{"id":29077,"date":"2022-06-01T04:50:08","date_gmt":"2022-06-01T01:50:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=29077"},"modified":"2022-06-01T04:50:08","modified_gmt":"2022-06-01T01:50:08","slug":"reel-sektorden-buyume-yorumu-baslangic-guclu-enflasyona-dikkat-etmek-gerek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/reel-sektorden-buyume-yorumu-baslangic-guclu-enflasyona-dikkat-etmek-gerek\/","title":{"rendered":"Reel sekt\u00f6rden b\u00fcy\u00fcme yorumu: Ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, enflasyona dikkat etmek gerek"},"content":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu (T\u00dc\u0130K) ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fe ili\u015fkin milli gelir istatistiklerini yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Veriler T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin ilk \u00e7eyrekte y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 7,3 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi. B\u00f6ylelikle son 4 \u00e7eyre\u011fin en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131 kaydedildi. B\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ilk \u00e7eyrekte en y\u00fcksek katk\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcketimden geldi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Hanehalk\u0131 t\u00fcketimi ilk \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye 11,6 puan katk\u0131 yapt\u0131. Ana sekt\u00f6rlere bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde sanayinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131 hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn ard\u0131nda kald\u0131. Tar\u0131mda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme olurken, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ise y\u00fczde 7,2 darald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Kurum, oda ve birlik ba\u015fkanlar\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu (T\u00dc\u0130K) taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulundu yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7<\/b><\/p>\n

D\u0131\u015f Ekonomik \u0130li\u015fkiler Kurulu (DE\u0130K) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Nail Olpak:<\/p>\n

2022 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in hem salg\u0131n\u0131n ortadan kalkmas\u0131 hem de tedarik zincirlerinde ya\u015fanan aksamalar\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren azalmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131 ile birlikte daha sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi i\u00e7indeyiz. \u015eubat ay\u0131n\u0131n sonlar\u0131na do\u011fru ba\u015flayan Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 ve bunun getirdi\u011fi yeni olumsuzluklar\u0131n d\u00fcnyaya etkilerine ra\u011fmen T\u00fcrkiye, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi y\u00fczde 7,3 b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131yla 2022 y\u0131l\u0131na da g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

B\u00f6ylesine negatif bir k\u00fcresel ortamda dahi, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 7,3 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6steren T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi, 2021’de oldu\u011fu gibi bu y\u0131l da d\u00fcnya \u00fclkelerinden pozitif ayr\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bir kez daha ispatlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile y\u0131l sonu hedefimiz olan y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 5 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefimizi de \u00e7ok rahatl\u0131kla yakalayabilece\u011fimizi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. B\u00fcy\u00fcme verimizi \u00fcretim y\u00f6n\u00fcnden inceledi\u011fimizde ise in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc haricinde t\u00fcm sekt\u00f6rlerin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye pozitif katk\u0131 verdi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu da sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Gelirin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi kadar bunun toplum i\u00e7inde adil ve e\u015fitlik\u00e7i bir yakla\u015f\u0131mla payla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 da bir o kadar \u00f6nemli . Bu perspektiften bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 30’un alt\u0131na inen i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc \u00f6demelerinin GSYH i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131n\u0131n da bu \u00e7eyrekte tekrar artarak y\u00fczde 31,5’a y\u00fckselmesi de olduk\u00e7a k\u0131ymetli.<\/p>\n

“Y\u00fcksek performans\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yoruz”<\/b><\/p>\n

\u0130stanbul Kimyevi Maddeler ve Mamulleri \u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 Birli\u011fi (\u0130KM\u0130B) Y\u00f6netim Kurulu Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Adil Pelister:<\/p>\n

\u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekte de bu y\u00fcksek performans\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 istikrarl\u0131 \u015fekilde devam ettirmek i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yoruz. Nitekim Mart ve Nisan aylar\u0131 ile birlikte ilk d\u00f6rt ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde sekt\u00f6r\u00fcm\u00fcz ihracat lideri oldu. Di\u011fer yandan \u00f6zellikle de Rusya-Ukrayna krizi ile h\u0131zla y\u00fckselen emtia, enerji ve g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015flar, buna ba\u011fl\u0131 enflasyon art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 devam ediyor. Kimya sekt\u00f6r\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fcn \u00fcretimde kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ham madde fiyatlar\u0131 da y\u00fcksek seyretmeye devam ediyor. Bu olumsuz geli\u015fmelerden en az \u015fekilde etkilenmek i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek katma de\u011ferli yerli \u00fcretime \u00f6nem veriyoruz.<\/p>\n

