{"id":31259,"date":"2022-06-15T05:10:09","date_gmt":"2022-06-15T02:10:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=31259"},"modified":"2022-06-15T05:10:09","modified_gmt":"2022-06-15T02:10:09","slug":"sert-dalga-geliyor-5-analist-altin-icin-bunlara-hazir-olun","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/sert-dalga-geliyor-5-analist-altin-icin-bunlara-hazir-olun\/","title":{"rendered":"Sert Dalga Geliyor\u201d 5 Analist: Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in Bunlara Haz\u0131r Olun!"},"content":{"rendered":"
Dolar\u0131n ve Hazine faizlerinin rallisinin duraklamas\u0131 alt\u0131n i\u00e7in bir miktar rahatlama sa\u011flad\u0131. Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00f6rt haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinden y\u00fckseldi. Ancak Federal Rezerv\u2019in agresif para politikas\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik artan bahisler kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Stephen Innes: Bu nedenle, kazan\u00e7lar alt\u0131n i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olacak<\/b><\/p>\n
Spot alt\u0131n seans\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda 19 May\u0131s\u2019tan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan 1.810,90 dolara d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Sar\u0131 metal daha sonra toparland\u0131 ve yaz\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda %0,45 art\u0131\u015fla 1.827,41 y\u00fckseldi. ABD alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flemleri ise %0,13 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 1.829,4 dolara geriledi. SPI Asset Management\u2019\u0131n y\u00f6netici orta\u011f\u0131 Stephen Innes, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Alt\u0131n, e\u011fri boyunca daha erken faiz indirimleriyle \u00f6nden y\u00fcklenen art\u0131\u015flardan bir miktar destek ald\u0131. Ancak hi\u00e7 kimse Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131na giderken dolarda yetersiz kalmak istemiyor. Bu nedenle, kazan\u00e7lar alt\u0131n i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olacak.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cBu y\u00fczden, alt\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
City Index k\u0131demli piyasa analisti Matt Simpson, ise piyasalardaki geli\u015fmeleri \u015fu \u015fekilde yorumluyor:<\/p>\n
Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar di\u011fer piyasalarda marj tamamlama \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar\u0131na kat\u0131lmak i\u00e7in nakde gitmeye tercih ediyor. Buna ek olarak alt\u0131n\u0131 bo\u015faltmaya karar veriyor. Bu y\u00fczden, alt\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Analiste g\u00f6re, 75 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131n, daha sonra enflasyonist bir hedge olarak stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc geri kazanmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Buna ra\u011fmen, alt\u0131n\u0131n daha fazla bask\u0131 alt\u0131na girebilece\u011fini de s\u00f6zlerine ekledi.<\/p>\n
Wang Tao: Alt\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131n\u0131 sonland\u0131rmas\u0131 muhtemel<\/b><\/p>\n
Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ge\u00e7 saatlerde, CME\u2019nin Fedwatch Tool\u2019una g\u00f6re, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Fed\u2019in 75 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f beklentisi g\u00fcn\u00fcn erken saatlerinde %30\u2019dan %96\u2019ya y\u00fckseldi. 75 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f 1994\u2019ten bu yana en b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015f olacak.<\/p>\n
Daha y\u00fcksek k\u0131sa vadeli ABD faiz oranlar\u0131 ve tahvil getirileri, faiz getirmeyen k\u00fcl\u00e7eyi elde tutman\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyetini art\u0131r\u0131r. Reuters teknik analisti Wang Tao\u2019ya g\u00f6re spot alt\u0131n\u0131n, 1.832 dolarl\u0131k bir diren\u00e7 etraf\u0131ndaki s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131n\u0131 sonland\u0131rmas\u0131 muhtemel. Analist, ard\u0131ndan alt\u0131n\u0131n 1.808 dolara do\u011fru d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe devam etmesinin olas\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cY\u00fckselen faizler ve y\u00fckselen getiriler alt\u0131n i\u00e7in ters r\u00fczgar oluyor\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Y\u00fckselen faizler ve y\u00fckselen getiriler, k\u0131sa vadede sar\u0131 metal i\u00e7in ciddi bir ters r\u00fczgar olu\u015fturuyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc de\u011ferli metal hi\u00e7bir gelir getirmiyor. B\u00f6ylesine kapsaml\u0131 bir finansal d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte, alt\u0131n\u0131n bir a\u015famada k\u0131sa vadeli bir sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131na yakalanmamas\u0131 nadir g\u00f6r\u00fclen bir durum.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Adrian Ash, \u015fimdi, alt\u0131n\u0131n bir krizden korunma arac\u0131 olarak cazibesinin kendisini ne zaman yeniden ortaya koyaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 soruyor. Analist ayr\u0131ca, \u015fu hususun da \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu belirtiyor:<\/p>\n
Piyasada stagflasyon, g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fcn k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fen jeopolitik gerilimleri ve risk varl\u0131klar\u0131ndaki ani ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 sigortalama s\u00f6z konusu. Bu ortamda alt\u0131n, daha fazla yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n yeni uzun vadeli ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ne zaman \u00e7ekecek?<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cSar\u0131 metal, g\u00fcvenli\u011fe ka\u00e7\u0131\u015ftan destek bulacak, ancak\u2026\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong> olarak bildirdi\u011fimiz \u00fczere, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. Bu arada, k\u00fcresel hisse senetleri d\u00fc\u015fmeye devam etti. Bunlar da dolar cinsinden alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131. Hazine faizleri de y\u00fckseli\u015fteydi. Bu nedenle alt\u0131n gibi getirisi olmayan varl\u0131klar\u0131 elde tutman\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyetini y\u00fckseldi. ActivTrades analisti Ricardo Evangelista, \u015fu yorumu yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Baz\u0131 analistler bu \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc faiz karar\u0131n\u0131n daha \u00f6nce beklenen 50 baz puan yerine 75 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Bununla birlikte, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n yaz eylemini ikiden \u00fc\u00e7e \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. B\u00f6yle bir arka plana kar\u015f\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar daha riskli varl\u0131klar\u0131 terk ediyor. Bu nedenle alt\u0131n, g\u00fcvenli\u011fe ka\u00e7\u0131\u015ftan destek bulacak. Ancak bu t\u00fcr kazan\u00e7lar, g\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar ve hazine getirilerindeki art\u0131\u015flarla s\u0131n\u0131rlanacak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Dolar\u0131n ve Hazine faizlerinin rallisinin duraklamas\u0131 alt\u0131n i\u00e7in bir miktar rahatlama sa\u011flad\u0131. Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00f6rt haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":31260,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31259","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft"],"yoast_head":"\n
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