Alacak sigortas\u0131 alan\u0131nda faaliyet g\u00f6steren Allianz Trade, \u201cK\u00fcresel \u0130flaslar Raporu\u201dnu yay\u0131nlad\u0131. Rapora g\u00f6re, \u00fcst \u00fcste iki senelik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan ticari iflaslar 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 10, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise y\u00fczde 14 art\u0131\u015fla salg\u0131n \u00f6ncesi seviyelere yakla\u015facak.<\/p>\n
2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00f6zellikle, Fas ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de iflaslarda ya\u015fanacak art\u0131\u015f nedeniyle rekor seviyelere ula\u015facak. Afrika ve Orta ve Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019da, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda iflas say\u0131lar\u0131 rekor seviyelere ula\u015facak. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de y\u00fczde 12 art\u0131\u015fla 19 bin 200 iflas \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Rusya\u2019da da moratoryumun sona ermesinden sonra iflaslarda art\u0131\u015f olacak. 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen iflas vaka say\u0131s\u0131 14 bin.<\/p>\n
Brezilya’da 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda iflaslarda bir art\u0131\u015f olacak olsa da (y\u00fczde 15) Latin Amerika\u2019da ticari iflas rakamlar\u0131 2023 y\u0131l\u0131ndan \u00f6nce Kovid-19 \u00f6ncesi seviyeleri a\u015fmayacak.<\/p>\n
ABD istisna olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor<\/b><\/p>\n
Allianz Trade, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda her \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclkeden birinde iflas say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n Kovid-19 \u00f6ncesi seviyelere geri d\u00f6nmesini, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda da bunun her \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclkeden ikiye \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n
Devlet destekleriyle 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda Fransa’da ve Almanya’da iflaslar yapay olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalacak olsa da (s\u0131ras\u0131yla 32bin 510 ve 14 bin 600 vaka), ayn\u0131 y\u0131l \u0130ngiltere iflaslarda keskin bir art\u0131\u015f kaydedebilir (y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 37 art\u0131\u015fla 22 bin 305 vaka).<\/p>\n
\u0130talya ve \u0130spanya’da da 2021 y\u0131l\u0131ndakinden daha zay\u0131f olsa da iflaslarda art\u0131\u015f bekleniyor (s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 6 art\u0131\u015fla 8 bin 990 iflas ve y\u00fczde 8 art\u0131\u015fla 5 bin 550 vaka). Portekiz (y\u00fczde 2) ve \u0130sve\u00e7\u2019te (y\u00fczde 6) ise \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f olacak.<\/p>\n
\u00c7in\u2019in iflas seviyesini kontrol alt\u0131nda<\/b> tutarak y\u00fczde 1 art\u0131\u015fla 8 bin 759 vaka kaydetmesi beklenirken, Avustralya, Tayvan\u2019da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck, Japonya, G\u00fcney Kore, Hong Kong ve Yeni Zelanda\u2019da \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olan iflas seviyelerinin artabilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
B\u00f6lgede di\u011ferlerinden ayr\u0131\u015fan Singapur\u2019un 275, Hindistan\u2019\u0131n ise bin 150 vaka ile y\u00fcksek iflas seviyelerine geri d\u00f6nmesi bekleniyor. 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda iflaslarda \u00e7ok az bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131 ve iflas rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalmaya devam edece\u011fi, di\u011fer b\u00f6lgelere bir istisna olu\u015fturan \u00fclke olarak da 15 bin 500 vaka ile ABD \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u0130flas art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 unsur \u00f6nleyecek<\/b><\/p>\n
Ukrayna\u2019daki sava\u015f ve \u00c7in\u2019deki yeni karantina \u00f6nlemleri, \u015firketler i\u00e7in risk dengesini \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bozdu. Rapora g\u00f6re bu iki sorunun yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u00fcresel sorunlar aras\u0131nda tedarik zinciri aksakl\u0131klar\u0131, ula\u015f\u0131m darbo\u011fazlar\u0131, k\u0131tl\u0131klar ve ba\u015fta enerji ve emtialar olmak \u00fczere y\u00fcksek girdi maliyetleri yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Buna ek olarak, \u015firketler art\u0131k k\u00fcresel enflasyon art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n dolayl\u0131 bir sonucu olarak daha y\u00fcksek fonlama maliyetleriyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc enflasyonla m\u00fccadele d\u00fcnya genelinde parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmay\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Allianz Trade\u2019e g\u00f6re k\u0131sa vadede iflaslarda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nlemeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacak 3 dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k i\u015fareti \u015f\u00f6yle:<\/p>\n
– Finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fc d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ve Borsaya a\u00e7\u0131k \u015firketlerin nakit varl\u0131klar\u0131 2022 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131ndakine oranla y\u00fczde 30 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n
– Allianz Trade verileri, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda iflas etme potansiyeli y\u00fcksek olan \u015firket say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Belirgin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fanan iki \u00fclke y\u00fczde 11\u2019den y\u00fczde 7\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ile \u0130talya ve y\u00fczde 15\u2019ten y\u00fczde 12\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle Fransa oldu.<\/p>\n
– \u0130lk \u00e7eyrek kazan\u00e7lar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik yay\u0131nlanan ge\u00e7ici raporlar, borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren \u015firketlerin maliyet art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlara beklenenden daha iyi bir \u015fekilde yans\u0131tm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu do\u011fruluyor. Allianz Trade\u2019in raporuna g\u00f6re May\u0131s ba\u015f\u0131 itibariyle takip edilen \u015firketlerin y\u00fczde 68\u2019i sat\u0131\u015flarda ve y\u00fczde 62\u2019si hisse ba\u015f\u0131na kazan\u00e7ta beklentileri a\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Alacak sigortas\u0131 alan\u0131nda faaliyet g\u00f6steren Allianz Trade, \u201cK\u00fcresel \u0130flaslar Raporu\u201dnu yay\u0131nlad\u0131. Rapora g\u00f6re, \u00fcst \u00fcste iki senelik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":29009,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[2347],"class_list":["post-29008","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-altcoin","tag-iflas"],"yoast_head":"\n