{"id":227105,"date":"2026-11-04T09:30:06","date_gmt":"2026-11-04T06:30:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=227105"},"modified":"2026-11-04T09:06:16","modified_gmt":"2026-11-04T06:06:16","slug":"abd-secimleri-bitcoini-dusurebilir-mi-tarih-ne-diyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/abd-secimleri-bitcoini-dusurebilir-mi-tarih-ne-diyor\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD Se\u00e7imleri Bitcoin&#8217;i D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilir mi? Tarih Ne Diyor?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\"><strong>ABD ara se\u00e7imleri<\/strong>, hisse senetleri ve Bitcoin i\u00e7in farkl\u0131 senaryolar\u0131 g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Ge\u00e7mi\u015f se\u00e7imler <strong>S&amp;P 500<\/strong> i\u00e7in y\u00fckseli\u015f, Bitcoin i\u00e7inse sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u00f6rnekleri sunuyor. Ancak bu kez piyasalar\u0131n g\u00fcndeminde yaln\u0131zca se\u00e7im belirsizli\u011fi yok. Kongre&#8217;deki g\u00fc\u00e7 dengesi, <a href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/abd-ara-secimleri-ne-zaman-saat-kacta\/\"><strong>Trump<\/strong><\/a> y\u00f6netiminin ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131 ve kripto d\u00fczenlemelerini de etkileyebilir.<\/p>\n<p>3 Kas\u0131m se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde tahmin piyasalar\u0131 Demokratlar\u0131n Temsilciler Meclisi&#8217;ni kazanma ihtimalini yakla\u015f\u0131k %95 olarak fiyatlad\u0131. Senato i\u00e7in bu oran %76 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. Demokratlar\u0131n iki kanatta da \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu kazanma ihtimali ise %76 seviyesindeydi. Se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 geldik\u00e7e beklentiler de\u011fi\u015fti. AP, Demokratlar\u0131n Senato&#8217;da \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duyurdu. Temsilciler Meclisi&#8217;ndeki yar\u0131\u015f ise hen\u00fcz sonu\u00e7lanmad\u0131.<\/p>\n<h2>ABD Se\u00e7imleri Sonras\u0131 S&amp;P 500 Y\u00fckselir mi?<\/h2>\n<p>Michael Burry Stock Tracker hesab\u0131, ge\u00e7mi\u015f ara se\u00e7imlere ili\u015fkin dikkat \u00e7ekici bir analiz payla\u015ft\u0131. ABD&#8217;de 1954&#8217;ten bu yana yedi ara se\u00e7imde ba\u015fkan\u0131n partisi Kongre&#8217;nin iki kanad\u0131nda da \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu kaybetti. Bu se\u00e7imlerin alt\u0131s\u0131nda S&amp;P 500 sonraki ay\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fle tamamlad\u0131. Endeksin ortalama kazanc\u0131 %2,1 oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u00fckseli\u015f sonraki aylarda da devam etti. S&amp;P 500, se\u00e7imlerden sonraki \u00fc\u00e7 ayda ortalama %10,7 kazand\u0131. Alt\u0131 ayl\u0131k getiri %17,5&#8217;e, bir y\u0131ll\u0131k getiri ise %15,5&#8217;e ula\u015ft\u0131. \u00dcstelik endeks, yedi \u00f6rne\u011fin tamam\u0131nda se\u00e7imden 3, 6 ve 12 ay sonra daha y\u00fcksek seviyelerdeydi.<\/p>\n<p>Bu performans\u0131n arkas\u0131nda siyasi belirsizli\u011fin azalmas\u0131 yat\u0131yor olabilir. Se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, Kongre&#8217;deki yeni g\u00fc\u00e7 da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 daha net g\u00f6rebiliyor. B\u00f6ylece ekonomi politikalar\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentilerini yeniden \u015fekillendiriyor.<\/p>\n<p>2026 se\u00e7imleri teknoloji ve finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc de yak\u0131ndan ilgilendiriyor. Reuters&#8217;a g\u00f6re Demokratlar\u0131n Kongre&#8217;de g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanmas\u0131, teknoloji \u015firketlerine ve yapay zeka yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik denetimleri art\u0131rabilir. Ayr\u0131ca finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki dereg\u00fclasyon ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatabilir. Kripto para d\u00fczenlemeleri de bu siyasi de\u011fi\u015fimden etkilenebilir. Ancak Trump, ba\u015fkanl\u0131k veto yetkisini koruyor. Bu yetki, Kongre&#8217;nin politika de\u011fi\u015fikliklerini s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin Ara Se\u00e7imlerden Sonra Neden D\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc?<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin&#8217;in ge\u00e7mi\u015f ara se\u00e7im performans\u0131, borsadan farkl\u0131 bir tablo \u00e7iziyor. Ted Pillows&#8217;un payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilere g\u00f6re BTC, 2014 se\u00e7imlerinden sonraki 71 g\u00fcnde %45&#8217;ten fazla de\u011fer kaybetti. 