{"id":226605,"date":"2026-10-29T17:30:14","date_gmt":"2026-10-29T14:30:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=226605"},"modified":"2026-10-29T13:40:03","modified_gmt":"2026-10-29T10:40:03","slug":"bitcoin-ne-kadar-olacak-bitwisetan-yeni-tahmin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin-ne-kadar-olacak-bitwisetan-yeni-tahmin\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Ne Kadar Olacak? Bitwise\u2019tan Yeni Tahmin"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\"><strong>Bitwise<\/strong>, Bitcoin\u2019in 2036\u2019da <strong>1,6 milyon dolara<\/strong> ula\u015fabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Ancak bu tahminin yakla\u015f\u0131k %82\u2019si, <strong>alt\u0131n<\/strong> ve Bitcoin\u2019in olu\u015fturdu\u011fu de\u011fer saklama piyasas\u0131n\u0131n 109,8 trilyon dolara \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131. Bitcoin\u2019in bu pazardan beklenen pay\u0131 alamamas\u0131, fiyat hedefini ciddi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in 1,6 Milyon Dolarl\u0131k Hedef Nas\u0131l Hesapland\u0131?<\/h2>\n<p>Bitwise, 28 Ekim\u2019de yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeni raporda 2035 i\u00e7in 1,3 milyon dolar olan tahminini 2036 i\u00e7in 1.599.766 dolara y\u00fckseltti. \u015eirket, Bitcoin\u2019in y\u0131ll\u0131k bile\u015fik getirisini %34,3 olarak hesaplad\u0131. Model, 30 Eyl\u00fcl 2026\u2019daki 83.557 dolarl\u0131k fiyat\u0131 ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 noktas\u0131 olarak kullan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Tahminin merkezinde alt\u0131n ve Bitcoin\u2019in birlikte olu\u015fturdu\u011fu de\u011fer saklama piyasas\u0131 var. Bitwise, bu pazar\u0131n 31,1 trilyon dolardan 2036\u2019da 109,8 trilyon dolara ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 varsay\u0131yor. Modelde Bitcoin\u2019in pazar pay\u0131 %25 olarak belirleniyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu pay, <a href=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin-80-bin-dolarda-tutunamazsa-sirada-ne-var\/\"><strong>BTC<\/strong><\/a> i\u00e7in yakla\u015f\u0131k 27,45 trilyon dolarl\u0131k piyasa de\u011feri anlam\u0131na geliyor. Modelin di\u011fer piyasalardan gelen yakla\u015f\u0131k 6,15 trilyon dolarl\u0131k katk\u0131s\u0131 da eklenince toplam de\u011fer 33,6 trilyon dolara ula\u015f\u0131yor. B\u00f6ylece 1,6 milyon dolarl\u0131k hedefin yakla\u015f\u0131k %82\u2019si tek bir piyasa varsay\u0131m\u0131na dayan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<h2>Piyasa B\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc De\u011fi\u015firse Bitcoin Hedefi Ne Olur?<\/h2>\n<p>CryptoSlate, Bitwise\u2019\u0131n modelindeki di\u011fer piyasalardan gelen 6,15 trilyon dolarl\u0131k katk\u0131y\u0131 sabit tutarak de\u011fer saklama piyasas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve Bitcoin\u2019in pay\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirdi.<\/p>\n<p>De\u011fer saklama piyasas\u0131n\u0131n 50 trilyon dolarda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131nda, Bitcoin %25 pay al\u0131rsa modelin fiyat sonucu yakla\u015f\u0131k 888.000 dolara iniyor. Bitcoin\u2019in pay\u0131 %10\u2019a d\u00fc\u015ferse hesaplanan de\u011fer yakla\u015f\u0131k 531.000 dolara geriliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu hesaplamalar Bitwise\u2019\u0131n resm\u00ee tahminleri de\u011fil, CryptoSlate\u2019in modeldeki varsay\u0131mlar\u0131 s\u0131namak i\u00e7in yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 duyarl\u0131l\u0131k analizi. Yine de sonu\u00e7lar \u00f6nemli bir noktay\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor: Bitcoin\u2019in 2036 fiyat\u0131 yaln\u0131zca talebin artmas\u0131na de\u011fil, hedeflenen pazar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne ve BTC\u2019nin bu pazardan alaca\u011f\u0131 paya da ba\u011fl\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Bitwise\u2019\u0131n kendi senaryolar\u0131nda ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 hedefi 130.686 dolar, ana senaryo 1.599.766 dolar ve bo\u011fa senaryosu yakla\u015f\u0131k 3,67 milyon dolar. Bu geni\u015f aral\u0131k, benimsenme varsay\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n sonucu ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde de\u011fi\u015ftirebildi\u011fini ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n<h2>JPMorgan\u2019\u0131n Varsay\u0131m\u0131 \u00c7ok Daha D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck Bir Sonu\u00e7 Veriyor<\/h2>\n<p>JPMorgan\u2019\u0131n Bitcoin i\u00e7in kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u0131ll\u0131k bile\u015fik getiri varsay\u0131m\u0131 %10. Kurum, y\u0131ll\u0131k volatiliteyi %55 olarak hesapl\u0131yor ve Bitcoin\u2019i ana portf\u00f6y modellerine dahil etmiyor. Y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131k ve di\u011fer varl\u0131klarla istikrars\u0131z ili\u015fkiler, kurumun temkinli yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131nda etkili oluyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bitwise\u2019\u0131n 83.557 dolarl\u0131k ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 fiyat\u0131na %10 y\u0131ll\u0131k bile\u015fik getiri on y\u0131l boyunca uyguland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sonu\u00e7 yakla\u015f\u0131k 216.725 dolar oluyor. Bu, JPMorgan\u2019\u0131n resm\u00ee fiyat hedefi de\u011fil; iki farkl\u0131 getiri varsay\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131ran bir hesaplama. Bitwise\u2019\u0131n 1.599.766 dolarl\u0131k ana hedefiyle aradaki fark yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,38 milyon dolar.