{"id":26877,"date":"2022-05-19T18:20:07","date_gmt":"2022-05-19T15:20:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=26877"},"modified":"2022-05-19T18:20:07","modified_gmt":"2022-05-19T15:20:07","slug":"usta-ekonomistten-altin-tahminleri-bu-fiyatlar-ucuz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/usta-ekonomistten-altin-tahminleri-bu-fiyatlar-ucuz\/","title":{"rendered":"Usta Ekonomistten Alt\u0131n Tahminleri: Bu Fiyatlar Ucuz!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 1.800 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde m\u00fccadele etmeye devam ediyor. Yine de, bir piyasa analistine g\u00f6re, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar piyasada fiyat riskini ka\u00e7\u0131rmaya devam ettik\u00e7e de\u011ferli metal ucuz kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u201c\u015eahin Fed, finansal piyasalarda \u015fimdiden bir heyelan\u0131 tetikledi\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Degussa\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015f ekonomisti Thorsten Polleit, son piyasa yorumunda, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n Fed\u2019in faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltti\u011fi i\u00e7in ABD ekonomisini resesyona s\u00fcr\u00fckleyece\u011fine dair artan riski g\u00f6rmezden geldi\u011fi i\u00e7in alt\u0131n\u0131n nispeten ucuz oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong> haberlerinde de yer verdi\u011fimiz \u00fczere CME FedWatch Tool\u2019a g\u00f6re piyasalar, faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l sonuna kadar en az %3 olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Thorsten Polleit, konuya ili\u015fkin olarak \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Bu kula\u011fa pek ho\u015f gelmiyor. Ancak Fed\u2019in a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 derecede geni\u015fleyen politikas\u0131na son verece\u011fi beklentisi, finansal piyasalarda \u015fimdiden bir heyelan\u0131 tetikledi.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

\u201cAlt\u0131n fiyat\u0131n\u0131n \u015fimdilik keskin bir \u015fekilde y\u00fckselmesi engellenebilir\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Ekonomiste g\u00f6re, alt\u0131n\u0131n son d\u00f6rt haftada \u00f6nemli bir sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6rmesinin nedenlerinden biri, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomiyi yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcyen enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131na yetecek kadar zay\u0131flatacak, ancak durgunlu\u011fa itecek kadar olmayan bir \u2018yumu\u015fak ini\u015f\u2018 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirebilece\u011fine inanmalar\u0131. Thorsten Polleit, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

Finansal piyasalar, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltmek ile finansal ve ekonomik sistemin u\u00e7urumdan d\u00fc\u015fmesini \u00f6nlemek aras\u0131nda kabul edilebilir bir denge kurabileceklerinden makul \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde emin oldu\u011fu s\u00fcrece, alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u015fimdilik keskin bir \u015fekilde y\u00fckselmesi engellenebilir. Ancak merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n planlar\u0131nda ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olamama ve b\u00fcy\u00fck bir krize neden olma riski ger\u00e7ek ve ihmal edilemez.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Usta ekonomist alt\u0131n i\u00e7in hala potansiyel oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor<\/b><\/p>\n

Ancak ekonomist, ABD merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131ndaki devasa devlet bor\u00e7lar\u0131 nedeniyle zorla\u015fan \u00e7ok dar bir yolda y\u00fcr\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc de s\u00f6zlerine ekliyor. Thorsten Polleit \u201cBir \u015feylerin ters gitme riski \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck, \u00f6zellikle de rekor d\u00fczeydeki k\u00fcresel bor\u00e7 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde\u201d diyor. Usta ekonomist, Fed ekonomiyi resesyona sokmaktan ka\u00e7\u0131nabilse bile, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar enflasyonun beklenenden daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda alt\u0131n i\u00e7in hala potansiyel oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor ve g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini \u015fu \u015fekilde a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

Muhtemel bir senaryoda, merkez bankalar\u0131 faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 biraz daha art\u0131racak, ancak \u2018enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in sistemi \u00e7\u00f6kertecek\u2019 noktaya kadar de\u011fil. Bu, mal fiyatlar\u0131 enflasyonunun daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ancak kontrolden \u00e7\u0131kmayabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Reel faiz oranlar\u0131, yani enflasyondan ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f nominal faiz oranlar\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla gelecek y\u0131llarda negatif b\u00f6lgede kalacak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 1.800 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde m\u00fccadele etmeye devam ediyor. Yine de, bir piyasa analistine g\u00f6re, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar piyasada fiyat riskini …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":26878,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[413,55],"class_list":["post-26877","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-fed","tag-piyasa"],"yoast_head":"\nUsta Ekonomistten Alt\u0131n Tahminleri: Bu Fiyatlar Ucuz! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/usta-ekonomistten-altin-tahminleri-bu-fiyatlar-ucuz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Usta Ekonomistten Alt\u0131n Tahminleri: Bu Fiyatlar Ucuz!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 1.800 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde m\u00fccadele etmeye devam ediyor. 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