{"id":28315,"date":"2022-05-28T20:40:09","date_gmt":"2022-05-28T17:40:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=28315"},"modified":"2022-05-28T20:40:09","modified_gmt":"2022-05-28T17:40:09","slug":"haftaya-altin-fiyatlari-icin-bu-tarihleri-ve-gelismeleri-not-edin-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/haftaya-altin-fiyatlari-icin-bu-tarihleri-ve-gelismeleri-not-edin-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Haftaya Alt\u0131n Fiyatlar\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in Bu Tarihleri ve Geli\u015fmeleri Not Edin!"},"content":{"rendered":"
D\u00fc\u015fen ABD Hazine tahvil faizleri ve dolar\u0131 \u00e7evreleyen azalmayan sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131, alt\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci haftay\u0131 pozitif b\u00f6lgede kapatmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu. Piyasa analisti Eren Sengezer\u2019e g\u00f6re, odak noktas\u0131 ABD May\u0131s ay\u0131 istihdam raporuna kayarken, teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in 1.840 dolar destek olarak kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece sar\u0131 metalin y\u00fckselmeye devam edece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en hafta alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli hangi geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fand\u0131?<\/b><\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n, yeni haftaya sakin bir \u015fekilde ba\u015flad\u0131 ancak Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc, dolar\u0131n ana rakipleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda zay\u0131flamaya devam etmesiyle g\u00fcnl\u00fck kazan\u00e7lar kaydetmeyi ba\u015fard\u0131. ABD\u2019den gelen hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaratan makroekonomik veriler aras\u0131nda risk duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik olumsuz e\u011filim, ABD Hazine tahvil faizlerinin Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015fmesine neden oldu ve alt\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k iki haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine 1.870 dolara \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na izin verdi.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
ABD\u2019de S&P K\u00fcresel Bile\u015fik PMI, Nisan\u2019daki 56\u2019dan May\u0131s\u2019ta 53,8\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ferek, \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn ticari faaliyetlerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcme ivmesi kaybetti\u011fini ortaya koydu. Veri de 55,5 olan piyasa beklentisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. S&P Global Market Intelligence Ba\u015f Ekonomisti Chris Williamson, PMI anketi hakk\u0131nda yorumda bulunarak, \u201c\u015firketler, ya\u015fam maliyeti, y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131 ve daha geni\u015f bir ekonomik yava\u015flama ile ilgili endi\u015felerden dolay\u0131 talebin bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda oldu\u011funu bildiriyor\u201d dedi. Ayr\u0131ca ABD Say\u0131m B\u00fcrosu, Yeni Konut Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n Nisan ay\u0131nda ayl\u0131k bazda %16,6 daralarak mevcut finansman ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n konut piyasas\u0131na olumsuz etkisini yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong> haberlerinde de yer verdi\u011fimiz \u00fczere \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc, FOMC\u2019nin May\u0131s toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131, \u00e7o\u011fu politika yap\u0131c\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki iki toplant\u0131da 50 baz puanl\u0131k iki faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n daha uygun olaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda anla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve enflasyon risklerinin yukar\u0131ya do\u011fru y\u00f6neldi\u011fini kaydetti. Yay\u0131n, Fed\u2019in bilan\u00e7o k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltme plan\u0131yla ilgili olarak, bir dizi kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n, ikinci tur devam ederken ipote\u011fe dayal\u0131 menkul k\u0131ymetlerin sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmeleri gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcklerini g\u00f6sterdi. Fed\u2019in \u015fahin tonu, dolar\u0131n talep bulmas\u0131na yard\u0131m ederek, alt\u0131n\u0131n haftan\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda geri \u00e7ekilmesine neden oldu.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6sterge 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvili faizinin Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc %2,7\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 yeniden ivme kazand\u0131 ve 1.860 dolar alan\u0131na t\u0131rmand\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca analist Eren Sengezer, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc d\u00fczeltmenin ard\u0131ndan bozulmadan kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131n fiyat hareketinin kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc elinde tutmas\u0131na izin verdi\u011fini kaydediyor.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Hafta sonu \u00f6ncesinde, ABD Ekonomik Analiz B\u00fcrosu Ki\u015fisel T\u00fcketim Harcamalar\u0131 (PCE) Fiyat Endeksi\u2019nin Mart ay\u0131ndaki %6,6\u2019dan Nisan ay\u0131nda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %6,3\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc bildirdi. Fed\u2019in tercih etti\u011fi enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi olan y\u0131ll\u0131k \u00c7ekirdek PCE Fiyat Endeksi ise, beklentiler do\u011frultusunda %4,9\u2019a geriledi.<\/p>\n
Gelecek haftan\u0131n g\u00fcndeminde alt\u0131n\u0131 etkileyecek neler var?<\/b><\/p>\n
