{"id":25884,"date":"2022-05-12T18:10:06","date_gmt":"2022-05-12T15:10:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=25884"},"modified":"2022-05-12T18:10:06","modified_gmt":"2022-05-12T15:10:06","slug":"ongoruleri-cikan-analist-bir-gun-uyanacaksiniz-altin-bu-seviyelerde","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/ongoruleri-cikan-analist-bir-gun-uyanacaksiniz-altin-bu-seviyelerde\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri \u00c7\u0131kan Analist: Bir G\u00fcn Uyanacaks\u0131n\u0131z Alt\u0131n Bu Seviyelerde!"},"content":{"rendered":"
Bloomberg Intelligence\u2019a g\u00f6re, hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaratan bir May\u0131s ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131ndan sonra alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131, 2.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n e\u015fi\u011finde olabilir.<\/p>\n
\u201cAlt\u0131n dibe yak\u0131n ve olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n e\u015fi\u011finde\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
\u0130sabetli \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleriyle tan\u0131nan Bloomberg Intelligence k\u0131demli emtia stratejisti Mike McGlone verdi\u011fi bir deme\u00e7te, ge\u00e7en ay %6,5 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fckten sonra alt\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131k dibe yak\u0131n oldu\u011funu ve 1.800 dolar\u0131n fiyatlar i\u00e7in taban olu\u015fturdu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Stratejistin isabetli \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerine Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong> \u2019un\u00a0bu makaleden bakabilirsiniz. Federal Rezerv enflasyonla m\u00fccadele ederken Haziran ve Temmuz aylar\u0131nda 50 baz puan s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar riskli pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden de\u011ferlendiriyor. Stratejist, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n dibe yak\u0131n ve olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n e\u015fi\u011finde. 2.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ve asla arkas\u0131na bakmayacak. Bir g\u00fcn uyanaca\u011f\u0131z ve alt\u0131n 2.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kacak, ki bu diren\u00e7 deste\u011fe d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fclecek ve asla arkam\u0131za bakmayaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cDi\u011fer para birimlerinde alt\u0131n, iyi performans g\u00f6sterdi\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n
Ons ba\u015f\u0131na 2.000 dolar seviyesi, alt\u0131n i\u00e7in kritik bir psikolojik diren\u00e7 noktas\u0131 oldu ve bu de\u011ferli metalin Mart ay\u0131nda yakla\u015fmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen bu y\u0131l s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir \u015fekilde k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 ba\u015faramad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Alt\u0131n\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyrekteki ana engelleri, artan ABD faizleri ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ABD dolar\u0131 oldu. Bu, \u00f6zellikle alt\u0131n\u0131n USD performans\u0131 yen veya euro ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda olduk\u00e7a belirgin. Mike McGlone, \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Dolar\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc, ABD dolar\u0131 cinsinden alt\u0131n\u0131n fiyat\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Yen baz\u0131nda alt\u0131n %20 y\u00fckseldi. Euro baz\u0131nda alt\u0131n y\u00fczde 15 y\u00fckseldi. ABD dolar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, d\u00fcz. Yani Avrupa ve Japonya\u2019da alt\u0131n tutan insanlar \u00e7ok daha iyi performans g\u00f6steriyor. Para birimlerinin d\u00fc\u015fmesine kar\u015f\u0131 iyi bir koruma oldu. Daha \u00f6nce sadece bir zaman meselesi ama ABD dolar\u0131nda yeti\u015fiyor. Ancak, zirvede oldu\u011fumuzu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm r\u00fczgar\u0131 bir kez azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda, alt\u0131n y\u00fckselmeli ve bu sadece ge\u00e7mi\u015f performansa dayan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bir sonraki ralliyi tetikleyecek itici g\u00fc\u00e7 ne olacak?<\/b><\/p>\n
