{"id":226516,"date":"2026-10-29T10:00:07","date_gmt":"2026-10-29T07:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/?p=226516"},"modified":"2026-10-29T08:12:48","modified_gmt":"2026-10-29T05:12:48","slug":"bitcoin-60-000-dolara-dusebilir-mi-gumus-ornegi-uyariyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/bitcoin-60-000-dolara-dusebilir-mi-gumus-ornegi-uyariyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin 60.000 Dolara D\u00fc\u015febilir Mi? G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f \u00d6rne\u011fi Uyar\u0131yor!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin fiyat\u0131<\/strong>, 83.000 dolar seviyesinin alt\u0131nda \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci haftay\u0131 kapatarak y\u00fckseli\u015f trendine ili\u015fkin soru i\u015faretlerini art\u0131rd\u0131. Analist Benjamin Cowen<\/a>, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin kal\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m yerine sahte bir hareket olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Cowen\u2019\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck endi\u015fesi ise Bitcoin\u2019in, 2011 zirvesinden sonra d\u00f6rt y\u0131l i\u00e7inde yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 73 de\u011fer kaybeden g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fe benzer uzun soluklu bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015famas\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin, \u00f6nceki haftay\u0131 82.042 dolardan, 25 Ekim\u2019de sona eren haftay\u0131 ise 80.154 dolardan kapatt\u0131. Fiyat, bu hafta da 83.000 dolar e\u015fi\u011fini a\u015farak \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 ba\u015faramad\u0131. Cowen\u2019a g\u00f6re bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda ikinci haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosunu g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren \u00f6nemli bir sinyal olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in 83.000 Dolar Neden Kritik?<\/h2>\n

Cowen, son de\u011ferlendirmesinde Bitcoin\u2019in haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 temel alan basit bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fct kullan\u0131yor. Analiste g\u00f6re 83.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda tek kapan\u0131\u015f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ihtimalini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rken, ikinci kapan\u0131\u015f eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndaki k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc destekliyor.<\/p>\n

Bir sonraki \u00f6nemli b\u00f6lge, 20 ve 21 haftal\u0131k hareketli ortalamalardan olu\u015fan bo\u011fa piyasas\u0131 destek band\u0131 (BMSB). Cowen, bu alan\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 72.000 ile 76.000 dolar aras\u0131nda konumland\u0131r\u0131yor. Bitcoin\u2019in bu b\u00f6lgeye gerilemesi, daha derin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn habercisi olabilece\u011fi i\u00e7in yak\u0131ndan izlenmesi gereken bir geli\u015fme.<\/p>\n

Hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131nda da benzer teknik zay\u0131fl\u0131klar g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. S&P 500, Nasdaq ve Ethereum, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na gerileyerek bo\u011fa piyasas\u0131 destek band\u0131na do\u011fru ilerledi. Bu tablo, kripto para piyasas\u0131 ile geleneksel riskli varl\u0131klar\u0131n hareketlerinin birlikte de\u011ferlendirilmesini \u00f6nemli h\u00e2le getiriyor.<\/p>\n

\"bitcoin<\/p>\n

G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn Ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Ne Anlama Geliyor?<\/h2>\n

Cowen\u2019\u0131n endi\u015fesinin merkezinde g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn 2011 sonras\u0131ndaki fiyat hareketleri bulunuyor. De\u011ferli metal, o d\u00f6nemde yakla\u015f\u0131k 49 dolarla zirve yapt\u0131ktan sonra iki kez dip seviyelerini korudu ve toparlanma izlenimi veren y\u00fckseli\u015fler ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f<\/a>, 2012 sonlar\u0131nda 50 haftal\u0131k hareketli ortalaman\u0131n bile \u00fczerinde haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. Buna ra\u011fmen y\u00fckseli\u015f kal\u0131c\u0131 olmad\u0131. Metal, 2013 y\u0131l\u0131nda yeniden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7erek 2015’e kadar yakla\u015f\u0131k 14 dolar seviyesine geriledi. B\u00f6ylece zirvesinden dibe yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 73 de\u011fer kaybetti.<\/p>\n

Cowen, Bitcoin\u2019in de benzer bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 ya\u015fayabilece\u011finden \u00e7ekiniyor. Bu senaryoda \u015fubat ve temmuz diplerinin ard\u0131ndan y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde yeni bir dip olu\u015fabilir. Toparlanma giri\u015fimleri ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z kal\u0131rsa as\u0131l k\u0131r\u0131lma 2027 veya 2028 y\u0131l\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilir.<\/p>\n