NBS \u0130malat PMI ve \u0130malat D\u0131\u015f\u0131 PMI verileri Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00c7in ekonomisinde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Bu verilerin her ikisinin de Nisan ay\u0131ndaki \u00f6nemli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan May\u0131s ay\u0131nda toparlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Analiste g\u00f6re, PMI verilerinin piyasa beklentilerinin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara \u00c7in\u2019deki koronavir\u00fcs ile ilgili k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n olumsuz etkisini hat\u0131rlatmas\u0131 durumunda, alt\u0131n\u0131n irtifa kaybetmesi ve bunun tersi de olas\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Ayr\u0131ca Eurostat, euro b\u00f6lgesi i\u00e7in HICP enflasyon verilerini yay\u0131nlayacak. Birka\u00e7 ECB politika yap\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 ge\u00e7en hafta, Temmuz ay\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak politika toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 50 baz puanl\u0131k bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n masada olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Analist, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, s\u0131cak enflasyon verileri \u00fczerine \u00e7ift doz ECB faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 fiyatland\u0131rmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131 durumunda, dolar\u0131n zay\u0131flamaya devam edebilece\u011fini belirtiyor.<\/p>\n
\u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc, ABD\u2019den ISM \u0130malat PMI, ABD\u2019de olas\u0131 bir durgunluk konusunda giderek daha fazla endi\u015fe duyan piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan izlenecek. Analiste g\u00f6re bu veriler, imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki ticari faaliyetin May\u0131s ay\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir h\u0131zda geni\u015flemeye devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6sterirse, dolar bir toparlanma ba\u015flatabilir ve alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
ABD \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma \u0130statistikleri B\u00fcrosu, May\u0131s ay\u0131 istihdam raporunu Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131nlayacak. Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam Bordrolar\u0131n\u0131n (NFP) Nisan ay\u0131ndaki 428.000\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 310.000 artmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Analist, NFP verisi her iki y\u00f6nde de b\u00fcy\u00fck bir s\u00fcrpriz sunmuyorsa, raporun \u00fccret enflasyonu bile\u015feninin piyasa hareketini etkileyebilece\u011fini kaydediyor.<\/p>\n
Ortalama Saatlik Kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n May\u0131s ay\u0131nda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %5,6 artmas\u0131 bekleniyor. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u00fccret enflasyonu, t\u00fcketici enflasyonunun beklenenden daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131na neden olabilecek ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara Fed\u2019in politikas\u0131n\u0131 agresif bir \u015fekilde s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya istekli oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlatabilecek bir fakt\u00f6r olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Analist, bu senaryoda, alt\u0131n\u0131n, ABD Tahvil getirilerindeki toparlanman\u0131n ortas\u0131nda g\u00fcneye d\u00f6nebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca analist, Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda ba\u015flayan y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin %23,6 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesi olan %2,7, 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD T-bonosu faizi i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir teknik seviye olarak hizaland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor. Analiste g\u00f6re, bu destek ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olursa, ABD getirilerinde keskin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, alt\u0131n rallisinin kap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ve alt\u0131n duygu anketi<\/b><\/p>\n
Piyasa analisti Eren Sengezer, alt\u0131n\u0131n haftay\u0131 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n ve Fibonacci\u2019nin son d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin %23,6 geri \u00e7ekilmesinin \u00fczerinde kapatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n kenarda kalmaya devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini belirtiyor ve analizlerine a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki \u015fekilde devam ediyor.<\/p>\n
Artan y\u00f6nde, 1,870 dolar (Fibonacci %38,2 geri \u00e7ekilme) bir sonraki diren\u00e7 olarak hizalan\u0131yor. Alt\u0131n\u0131n bu seviyenin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve bunu destek olarak kullanmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131 durumunda, 1.890 dolar (100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ve Fibonacci %50 d\u00fczeltme) ve sonras\u0131nda 1.900 dolar (psikolojik seviye, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA) hedefleyebilir.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u00d6te yandan, 1.850 dolar (Fibonacci %23,6 geri \u00e7ekilme), 1.840 dolar (200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA) \u00f6ncesinde ilk deste\u011fi olu\u015fturuyor. Yaln\u0131zca ikincisinin \u00fczerinde bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f, sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir ve k\u0131sa vadeli teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7mesine neden olabilir. B\u00f6yle bir senaryoda, 1.830 dolar (statik seviye) bir sonraki savunma hatt\u0131 olarak hareket edebilir.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Alt\u0131n Tahmin Anketi, uzmanlar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funun alt\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta y\u00fckselmeye devam edece\u011fini tahmin etti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bir ayl\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir tablo \u00e7iziyor ve 1.864 dolarl\u0131k ortalama hedef, analistler aras\u0131nda fikir birli\u011fi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
D\u00fc\u015fen ABD Hazine tahvil faizleri ve dolar\u0131 \u00e7evreleyen azalmayan sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131, alt\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci haftay\u0131 pozitif b\u00f6lgede kapatmas\u0131na …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":28316,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[545],"class_list":["post-28315","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-abd"],"yoast_head":"\n
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