{"id":24646,"date":"2022-05-03T19:30:07","date_gmt":"2022-05-03T16:30:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=24646"},"modified":"2022-05-03T19:30:07","modified_gmt":"2022-05-03T16:30:07","slug":"dunyaca-unlu-isimler-altin-aralikta-bu-seviyeleri-kirabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/dunyaca-unlu-isimler-altin-aralikta-bu-seviyeleri-kirabilir\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00fcnyaca \u00dcnl\u00fc \u0130simler: Alt\u0131n Aral\u0131k\u2019ta Bu Seviyeleri K\u0131rabilir!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n, her zamanki s\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fclerini terk ediyor ve yaln\u0131zca ABD dolar\u0131na odaklan\u0131yor. Ancak Wells Fargo\u2019nun ger\u00e7ek varl\u0131k stratejisi ba\u015fkan\u0131 John LaForge, verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, \u2018sevilmeyen\u2019 metalin, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar varl\u0131k tahsislerini de\u011fi\u015ftirdik\u00e7e 2.100 dolarl\u0131k y\u0131lsonu fiyat hedefiyle piyasalar\u0131 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u201cAlt\u0131n, insanlar\u0131n onu sevmedi\u011fi bir noktaya ula\u015ft\u0131\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong>\u00a0haberlerinde de yer verdi\u011fimiz \u00fczere alt\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131lki davran\u0131\u015f bi\u00e7imi, \u00f6zellikle de de\u011ferli metalin piyasadaki riske a\u00e7\u0131k\/riskten ka\u00e7ma hissini g\u00f6rmezden gelmeyi se\u00e7ti\u011finde, bir\u00e7ok yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131y\u0131 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtt\u0131. John LaForge, alt\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131m sat\u0131m hareketini \u2018t\u00fcm emtialar\u0131n en kafa kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131s\u0131\u2019 olarak nitelendiriyor. LaForge, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yap\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

ABD dolar\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki herhangi bir \u015feye tepki vermek istemiyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor ve bu tam bir bu\u00e7uk y\u0131ld\u0131r devam ediyor. Alt\u0131n, temelleri ne olursa olsun insanlar\u0131n onu sevmedi\u011fi bir noktaya ula\u015ft\u0131. Gidip oyun oynamay\u0131 ve ba\u015fka \u015feyler yapmay\u0131 tercih ediyorlar. Bitcoin bunlardan biri olabilir. Bu d\u00f6nem devam etmek zorunda de\u011fil, ancak alt\u0131n\u0131n bug\u00fcn oldu\u011fu yer oras\u0131, bu da bu \u015feyleri a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

John LaForge\u2019un alt\u0131n tahmini: Y\u0131l sonuna kadar 2.100 dolar<\/b><\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte, her varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda ne oldu\u011fu hala \u00f6nemli, bu nedenle LaForge alt\u0131n konusunda y\u00fckseli\u015fte ve y\u0131l sonuna kadar 2.100 dolar seviyesini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Wells Fargo\u2019nun analizi arz b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini, talebi ve teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc i\u00e7eriyor. LaForge, konuyu \u015fu \u015fekilde a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

Temel bilgiler iyi. Arz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Bu be\u015f y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerinden birindeyiz ve yeterince alt\u0131n \u00fcretemiyoruz. N\u00fcfus hala artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece, para hala sistemde ve insanlar hala bir \u015feyler sat\u0131n al\u0131yorsa, arz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan hala belirli bir miktarda alt\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131z var. Ve devam etmiyor.<\/p>\n

LaForge\u2019a g\u00f6re, bir emtia s\u00fcper d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn ortas\u0131nda \u2018a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor\u2019 olan daha yava\u015f arz b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi, kendisinin bilinmesine izin verecek. Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n ne kadar y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k trendin bozulmadan kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten LaForge, \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n

Savunma varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n iyi sonu\u00e7 vermesi gereken bir ortamday\u0131z. Arz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 alt\u0131n i\u00e7in hala olduk\u00e7a yetersiz. Ve sevilmemenin \u00fczerinden neredeyse iki y\u0131l ge\u00e7ti.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

\u201cBence bu sevilmeyen sar\u0131 metal i\u015fi tersine d\u00f6necek\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Piyasalar ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar \u015fu anda alt\u0131n\u0131n potansiyelini g\u00f6zden ka\u00e7\u0131r\u0131yor. Bunu belirlemek i\u00e7in LaForge, alt\u0131n\u0131n di\u011fer emtialara g\u00f6re performans\u0131na bak\u0131yor. Ve A\u011fustos 2020\u2019den bu yana, de\u011ferli metal di\u011fer emtialara kar\u015f\u0131 neredeyse 16 y\u0131ll\u0131k g\u00f6receli g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc geri verdi. LaForge, bu konudaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini \u015f\u00f6yle ifade ediyor:<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n, 2005\u2019ten 2020\u2019ye kadar yava\u015f yava\u015f di\u011fer emtialar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fundan daha iyi performans g\u00f6steriyordu. Ve iki y\u0131l i\u00e7inde t\u00fcm bu g\u00f6receli g\u00fcc\u00fc geri kazand\u0131. Ve buras\u0131 bir kafa kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bunu o kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 yapmamal\u0131. De\u011fer orada. Bir s\u00fcper d\u00f6ng\u00fcn\u00fcn ortas\u0131nday\u0131z. Bence bu sevilmeyen alt\u0131n i\u015fi tersine d\u00f6necek.<\/p>\n

