{"id":30223,"date":"2022-06-10T14:20:44","date_gmt":"2022-06-10T11:20:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=30223"},"modified":"2022-06-10T14:20:44","modified_gmt":"2022-06-10T11:20:44","slug":"piyasa-analistleri-altin-fiyati-bu-seviyelerde-olmali","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/piyasa-analistleri-altin-fiyati-bu-seviyelerde-olmali\/","title":{"rendered":"Piyasa Analistleri: Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131, Bu Seviyelerde Olmal\u0131!\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"
Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve Kalk\u0131nma Te\u015fkilat\u0131 (OECD) artan enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131 nedeniyle bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Buna ra\u011fmen alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131, yakla\u015f\u0131k 1.850 dolar civar\u0131nda seyrederek, nispeten tarafs\u0131z b\u00f6lgede s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131p kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
OECD\u2019nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/b><\/p>\n
Uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flar, artan g\u0131da ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n faaliyetleri bask\u0131 alt\u0131na ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor. Bu nedenle k\u00fcresel ekonominin sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda uyarmaya devam ediyorlar. OECD de en sonunda b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Ancak analistler, stagflasyonun yine de \u00f6nlenebilece\u011fini belirtiyor.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
OECD, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131nlanan son raporunda, d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda GSY\u0130H\u2019n\u0131n %3 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Bu oran, bu y\u0131l \u00f6nceki %4,5\u2019lik tahmininden a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da. Ayn\u0131 zamanda, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2023\u2019te %2,75 artmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. OECD, enflasyonun k\u00fcresel ekonomi i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck tehdit olmaya devam etti\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Analistler raporda, \u015fu hususlara yer veriyor:<\/p>\n
Enflasyon tahminleri, 2022\u2019de OECD \u00fclkelerinde daha \u00f6nce tahmin etti\u011fimizin iki kat\u0131 olan yakla\u015f\u0131k %9\u2019da duruyor. D\u00fcnya genelinde enflasyon y\u00fckseliyor. Bu da, hane halklar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ek harcanabilir gelirinin d\u00fc\u015fmesine neden oluyor. Ayr\u0131ca, ya\u015fam standartlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u015f\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131yor ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak t\u00fcketimi azalt\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
OECD Ba\u015f Ekonomisti ve Genel Sekreter Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Laurence Boone, a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f konu\u015fmas\u0131 yapt\u0131. Boone, belirsizli\u011fin ticari yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 cayd\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve gelecek y\u0131llarda arz\u0131 k\u0131sma tehdidinde bulundu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Enflasyon korkular\u0131 k\u00fcresel finans piyasalar\u0131na h\u00e2kim olmaya devam ediyor. Bununla birlikte, geleneksel bir enflasyon riskinden korunma y\u00f6ntemi olan alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 \u00e7ok fazla yeni ilgi g\u00f6rm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Coinmuhendisi.com <\/strong>\u2019dan takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczere alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131, son \u00fc\u00e7 haftad\u0131r 1.850 dolar civar\u0131nda konsolide oluyor. A\u011fustos alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flemleri en son, g\u00fcn i\u00e7in %0,17 art\u0131\u015fla 1.855,20 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Baz\u0131 piyasa analistleri, yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesi \u00e7ekmek i\u00e7in1.880 dolara i\u015faret ediyor. Analistler, y\u00fckseli\u015f i\u00e7in alt\u0131n\u0131n 1.880 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Bilindi\u011fi \u00fczere d\u00fcnyadaki merkez bankalar\u0131, hararetli enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 so\u011futmak i\u00e7in faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Bu ortamda alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131, son zamanlarda cans\u0131z performans g\u00f6steriyor. Pek \u00e7ok analist, cans\u0131z performans\u0131n kayna\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bu oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
