{"id":24480,"date":"2022-05-01T09:00:09","date_gmt":"2022-05-01T06:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinmuhendisi.com\/?p=24480"},"modified":"2022-05-01T09:00:09","modified_gmt":"2022-05-01T06:00:09","slug":"usta-analistler-altin-fiyati-haftaya-bu-seviyelerde-olabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/usta-analistler-altin-fiyati-haftaya-bu-seviyelerde-olabilir\/","title":{"rendered":"Usta Analistler: Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131 Haftaya Bu Seviyelerde Olabilir!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131, analistlerin ABD merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n ABD Q1 GSY\u0130H verilerindeki keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc g\u00f6rmezden geldi\u011fini ve enflasyonla m\u00fccadeleye odakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta Federal Rezerv\u2019in faiz karar\u0131na g\u00f6re \u015fekillenecek. Coinmuhendisi.com<\/strong> olarak, usta analistlerin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini ve beklenen seviyeleri aktar\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n

Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini de\u011fi\u015ftirecek bir \u015fey yok<\/b><\/p>\n

OANDA k\u0131demli piyasa analisti Edward Moya, verdi\u011fi bir deme\u00e7te, Fed\u2019in agresif duru\u015fu nedeniyle dolar ile ba\u015fl\u0131ca ticaret ortaklar\u0131 aras\u0131nda olduk\u00e7a geni\u015f bir faiz oran\u0131 fark\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi ve s\u00f6zlerine \u015f\u00f6yle devam etti:<\/p>\n

Nisan alt\u0131n i\u00e7in korkun\u00e7 bir ayd\u0131. Pek \u00e7ok yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 ABD dolar\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareketle \u015fa\u015f\u0131rd\u0131. Dolar\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc, Avrupa genelinde ekonomik yava\u015flama, \u00c7in\u2019in s\u0131f\u0131r-COVID stratejisi ve bir kriz beklentisine ili\u015fkin g\u00fcvenli liman ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc faiz karar\u0131 vermesi planlanan Federal Rezerv, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00fc\u00e7 toplant\u0131 i\u00e7in kendisini agresif bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne kilitledi. Piyasada \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 12 ay boyunca fiyatland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f yakla\u015f\u0131k 250 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 var.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Bu haftaki en b\u00fcy\u00fck s\u00fcrpriz, ABD ekonomisinin ilk \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 1.4 daralmas\u0131yd\u0131. Ancak analistlere g\u00f6re ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fe ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm daha iyi g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in, Fed\u2019in bu negatif rakam\u0131 ge\u00e7mesi muhtemel gibi duruyor. Analist Moya, Ekonominin neden darald\u0131\u011f\u0131na bir g\u00f6z at\u0131lmal\u0131 dedi ve \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi:<\/p>\n

T\u00fcketici hala g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fcyd\u00fc ve t\u00fcketim hala olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek. Ama bunun temel nedenlerinden biri ithalatt\u0131. \u0130hracat\u0131n yumu\u015fak oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fczde fazla teslimat yapt\u0131lar. Bir\u00e7ok yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131, verileri biraz g\u00f6rmezden geldi. Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini de\u011fi\u015ftirecek bir \u015fey yok.<\/p>\n

CIBC World Markets ba\u015f ekonomisti Avery Shenfeld, Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell\u2019\u0131n, \u00f6zellikle ABD\u2019nin g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcr\u00fc g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, kontrol edilmesi zor olan enflasyona odaklanmaya devam edece\u011fini belirterek \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi:<\/p>\n

Baz\u0131lar\u0131, Fed\u2019in durgunlu\u011fa neden olmadan yaratmay\u0131 ama\u00e7lad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, enflasyonda hi\u00e7bir zaman bu kadar keskin bir yava\u015flama elde etmedi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Asl\u0131nda, as\u0131l endi\u015femiz bu de\u011fil \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc ge\u00e7mi\u015fte bu t\u00fcr bir enflasyonla ger\u00e7ekten kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmad\u0131k\u2026 Sorun \u015fu ki, bu y\u0131l devam eden bu t\u00fcr fiyatlardaki art\u0131\u015flar enflasyon sorununu daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015ftirdi. Gelecek y\u0131lki geri \u00e7ekilmeler de T\u00dcFE\u2019nin oldu\u011fundan daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6sterilmesine neden olacak. \u0130\u015fe al\u0131m h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatmad\u0131k\u00e7a ve i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda daha fazla s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmay\u0131 \u00f6nlemedik\u00e7e, enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek, bu \u015fekilde tutmaktan daha kolay olacak.<\/p>\n

