{"id":226930,"date":"2026-11-02T16:00:45","date_gmt":"2026-11-02T13:00:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=226930"},"modified":"2026-11-02T13:14:39","modified_gmt":"2026-11-02T10:14:39","slug":"bitcoin-100-bin-dolara-cikabilir-mi-abd-secim-sonucu-kritik","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin-100-bin-dolara-cikabilir-mi-abd-secim-sonucu-kritik\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin 100 Bin Dolara \u00c7\u0131kabilir Mi? ABD Se\u00e7im Sonucu Kritik"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD<\/strong>\u2019de 3 Kas\u0131m\u2019da yap\u0131lacak Kongre se\u00e7imleri, Bitcoin<\/strong> fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 2026 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 100.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tamamlay\u0131p tamamlayamayaca\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentileri etkiliyor. Bloomberg taraf\u0131ndan 301 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131, portf\u00f6y<\/a> y\u00f6neticisi ve piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen ankete g\u00f6re, Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerin Kongre\u2019de kontrol\u00fc ele ge\u00e7irmesi Bitcoin i\u00e7in daha olumlu bir senaryo olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 29\u2019u bu durumda Bitcoin\u2019in y\u0131l sonunda 100.000 dolar\u0131 a\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 beklerken, Demokratlar\u0131n kontrol\u00fcnde bu oran yaln\u0131zca y\u00fczde 8\u2019de kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentiler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryolar\u0131nda da farkl\u0131la\u015f\u0131yor. Demokratlar\u0131n Kongre\u2019de \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu kazanmas\u0131 halinde kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 16\u2019s\u0131 Bitcoin\u2019in 60.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na gerileyece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerin kontrol\u00fcnde ise bu ihtimali \u00f6ng\u00f6renlerin oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 5\u2019e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Kongre Se\u00e7imleri Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Neden \u00d6nemli?<\/h2>\n

ABD Kongresi, kripto<\/a> para piyasas\u0131n\u0131n gelece\u011fini do\u011frudan etkileyebilecek yasal d\u00fczenlemelerin haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131nda \u00f6nemli rol oynuyor. Bu nedenle 3 Kas\u0131m Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imler, yaln\u0131zca siyasi dengeleri de\u011fil, dijital varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelik d\u00fczenleyici yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 da belirleyebilir.<\/p>\n

Piyasadaki belirsizli\u011fin temel nedenlerinden biri, kripto sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne y\u00f6nelik kapsaml\u0131 federal kurallar\u0131n hen\u00fcz y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmemesi. 15 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de Senato, kripto piyasas\u0131n\u0131n yasal \u00e7er\u00e7evesini olu\u015fturmay\u0131 ama\u00e7layan CLARITY Act tasar\u0131s\u0131 \u00fczerinde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin ba\u015flamas\u0131 i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan oylamada 49’a kar\u015f\u0131 50 oy kulland\u0131. Ancak tasar\u0131n\u0131n ilerleyebilmesi i\u00e7in gereken 60 oya ula\u015f\u0131lamad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Oylaman\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmas\u0131 piyasalarda sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 yaratt\u0131. Bitcoin ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn y\u00fczde 5\u2019ten fazla de\u011fer kaybederken Coinbase ve Circle hisselerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f baz\u0131 i\u015flemlerde y\u00fczde 10’a kadar ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Satoshi Action Fund kurucu orta\u011f\u0131 Dennis Porter, a\u00e7\u0131k ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilir kurallar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck kurumsal yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 uzun vadeli kripto yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na y\u00f6nlendirebilece\u011fini belirtiyor. Ancak Porter’a g\u00f6re bu etkinin piyasaya yans\u0131mas\u0131 aniden de\u011fil, zaman i\u00e7inde ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilir.<\/p>\n

Bloomberg Anketinde Hangi Se\u00e7im Senaryosu \u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131k\u0131yor?<\/h2>\n

Bloomberg’in ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131, CLARITY Act tasar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da dikkate alarak kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lara farkl\u0131 Kongre senaryolar\u0131nda Bitcoin’in y\u0131l sonundaki performans\u0131n\u0131 sordu.<\/p>\n

Demokratlar\u0131n Kongre’de kontrol\u00fc ele ge\u00e7irmesi durumunda kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 71’i Bitcoin’in y\u0131l\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerde tamamlamas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Kongrenin iki parti aras\u0131nda b\u00f6l\u00fcnmesi halinde bu oran y\u00fczde 47’ye geriliyor. Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerin her iki kanatta da kontrol\u00fc kazanmas\u0131 senaryosunda ise Bitcoin’in d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenlerin oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 27 olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerin zaferi, Bitcoin’in kesinlikle 100.000 dolara ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelmiyor.<\/p>\n

\"bitcoin<\/p>\n

Bitcoin 100.000 Dolar Hedefine Ula\u015fabilir Mi?<\/h2>\n

Anketin iyimser senaryosunda bile kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 70’i Bitcoin’in 100.000 dolar seviyesini a\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemiyor. Bu hedef, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131n\u0131n sonlar\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 83.600 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6ren Bitcoin’in y\u00fczde 20 dolay\u0131nda y\u00fckselmesini gerektiriyor.<\/p>\n

