{"id":31105,"date":"2022-06-14T13:40:08","date_gmt":"2022-06-14T10:40:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=31105"},"modified":"2022-06-14T13:40:08","modified_gmt":"2022-06-14T10:40:08","slug":"fitch-turkiyenin-buyume-tahminini-yukseltti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fitch-turkiyenin-buyume-tahminini-yukseltti\/","title":{"rendered":"Fitch, T\u00fcrkiye’nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fckseltti"},"content":{"rendered":"

Fitch, K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun haziran say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 “S\u0131k\u0131 Para Politikas\u0131n\u0131n D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Raporda, enflasyon ve k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 azaltaca\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc \u00fczerinde giderek artan olumsuz etkilerle birlikte yo\u011funla\u015fmaya devam etti\u011fine i\u015faret edilen raporda, \u00c7in’deki son karantina \u00f6nlemlerinin k\u00fcresel imalat tedarik zinciri bask\u0131lar\u0131na katk\u0131da bulundu\u011fu kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131ndan kaynaklanan enerji ve g\u0131da arz\u0131nda ya\u015fanan kesintilerin de Avrupa enflasyonunu beklenenden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 etkiledi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Fitch’in raporunda, enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6zellikle s\u0131k\u0131 i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n nominal \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 destekledi\u011fi ABD ve \u0130ngiltere’de hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde de artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n

ABD ve Euro b\u00f6lgesi b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edildi<\/b><\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel ekonomiye ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc raporda, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,9, 2023 ve 2024’te y\u00fczde 2,7’\u015fer b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

Fitch, mart ay\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahminlerinde k\u00fcresel ekonominin 2022’de y\u00fczde 3,5 ve 2023’te y\u00fczde 2,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

ABD ekonomisinin 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin y\u00fczde 3,5’ten y\u00fczde 2,9’a \u00e7ekildi\u011fi belirtilen raporda, \u00fclkenin 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin ise y\u00fczde 1,6’dan y\u00fczde 1,5’e indirildi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131. ABD’nin 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin ise y\u00fczde 1,3 oldu\u011fu bildirildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, Euro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisinin 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminin de y\u00fczde 3’ten y\u00fczde 2,6’ya indirildi\u011fi, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminin ise 2,3’ten y\u00fczde 2,1’e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kaydedildi. Euro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisinin 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin ise y\u00fczde 2,1 olarak belirlendi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

En b\u00fcy\u00fck revizyon \u00c7in ekonomisinde<\/b><\/p>\n

“S\u0131f\u0131r Kovid-19” politikas\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda \u015eanghay’da al\u0131nan karantina \u00f6nlemlerinin \u00c7in ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesine neden olaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret edilen raporda, en b\u00fcy\u00fck revizyonun \u00c7in ekonomisine ili\u015fkin tahminlerde yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, \u00c7in ekonomisinin bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminin y\u00fczde 4,8’den y\u00fczde 3,7’ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 beklentisinin ise y\u00fczde 5,1’den y\u00fczde 5,3’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131. \u00c7in ekonomisinin 2024’te ise y\u00fczde 5 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye’nin 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fckseltildi<\/b><\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelerin de yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, \u00fclke ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde beklenenden \u00e7ok daha iyi performans g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, ithalat ihracata k\u0131yasla h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterirken yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n ek destek sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131, net ticaretten gelen art\u0131\u015f\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu\u011fu ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

Kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015funun raporunda, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4,5, 2023’te y\u00fczde 3 ve 2024’te y\u00fczde 2,9 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

Fitch, daha \u00f6nce T\u00fcrkiye’nin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,4 ve 2023’te y\u00fczde 3,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Merkez bankalar\u0131 enflasyona yan\u0131t vermek zorunda kal\u0131yor<\/b><\/p>\n

Raporda, d\u00fcnya genelinde enflasyon zorluklar\u0131n\u0131n belirgin hale geldi\u011fi ve merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131t vermek zorunda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

\u00dccret-fiyat dinamikleri geli\u015ftik\u00e7e ve fiyat beklentileri y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e enflasyonun kal\u0131c\u0131 hale gelme riskinin belirgin oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekilen raporda, \u00fccret enflasyonunun y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu ABD ve \u0130ngiltere’de i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok s\u0131k\u0131 oldu\u011fu aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Raporda, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (Fed) faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 bu y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011fine kadar y\u00fczde 3’e ve 2023’\u00fcn ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fine kadar y\u00fczde 3,5’e y\u00fckseltmesinin beklendi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n

Rusya’n\u0131n Almanya ve \u0130talya’ya yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u00fcm do\u011fal gaz ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n aniden durmas\u0131 riskinin ise \u015fimdilik \u00f6nlendi\u011fine i\u015faret edilen raporda, ancak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma s\u00fcrerken bu riskin y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam etti\u011fi kaydedildi. Raporda, “Riskler o kadar y\u00fcksek ki b\u00f6yle bir senaryoda Euro B\u00f6lgesi’nin resesyondan ka\u00e7\u0131naca\u011f\u0131ndan \u015f\u00fcpheliyiz.” de\u011ferlendirmesi yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fitch, K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun haziran say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 “S\u0131k\u0131 Para Politikas\u0131n\u0131n D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Raporda, enflasyon ve …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":31106,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[2954],"class_list":["post-31105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-altcoin","tag-raporda"],"yoast_head":"\nFitch, T\u00fcrkiye'nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fckseltti - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/fitch-turkiyenin-buyume-tahminini-yukseltti\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fitch, T\u00fcrkiye'nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fckseltti\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Fitch, K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu'nun haziran say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 "S\u0131k\u0131 Para Politikas\u0131n\u0131n D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc" ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlad\u0131. 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