<\/p>\n<p>Bitwise ise \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki on y\u0131l i\u00e7in ortalama %27,8 volatilite \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor ve kurumsal yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n portf\u00f6ylerinde Bitcoin\u2019e %1 ila %5 pay ay\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. \u015eirketin belirtti\u011fi ba\u015fl\u0131ca riskler aras\u0131nda kuantum bilgisayarlar, yapay zek\u00e2 kaynakl\u0131 matematiksel geli\u015fmeler ve d\u00fczenleyici politikalardaki olas\u0131 geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fler bulunuyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019in 2036\u2019da 1,6 milyon dolara ula\u015fmas\u0131 bu varsay\u0131mlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesine ba\u011fl\u0131. Alt\u0131n ve Bitcoin piyasas\u0131n\u0131n beklenen \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde b\u00fcy\u00fcy\u00fcp b\u00fcy\u00fcmedi\u011fi ve BTC\u2019nin bu pazardan ne kadar pay ald\u0131\u011f\u0131, hedefin ger\u00e7ek\u00e7ili\u011fini de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in izlenmesi gereken iki temel g\u00f6sterge olacak.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_preserved_bg=\"rgb(16, 18, 19)\" data-darkmysite_preserved_color=\"rgb(16, 19, 20)\">\n<p class=\"darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_preserved_bg=\"rgb(16, 18, 19)\" data-darkmysite_preserved_color=\"rgb(16, 19, 20)\"><em class=\"darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_preserved_bg=\"rgb(16, 18, 19)\" data-darkmysite_preserved_color=\"rgb(16, 19, 20)\">Bu i\u00e7erik genel piyasa verilerine dayan\u0131r ve yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi de\u011fildir. Kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6neririz.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p class=\"darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_preserved_bg=\"rgb(16, 18, 19)\" data-darkmysite_preserved_color=\"rgb(16, 19, 20)\">Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in<span class=\"darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_preserved_bg=\"rgb(16, 18, 19)\" data-darkmysite_preserved_color=\"rgb(0, 0, 255)\">\u00a0<a class=\"anchor-url darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinmuhendisihaber\" data-darkmysite_preserved_bg=\"rgb(16, 18, 19)\" data-darkmysite_preserved_color=\"rgb(254, 216, 43)\">hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitwise, Bitcoin\u2019in 2036\u2019da 1,6 milyon dolara ula\u015fabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Ancak bu tahminin yakla\u015f\u0131k %82\u2019si, alt\u0131n ve Bitcoin\u2019in olu\u015fturdu\u011fu de\u011fer saklama piyasas\u0131n\u0131n 109,8 trilyon dolara \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131. Bitcoin\u2019in bu pazardan beklenen pay\u0131 alamamas\u0131, fiyat hedefini ciddi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir. Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in 1,6 Milyon Dolarl\u0131k Hedef Nas\u0131l Hesapland\u0131? Bitwise, 28 Ekim\u2019de yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeni raporda 2035 i\u00e7in 1,3 milyon<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":202436,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[44517,6043,12,12167,44518,11288,12311],"class_list":["post-226605","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-2036-hedefi","tag-altin","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-fiyat-tahmini","tag-bitcoin-ne-kadar-olacak","tag-bitwise","tag-kripto-analiz"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.8 (Yoast SEO v27.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Ne Kadar Olacak? Bitwise\u2019tan Yeni Tahmin - Coin M\u00fchendisi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin 2036 fiyat tahmini 1,6 milyon dolar. 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Bitwise\u2019\u0131n hedefinin \u2019si alt\u0131n ve Bitcoin piyasas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine ba\u011fl\u0131.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin-ne-kadar-olacak-bitwisetan-yeni-tahmin\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin M\u00fchendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/coinmuhendisi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-10-29T14:30:14+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/altcoin-5.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"720\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Yeliz Akmaca\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@coinmuhendisim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Yeliz Akmaca\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/bitcoin-ne-kadar-olacak-bitwisetan-yeni-tahmin\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/bitcoin-ne-kadar-olacak-bitwisetan-yeni-tahmin\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Yeliz Akmaca\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/coinmuhendisi.com\\\/blog\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/aab8cd80b6a76dc08ee7c30adb233be6\"},\"headline\":\"Bitcoin Ne Kadar Olacak? 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