\u201cBir\u00e7ok b\u00f6lgede enflasyon, g\u0131da ve enerjiden kaynaklan\u0131yor\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
OECD, d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda daha y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 oldu\u011funu kaydediyor. Analistler raporda \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmelere yer veriyor:<\/p>\n
K\u00fcresel olarak, bug\u00fcn y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve istihdam seviyeleri, art\u0131k para politikas\u0131 d\u00fczenlemesine ihtiya\u00e7 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bununla birlikte, bir\u00e7ok b\u00f6lgede enflasyon, g\u0131da ve enerji kaynakl\u0131. Para politikas\u0131 bu t\u00fcr arz \u015foklar\u0131n\u0131 gideremezse, enflasyonun daha fazla y\u00fckselmesine veya yay\u0131lmas\u0131na izin vermeyece\u011fine dair sinyaller g\u00f6nderebilir.<\/p>\n
Laurenc Boone, bu nedenle, t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada uzla\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n garanti edildi\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Ancak arza dayal\u0131 enflasyonun hakim oldu\u011fu Avrupa\u2019da \u00f6zellikle dikkatli olundu\u011funu belirtiyor.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Bu arada Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131 devam ediyor. Bu durum da enflasyon korkular\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor ve zay\u0131f ekonomik aktiviteye neden oluyor. Rapor, uzun s\u00fcreli bir sava\u015f\u0131n artan risklerini de vurguluyor. Rusya ve Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n k\u00fcresel ekonomi \u00fczerindeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck etkisi, bir dizi emtia piyasas\u0131nda \u00f6nemli tedarik\u00e7iler olmas\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Ukrayna, k\u00fcresel bu\u011fday ihracat\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %30\u2019unu, m\u0131s\u0131r\u0131n %15\u2019ini, mineral g\u00fcbreler ve do\u011fal gaz\u0131n %20\u2019sini ve petrol\u00fcn %11\u2019ini \u00fcretiyor. Analistler, \u015funlar\u0131 belirtiyor:<\/p>\n
\u00d6zel bir endi\u015fe var. Rusya ve Ukrayna\u2019dan bu\u011fday ihracat\u0131n\u0131n kesilmesi bir\u00e7ok geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomide ciddi g\u0131da k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. Baz\u0131 \u00fclkelerde sadece ekonomik krizler yok. Ayn\u0131 zamanda yoksulluk ve a\u00e7l\u0131kta keskin bir art\u0131\u015f var. Bu da insani felaketler i\u00e7in ciddi bir risk olacak.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli olan ortam olu\u015fur mu?<\/b><\/p>\n
Y\u00fckselen emtia fiyatlar\u0131 bir stagflasyon ortam\u0131 yaratabilir. Ancak EOCD, bunun \u00f6nlenebilir bir senaryo oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Y\u00fckselen enerji fiyatlar\u0131 ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmede keskin bir yava\u015flamaya ili\u015fkin artan endi\u015feler bir araya geliyor. Bu durum, yeni bir stagflasyon d\u00f6nemi ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair konu\u015fmalar\u0131 te\u015fvik ediyor. Ayr\u0131ca, k\u00fcresel ekonominin 1970\u2019lerin petrol \u015foklar\u0131n\u0131 an\u0131msat\u0131yor. Analistler, konuyu \u015fu \u015fekilde ele al\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
1973 sonlar\u0131nda ilk b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol fiyat \u015fokunu ya\u015fad\u0131k. Mevcut durum ile 1970\u2019lerin ortalar\u0131 aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekten artan benzerlikler var. Bununla birlikte, \u015fimdiki b\u00fcy\u00fcme o zamana g\u00f6re daha dayan\u0131kl\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca, enflasyonist bask\u0131lar\u0131n daha h\u0131zl\u0131 azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelebilecek farkl\u0131l\u0131klar da var.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve Kalk\u0131nma Te\u015fkilat\u0131 (OECD) artan enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131 nedeniyle bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Buna ra\u011fmen alt\u0131n …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":30224,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[3057],"class_list":["post-30223","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-oecd"],"yoast_head":"\n
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