CLARITY Act i\u00e7in gereken 60 oy, Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerin kontrol\u00fc kazanmas\u0131 halinde bile \u00f6nemli bir engel olu\u015fturuyor. Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndaki oylamada hi\u00e7bir Demokrat senat\u00f6r tasar\u0131ya destek vermedi. Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Senat\u00f6r Josh Hawley de yerel bankac\u0131l\u0131k kurulu\u015flar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan risk olu\u015fturabilece\u011fi gerek\u00e7esiyle tasar\u0131n\u0131n ilerlemesine kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Anketin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirirken ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n y\u00f6ntemini de g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurmak gerekiyor. Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar 2-17 Ekim tarihleri aras\u0131nda Bloomberg ba\u011flant\u0131lar\u0131 \u00fczerinden ankete kendi istekleriyle kat\u0131ld\u0131. Sonu\u00e7lar ayr\u0131ca a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lmad\u0131. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla veriler b\u00fct\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 kitlesinin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc kesin bi\u00e7imde temsil etmiyor.<\/p>\n

Se\u00e7imlerin Borsa Ve Tahvil Piyasas\u0131na Etkisi Ne Olabilir?<\/h2>\n

Bloomberg anketi, se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n yaln\u0131zca Bitcoin i\u00e7in de\u011fil, geleneksel finans piyasalar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da farkl\u0131 beklentiler yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerin Kongre kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc kazanmas\u0131 halinde kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 65’i S&P 500 endeksindeki y\u00fckseli\u015fin h\u0131zlanmas\u0131n\u0131 veya mevcut temposunu korumas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Demokratlar\u0131n kontrol\u00fcnde ise y\u00fczde 63’l\u00fck kesim hisse senedi kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ya da kay\u0131plara d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Tahvil piyasas\u0131nda ise beklentiler ters y\u00f6nde \u015fekilleniyor. Demokratlar\u0131n kontrol\u00fc alt\u0131nda kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131 ABD Hazine tahvili getirilerinin d\u00fc\u015fmesini bekliyor. Tahvil getirilerinin gerilemesi, genel olarak tahvil fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltiyor. Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerin kontrol\u00fcnde ayn\u0131 beklentiyi payla\u015fanlar\u0131n oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 26’da kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Yapay zek\u00e2 d\u00fczenlemeleri de yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fcndeminde. Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 62’si daha s\u0131k\u0131 yapay zek\u00e2 kurallar\u0131n\u0131n ABD hisse senetlerini olumsuz etkileyebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Buna ra\u011fmen y\u00fczde 55’i se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n hi\u00e7birinin hisse senetlerini satmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmelerine neden olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor.<\/p>\n

Kongre d\u00f6nemi ocak ay\u0131nda sona erdi\u011finde h\u00e2l\u00e2 yasala\u015fmam\u0131\u015f olan tasar\u0131lar\u0131n yeniden ba\u015flat\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekecek. Bu nedenle CLARITY Act’in gelece\u011fi, 3 Kas\u0131m se\u00e7imlerinin ard\u0131ndan g\u00f6reve gelecek milletvekillerinin yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olacak.<\/p>\n

Bu i\u00e7erik kesinlikle yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131mamaktad\u0131r. Piyasalar y\u00fcksek risk i\u00e7ermektedir ve yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 almadan \u00f6nce kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD\u2019de 3 Kas\u0131m\u2019da yap\u0131lacak Kongre se\u00e7imleri, Bitcoin fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 2026 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 100.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tamamlay\u0131p tamamlayamayaca\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentileri etkiliyor. Bloomberg taraf\u0131ndan 301 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131, portf\u00f6y y\u00f6neticisi ve piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen ankete g\u00f6re, Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerin Kongre\u2019de kontrol\u00fc ele ge\u00e7irmesi Bitcoin i\u00e7in daha olumlu bir senaryo olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 29\u2019u bu durumda Bitcoin\u2019in y\u0131l sonunda 100.000 dolar\u0131 a\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 beklerken,<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":140346,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[15859,38792,12,8411,828,2103,224],"class_list":["post-226930","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-abd-secimleri","tag-ara-secim","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-analiz","tag-kripto-para","tag-wall-street","tag-yatirim"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin 100 Bin Dolara \u00c7\u0131kabilir Mi? 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ABD Se\u00e7im Sonucu Kritik\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"ABD\u2019de yap\u0131lacak Kongre se\u00e7imleri, Bitcoin fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 100.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tamamlay\u0131p tamamlayamayaca\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentileri etkiliyor.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin-100-bin-dolara-cikabilir-mi-abd-secim-sonucu-kritik\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin M\u00fchendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/coinmuhendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-11-02T13:00:45+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/ABD-Secim-Bitcoin-1024x576.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"576\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Emre Yumlu\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Emre Yumlu\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/bitcoin-100-bin-dolara-cikabilir-mi-abd-secim-sonucu-kritik\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/bitcoin-100-bin-dolara-cikabilir-mi-abd-secim-sonucu-kritik\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Emre Yumlu\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/b420e8dd526693b7d9988349af8fb3bd\"},\"headline\":\"Bitcoin 100 Bin Dolara \u00c7\u0131kabilir Mi? 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