{"id":28177,"date":"2022-05-28T06:40:08","date_gmt":"2022-05-28T03:40:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=28177"},"modified":"2022-05-28T06:40:08","modified_gmt":"2022-05-28T03:40:08","slug":"stratejist-portfoylerde-olmali-dedi-ve-altin-tahminlerini-paylasti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/stratejist-portfoylerde-olmali-dedi-ve-altin-tahminlerini-paylasti\/","title":{"rendered":"Stratejist \u201cPortf\u00f6ylerde Olmal\u0131\u201d Dedi ve Alt\u0131n Tahminlerini Payla\u015ft\u0131!"},"content":{"rendered":"
Federal Rezerv, enflasyonun ki\u015fisel serveti a\u015f\u0131nd\u0131rmas\u0131 ve ekonomiyi tehdit etmesi nedeniyle t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 istikrara kavu\u015fturma taahh\u00fcd\u00fcn\u00fc yineledi. Ancak, Merk Investments Ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve Ba\u015f Yat\u0131r\u0131m Sorumlusu Axel Merk, ABD merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fccadelesinde zorlu bir sava\u015fla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn \u00e7ok daha karma\u015f\u0131k hale gelebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor ve alt\u0131n tahminlerini payla\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u201cAlt\u0131n, sahip oldu\u011funuz i\u00e7in her zaman mutlu oldu\u011funuz bir varl\u0131k\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 2.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmesine ve yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesi \u00e7ekmekte zorlanmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, Axel Merk, de\u011ferli metalin \u00f6nemli bir yat\u0131r\u0131m arac\u0131 olmaya devam etti\u011fini ifade ediyor. Stratejist, alt\u0131n\u0131n bir savunma varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olarak g\u00f6revini yapmaya ve enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 korunmaya devam etti\u011fini belirtiyor ve \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Alt\u0131n her zaman d\u00fcn sahip oldu\u011funuz i\u00e7in mutlu oldu\u011funuz bir varl\u0131kt\u0131r. Ama neden yar\u0131n i\u00e7in alaca\u011f\u0131na dair hi\u00e7bir fikrin yok.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Axel Merk: Bazen alt\u0131n kendi i\u015fini yap\u0131yor<\/b><\/p>\n
Stratejistin yorumlar\u0131, alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 1.850 dolar civar\u0131nda kritik deste\u011fi tutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 zaman diliminde geldi. Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong> olarak bildirdi\u011fimiz \u00fczere, alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flemleri en son, g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,78 art\u0131\u015fla 1.862 dolar seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu. Alt\u0131n\u0131n son fiyat hareketi, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ilk \u00e7eyrek performans\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yarat\u0131rken Axel Merk, hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131ndan daha iyi performans g\u00f6stermeye devam etti\u011fini kaydediyor:<\/p>\n
S\u0131k s\u0131k alt\u0131n\u0131n uzun vadede hisse senetleriyle nas\u0131l bir ili\u015fkisi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 hakk\u0131nda konu\u015fuyoruz. Bu, S&P a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hareket etti\u011finde her zaman yukar\u0131 hareket edece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelmiyor. Bu, bazen S&P ile bazen de ona kar\u015f\u0131 hareket etti\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bazen alt\u0131n kendi i\u015fini yap\u0131yor. Fiyat hareketi, i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fumuz ortam\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131. Federal Rezerv, eylemleriyle d\u00fcd\u00fckl\u00fc tencerenin kapa\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kald\u0131rd\u0131 ve o zaman i\u015fler biraz kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Stratejist, stagflasyon riskinin artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyor<\/b><\/p>\n
Federal Rezerv enflasyon konusunda sert bir duru\u015f sergilemesine ra\u011fmen, Axel Merk \u015fimdilik t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in tam olarak gerekli olan\u0131 yapaca\u011f\u0131na ikna olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Artan stagflasyon riskini g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc de s\u00f6zlerine ekliyor. Stratejist, \u201cStagflasyon i\u00e7in duydu\u011fum bir tan\u0131m enflasyon, art\u0131 bir politika hatas\u0131 \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc enflasyon oldu\u011funda yap\u0131lacak do\u011fru \u015fey politik olarak \u00e7ekici de\u011fil,\u201d diyor.<\/p>\n
Merk Investments, yak\u0131n zamanda bir Stagflasyon ETF\u2019si ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in stagflasyon risklerini ciddiye al\u0131yor. Yeni fon, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara Hazine Enflasyona Kar\u015f\u0131 Korumal\u0131 Menkul K\u0131ymetler (TIPS), alt\u0131n, petrol ve ABD gayrimenkul\u00fcnden sat\u0131n alma olana\u011f\u0131 sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Axel Merk, t\u00fcm bu varl\u0131klar\u0131n y\u00fcksek enflasyonlu ortamlarda iyi performans g\u00f6sterebilece\u011fini kaydediyor.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Stratejist, portf\u00f6y dengeleyici olarak alt\u0131n\u0131 sevdi\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor<\/b><\/p>\n
Axel Merk\u2019e g\u00f6re, Federal Rezerv enflasyon e\u011frisinin \u00e7ok gerisinde ve h\u0131zla yeti\u015fmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmakla kalm\u0131yor, ayn\u0131 zamanda, de\u011fi\u015fen jeopolitik e\u011filimler uzun vadeli beklentileri de etkiliyor. K\u00fcresel tedarik zincirinin Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131ndan ve \u015fimdi de Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131ndan ciddi \u015fekilde etkilenmesinden sonra, d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131ndaki uluslar\u0131n kendi yerel kaynak arz\u0131n\u0131 geli\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 kaydediyor.<\/p>\n
Stratejist, \u201cYeni bir normale giriyoruz \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc on-shore i\u00e7in daha y\u00fcksek maliyetler var,\u201d diyor. Axel Merk, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n uzun vadeli b\u00fcy\u00fck resme bakmadan g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fcn son krizini \u00e7\u00f6zmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ortamda, portf\u00f6y dengeleyici olarak alt\u0131n\u0131 sevdi\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor ve \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Riski tamamen ortadan kald\u0131rmaktan uzakla\u015f\u0131r ve sonra biraz riske girerseniz, \u00e7arp\u0131tmalarla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131rs\u0131n\u0131z, de\u011fil mi? Her t\u00fcrl\u00fc g\u00fcr\u00fclt\u00fcy\u00fc yarat\u0131rsan\u0131z ve bizim gibi bir kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k i\u00e7indeyseniz, d\u00fczensiz politikalar olacak demektir. Bu y\u00fczden portf\u00f6y\u00fcn\u00fczde biraz \u00e7e\u015fitlendirme, biraz istikrar olmas\u0131 iyi olabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Federal Rezerv, enflasyonun ki\u015fisel serveti a\u015f\u0131nd\u0131rmas\u0131 ve ekonomiyi tehdit etmesi nedeniyle t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 istikrara kavu\u015fturma taahh\u00fcd\u00fcn\u00fc …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":28178,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[2848],"class_list":["post-28177","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-stagflasyon"],"yoast_head":"\n
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