Fed\u2019in daha agresif hale gelmesi ve 75 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndan bahsetmesi olas\u0131 de\u011fil.<\/b><\/p>\n

Piyasalar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta g\u00f6rmeyi bekledi\u011fi iki ana \u015fey, 50 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve niceliksel s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131. Konu ile ilgili, Capital Economics\u2019in ba\u015f ekonomisti Paul Ashworth \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 yapt\u0131:<\/p>\n

\u0130lk \u00e7eyrek GSY\u0130H\u2019deki y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 1.4\u2019l\u00fck beklenmedik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn, Fed\u2019in gelecek hafta politika faizini 50 baz puan daha fazla art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 veya niceliksel s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma ba\u015flatmas\u0131n\u0131 engelleyece\u011finden \u015f\u00fcpheliyiz. Fed, istihdam b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin devam eden g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc, ge\u00e7ici etkiyi vurgulayacak. Omicron dalgas\u0131 ve \u00f6zel yerel al\u0131c\u0131lara yap\u0131lan nihai sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f, muhtemelen altta yatan talebin daha iyi bir g\u00f6stergesidir. Ancak as\u0131l mesele \u015fu ki, enflasyonun h\u0131zla artmas\u0131yla, ba\u015fka bir se\u00e7ene\u011fi yok. Reel ekonomiye maliyeti ne olursa olsun politikan\u0131n h\u0131zla s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Son FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n tutanaklar\u0131, \u201ckat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n genel olarak Hazine tahvilleri i\u00e7in yakla\u015f\u0131k 60 milyar dolar ve MBS i\u00e7in yakla\u015f\u0131k 35 milyar dolarl\u0131k ayl\u0131k s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n muhtemelen uygun olaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda hemfikir olduklar\u0131n\u0131\u201d \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc.. ING\u2019deki stratejistler, Fed\u2019in 50 milyar dolar ile ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u201cEyl\u00fcl ay\u0131na kadar 95 milyar dolara \u00e7\u0131kmadan \u00f6nce her ay devam etmesine izin verildi\u011fini\u201d tahmin ettiklerini s\u00f6yledi. ING\u2019nin uluslararas\u0131 ba\u015f ekonomisti James Knightley zay\u0131f GSY\u0130H rakam\u0131na at\u0131fta bulunarak \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi:<\/p>\n

\u0130leriye bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Fed\u2019in daha agresif hale gelmesi ve 75 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndan bahsetmesi olas\u0131 de\u011fil. \u015eimdilik, temel durumumuz, niceliksel s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma h\u0131zlan\u0131rken 25 baz puana ge\u00e7meden \u00f6nce, Fed\u2019in Haziran ve Temmuz aylar\u0131nda 50 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015flarla gelecek haftaki 50 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 takip edece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n

FED, alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 nas\u0131l etkileyecek?<\/b><\/p>\n

Moya, alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131n\u0131n iyimserlik belirtileri g\u00f6stermesi i\u00e7in Fed\u2019e bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi ve \u201cEnflasyon zirve yap\u0131yor mu? Muhtemelen bir\u00e7ok yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n buna \u00e7ok ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6receksiniz\u201d dedi. Moya ayr\u0131ca, FED toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan sonra, \u00f6zellikle hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131ndaki belirsizlik devam ederse, alt\u0131n\u0131n baz\u0131 g\u00fcvenli liman ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndan yararlanmaya ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini de s\u00f6zlerine ekledi. Moya son olarak, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131nlanan en son \u00e7ekirdek PCE fiyat endeksi verilerinin, \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun \u015eubat ay\u0131nda bildirilen y\u00fczde 5,3\u2019\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan, Mart ay\u0131nda y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 5,2 ile zirveye ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini belirtti ve \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi:<\/p>\n