\u0130KM\u0130B olarak bu y\u00f6nde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131m\u0131za devam ediyoruz. T\u00fcrk Kimya Sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde Yat\u0131r\u0131m \u00d6ncelikli \u00dcr\u00fcnler raporumuzu ge\u00e7en y\u0131l yay\u0131nlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131k. Bununla birlikte bu y\u0131l sonunda faaliyete ge\u00e7irmeye haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z Kimya Teknoloji Merkezi\u2019miz (KTM) ile \u00f6nemli bir kazan\u0131m sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131z. \u00dclkemizin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kalk\u0131nmas\u0131nda kimya sekt\u00f6r\u00fc olarak stratejik bir g\u00f6rev \u00fcstleniyoruz. Bu sorumlulukla \u00fcretmeye ve \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya devam edece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n

“Ek \u00f6nlem ve enflasyona odaklanmak gerek”<\/b><\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye Odalar ve Borsalar Birli\u011fi (TOBB) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Rifat Hisarc\u0131kl\u0131o\u011flu:<\/p>\n

Maliyetlerdeki art\u0131\u015f ve tedarik sorunlar\u0131na ra\u011fmen \u00fcretim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yoruz. Kapsay\u0131c\u0131, s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in ek \u00f6nlemlere ve enflasyona odaklanmal\u0131y\u0131z. El birli\u011fi, ak\u0131l birli\u011fi ile daha \u00e7ok \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma zaman\u0131.<\/p>\n

Maliyete \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm bulunmal\u0131<\/b><\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye M\u00fcteahhitler Birli\u011fi (TMB) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdal Eren:<\/p>\n

Sekt\u00f6rde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f i\u00e7in in\u015faat yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda canlanmaya ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemez d\u00fczeyde artan girdi maliyetlerinin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorunun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcne ihtiya\u00e7 duyulmaktad\u0131r. Bu kapsamda kamu yat\u0131r\u0131m program\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceliklendirme yap\u0131larak, daha fazla ekonomik ve sosyal katma de\u011fer yaratacak projeler bir an \u00f6nce hayata ge\u00e7irilebilir. Girdi maliyetleri konusunda \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm i\u00e7in ise \u00e7e\u015fitli ad\u0131mlar at\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ancak i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f dinamiklerle ya\u015fanan maliyet art\u0131\u015f\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda firmalar\u0131n yaras\u0131na merhem olman\u0131n \u00e7ok uza\u011f\u0131nda kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131 i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck yans\u0131mas\u0131 emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f olan Rusya-Ukrayna Sava\u015f\u0131, sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn hem yurt i\u00e7i hem de yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 projeleri \u00fczerinde belirsizlik ve riskler olu\u015fturmu\u015f durumdad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Sanayi \u00f6nemli katk\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131<\/b><\/p>\n

Ankara Sanayi Odas\u0131 (ASO) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Nurettin \u00d6zdebir:<\/p>\n

Y\u00fcksek maliyet ve likiditeye ula\u015fman\u0131n zorla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6neme ra\u011fmen sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ekonomimizin y\u00fcz ak\u0131 olmu\u015f ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye \u00f6nemli katk\u0131 sa\u011flamaya devam etmi\u015ftir. Sermaye mal\u0131 \u00fcretiminin d\u00f6rt \u00e7eyrek sonra pozitife d\u00f6nmesi, di\u011fer sekt\u00f6rlerdeki ivme kayb\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n bunu telafi etti\u011fini g\u00f6stermektedir. Bu durum, gelecek d\u00f6nemde \u00fcretimin devaml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ekonominin istihdam yaratma kapasitesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olumlu bir geli\u015fmedir.<\/p>\n

\u00dclkemiz b\u00fcy\u00fck altyap\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n bir\u00e7o\u011funu ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015f olup, bundan sonraki s\u00fcre\u00e7te cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa yol a\u00e7an \u00fcr\u00fcnler ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere kaynaklar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 \u00fcretime kanalize edecek bir seferberlik ba\u015flatmal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/p>\n

Burada b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin kalitesi \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kmaktad\u0131r. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc \u00f6demelerinin cari fiyatlarla gayrisafi katma de\u011fer i\u00e7erisindeki pay\u0131 ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n birinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 35,5 iken, bu \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 31,5 seviyesine gerilemesi, gelir adaleti a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan dikkat edilmesi gereken olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemli bir husus olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmelidir.<\/p>\n

Sonu\u00e7 olarak, k\u00fcresel ekonomide belirsizlikler her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn artmakta ve bu belirsizlikler \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen toparlanmay\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lgan hale getirmektedir. Ulusal ekonomimizin g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi, sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme, ulusal sanayi \u00fcretiminin, \u00f6zellikle de katma de\u011feri y\u00fcksek \u00fcretim yapan imalat sanayisinin g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesiyle m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Enflasyonun bir an \u00f6nce kontrol edilmesi zorunlu<\/b><\/p>\n

Ankara Ticaret Odas\u0131 (ATO) Y\u00f6netim Kurulu Ba\u015fkan\u0131 G\u00fcrsel Baran:<\/p>\n

