{"id":27168,"date":"2022-05-21T19:10:08","date_gmt":"2022-05-21T16:10:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=27168"},"modified":"2022-05-21T19:10:08","modified_gmt":"2022-05-21T16:10:08","slug":"5-analistten-altin-icin-gorulmemis-tahminler-bu-seviyeler","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/5-analistten-altin-icin-gorulmemis-tahminler-bu-seviyeler\/","title":{"rendered":"5 Analistten Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in G\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f Tahminler: Bu Seviyeler!\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131n, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n Wall Street\u2019te \u00e7alkant\u0131l\u0131 bir haftay\u0131 sona erdirmek i\u00e7in g\u00fcvenlik amac\u0131yla Hazine ve ABD dolar\u0131na y\u00f6nelmesiyle Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc sakin bir \u015fekilde tamamlad\u0131, ancak sar\u0131 metal bir ay i\u00e7inde ilk haftal\u0131k kazanc\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti. Analistlerin piyasa yorumlar\u0131n\u0131 ve fiyat tahminlerini okuyucular\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7in derledik.<\/p>\n
Tahvil getirilerinin geri \u00e7ekilmesi alt\u0131na biraz nefes alma imkan\u0131 verebilir. Artan getiriler, getirisi olmayan varl\u0131klar\u0131 elde tutman\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyetini y\u00fckseltiyor, ancak \u015f\u00fcpheciler bu s\u00fcrenin devam edip etmeyece\u011fini sorguluyor. Swissquote Bank\u2019ta k\u0131demli analist olan \u0130pek \u00d6zkardeskaya bir notta, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Eh, d\u00fcnk\u00fc alt\u0131n toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ana tetikleyicisi d\u00fc\u015fen getiriler oldu. Bu nedenle ABD getirileri i\u00e7in orta vadeli e\u011filim, daha y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131 beklentisiyle rahat bir \u015fekilde pozitif kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in pozitif ivme k\u0131sa \u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc kalabilir. Fed, enflasyona sava\u015f ilan etti ve faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltecek. Daha y\u00fcksek oranlar\u0131n getiriler \u00fczerinde do\u011frudan olumlu bir etkisi olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u00d6zkardeskaya, orta ve uzun vadede a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc koruyor<\/b><\/p>\n
\u0130pek \u00d6zkardeskaya, alt\u0131n\u0131n grafiklerde bir d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131nda oldu\u011funu ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n 1.837 dolar civar\u0131nda direncini test etti\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor ve \u015fu seviyeler i\u015faret ediyor:<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n ikna edici bir \u015fekilde \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karsa, \u201crallinin 1.880-1.900 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na do\u011fru devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6rebiliriz. Alt\u0131n arz\u0131ndaki Rus \u015foku da bu hareketi destekleyebilir. Fed enflasyondan yeterince h\u0131zl\u0131 kurtulamayaca\u011f\u0131ndan, daha y\u00fcksek getiri beklentisine dayal\u0131 olarak orta ve uzun vadede alt\u0131n i\u00e7in a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcm\u00fc koruyorum.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Ge\u00e7en hafta alt\u0131n fonlar\u0131ndan 1,4 milyar dolar \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f oldu<\/b><\/p>\n
BofA Global Research\u2019e g\u00f6re, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar hisse senetleri i\u00e7in ac\u0131mas\u0131z bir haftada hisse senetlerinden ka\u00e7arken, ge\u00e7en hafta alt\u0131n fonlar\u0131ndan da 1,4 milyar dolar \u00e7ekildi. Haftal\u0131k bir D\u00fcnya Alt\u0131n Konseyi raporu, sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn keskin ETF \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131na i\u015faret ederken, \u201calt\u0131n bir likidite primi ta\u015f\u0131yor ve \u201cher \u015feyi sat\u201d ortam\u0131nda, baz\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar genellikle itfalar\u0131 veya marj \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in ellerinden geleni sat\u0131yorlar\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
Rapora g\u00f6re, artan bir i\u015ftah ve getiri ihtiyac\u0131 ile, likidite e\u011frisini uzun vadeli \u2018tasfiye edilmesi zor\u2019 varl\u0131klara do\u011fru hareket ettiren yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, ellerinde bir miktar alt\u0131n bulundurman\u0131n daha da \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyorlar.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
TDS: Sar\u0131 metal i\u00e7in asgari diren\u00e7li yol hala, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyede<\/b><\/p>\n
Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong> haberlerinden de takip etti\u011finiz \u00fczere, daha zay\u0131f ekonomik veriler, sar\u0131 metal i\u00e7in \u00e7ok ihtiya\u00e7 duyulan bir sars\u0131nt\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131. Bununla birlikte, TD Securities stratejistleri alt\u0131n\u0131n hala daha fazla kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in m\u00fccadele etmesini bekliyor. Stratejistler, mevcut durumu \u015fu \u015fekilde de\u011ferlendiriyor:<\/p>\n