2018 se\u00e7imlerinin ard\u0131ndan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f daha da sertle\u015fti. Bitcoin yaln\u0131zca 39 g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k %50 geriledi. 2022 se\u00e7imlerinden sonraki birka\u00e7 haftada ise %25 civar\u0131nda kay\u0131p ya\u015fad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ancak bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri do\u011frudan se\u00e7imlere ba\u011flamak do\u011fru olmaz. \u00d6zellikle 2022&#8217;de FTX krizi piyasay\u0131 sarst\u0131. Binance, Sam Bankman-Fried&#8217;\u0131n borsas\u0131n\u0131 kurtarmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ancak giri\u015fim ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z oldu. FTX k\u0131sa s\u00fcre sonra iflas ba\u015fvurusunda bulundu. Bitcoin&#8217;in sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde bu krizin de \u00f6nemli pay\u0131 vard\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dcstelik se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 kay\u0131plar, her zaman uzun s\u00fcreli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f anlam\u0131na gelmedi. Dealer.eth&#8217;in payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 analize g\u00f6re Bitcoin, 2014, 2018 ve 2022 se\u00e7imlerinin ard\u0131ndan s\u0131ras\u0131yla yakla\u015f\u0131k %24, %45 ve %92 y\u00fckseldi. \u00dc\u00e7 d\u00f6nemin ortalama 12 ayl\u0131k getirisi yakla\u015f\u0131k %54 oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Ge\u00e7mi\u015f veriler bu nedenle iki farkl\u0131 ihtimali g\u00fcndeme getiriyor. Bitcoin se\u00e7imlerin ard\u0131ndan \u00f6nce yeni bir dip g\u00f6rebilir. Ard\u0131ndan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir toparlanma ya\u015fayabilir. Yine de yaln\u0131zca \u00fc\u00e7 se\u00e7im d\u00f6nemine bakarak 2026 i\u00e7in kesin bir fiyat tahmini yapmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. FTX gibi piyasa krizleri, makroekonomik geli\u015fmeler ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n risk i\u015ftah\u0131 Bitcoin&#8217;in y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirebilir.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_preserved_bg=\"rgb(16, 18, 19)\" data-darkmysite_preserved_color=\"rgb(16, 19, 20)\">\n<p class=\"darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_preserved_bg=\"rgb(16, 18, 19)\" data-darkmysite_preserved_color=\"rgb(16, 19, 20)\"><em class=\"darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_preserved_bg=\"rgb(16, 18, 19)\" data-darkmysite_preserved_color=\"rgb(16, 19, 20)\">Bu i\u00e7erik genel piyasa verilerine dayan\u0131r ve yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi de\u011fildir. Kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6neririz.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p class=\"darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_preserved_bg=\"rgb(16, 18, 19)\" data-darkmysite_preserved_color=\"rgb(16, 19, 20)\">Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in<span class=\"darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_preserved_bg=\"rgb(16, 18, 19)\" data-darkmysite_preserved_color=\"rgb(0, 0, 255)\">\u00a0<a class=\"anchor-url darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinmuhendisihaber\" data-darkmysite_preserved_bg=\"rgb(16, 18, 19)\" data-darkmysite_preserved_color=\"rgb(254, 216, 43)\">hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ABD ara se\u00e7imleri, hisse senetleri ve Bitcoin i\u00e7in farkl\u0131 senaryolar\u0131 g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Ge\u00e7mi\u015f se\u00e7imler S&amp;P 500 i\u00e7in y\u00fckseli\u015f, Bitcoin i\u00e7inse sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u00f6rnekleri sunuyor. Ancak bu kez piyasalar\u0131n g\u00fcndeminde yaln\u0131zca se\u00e7im belirsizli\u011fi yok. Kongre&#8217;deki g\u00fc\u00e7 dengesi, Trump y\u00f6netiminin ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131 ve kripto d\u00fczenlemelerini de etkileyebilir. 3 Kas\u0131m se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde tahmin piyasalar\u0131 Demokratlar\u0131n Temsilciler Meclisi&#8217;ni kazanma<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":140346,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[38558,10751,12,207,5482,4110,1107],"class_list":["post-227105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-abd-ara-secimleri","tag-abd-ekonomisi","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-donald-trump","tag-kripto-para-piyasasi","tag-sp-500"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.8 (Yoast SEO v27.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>ABD Se\u00e7imleri Bitcoin&#039;i D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilir mi? 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