{"id":30963,"date":"2022-06-14T01:40:08","date_gmt":"2022-06-13T22:40:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=30963"},"modified":"2022-06-14T01:40:08","modified_gmt":"2022-06-13T22:40:08","slug":"tusiad-basekonomisti-oztok-altinsac-agresiflesen-bir-fed-gorecegiz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/tusiad-basekonomisti-oztok-altinsac-agresiflesen-bir-fed-gorecegiz\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u00dcS\u0130AD Ba\u015fekonomisti \u00d6ztok Alt\u0131nsa\u00e7: Agresifle\u015fen bir Fed g\u00f6rece\u011fiz"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00d6zye\u011fin \u00dcniversitesi \u00d6\u011fretim G\u00f6revlisi ve T\u00dcS\u0130AD Ba\u015fekonomisti Gizem \u00d6ztok Alt\u0131nsa\u00e7 bu hafta ABD\u2019de ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentilerini payla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131nsa\u00e7, Fed\u2019in 75 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 yapmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemedi\u011fini belirtirken, \u00f6nceki toplant\u0131larda 50-50 baz puan art\u0131\u015fa gideceklerini \u00e7ok net vurgulad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 belki Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda 75 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

“75 baz puan faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 piyasay\u0131 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131r”<\/b><\/p>\n

Alt\u0131nsa\u00e7 s\u00f6zlerine \u015f\u00f6yle devam etti:<\/p>\n

Son gelen enflasyon rakam\u0131ndan sonra bu toplant\u0131da da 75 baz puan faiz art\u0131rma beklentisi e\u011filimi oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Powell i\u00e7in zor bir \u00c7ar\u015famba olacak. Bir taraftan daha agresif bir fiyat politikas\u0131 tercih edecekse ekonominin resesyona girme ihtimali giderek art\u0131yor. Ama biz bunu muhtemelen 2023 sonunda konu\u015fuyor olaca\u011f\u0131z. E\u011fer yumu\u015fak halini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek olursa yani bu da 50-50 baz puan yapmas\u0131 o zamanda enflasyon beklentileri daha da bozulmaya devam edecek. Asl\u0131nda 50-50 baz puan giden bir Fed bekliyorduk. Son gelen enflasyondan belki de bekler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi olmu\u015ftu sonra muhtemelen y\u0131l i\u00e7inde 75 baz puanla gelen bir toplant\u0131da Fed\u2019i g\u00f6rme ihtimalimiz var hatta 75-75 baz puan bekleyen kurumlar da var. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla agresifle\u015fen bir Fed g\u00f6rece\u011fiz yani bu toplant\u0131da 50-50 baz puan \u00e7ok net \u00e7izildi\u011fi i\u00e7in 75 yapar ise ben ihtimal vermiyorum ama piyasay\u0131 ciddi anlamda \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtm\u0131\u015f olur.<\/p>\n

“50 baz puan mesaj\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok net vermeleri politika hatas\u0131”<\/b><\/p>\n

Amerikan ekonomisinin sinmi\u015f vaziyette oldu\u011funu bu sebeple Fed’in agresifle\u015fmek zorunda oldu\u011funun da alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izen Alt\u0131nsa\u00e7, \u201cMerkez bankas\u0131 ileti\u015fimi anlam\u0131nda bir miktar daha zorlu bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 var. Fed taraf\u0131nda enfladsyonu hafife alma vard\u0131. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu imaj\u0131 da biraz temizleme ihtiyac\u0131 var. O y\u00fczden zaten agresifle\u015fiyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc hem k\u00fcresel tarafta arz y\u00f6nl\u00fc fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 \u015fiddetini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor hem de ABD ekonomisi hizmet enflasyonu \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc geldi. ABD ekonomisi sinmi\u015f vaziyette dolay\u0131s\u0131yla b\u00f6yle bir durumda merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n vermesi gereken reaksiyon agresifle\u015fmek olmal\u0131 asl\u0131nda 50 -50 baz puanda kendine ba\u011flam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 bir politika hatas\u0131yd\u0131 \u015fimdi buradan d\u00f6n\u00fcp 75 baz puana ilerlemesi iki toplant\u0131 i\u00e7in zor. Bu hatay\u0131 d\u00fczeltmek i\u00e7in belki Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de 75 baz puan s\u00f6z konusu olabilir\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

\n
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\u00d6zye\u011fin \u00dcniversitesi \u00d6\u011fretim G\u00f6revlisi ve T\u00dcS\u0130AD Ba\u015fekonomisti Gizem \u00d6ztok Alt\u0131nsa\u00e7 bu hafta ABD\u2019de ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131na …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":30964,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[413,629],"class_list":["post-30963","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-altcoin","tag-fed","tag-toplanti"],"yoast_head":"\nT\u00dcS\u0130AD Ba\u015fekonomisti \u00d6ztok Alt\u0131nsa\u00e7: Agresifle\u015fen bir Fed g\u00f6rece\u011fiz - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/tusiad-basekonomisti-oztok-altinsac-agresiflesen-bir-fed-gorecegiz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"T\u00dcS\u0130AD Ba\u015fekonomisti \u00d6ztok Alt\u0131nsa\u00e7: Agresifle\u015fen bir Fed g\u00f6rece\u011fiz\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u00d6zye\u011fin \u00dcniversitesi \u00d6\u011fretim G\u00f6revlisi ve T\u00dcS\u0130AD Ba\u015fekonomisti Gizem \u00d6ztok Alt\u0131nsa\u00e7 bu hafta ABD\u2019de ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131na ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/tusiad-basekonomisti-oztok-altinsac-agresiflesen-bir-fed-gorecegiz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin M\u00fchendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/coinmuhendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-06-13T22:40:08+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/tusiad-basekonomisti-oztok-altinsac-agresiflesen-bir-fed-gorecegiz-llnFlpWa-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"627\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/tusiad-basekonomisti-oztok-altinsac-agresiflesen-bir-fed-gorecegiz\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/tusiad-basekonomisti-oztok-altinsac-agresiflesen-bir-fed-gorecegiz\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/92661db359d245dcf90385075aee07ed\"},\"headline\":\"T\u00dcS\u0130AD Ba\u015fekonomisti \u00d6ztok Alt\u0131nsa\u00e7: Agresifle\u015fen bir Fed g\u00f6rece\u011fiz\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-06-13T22:40:08+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/tusiad-basekonomisti-oztok-altinsac-agresiflesen-bir-fed-gorecegiz\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":426,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/tusiad-basekonomisti-oztok-altinsac-agresiflesen-bir-fed-gorecegiz\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/06\\\/tusiad-basekonomisti-oztok-altinsac-agresiflesen-bir-fed-gorecegiz-llnFlpWa-1.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Fed\",\"Toplant\u0131\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Altcoin\"],\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/tusiad-basekonomisti-oztok-altinsac-agresiflesen-bir-fed-gorecegiz\\\/#respond\"]}],\"copyrightYear\":\"2022\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/tusiad-basekonomisti-oztok-altinsac-agresiflesen-bir-fed-gorecegiz\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/tusiad-basekonomisti-oztok-altinsac-agresiflesen-bir-fed-gorecegiz\\\/\",\"name\":\"T\u00dcS\u0130AD Ba\u015fekonomisti \u00d6ztok Alt\u0131nsa\u00e7: Agresifle\u015fen bir Fed g\u00f6rece\u011fiz - 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