Bu olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemli. Ekim 2020\u2019den bu yana ilk kez bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu, Fed\u2019in yumu\u015fak bir ini\u015f geli\u015ftirebilece\u011fi ve s\u00fcper faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7tikten sonra bu kadar agresif olmayaca\u011f\u0131 arg\u00fcman\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir. 1.875 dolar\/ons seviyesi k\u0131sa vadede alt\u0131n i\u00e7in iyi bir destek olmaya devam ediyor. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde, ons ba\u015f\u0131na 1.940 dolar izliyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde ise 1.875 dolar\u0131 k\u0131rarsa, alt\u0131n 1.830 dolara dolara d\u00fc\u015febilir. Ancak bu, bir\u00e7ok teknik analistin y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ti\u011fi seviyedir. \u0130\u015fte o zaman alt\u0131n\u0131n 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamay\u0131 test etti\u011fini g\u00f6rebiliriz.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Bloomberg Intelligence k\u0131demli emtia stratejisti Mike McGlone, alt\u0131n\u0131n ons ba\u015f\u0131na kritik psikolojik 2.000 dolar seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n yaln\u0131zca bir zaman meselesi oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Ana tetikleyici muhtemelen Fed\u2019in vaat edilen agresif faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda biraz teredd\u00fct g\u00f6stermesi olabilir diyen stratejist, s\u00f6zlerine \u015f\u00f6yle devam etti:<\/p>\n

Temel \u015fimdi 1.800 dolara daha yak\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor ve 2.000 dolar kilit diren\u00e7. Alt\u0131n\u0131n potansiyel olarak bu e\u015fi\u011fi a\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n sadece bir zaman meselesi oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. En y\u00fcksek potansiyel kataliz\u00f6r, Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerinde bir dip ve bu, borsa daha da d\u00fc\u015fene kadar ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyebilir.. S&P 500, 2022\u2019de 28 Nisan\u2019a kadar yakla\u015f\u0131k 10 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, yetersiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u201cFed fon vadeli i\u015flemleri, bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn sona ermesini beklemeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, de\u011ferli metal ons ba\u015f\u0131na 2000 dolarl\u0131k direnci k\u0131rmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131, analistlerin ABD merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n ABD Q1 GSY\u0130H verilerindeki keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc g\u00f6rmezden geldi\u011fini ve enflasyonla m\u00fccadeleye …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":24481,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24480","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coin","category-nft"],"yoast_head":"\nUsta Analistler: Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131 Haftaya Bu Seviyelerde Olabilir! - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/usta-analistler-altin-fiyati-haftaya-bu-seviyelerde-olabilir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Usta Analistler: Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131 Haftaya Bu Seviyelerde Olabilir!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131, analistlerin ABD merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n ABD Q1 GSY\u0130H verilerindeki keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc g\u00f6rmezden geldi\u011fini ve enflasyonla m\u00fccadeleye ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/usta-analistler-altin-fiyati-haftaya-bu-seviyelerde-olabilir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin M\u00fchendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/coinmuhendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-05-01T06:00:09+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/usta-analistler-altin-fiyati-haftaya-bu-seviyelerde-olabilir-jfmnOY48-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1836\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1032\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/usta-analistler-altin-fiyati-haftaya-bu-seviyelerde-olabilir\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/usta-analistler-altin-fiyati-haftaya-bu-seviyelerde-olabilir\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/92661db359d245dcf90385075aee07ed\"},\"headline\":\"Usta Analistler: Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131 Haftaya Bu Seviyelerde Olabilir!\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-05-01T06:00:09+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/usta-analistler-altin-fiyati-haftaya-bu-seviyelerde-olabilir\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1262,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/usta-analistler-altin-fiyati-haftaya-bu-seviyelerde-olabilir\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/usta-analistler-altin-fiyati-haftaya-bu-seviyelerde-olabilir-jfmnOY48-1.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Coin\",\"NFT\"],\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/usta-analistler-altin-fiyati-haftaya-bu-seviyelerde-olabilir\\\/#respond\"]}],\"copyrightYear\":\"2022\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/usta-analistler-altin-fiyati-haftaya-bu-seviyelerde-olabilir\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/usta-analistler-altin-fiyati-haftaya-bu-seviyelerde-olabilir\\\/\",\"name\":\"Usta Analistler: Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131 Haftaya Bu Seviyelerde Olabilir! 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