Stratejiste g\u00f6re, bir sonraki ralliyi tetikleyecek itici g\u00fc\u00e7lerden biri, Federal Rezerv\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn sonunu fiyatland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in vites de\u011fi\u015ftiren piyasalar olacak. Mike McGlone, bunun zaten olmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor ve \u015fu yorumu yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Bu hafta, bir s\u00fcredir g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm ilk iyi i\u015faretti. Art\u0131\u015f beklentileri i\u00e7in bir y\u0131ll\u0131k federal fon gelece\u011fini (FF13) kullan\u0131yorum. Ve bu s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 daha yeni almaya ba\u015fl\u0131yorlar. Neden bunu yap\u0131yorlar? \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc borsa zay\u0131f bir b\u00fck\u00fclme noktas\u0131na ula\u015ft\u0131. 10 y\u0131lda potansiyel olarak %3\u2019e ula\u015fan tahvil faizleri ve federal fonlar\u0131n %3,4 civar\u0131nda zirve yap\u0131p %3\u2019e d\u00fc\u015fmesine bak\u0131yorum.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Nasdaq zaten y\u0131ll\u0131k %23 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ve bu, ABD borsas\u0131n\u0131n, Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerinin azalaca\u011f\u0131 o b\u00fck\u00fclme noktas\u0131na ula\u015fmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oluyor. \u201cPiyasa o y\u00f6ne do\u011fru gidiyor\u201d diyen Mike McGlone, \u015fu hususlar\u0131 vurguluyor:<\/p>\n
Hisse senedi piyasas\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesinin, Fed\u2019in piyasadaki s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131rmaya ve enflasyonu hafifletmeye ve bizi tekrar deflasyonist bir ortama kayd\u0131rmaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in yeterli oldu\u011fu noktaday\u0131z. Bu, alt\u0131n\u0131n 2015 ve 2018\u2019de dibe vurdu\u011fu son birka\u00e7 y\u0131lda alt\u0131n i\u00e7in en iyi temellerden biri oldu.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
Mike McGlone\u2019a g\u00f6re, uzun vadede Fed\u2019in kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011fu en b\u00fcy\u00fck sorun enflasyon de\u011fil deflasyon. Stratejist, bundan bir y\u0131l sonra, Nisan T\u00dcFE\u2019sinin, \u00e7ok daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ve hatta negatif olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Mike McGlone bunun bir \u2018e\u011fer\u2019 ifadesi oldu\u011funu not ediyor ve \u015funlar\u0131 ekliyor:<\/p>\n
Fed borsan\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesini istiyor, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc insanlar\u0131n bir \u015feyler sat\u0131n alma kabiliyetini azaltmalar\u0131 gerekiyor. Ve bence bu daha yeni olmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. \u00d6rne\u011fin ham petrol\u00fcn 200 dolara y\u00fckselmek yerine 50 dolara d\u00fc\u015fmesi \u00e7ok muhtemel. Ve ABD borsas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fmeye devam ederse, enflasyonun 12 ayl\u0131k bazda daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u2018neredeyse bir garantisi\u2019.<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n
\u201cEnflasyonu b\u00fcy\u00fck bir bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131yla \u00f6l\u00e7mek istiyorsunuz \u2013 120 ay. \u0130\u015fte burada tahvil getirilerinin d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz\u201d diyen stratejiste g\u00f6re, enflasyonun baz etkisi azalacak. Mike McGlone, bu senaryoda alt\u0131n\u0131n, gidilecek birincil varl\u0131k olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor. Ancak portf\u00f6yde alt\u0131na tahsis ederken, onu Bitcoin ile e\u015fle\u015ftirmenin en iyisi oldu\u011funu ifade ediyor. Stratejist, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc \u015fu \u015fekilde detayland\u0131r\u0131yor:<\/p>\n
Modern portf\u00f6ylere bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, portf\u00f6ylerde Bitcoin ile e\u015fle\u015ftirilmedi\u011fi takdirde alt\u0131n \u00e7\u0131plakt\u0131r. Bitcoin k\u00fcresel dijital teminat haline geliyor. Neredeyse t\u00fcm portf\u00f6ylerde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir pay var ve ivme kazan\u0131yor. Bu e\u011filimleri neyin durdurdu\u011funu anlam\u0131yorum. Bitcoin\u2019in s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 arz\u0131, talep veya benimseme azalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece daha y\u00fcksek fiyatlar i\u00e7in bir re\u00e7etedir. Ve onlar\u0131n y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Bloomberg Intelligence\u2019a g\u00f6re, hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaratan bir May\u0131s ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131ndan sonra alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131, 2.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":25885,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[545,2132],"class_list":["post-25884","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-abd","tag-mike-mcglone"],"yoast_head":"\n
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