{"id":29758,"date":"2022-06-08T10:40:07","date_gmt":"2022-06-08T07:40:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=29758"},"modified":"2022-06-08T10:40:07","modified_gmt":"2022-06-08T07:40:07","slug":"bu-6-grafige-bakin-bitcoin-kapitulasyonu-mu-geliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bu-6-grafige-bakin-bitcoin-kapitulasyonu-mu-geliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Bu 6 Grafi\u011fe Bak\u0131n: Bitcoin Kapit\u00fclasyonu Mu Geliyor?\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin (BTC) fiyat\u0131, 30.000 dolarl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00f6lge etraf\u0131nda hareket ediyor ve traderlar\u0131 dibin oldu\u011funa inanmaya te\u015fvik ediyor. Ancak Glassnode\u2019dan gelen veriler ba\u015fka bir nihai sat\u0131\u015f konusunda uyar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u201cVeriler, piyasan\u0131n son bir kapit\u00fclasyon olay\u0131 i\u00e7in haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong> haberlerinden de takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczere, 2021 boyunca fiyatlar\u0131 yeni zirvelere ta\u015f\u0131yan bo\u011fa piyasas\u0131 co\u015fkusu, 1 Ocak 2021\u2019den bu yana al\u0131m yapan herhangi bir Bitcoin (BTC) al\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in piyasa durgunlu\u011funa yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Glassnode\u2019dan gelen veriler, bu al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n \u2018art\u0131k su alt\u0131nda\u2019 oldu\u011funu ve piyasan\u0131n son bir kapit\u00fclasyon olay\u0131 i\u00e7in haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
Bitcoin net ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmemi\u015f kar veya zarar \/ Kaynak: Glassnode<\/figure>\n

A\u011f\u0131n toplam ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmemi\u015f k\u00e2r\u0131n\u0131 ve zarar\u0131n\u0131 piyasa de\u011ferinin bir oran\u0131 olarak \u00f6l\u00e7en bir metrik olan NUPL, \u00f6nceki ay\u0131 piyasalar\u0131ndaki kapit\u00fclasyon \u00f6ncesi a\u015famalara e\u015fde\u011fer bir piyasa yap\u0131s\u0131na benzer \u015fekilde, piyasa de\u011ferinin %25\u2019inden az\u0131n\u0131n k\u00e2rda oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Uzmanlara g\u00f6re, \u00f6nceki kapit\u00fclasyon olaylar\u0131na dayanarak, mevcut seviyelerde benzer bir hareket meydana gelirse, Bitcoin fiyat\u0131 \u201ctam \u00f6l\u00e7ekli bir kapit\u00fclasyon senaryosunda\u201d 20.560 ila 25.700 dolar aras\u0131nda bir fiyat aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015febilir.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin i\u00e7in dip fiyat hangi seviyede?<\/b><\/p>\n

Kripto piyasas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 b\u00f6lgesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, herkesin akl\u0131ndaki soru \u201cdip nerede?\u201d Baz\u0131 olas\u0131 rehberlik sa\u011flamaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilecek bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm, fiyat ile 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama aras\u0131ndaki oran\u0131 izleyen bir osilat\u00f6r olan Mayer Multiple.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
Bitcoin i\u00e7in Mayer Multiple modeli \/ Kaynak: Glassnode<\/figure>\n

Glassnode\u2019a g\u00f6re, \u00f6nceki ay\u0131 piyasalar\u0131nda, \u2018a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m veya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck de\u011ferli ko\u015fullar, Mayer Multiple\u2019\u0131n 0,6-0,8 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle \u00e7ak\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u2019 ve bu tam olarak Bitcoin\u2019in kendisini buldu\u011fu aral\u0131k.<\/p>\n

Uzmanlara g\u00f6re, \u00f6nceki ay\u0131 piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n fiyat hareketine dayanarak, Bitcoin\u2019in 25.200 dolar ile 33.700 dolar aras\u0131ndaki son i\u015flem aral\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u00f6nceki ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 d\u00f6ng\u00fclerinin B a\u015famas\u0131 ile ayn\u0131 hizada ve mevcut d\u00f6ng\u00fcde BTC\u2019nin en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini i\u015faretleyebilir.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen fiyat modeli, Bitcoin veri sa\u011flay\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 LookIntoBitcoin taraf\u0131ndan sa\u011flanan mevcut veri ile BTC i\u00e7in ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen fiyat\u0131n 5 Haziran itibariyle 23.601 dolar oldu\u011funu \u00f6ne s\u00fcrerek, Bitcoin i\u00e7in potansiyel bir dip fiyat\u0131n\u0131n ne olabilece\u011fine dair fikir veriyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen fiyat \/ Kaynak: LookIntoBitcoin<\/figure>\n