\u0130nkar edilemez ger\u00e7ek \u015fu ki, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar daha belirsiz bir d\u00fcnyaya uyan\u0131yor ve varl\u0131k tahsislerinde bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik olabilir. Ve ileriye d\u00f6n\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fck bir bilinmeyen, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015flat\u0131rken dikkatlerini b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve enflasyon aras\u0131nda nas\u0131l b\u00f6lecekleri.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

John LaForge: Fed\u2019in agresif duru\u015funu yaln\u0131zca iki \u015feyin durdurabilir<\/b><\/p>\n

Agresif Federal Rezerv, May\u0131s toplant\u0131s\u0131nda (bu \u00c7ar\u015famba), Haziran ve hatta muhtemelen Temmuz\u2019da s\u00fcper b\u00fcy\u00fck 50 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 getirerek alt\u0131na zarar verebilir mi?<\/p>\n

Wells Fargo, May\u0131s ve Haziran aylar\u0131nda iki yar\u0131m puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ve ard\u0131ndan d\u00f6rt ek 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nden y\u00fcklenmesi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Fed, ABD\u2019de 41 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesinde olan enflasyonla m\u00fccadele etmek zorunda. LaForge, Fed\u2019in agresif duru\u015funu yaln\u0131zca iki \u015feyin durdurabilece\u011fini belirtiyor: Resesyon veya enflasyonun en az %5 ve alt\u0131na d\u00f6nmesi. LaForge, konuyu \u015fu \u015fekilde izah ediyor:<\/p>\n

Yava\u015flama olsayd\u0131, Fed duraklamadan \u00f6nce resesyon olurdu ve ger\u00e7ekten a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 endi\u015feli. Ayr\u0131ca enflasyon zirve rakam\u0131na yak\u0131n. Ama as\u0131l \u00f6nemli olan ne zaman %5\u2019in alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fimiz? Bir sonraki hamle bu \u2013 insanlar enflasyon oran\u0131n\u0131n ne zaman Fed\u2019in yava\u015flatmak i\u00e7in bir \u00f6nlemi oldu\u011fu bir say\u0131ya gelmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Ve muhtemelen bu rakam\u0131n %5\u2019ten az oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyebilirim. Y\u0131l sonuna kadar bunun olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

\u201cAlt\u0131n, bunun haricinde t\u00fcm di\u011fer de\u011fi\u015fkenleri g\u00f6rmezden geldi\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Tarihsel olarak konu\u015fursak, konu alt\u0131n\u0131n tepkisi oldu\u011funda, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 oranl\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 de\u011ferli metal \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturabilir. Ancak A\u011fustos 2020\u2019de rekor seviyelere ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan bu yana alt\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l davrand\u0131\u011f\u0131na bakan LaForge, iki kez d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmeye de\u011fer oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n\u0131n ne olup bitti\u011fiyle ger\u00e7ekten ilgilenmedi\u011fi i\u00e7in kendi i\u015fini yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 zamanlardan biri olabilir. Son iki y\u0131lda alt\u0131n, mant\u0131kl\u0131 olan tek bir de\u011fi\u015fkene tepki g\u00f6sterdi, o da dolar: Dolar y\u00fckseliyor, alt\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Neredeyse t\u00fcm di\u011fer de\u011fi\u015fkenleri alt\u0131n g\u00f6rmezden geldi.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

LaForge, Fed\u2019in faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltti\u011fi bir ortamda, \u00f6nemli olan kombinasyonun reel faizler oldu\u011funu ekliyor. Fed faizleri art\u0131rd\u0131k\u00e7a, enflasyon s\u0131kl\u0131kla d\u00fc\u015fer, bu da reel faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n tipik olarak y\u00fckseldi\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelir. LaForge, \u015fu ifadeleri kullan\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

Tarihsel olarak konu\u015fursak, bu alt\u0131n i\u00e7in k\u00f6t\u00fcd\u00fcr. Daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelir. Ama kesinlikle s\u00f6yleyebilirim ki, son 18 ayd\u0131r alt\u0131n normal sinyallerinin \u00e7o\u011funu g\u00f6rmezden geldi. Yani tarih k\u00f6t\u00fc diyor. Buna g\u00fcvenmeyin derim.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n, her zamanki s\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fclerini terk ediyor ve yaln\u0131zca ABD dolar\u0131na odaklan\u0131yor. Ancak Wells Fargo\u2019nun ger\u00e7ek varl\u0131k stratejisi ba\u015fkan\u0131 John …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":24647,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[413],"class_list":["post-24646","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft","tag-fed"],"yoast_head":"\nD\u00fcnyaca \u00dcnl\u00fc \u0130simler: Alt\u0131n Aral\u0131k\u2019ta Bu Seviyeleri K\u0131rabilir! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/dunyaca-unlu-isimler-altin-aralikta-bu-seviyeleri-kirabilir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"D\u00fcnyaca \u00dcnl\u00fc \u0130simler: Alt\u0131n Aral\u0131k\u2019ta Bu Seviyeleri K\u0131rabilir!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Alt\u0131n, her zamanki s\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fclerini terk ediyor ve yaln\u0131zca ABD dolar\u0131na odaklan\u0131yor. 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