Pandemi sonras\u0131 k\u00fcresel d\u00fczeyde \u00e7alkant\u0131lar devam ederken, reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn \u00fcretim ve ihracat ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n katk\u0131s\u0131yla sa\u011flanan b\u00fcy\u00fcme, T\u00fcrkiye’yi pozitif ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131racakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Tedarik zincirlerinin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 nedeniyle ham madde fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fe, enerji ve g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n e\u015flik etmesi, geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler dahil olmak \u00fczere k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya soktu. Bu tablo enflasyonu tetiklerken y\u0131llard\u0131r g\u00fcndemlerinde enflasyon olmayan \u00fclkeleri bile fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya b\u0131rakt\u0131. K\u00fcresel d\u00fczeyde tablo b\u00f6yleyken, T\u00fcrkiye’nin ilk \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 7,3 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi b\u00fcy\u00fck ba\u015far\u0131d\u0131r. Pandemi sonras\u0131 k\u00fcresel d\u00fczeyde \u00e7alkant\u0131lar devam ederken, reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn \u00fcretim ve ihracat ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n katk\u0131s\u0131yla sa\u011flanan b\u00fcy\u00fcme, T\u00fcrkiye’yi pozitif ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131racakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u00dclke olarak pandemi s\u00fcrecini dev ekonomilerle k\u0131yaslanamayacak d\u00fczeyde iyi ge\u00e7irdik. Reel sekt\u00f6re y\u00f6nelik desteklerin de katk\u0131s\u0131yla ticaret ve sanayideki ba\u015far\u0131, ihracat gelirlerimizin y\u00fckselmesiyle moralimizi de y\u00fckseltti. Geldi\u011fimiz noktada, k\u00fcresel bir resesyon riski ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z. Bu tablo enflasyonun bir an \u00f6nce kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131, ihracat\u0131n hem pazar hem de \u00fcr\u00fcn olarak \u00e7e\u015fitlendirilmesi zorunlulu\u011funu ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

Olumsuzluklar, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi engelleyemedi<\/b><\/p>\n

M\u00fcstakil Sanayici ve \u0130\u015f Adamlar\u0131 Derne\u011fi (M\u00dcS\u0130AD) Genel Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Mahmut Asmal\u0131:<\/p>\n

Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fine ili\u015fkin y\u00fczde 7,3’l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131, milli ekonomimize olan inanc\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n hakl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koymaktad\u0131r. \u00dclkemiz; Euro B\u00f6lgesi’nin y\u00fczde 5,1, \u00c7in’in y\u00fczde 4,8, Almanya’n\u0131n y\u00fczde 3,8, ABD’nin ise 3,5 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bu d\u00f6nemde, halihaz\u0131rda 1. \u00e7eyre\u011fe y\u00f6nelik b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klanan G20 \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7erisinde Suudi Arabistan ve \u0130ngiltere’nin ard\u0131ndan 3. s\u0131rada yer alm\u0131\u015f ve pozitif ayr\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. B\u00f6ylece pandemi sonras\u0131 s\u00fcrecin tedarik zincirleri \u00fczerindeki olumsuz etkilerinin s\u00fcrmesi ve bilhassa enerji ve g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden k\u00fcresel enflasyon tehlikesinin iyice g\u00fcn y\u00fcz\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Rusya’n\u0131n Ukrayna’y\u0131 i\u015fgalinin ard\u0131ndan yeni bir \u015fok ya\u015fayan k\u00fcresel ekosistemin marazlar\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesini engelleyememi\u015ftir. Bu vesileyle M\u00dcS\u0130AD olarak, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda da mevcut tahminlerin \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fine olan inanc\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 yineliyoruz. T\u00fcrk i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131, ge\u00e7mi\u015f 20 y\u0131l\u0131n kazan\u0131mlar\u0131ndan ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fc gelece\u011fe ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek ve \u00fclkemiz ba\u015fta enflasyon olmak \u00fczere b\u00fct\u00fcn ar\u0131zi \u015foklar\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde geride b\u0131rakmay\u0131 ba\u015faracak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu (T\u00dc\u0130K) ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fe ili\u015fkin milli gelir istatistiklerini yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Veriler T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin ilk \u00e7eyrekte y\u0131ll\u0131k …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":29078,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[704,503,1750],"class_list":["post-29077","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-altcoin","tag-turkiye","tag-ulke","tag-uretim"],"yoast_head":"\nReel sekt\u00f6rden b\u00fcy\u00fcme yorumu: Ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, enflasyona dikkat etmek gerek - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/reel-sektorden-buyume-yorumu-baslangic-guclu-enflasyona-dikkat-etmek-gerek\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Reel sekt\u00f6rden b\u00fcy\u00fcme yorumu: Ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, enflasyona dikkat etmek gerek\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu (T\u00dc\u0130K) ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fe ili\u015fkin milli gelir istatistiklerini yay\u0131mlad\u0131. 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