bu-seviyelere-gerileyebilir\/","title":{"rendered":"G\u00f6zler FED\u2019de: Alt\u0131n Fiyatlar\u0131 Bu Seviyelere Gerileyebilir!\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 \u00f6nemli bir sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalmaya devam ediyor. Piyasa ise Federal Rezerv\u2019in daha da agresif olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Bu ortamda analistlere g\u00f6re, alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 1.800 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015febilir.<\/p>\n
Lukman Otunuga: Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 daha fazla ac\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir<\/b><\/p>\n
Fed iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck para politikas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131na Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015flad\u0131 ve faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 50 baz puan art\u0131rma yolunda ilerliyordu. Ancak Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc, ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi, ge\u00e7en ay %8,6 ile 40 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131. CME FedWatch Tool\u2019a g\u00f6re, piyasalar art\u0131k \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc 75 baz puanl\u0131k bir hareket i\u00e7in %90,5\u2019lik bir \u015fans g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Ekonomistlere g\u00f6re bu, Fed\u2019in 27 y\u0131ld\u0131r ilk kez bu kadar agresif hareket etmesi anlam\u0131na gelecek. Baz\u0131 analistler, bu \u015fahin beklentilerin k\u0131sa vadede alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in iyi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. FXTM K\u0131demli Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Analisti Lukman Otunuga, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Alt\u0131n Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ger\u00e7ek bir darbe ald\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, ge\u00e7en Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc y\u00fcksek enflasyon rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 75 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u015fans\u0131n\u0131 fiyatland\u0131rd\u0131k\u00e7a neredeyse %3 de\u011fer kaybetti. Jerome Powell \u015fahin bir ton verirse veya Fed\u2019in faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltmeye y\u00f6nelik agresif yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fine dair sinyal verirse, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc alt\u0131n daha fazla ac\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir. 1.800 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda sa\u011flam bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n, 1.765 dolarda son zamanlardaki en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelere do\u011fru bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sinyali vermesi muhtemel.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u0130pek \u00d6zkardeskaya: Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n sermayesini \u00e7eken tek varl\u0131k dolar<\/b><\/p>\n
Swissquote Bank k\u0131demli analisti \u0130pek \u00d6zkardeskaya, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n sermayesini \u00e7eken tek varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n ABD dolar\u0131 oldu\u011funu kaydediyor. Analist, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc bir notta \u015funlar\u0131 yazd\u0131:<\/p>\n
Kimse yar\u0131nki FOMC karar\u0131ndan \u00f6nce ABD dolar\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda herhangi bir varl\u0131\u011fa \u015fans vermek istemiyor. Geleneksel g\u00fcvenli liman varl\u0131klar\u0131 bile \u015fu anda ac\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Ole Hansen: Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in zorlu r\u00fczgarlar var<\/b><\/p>\n
ABD dolar\u0131 ile birlikte, y\u00fckselen tahvil getirileri ve y\u00fckselen reel faiz oranlar\u0131 da alt\u0131n i\u00e7in zorlu r\u00fczgarlar oldu\u011funu kan\u0131tl\u0131yor. Saxo Bank Emtia Stratejisi Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ole Hansen Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Hansen, raporda alt\u0131n\u0131n teknik resmine bak\u0131yor. Analist, fiyatlar\u0131n 1.780 dolar civar\u0131nda deste\u011fi test etme h\u0131z\u0131nda oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Analist, \u015fu tahmini yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Haftal\u0131k grafik, 1.780 dolarl\u0131k destek k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa, 1.670 dolardan \u00f6nce g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir destek olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f tablosunu tersine \u00e7evirmek i\u00e7in 1.880 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015fa ihtiya\u00e7 var.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Hansen, 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k reel tahvil getirilerinin Mart 2019\u2019dan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesi olan %0,65 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc kaydediyor. Ayr\u0131ca, y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen -%1\u2019den y\u00fckseldi\u011fini ekliyor. Bu ba\u011flamda analist, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n ile reel getiri aras\u0131ndaki tarihi ili\u015fki var. Baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n buna dayanarak, alt\u0131n\u0131n \u015fu anda 300 dolardan fazla a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia etmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cBunlara ra\u011fmen, alt\u0131n i\u00e7in hala g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir temel destek var\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Ancak Hansen, zorlu teknik tabloya ra\u011fmen alt\u0131n i\u00e7in hala g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir temel deste\u011fin oldu\u011funu da s\u00f6zlerine ekliyor. Mali piyasalardaki \u00e7alkant\u0131lar\u0131n, artan enflasyon tehdidinin ve artan stagflasyon risklerinin fiyatlar\u0131 desteklemeye devam edece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Analist, de\u011ferlendirmesini \u015fu \u015fekilde bitiriyor:<\/p>\n