D\u00fcnk\u00fc ekonomik verilerdeki hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131klar\u0131, sar\u0131 metalin CTA fonlar\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131n zamanda edindi\u011fi net-short pozisyonlar\u0131n k\u0131sa \u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rebilecek seviyelerin kuzeyinde tutuldu\u011funu g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Fiyatlardaki s\u0131\u00e7raman\u0131n, ETF \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131na son verdi\u011fini ve on g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste gelen seriyi sonland\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten stratejistlere g\u00f6re, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum ve de\u011ferli metaller aras\u0131nda hakim olan olumsuz havan\u0131n daha sa\u011flam bir \u015fekilde yerle\u015fmesiyle, alt\u0131n bu toparlanmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek bir \u00e7\u0131ta ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalabilir. Stratejistler, \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Powell, enflasyonu dizginlemek i\u00e7in baz\u0131 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi feda etme isteklili\u011finin sinyalini verdi ve alt\u0131n i\u00e7in asgari diren\u00e7 yolunun hala, daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Sel\u00e7uk Ge\u00e7er: Gram alt\u0131n bu y\u0131l rekor k\u0131rar<\/b><\/p>\n
Dolar\/TL, ons alt\u0131n ve gram fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini payla\u015fan Piyasa Uzman\u0131 Sel\u00e7uk Ge\u00e7er, ilk \u00f6nce Dolar\/TL kurunu ele al\u0131yor ve \u00a0kurun \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde 15,80\u2019e geldi\u011fini belirtiyor. Ge\u00e7er, kurun yukar\u0131ya do\u011fru hareketine devam edece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
\u201c\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nem Amerika\u2019da bir resesyon olmas\u0131 y\u00fcksek bir ihtimal\u201d diyen Sel\u00e7uk Ge\u00e7er, bunun da d\u00fcnyada krizin dibi anlam\u0131na geldi\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Piyasa uzman\u0131, 1.300 -1.400 dolar civarlar\u0131nda bir alt\u0131n beklemedi\u011fini, maksimum 1.700-1.800 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fini tahmin ediyor. Sel\u00e7uk Ge\u00e7er\u2019e g\u00f6re bunun daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131s\u0131 yok. Piyasa uzman\u0131, \u015fu yorumda bulunuyor:<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n hala enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 bir koruma y\u00f6ntemi. Sar\u0131 metal bu sene rekor k\u0131rarsa hi\u00e7 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rmam. Gram alt\u0131n ise rekor k\u0131rar. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc alt\u0131nda daha dolar etkisini g\u00f6rmedik. Dolar etkisi ile ons etkisinin birle\u015fti\u011fi nokta gram alt\u0131n zirve yapaca\u011f\u0131 yer. Maksimum gram alt\u0131nda beklentim 1.700-1.800 TL.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Piyasa uzman\u0131 Tuna Kaya yeni yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 videosunda, Dolar\/TL kurunun y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, ancak 16 seviyesinde m\u00fcdahale edildi\u011fini belirtiyor. TCMB\u2019nin arka kap\u0131dan d\u00f6viz satmaya devam etti\u011fini iddia eden Tuna Kaya, Dolar\/TL\u2019de yeni bir s\u0131n\u0131ra ula\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Piyasa uzman\u0131, 17 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda \u201ck\u0131yametin kopaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor ve art\u0131k kurun durdurulamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia ediyor.<\/p>\n
Tuna Kaya, gram alt\u0131n\u0131n ons ve Dolar\/TL bacaklar\u0131na da de\u011finip, dolardaki yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketin gram alt\u0131n\u0131 destekledi\u011fini belirtiyor. D\u00fc\u015fen trendin k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve gram alt\u0131nda kritik seviyenin 968 TL oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyen piyasa uzman\u0131, bu seviyenin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde 988 TL\u2019ye do\u011fru yeni bir atak olabilece\u011fini kaydediyor. Tuna Kaya\u2019n\u0131n tahminleri ise \u015fu y\u00f6nde:<\/p>\n
Gram alt\u0131n 940 TL seviyesinde kald\u0131k\u00e7a yukar\u0131 seviyeleri yoklayacakt\u0131r. E\u011fer bu durum olmazsa yeniden 924 TL seviyesine do\u011fru bir geri \u00e7ekilme olabilir. Ons taraf\u0131nda ise d\u00fc\u015fen trend vard\u0131 ve bu trend k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. Ons alt\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fini devam ettirecek. 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda ciddi y\u00fckselir. Bu da gram alt\u0131n tutanlar\u0131 sevindirecektir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131n, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n Wall Street\u2019te \u00e7alkant\u0131l\u0131 bir haftay\u0131 sona erdirmek i\u00e7in g\u00fcvenlik amac\u0131yla Hazine ve ABD dolar\u0131na y\u00f6nelmesiyle Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":27169,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[673],"class_list":["post-27168","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-orta"],"yoast_head":"\n
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