Analisti \u00f6zellikle endi\u015felendiren ihtimal, Bitcoin\u2019in 60.000 dolara d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcp ard\u0131ndan toparlanmas\u0131. B\u00f6yle bir hareket, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u0131ras\u0131nda al\u0131m yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f emirlerini art\u0131rmas\u0131na ve bu seviyelerin ileride diren\u00e7 olu\u015fturmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k fiyat\u0131n, dola\u015f\u0131mdaki Bitcoin’lerin ortalama maliyetini g\u00f6steren ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen fiyat\u0131n alt\u0131na inmesi, daha kapsaml\u0131 bir teslimiyet s\u00fcrecine i\u015faret edebilir.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fteki zay\u0131fl\u0131k da s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Metal, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fc 53,83 dolardan kapatt\u0131 ve ocak ay\u0131ndaki rekor seviyesinin yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 56 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Bu kapan\u0131\u015f, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn 2026 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin’de D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Senaryosunu Hangi Geli\u015fmeler G\u00fc\u00e7lendirir?<\/h2>\n

Cowen, daha \u00f6nce payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisini 11 a\u015famal\u0131 bir yol haritas\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrd\u00fc. Senaryonun ilk ad\u0131m\u0131 Bitcoin’in 83.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda ikinci haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131 yapmas\u0131, ard\u0131ndan sahte k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n do\u011frulanmas\u0131 ve fiyat\u0131n 72.000-76.000 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki destek band\u0131na gerilemesi.<\/p>\n

Sonraki a\u015famalar makroekonomik geli\u015fmelere dayan\u0131yor. Fed’in 28 Ekim’de faizleri sabit tutmas\u0131, 29 Ekim’de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak PCE enflasyon verisinin y\u00fcksek gelmesi ve 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD tahvil getirisinin yeniden y\u00fckselmesi, Cowen’\u0131n senaryosundaki \u00f6nemli ko\u015fullar aras\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Analistin yol haritas\u0131, Bitcoin ve hisse senetlerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn derinle\u015fmesini, petrol\u00fcn varil ba\u015f\u0131na 120 dolara ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131, Fed’in aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 ve ABD Dolar Endeksi’nin (DXY) toplant\u0131ya kadar y\u00fckselmesini de i\u00e7eriyor. Y\u0131l sonuna do\u011fru uzun vadeli tahvil getirilerinin gerilemesi ise bu zincirin son a\u015famalar\u0131ndan biri.<\/p>\n

Cowen’a g\u00f6re bu ad\u0131mlardan herhangi birinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmemesi, di\u011fer a\u015famalara y\u00f6nelik beklentileri de zay\u0131flatabilir. Bitcoin’in haftay\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 84.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kapatmas\u0131 ise d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f tezini \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sorgulatabilir.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin’de Dip Olu\u015fmu\u015f Olabilir Mi?<\/h2>\n

Capriole Investments kurucusu ve uzman konseyinin bir di\u011fer \u00fcyesi Charles Edwards, k\u0131sa vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan farkl\u0131 bir g\u00f6stergeye dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Bitcoin opsiyon piyasas\u0131ndaki sat\u0131m\/al\u0131m oran\u0131 1,46 seviyesine y\u00fckseldi. Bu oran, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131na k\u0131yasla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Edwards’\u0131n grafi\u011finde 2026 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n \u015fubat ve haziran dipleri \u00e7evresinde de benzer s\u0131\u00e7ramalar g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ancak 2022’de may\u0131s ay\u0131nda Bitcoin yakla\u015f\u0131k 29.000 dolardayken ya\u015fanan benzer bir y\u00fckseli\u015f, fiyat\u0131n daha sonra 17.600 dolara gerilemesini engelleyemedi.<\/p>\n

Bu i\u00e7erik kesinlikle yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131mamaktad\u0131r. Piyasalar y\u00fcksek risk i\u00e7ermektedir ve yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 almadan \u00f6nce kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131z\u0131 yapman\u0131z \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n

Son Dakika kripto para haberleri i\u00e7in hemen t\u0131kla.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin fiyat\u0131, 83.000 dolar seviyesinin alt\u0131nda \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci haftay\u0131 kapatarak y\u00fckseli\u015f trendine ili\u015fkin soru i\u015faretlerini art\u0131rd\u0131. Analist Benjamin Cowen, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin kal\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m yerine sahte bir hareket olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Cowen\u2019\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck endi\u015fesi ise Bitcoin\u2019in, 2011 zirvesinden sonra d\u00f6rt y\u0131l i\u00e7inde yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 73 de\u011fer kaybeden g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fe benzer uzun soluklu bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":197037,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1512],"tags":[12,8411,207,828,317,224],"class_list":["post-226516","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-haber","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-analiz","tag-btc","tag-kripto-para","tag-para","tag-yatirim"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin 60.000 Dolara D\u00fc\u015febilir Mi? 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