Traderlar, 40 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek enflasyon seviyesine tepki veriyor. Buna ilaveten stagflasyon riski art\u0131yor. Bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra hisse senetleri ve kriptolardaki karga\u015fa ortam\u0131 var. B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131n, reel faizlerin belirledi\u011fi h\u0131zda d\u00fc\u015fmemesinin nedenlerinden baz\u0131lar\u0131 oldu\u011funa inan\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
BLF: Bu ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011finde alt\u0131n\u0131n parlama zaman\u0131 gelecek<\/b><\/p>\n
Di\u011fer analistler, alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fse bile piyasan\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor. Ayr\u0131ca, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlar\u0131n bir sat\u0131n alma f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorlar. Blue Line Futures analistleri, bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n
Bu beklentiler ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131k\u00e7a alt\u0131n\u0131n yap\u0131c\u0131 kalmas\u0131 zorunludur. Yapabilirse, enflasyonun so\u011fudu\u011fu ve Fed\u2019in gazdan aya\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ekebilece\u011fi bir zaman gelecek. Bu ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011finde alt\u0131n\u0131n parlama zaman\u0131 gelecek.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
TDS: Bu durum, alt\u0131n\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m olarak daha az \u00e7ekici hale getiriyor<\/b><\/p>\n
Coinmuhendisi.com <\/strong>\u2019dan takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczere alt\u0131n Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc hat\u0131r\u0131 say\u0131l\u0131r bir bask\u0131 alt\u0131na girdi. Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131, neredeyse %3 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 1.820 dolara geriledi. Commerzbank\u2019taki stratejistlere g\u00f6re alt\u0131n, olduk\u00e7a g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD dolar\u0131ndan ve hepsinden \u00f6te, tahvil getirilerindeki h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131\u015flardan kaynaklanan ters r\u00fczgarla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Stratejistler, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini \u015fu \u015fekilde a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
\u0130ki y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvillerinin getirileri yakla\u015f\u0131k 30 baz puan artt\u0131. On y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvillerinin getirileri bir s\u00fcreli\u011fine %3,4\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu da 11 y\u0131ldan fazla bir s\u00fcrenin en y\u00fcksek seviyesi oldu. Sonu\u00e7 olarak, reel faiz oranlar\u0131 da \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde artt\u0131. Reel faiz %0,68 ile \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu, alt\u0131n\u0131 faiz getirmeyen bir alternatif yat\u0131r\u0131m olarak daha az \u00e7ekici hale getiriyor.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Michael Langford: Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 1.800 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lacak<\/b><\/p>\n
Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi\u2019nin (FOMC) bug\u00fcn faiz oranlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin karar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayacak. Wall Street Journal\u2019a g\u00f6re, Fed faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 75 baz puan art\u0131racak. Ard\u0131ndan piyasa bunu hemen fiyatland\u0131racak. Piyasa \u015fimdi Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131na kadar toplam 200 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bekliyor. AirGuide\u2019\u0131n kurumsal dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Michael Langford, \u015fu tahminleri yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131n\u0131n seanstan \u00f6nce (Fed duyurusu) y\u00fckselmesi veya sabit kalmas\u0131 olas\u0131. Bununla birlikte sonraki hafta boyunca d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesini beklemek daha muhtemel. Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131ndaki bu genel d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi, alt\u0131n\u0131n 1.800 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131yla korunacak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 \u00f6nemli bir sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalmaya devam ediyor. Piyasa ise Federal Rezerv\u2019in daha da agresif olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Bu ortamda …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":31502,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[413,55],"class_list":["post-31501","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-fed","tag-piyasa"],"yoast_head":"\n
G\u00f6zler FED\u2019de: Alt\u0131n Fiyatlar\u0131 Bu Seviyelere Gerileyebilir!\u00a0 - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/gozler-fedde-altin-fiyatlari-bu-seviyelere-gerileyebilir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"G\u00f6zler FED\u2019de: Alt\u0131n Fiyatlar\u0131 Bu Seviyelere Gerileyebilir!\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 \u00f6nemli bir sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalmaya devam ediyor. Piyasa ise Federal Rezerv\u2019in daha da agresif olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. 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