Bu iki \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm\u00fcn birle\u015ftirilmesi, BTC i\u00e7in en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyenin 23.600 ila 25.200 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli holder ve madenci kapit\u00fclasyonu neyi g\u00f6steriyor?<\/b><\/p>\n

Mevcut piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f, uzun vadeli holder\u2019lar\u0131n piyasa kar\u0131n\u0131n %90\u2019\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 elinde bulundurdu\u011fu \u00f6nceki iki geni\u015fletilmi\u015f ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen davran\u0131\u015fa benzer \u015fekilde, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde k\u0131sa vadeli holder\u2019lar taraf\u0131ndan domine edildi.<\/p>\n

Uzun vadeli Bitcoin holder\u2019lar\u0131 arzdan k\u00e2r pay\u0131 al\u0131yor \/ Kaynak: Glassnode<\/figure>\n

Bitcoin i\u00e7in son 30.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, uzun vadeli holder grubu i\u00e7in k\u00e2rdaki arz y\u00fczdesinin %90\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve k\u0131sa vadeli holder\u2019lar\u0131n \u2018esas olarak zirveye yak\u0131n bir ac\u0131 e\u015fi\u011fine ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u2019 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Glassnode\u2019a g\u00f6re, BTC\u2019deki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f madencilerin karl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 engelledi\u011fi ve \u201cayda 5 bin ile 8 bin BTC aras\u0131nda toplam madenci bakiyesi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u201d ile sonu\u00e7land\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in madenciler son aylarda net sat\u0131c\u0131 oldular.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin madenci net pozisyon de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi \/ Kaynak: Glassnode<\/figure>\n

BTC\u2019nin fiyat\u0131 buradan d\u00fc\u015fmeye devam ederse, ge\u00e7mi\u015fte Bitcoin\u2019in g\u00fcnl\u00fck ihra\u00e7 de\u011ferinin, bu de\u011ferin 365 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamas\u0131na oran\u0131 olan Puell Multiple taraf\u0131ndan g\u00f6sterildi\u011fi gibi madenci kapit\u00fclasyonunda bir art\u0131\u015f potansiyeli s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Puell Multiple vs. BTC fiyat\u0131 \/ Kaynak: LookIntoBitcoin<\/figure>\n

Ge\u00e7mi\u015f veriler, metri\u011fin, mevcut d\u00f6ng\u00fcde hen\u00fcz olu\u015fmam\u0131\u015f olan \u00f6nceki ay\u0131 piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n son a\u015famalar\u0131nda 0,5\u2019in alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. Mevcut piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131na g\u00f6re, %10\u2019luk ek bir BTC fiyat\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, \u00f6nceki ay\u0131 piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n zirvesinde g\u00f6r\u00fclen fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne ve sat\u0131\u015f\u0131na benzeyen nihai bir madenci teslim olma olay\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin (BTC) fiyat\u0131, 30.000 dolarl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00f6lge etraf\u0131nda hareket ediyor ve traderlar\u0131 dibin oldu\u011funa inanmaya te\u015fvik ediyor. Ancak Glassnode …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":29759,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[12,207,55],"class_list":["post-29758","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-piyasa"],"yoast_head":"\nBu 6 Grafi\u011fe Bak\u0131n: Bitcoin Kapit\u00fclasyonu Mu Geliyor?\u00a0 - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bu-6-grafige-bakin-bitcoin-kapitulasyonu-mu-geliyor\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bu 6 Grafi\u011fe Bak\u0131n: Bitcoin Kapit\u00fclasyonu Mu Geliyor?\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin (BTC) fiyat\u0131, 30.000 dolarl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00f6lge etraf\u0131nda hareket ediyor ve traderlar\u0131 dibin oldu\u011funa inanmaya te\u015fvik ediyor. 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